NBA SAT 122609 early thoughts - value hunting

axp59

Jarhead
Forum Member
Oct 8, 2008
3,012
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Taxachusetts
Back on the road again.

card has 2 dog plays:

MEM +8.5
PHI +7

Gauge the numbers for value. I'm locked at these numbers since I'll be driving today.

BOL fellas.
 

Ools

Registered User
Forum Member
Mar 18, 2009
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Like the over in Philly/Ut too. Ut scores almost 5 more a game on their homecourt and this "new" Sixer team has been scoring 6 points over their avg in last 5 games. Line up changes are working for more up tempo game. over 203.5 should be good - i have it 208 - 212 range.
 

pfj

Registered User
Forum Member
May 9, 2009
5,611
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Back on the road again.

card has 2 dog plays:

MEM +8.5
PHI +7

Gauge the numbers for value. I'm locked at these numbers since I'll be driving today.

BOL fellas.

very nice. i was waiting for some plays to pick me up from the xmas day massacre. thats what i get for going for the favs huh. wow. will be lurking today in here to get some winners. nice thing you guys got going here. gl :toast:
 

pfj

Registered User
Forum Member
May 9, 2009
5,611
7
0
Back on the road again.

card has 2 dog plays:

MEM +8.5
PHI +7

Gauge the numbers for value. I'm locked at these numbers since I'll be driving today.

BOL fellas.

i think mem at +8.5 is at its max value and right where the books want it. the percentages currently are :
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES Spread 47% ML 13%
DALLAS MAVERICKS Spread 53% ML 87%
 

pfj

Registered User
Forum Member
May 9, 2009
5,611
7
0
Back on the road again.

card has 2 dog plays:

MEM +8.5
PHI +7

Gauge the numbers for value. I'm locked at these numbers since I'll be driving today.

BOL fellas.

With the philly game im shocked at public percentages:

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS spread 96% ML 10%
UTAH JAZZ spread 4% ML 90%
 

granpa

Kid at heart
Forum Member
Mar 18, 2009
137
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0
Memphis

Memphis

Back on the road again.

card has 2 dog plays:

MEM +8.5
PHI +7

Gauge the numbers for value. I'm locked at these numbers since I'll be driving today.

BOL fellas.

Like Memphis as well, along with the under. Hope you and your family had a Merry Xmas.

G
 

CoFred

Registered User
Forum Member
Mar 18, 2009
124
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0
Back on the road again.

card has 2 dog plays:

MEM +8.5
PHI +7

Gauge the numbers for value. I'm locked at these numbers since I'll be driving today.

BOL fellas.
Hey Ax, are both of these full 1U plays?
 

BillyBatts

IlliniBill
Forum Member
Mar 31, 2009
788
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0
Illinois
Leans

Leans

Hope everyone had a great Christmas :mj06:

1-1 last night, once again winning my side (Boston) and losing my total (Knicks over).:moon:


Locked in
Memphis +8.5



Leans
Rockets- 9.5
Thunder -6 and under 189
Sixers +7 and I also like over 203.5 Ools(that should scare ya, lol)
Kings +6.5 (hoping it goes to 7 and will be my 3rd LARGE play this year) Sandwich game for LAL with a lookahead, Kings well rested and think line is inflated due to a Lakers "bounceback" after America watched them get blown out yesterday.

Thoughts?? :director:

Also have UNC +2 and USC under 45 in Bowl games for those who care. BOL today fellas :toast:
 

ChumpChange

Registered User
Forum Member
Mar 23, 2009
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Three plays for today ........

Philly under 203.5
SA under 190
NJ under 194.5

Good Luck Everyone
 

BillyBatts

IlliniBill
Forum Member
Mar 31, 2009
788
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0
Illinois
PLays

PLays

Hope everyone had a great Christmas :mj06:

1-1 last night, once again winning my side (Boston) and losing my total (Knicks over).:moon:


Locked in
Memphis +8.5



Leans
Rockets- 9.5
Thunder -6 and under 189
Sixers +7 and I also like over 203.5 Ools(that should scare ya, lol)
Kings +6.5 (hoping it goes to 7 and will be my 3rd LARGE play this year) Sandwich game for LAL with a lookahead, Kings well rested and think line is inflated due to a Lakers "bounceback" after America watched them get blown out yesterday.

Thoughts?? :director:

Also have UNC +2 and USC under 45 in Bowl games for those who care. BOL today fellas :toast:


Adding

Kings +6.5
Rockets-9.5


Liking OKC OVER now, but don't thik I will pull the trigger after the line went up.
 

granpa

Kid at heart
Forum Member
Mar 18, 2009
137
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0
NOH/Bulls -2.5

NOH/Bulls -2.5

Anyone liking the Hornets here? NO has been better as of late putting up decent numbers while Bulls are floundering. Can't see the Bulls giving 2.5 here.
Thoughts?
 

3win8

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 2, 2009
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Anyone liking the Hornets here? NO has been better as of late putting up decent numbers while Bulls are floundering. Can't see the Bulls giving 2.5 here.
Thoughts?

I like NO +2.5, but its open's as pk and now +2.5 and over 60% public are on them.
 

Ools

Registered User
Forum Member
Mar 18, 2009
418
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Three plays for today ........

Philly under 203.5
SA under 190
NJ under 194.5

Good Luck Everyone

oppo with you on philly, but i just saw SA line has jumped to 191.5 -- does that scare you or make you happy?
 

granpa

Kid at heart
Forum Member
Mar 18, 2009
137
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Hope everyone had a great Christmas :mj06:

Also have UNC +2 and USC under 45 in Bowl games for those who care. BOL today fellas :toast:

Like USC under as well BB. Should have tailed the Memphis pick, but took the under instead. :(

Did buy it back on the 2H under though.
 

granpa

Kid at heart
Forum Member
Mar 18, 2009
137
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0
oppo with you on philly, but i just saw SA line has jumped to 191.5 -- does that scare you or make you happy?

Spurs have been putting up points as of late. I'm staying away from this one, but if SA comes out fast I think the over will hit. Hopefully Philly will slow it down and keep it close for those taking the +7 or under.
 

eeeerock

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 31, 2006
9,050
33
48
Philly just scored first points of the 4th qtr with 4 minutes and 2 seconds left in the qtr.Figures as I missed the Memphis play but did jump on Philly.I know what Lang feels like but I'm not getting paid for losing.
 

Ools

Registered User
Forum Member
Mar 18, 2009
418
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Three plays for today ........

Philly under 203.5
SA under 190
NJ under 194.5

Good Luck Everyone

Chump - for my education, what did you see in the philly game that pushed you to the under? obviously a great call. I'm about 0-10 when we have had opposite plays, so please get the in earlier it would be helpful. LOL.
 
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