NBA Props

DZ

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I don?t want to sound like a sore loser, but Iggy gifted at least one offensive rebound to Draymond and was mysteriously left off the stat sheet after two makes by Durant on give ?n go?s. Usually you get the benefit of the doubt from the hometown scorekeepers, but just something to tuck away for future games. Assists are such a subjective stat, so you have to be careful not to get carried away with those, especially when going with overs on away players or unders on a guy at home. Certain scorekeepers in certain arenas can be skewed more to one direction or another when grading assists.

One big takeaway for me, and maybe it?s a bit of confirmation bias, but I was expecting Gordon to have a big series and I think he should continue to perform well moving forward. I didn?t post or play a prop on him, but he?s one to keep an eye on as the series continues.

I also think this is the best scoring output we are going to see from Draymond Green, so I?ll look to play unders on his point totals when offered.
 
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DZ

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N. JOKIC (DEN) REB OVER 11? (-145) 2x
E. KANTER (POR) REB UNDER 10? (-120) 5x
 

jordan23

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I have Kanter under 9.5. What do u think?

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DZ

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I have Kanter under 9.5. What do u think?

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9.5 rebs? That is reaction to the news about his shoulder. I do think he'll be severly limited, but let's consider your options... What are you getting his PTS and/or PTS+REB at and what is the vig?
 

DZ

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added two others...

A. AMINU (POR) REB OVER 7? (-115) 2x
M. HARKLESS (POR) PTS UNDER 10 (-135) 2x
 

jordan23

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Rebs 9.5. Pts 13.5. Pts+reb+asts under 24.5 -145

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DZ

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Definitely the latter. I would play the under 24.5 pretty strong.

Sorry Jordan. Horrible call on my part. Certainly didn?t see Kanter putting up 20+ tonight. Denver defense looked tired as the team with less rest. Can?t say I thought he?d play 30+ minutes either but I guess Stotts realized he didn?t have many offensive options at the big positions so had to keep him in there playing through the pain. It looked like the shoulder affected his rebounding as originally predicted.
 

DZ

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E. BLEDSOE (MIL) REB+AST UNDER 9? (-150) 2x

I also like the under on Pts+Reb+Ast at 25 if available
 

DZ

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I think Malone and the Nuggets will look to take the scoring load off the Joker today, but his involvement in the other aspects of the game (spacing, facilitating & rebounding) will remain the same. If you look at his output over his previous playoff games, the lower totals on this prop seem like outliers. It should be hard for him to top 20 here at home tonight. I'm working on a few others, but I have major doubts that we see the same scoring output from Kanter in game 1 and his shoulder is still limiting him, especially on a short turnaround here in Denver. So in short, there is some value on his unders after a strong game 1.

N. JOKIC (DEN) REB+AST OVER 19? (-120) 4x
E. KANTER (POR) PTS+REB UNDER 25? (-120) 2.5x
 

DZ

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C.J. MCCOLLUM (POR) PTS OVER 21 (-125) 4x
C.J MCCOLLUM (POR) REB+AST OVER 7? (-120) 2.5x
M. HARKLESS (POR) PTS UNDER 8? (-120) 2.5x
 

DZ

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np English.


I tried to get Embiid UNDER 11 REBs in just now, but the props were pulled off the board while my bet was submitting. I'm going to notate this here just to see how it works out with an eye towards playing this same prop later in the series.
 

DZ

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Man, Siakam, what are you doing? Gonna get thrown out before you go over your prop! Tripping guys is bush league... That action might get reviewed and re-adjudicate by the league tomorrow. Otherwise, the three ball is not falling for him, which looks like it will be my downfall tonight.
 

DZ

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np English.


I tried to get Embiid UNDER 11 REBs in just now, but the props were pulled off the board while my bet was submitting. I'm going to notate this here just to see how it works out with an eye towards playing this same prop later in the series.

sure looks like i dodged a bullet on this under rebounds prop. Embiid has 10 with eight and a half minutes left in the game. At very best, the prop may have an opportunity to push. It looks like Brett Brown switched up how he used Embiid on the defensive end game 2, which they won, so I figured he'd stick with that strategy tonight. Anway, guarding Siakam was keeping him much farther out on the permiter, thus less opportunity for defensive rebounds, but it doesn't seem like that is case for him tonight on the defensive end.
 
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