NBA Sat 121909-Early Thoughts & Value Hunting

[axp59]

Whats happening here? Action

Quote:
Originally Posted by canuckfan77
Have you locked OKC+5 Ax?


Done Canuck

Thanks for last nights winner!!!
Painful to watch but loved every minute of it

Truck, that number looked really off last night so I had to lock that in 1/2U @ 5. It started to move rather quickly around midnight and I posted again that it was good at 4. I locked the other 1/2U @ 4. Now down to 3.5. Starting to push the value limit at this number. :sadwave:

The over play on POR/ORL is partly supported by stats but mostly eying this. I'm waiting for some more "smart" money to drive this even lower and will likely jump on board with the rest of my unit. If the number settles, I'll let it ride as is.

Good luck bro. I like 20+ pt covers but games like last night keep us all sharp. :box2:

 

[Truckin']

Truck, that number looked really off last night so I had to lock that in 1/2U @ 5. It started to move rather quickly around midnight and I posted again that it was good at 4. I locked the other 1/2U @ 4. Now down to 3.5. Starting to push the value limit at this number. :sadwave:

The over play on POR/ORL is partly supported by stats but mostly eying this. I'm waiting for some more "smart" money to drive this even lower and will likely jump on board with the rest of my unit. If the number settles, I'll let it ride as is.

Good luck bro. I like 20+ pt covers but games like last night keep us all sharp. :box2:

Thanks
BOL with the Daily Double Today (I'm In)

 

[Truckin']

Portland / Orlando 189.5 now

Showing 63% on the under line down 4.5 pts
3729 Bets

Okl City showing 68% On Houston Spread & 72% Houston ML
2757 Bets

 

[ChumpChange]

Yeah I heard on the weather channel last night, all good, we are headed up to Midlothian tonight, my brother owns a bunch of BW3's up in the Richmond area so he's gonna do some work and I'm gonna hang and eat free food and drink beer while watching the games, then we get to sleep in since the game is late, just glad I'm inside tomorrow cause it's gonna be cold as shit.

Good friends ... cold beer ... snack foods ... warm VIP Suite ... NFL Football ... it doesn't get much better than that ... you enjoy !!!!!!!!!

 

[ChumpChange]

I have three half-unit plays in ... not much value left ... played poker all night and sharpies ate up the lines early while I was napping

Orl / Port under 190 ... Chi / Atla under 196 ... SA / Indy under 202

Good Luck Everyone !!!

 

[ChumpChange]

For those of you that have not yet purchased a Christmas present for your wife / girlfriend yet ... here are a few thing not to buy ...

1.) vacuum cleaner
2.) toaster
3.) exercise bike
4.) gym club membership
5.) clothes ... what if the dress is 2 sizes too big ... then the fight begins
6.) wheel barrel ( to take the trash to the curb )
7.) swiffer mop and duster
8.) tool box
.................... anything else ?????

 

[axp59]

For those of you that have not yet purchased a Christmas present for your wife / girlfriend yet ... here are a few thing not to buy ...

1.) vacuum cleaner
2.) toaster
3.) exercise bike
4.) gym club membership
5.) clothes ... what if the dress is 2 sizes too big ... then the fight begins
6.) wheel barrel ( to take the trash to the curb )
7.) swiffer mop and duster
8.) tool box
.................... anything else ?????

Cook book :mj07:

 

[ChumpChange]

Look at the Milw / Sac game tonight ... Sac has been on an airplane quite a bit in the last couple of weeks and tonight they find themselves in a back-to-back road situation ... they got slapped last night in Minnesota and have been slapped in all five of their recent road games ... they are tired ... they are depressed ... they are not playing good ball ... to expect anything different from them tonight makes no sense !!!

MILW minus the 6 :SIB

 

[ChumpChange]

AX ...... cook book !!!!! EXCELLENT .... give her a cook book and then the fight begins :mj07:

 

[eeeerock]

Look at the Milw / Sac game tonight ... Sac has been on an airplane quite a bit in the last couple of weeks and tonight they find themselves in a back-to-back road situation ... they got slapped last night in Minnesota and have been slapped in all five of their recent road games ... they are tired ... they are depressed ... they are not playing good ball ... to expect anything different from them tonight makes no sense !!!

MILW minus the 6 :SIB

Under208 is my TOP PLAY today.I agree with the Sac assessment and Milw has played 2 very tough games with Lakers & Clev,tonight should be much easier.Milw really contests every possession and doesn't allow alot of easy baskets,GL tonight.Going to call it Milw 104-94.

 

[axp59]

How the season is shaping up WvE:

Western teams hosting Eastern teams

SU: 51-22 (4.7)
ATS: 39-29-5 (0.8) avg line: -3.9
O/U: 35-36-2 (1.8) avg total: 199.7

Eastern teams hosting Western teams

SU: 35-29 (0.8)
ATS: 30-34-0 (-1.4) avg line: -2.2
O/U: 36-27-1 (-1.7) avg total: 202.1

 

[barts185]

Sorry to invade with hockey (which I don't play much), but in case anyone hasn't heard, Minnesota lost some of their equipment in a fire yesterday (still trying to figure exactly how much, but a decent amount it seems).

People I know who play hockey (know a couple of former semi-pros, don't know any pros, know people who play in leagues) all feel that this is a huge edge for Ottawa.

Good Luck,
Bart

 

[axp59]

Sorry to invade with hockey (which I don't play much), but in case anyone hasn't heard, Minnesota lost some of their equipment in a fire yesterday (still trying to figure exactly how much, but a decent amount it seems).

People I know who play hockey (know a couple of former semi-pros, don't know any pros, know people who play in leagues) all feel that this is a huge edge for Ottawa.

Good Luck,
Bart

Thanks man, seems to be worth a shot @-115. $230/$200.

 

[ChumpChange]

Christmas shopping money - just for the asking !!!

NO Saints ML
Phoenix Suns ML

5 units for 2.5 units ... doesn't get much easier !!!

Will I be the only one cashing this ticket tonight ???

 

[arabmoney]

any thoughts on chi ? i like them, also is okc still a play at 3.5 like them too

 

[bleedingpurple]

VCU what a terrible F ing coillapse

 

[arabmoney]

seen that, hey purp what u make of the emich line, they are the underdog, at 6-3 and gstate is 5-6 favored by 6

 

[Slicer]

VCU what a terrible F ing coillapse

Yeah I just slammed my whole beer watching VCU fall apart online, 10 missed FT's down the stretch and a blown cover, kinda been that week for me. Hope to finish strong with E. Michigan and be down 1 game under .500 for the week.

 

[arabmoney]

good luck slice

 

[t20boss]

Yeah I just slammed my whole beer watching VCU fall apart online, 10 missed FT's down the stretch and a blown cover, kinda been that week for me. Hope to finish strong with E. Michigan and be down 1 game under .500 for the week.

With you on EMU, Slice. GL...