NBA series prices.

[NBA_Kid]

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MILWAUKEE (38 - 44) at MIAMI (66 - 16) - 4/21/2013, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 36-45 ATS (-13.5 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 46-36 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 25-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-5 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (45 - 37) at OKLAHOMA CITY (60 - 22) - 4/21/2013, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 80-49 ATS (+26.1 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-5 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[NBA_Kid]

Sunday, April 21

First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
Atlanta at Indiana, 1:00 ET TNT
Atlanta: 5-14 ATS playing their second game in five days
Indiana: 13-2 Under off 4+ ATS losses

First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
LA Lakers at San Antonio, 3:30 ET ABC
LA Lakers: 5-15 ATS as a road underdog
San Antonio: 10-1 ATS off a home loss

First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
Milwaukee at Miami, 7:00 ET TNT
Milwaukee: 7-15 ATS revenging a loss by 10+ points
Miami: 27-13 ATS off a home game

First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
Houston at Oklahoma City, 9:30 ET TNT
Houston: 0-8 ATS away off BB SU losses
Oklahoma City: 15-6 ATS off a SU loss

 

[NBA_Kid]

The Eastern Conference playoffs are a complicated sandwich of sorts. On top you have the Miami Heat and on the bottom the Milwaukee Bucks. But in between is one of the tightest and most competitive groups in years.

Teams seeded No. 2 through No. 7 have just as much of a chance to make the conference finals as the clubs ranked above or below them. The Knicks, Pacers, Nets, Bulls, Hawks and Celtics are all capable of beating each other on any given night. That parity should open up value in the series prices and Eastern Conference futures market.

No. 1 Miami Heat vs. No. 8 Milwaukee Bucks

Season series: Heat won 3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS, 1-3 O/U

Series prices: Miami -6,000, Milwaukee +4,000

Why bet Miami: Why not? The Heat are hands down the class of the NBA and have been waiting for this moment since hoisting last year?s Larry O?Brien Trophy. Miami continued to build on its NBA-best record despite resting LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh over the final weeks of the schedule, and kept covering thanks to a deep and experienced bench.

Why bet the Bucks: Milwaukee has known its first-round opponent for some time now and has had plenty of tape to hammer out a game plan for the Heat. In their one win over Miami, the Bucks were able to force 22 turnovers. They rank second in the NBA in forcing turnovers (16.1) while the Heat coughed the ball up 14 times a night ? fourth most in the league.

No. 2 New York Knicks vs. No. 7 Boston Celtics

Season series: Knicks won 3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 1-3 O/U

Series prices: New York -400, Boston +300

Why bet the Knicks: The Celtics were one of the few Eastern Conference playoff teams the Knicks beat up on, with N.Y. going 3-1 SU and ATS. New York defeated Boston by an average of more than 13 points in its three wins over the Celtics. The Knicks are also expected to have Tyson Chandler and Kenyon Martin back for the playoffs.

Why bet the Celtics: Boston has used a platoon of athletic guards ? Avery Bradley, Courtney Lee and Jordan Crawford ? to replace Rajon Rondo, giving the Celtics scoring depth off the bench. Boston also heads into the postseason with a heavy heart following the bombings at the Boston Marathon. The Celtics could step up as inspiration for a city in need of some good news.

No. 3 Indiana Pacers vs. No. 6 Atlanta Hawks

Season series: Split 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 3-1 O/U

Series prices: Indiana -600, Atlanta +400

Why bet the Pacers: Indiana earned the No. 3 seed in the East despite having its star forward Danny Granger for just five games all season. The Pacers are a tough out at home, where they went 30-10 SU (22-18 ATS). They rebound well and play tight defense ? two key components for any successful postseason run.

Why bet the Hawks: Indiana limped into the postseason with just one win in its final six games. The Hawks, who are a tough road team - 23-18 ATS - could steal a game or two in Indianapolis. The teams split their four games SU and ATS this year but Atlanta has been the better wager, going 10-4 ATS in their last 14 head-to-heads.

No. 4 Brooklyn Nets vs. No. 5 Chicago Bulls

Season series: Bulls won 3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 2-2 O/U

Series prices: Brooklyn -165, Chicago +145

Why bet the Nets: Brooklyn is peaking at the right time and a lot of that is due to Deron Williams. After playing much of the season injured, Williams is feeling good and was filling it up down the home stretch. The Nets were stellar in tight games this season, boasting a 9-4 SU record in games decided by three points or less and were 5-0 in overtime affairs.

Why bet the Bulls: Chicago has played its best ball against Eastern Conference playoff teams. The Bulls were 12-7 SU and 14-5 ATS versus teams seeded No. 2 through No. 7. The case isn?t completely closed on Derrick Rose?s possible return, but Chicago has managed to get along without him. The grimy Bulls are more than comfortable playing at the Nets? slow-motion pace.

 

[NBA_Kid]

It was a wild ride in the Western Conference and the fun won?t end with the regular season. Oklahoma City edged out San Antonio for the top seed while the L.A. Lakers, expected to run the table in the conference, squeaked into the No. 7 spot on the final night of the season.

The L.A. Clippers, Denver and Memphis have all looked like title contenders at times this year and Golden State and Houston are as dangerous as any team with their high-powered offenses. Needless to say, there are more surprises in store for the West during the postseason.

No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder vs. No. 8 Houston Rockets

Season series: Thunder won 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS, 3-0 O/U

Series prices: Oklahoma City -2,000, Houston +1,200

Why bet the Thunder: Oklahoma City lost just seven games at home and went 27-14 ATS as a host this season. Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook are a handful for Houston?s porous defense and combined to average just under 50 points in the three games with the Rockets. Houston?s up-and-down game leads to a league-high 16.4 turnovers a game.

Why bet the Rockets: Houston can explode offensively and finished second in the NBA with 106 points per game. The Thunder have struggled in close games, going just 3-6 SU in contests decided by three points or less. And don?t forget about former OKC guard James Harden, who averaged more than 29 points in the three games versus his former club, including a 46-point performance in their last meeting.

No. 2 San Antonio Spurs vs. No. 7 Los Angeles Lakers

Season series: Spurs won 2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS, 0-3 O/U

Series prices: San Antonio -1,600, Los Angeles +1,000

Why bet the Spurs: San Antonio lost only six games at home all season while L.A. was terrible on the road, going 16-25 SU and 15-25-1 ATS. Spurs PG Tony Parker is going to be a handful for the Lakers? unathletic duo of Steven Blake and Steve Nash, who is less than healthy. San Antonio shoots better than 79 percent from the foul line, L.A. shoots an NBA-worst 69.2 percent. No Kobe. Who makes the tough shots?

Why bet the Lakers: Pau Gasol and Dwight Howard is the best frontcourt tandem in the league and should push the Spurs around under the basket. Los Angeles was the second-best rebounding team in the NBA while San Antonio finished second last on the glass in the West. Lakers get Games 3, 4 and 6 at Staples Center, where they have lost just once since the All-Star break (13-1 SU, 7-6-1 ATS).

No. 3 Denver Nuggets vs. No. 6 Golden State Warriors

Season series: Nuggets won 3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 3-1 O/U

Series prices: Denver -600, Golden State +400

Why bet the Nuggets: Denver was the best home team in the NBA, going 38-3 SU and 28-13 ATS inside the thin air of the Pepsi Center. The Nuggets dominate the boards, ranking tops in the league in rebounding, especially on the offensive glass. Denver is tough to game plan for with seven active players averaging nine or more points. The Nuggets rolled into the postseason, losing only two of their final 10 games.

Why bet the Warriors: Golden State can bust a game wide open with its 3-point threats, topping the NBA from distance at 40.3 percent. Stephen Curry has been insane since his All-Star snub, averaging 26 points since the break. Andrew Bogut is getting back into shape and could be a problem for Denver down low, especially if Kenneth Faried continues to miss time.

No. 4 Los Angeles Clippers vs. No. 5 Memphis Grizzlies

Season series: Clippers won 3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 1-3 O/U

Series prices: Los Angeles -185, Memphis +145

Why bet the Clippers: Los Angeles brings momentum into the postseason, having won seven straight to end the year (5-2 ATS). The Clippers have the mental edge over Memphis, having won the season series and eliminated the Grizzlies in last year?s playoffs. L.A.?s athletic frontcourt of Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan made life tough for Memphis leading scorer Zach Randolph last spring. The Clips thrive on turnovers, leading the league in steals and forcing opponents to cough the ball up 16.1 times per game.

Why bet the Grizzlies: Memphis? slowed-down pace could keep the Clippers? fastbreak in check and limit turnovers. The Grizzlies were the best team in the West at limiting turnovers, coughing the ball up just 14 times a game. Memphis has excelled in tight games, going 4-1 in overtime and 6-4 in games decided by three points or less. The Clippers were 0-2 in OT and just 3-5 in games decided by three or less.

 

[NBA_Kid]

All results are since 1991 unless noted otherwise.*

No. 8 Seeds Are Behind The 8-Ball

For the most part, No. 8 seeds in the NBA playoffs are teams that likely scratched and clawed their way into the postseason. Not good enough to be seriously considered threats against top-seeded opponents but just barely better than the dregs of the league.

Rest assured, their life expectancy is not long at all, as they?ve lost over 70 percent of the time (45-114) in games against No. 1 seeds since 1996. In fact, only the 1996 New York Knicks, the 2007 Golden State Warriors and last year?s 2012 Philadelphia 76ers were good enough to pull the rug on top-seeded foes and advance to the second round of the playoffs

And you can virtually write them off in games against No. 1 seeds that are off back-to-back SU and ATS wins. These guys scratch out of the match with alarming regularity, going 3-23 SU and 7-19 ATS, including 1-13 SU and 2-12 ATS whenever the 8-ballers are off a loss of 14 or more points in their last game.

Upset Losers Are Winners

No, it?s not an oxymoron. Instead, it?s a powerful handicapping edge. It occurs whenever a team was upset as a favorite in an opening round game and is at home in the game immediately thereafter.

That?s confirmed by the fact that they are 56-35-4 ATS, a rock solid number. If they were upset at home in this round and return home they improve to 52-14 SU and 39-24-3 ATS, including 24-1 SU and 18-6-1 ATS when squaring off against a No. 6 or lower seed.

Don?t be afraid of these chalkbusters. That?s because they don?t lose their composure. Instead they almost always elect to dig deep and respond with aplomb in games after being embarrassed.

Double-Digit Dogma

Surprisingly, in the right role, double-digit underdogs do well in opening round contests, especially when playing off a playoff loss. These overweight puppies are 28-16-2 ATS in this role, including 17-8-1 ATS versus a non-division foe.

And if these same guys are involved in a game with the over/under set at 193 or higher they zoom to 15-3 ATS.

Granted, these dogs are not exactly pedigree puppies but the fact of the matter is they tend to come up big against disinterested favorites not capable of chopping heavy lumber.

And Down Goes Frazier

The psyche of teams that are not playing well comes immediately to the surface during the opening round of the NBA playoffs. That?s evidenced by the fact teams riding a three game-exact loss skein are wobbly and often one punch away from being counted out.

With glass-like jaws, these swirling teams are just 6-30 SU and 11-25 ATS away from home this round, including 1-10 SU and 2-9 ATS in lid-lifters.*

Worst of all, road dogs of more than six points on a three game exact losing skid are 3-23 SU and 7-19 ATS on their way to the canvas.

Golden Trend

The Golden State Warriors are 12-1-1 ATS as dogs or favorites of less than three points in the first round of the playoffs, including 8-0 ATS when taking eight or less points.

 

[NBA_Kid]

NBA betting review: Best and worst wagers of the season

The 2012-13 NBA regular season has come to a close, so it?s time to review the best and worst bets in the Association prior to the playoffs.

Best ATS

Overall: Oklahoma City Thunder (49-31-2 ATS) ? The Thunder had massive expectations heading into the 2012-13 campaign and they sure didn?t disappoint bettors.

Home: Denver Nuggets (28-13 ATS) ? Bettors cashed on the Nuggets all season long, especially at home where they had an astounding 38-3 straight-up record.

Road: Dallas Mavericks (27-14 ATS) ? The Mavericks aren?t playoff bound, but bettors loved their performances away from Dallas this year.

Worst ATS

Overall: Charlotte Bobcats (31-50-1 ATS) ? The Bobcats struggled to win 21 games and bettors shouldn?t be surprised by their awful ATS record. Better luck next year.

Home: Chicago Bulls (13-28 ATS) ? The Bulls were a fade all year long at the United Center, but were 23-18 ATS on the road.

Road: Charlotte Bobcats (14-26-1 ATS) ? The Bobcats were seemingly double-digit dogs in every road game, but they still couldn?t cover the points.

Best over

Overall: Sacramento Kings (48-32-2 over/under) ? The Kings allowed 105.1 points per game, which made them an awesome over play.

Home: Sacramento Kings (26-13-2 O/U) ? The Kings averaged 95.9 points per game on the road this season, but put up 104.6 per contest at the friendly confines of Sleep Train Arena.

Road: Denver Nuggets (26-14-1 O/U) - The Nuggets averaged 103.9 points per game on the road and gave up 104.4 - the perfect recipe for an over play.

Best under

Overall: Memphis Grizzlies (31-50-1 over/under) ? Memphis was the only team in the league not to surrender more than 90 points per game (89.3).

Home: Memphis Grizzlies (14-27 O/U) ? The Griz held opponents to only 87 points per game at home.

Road: Washington Wizards (12-29 O/U) ? The Wiz put up almost 98 points per game at home but went cold away from the Verizon Center, averaging 88.6 points.

 

[NBA_Kid]

LA-Spurs outcome.....

LA wins 4-0 +9000
LA wins 4-1 +4000
LA wins 4-2 +1200
LA wins 4-3 +1500
SA wins 4-0 +280
SA wins 4-1 +135
SA wins 4-2 +320
SA wins 4-3 +400

 

[NBA_Kid]

Bucks-Heat outcome...

Bucks win 4-0 +10000
Bucks win 4-1 +10000
Bucks win 4-2 +10000
Bucks win 4-3 +10000
Heat win 4-0 -150
Heat win 4-1 +110
Heat win 4-2 +800
Heat win 4-3 +1500

 

[NBA_Kid]

Rockets win 4-0 +10000
Rockets win 4-1 +10000
Rockets win 4-2 +2100
Rockets win 4-3 +2200
Thunder win 4-0 +200
Thunder win 4-1 +115
Thunder win 4-2 +390
Thunder win 4-3 +500

 

[NBA_Kid]

My predictions......

Thunder win series 4-0 +200

Spurs win series 4-0 +280

Nuggets win series 4-3 +250

Heat win series 4-1 +110

Knicks win series 4-2 +200

Pacers win series 4-2 +370

Bulls win series 4-3 +290

Clippers win series 4-1 +350

 

[azbob]

Thanks alot for taking the time to post all of this information. Good luck now that the NBA season is starting.

 

[NBA_Kid]

Thanks alot for taking the time to post all of this information. Good luck now that the NBA season is starting.

Good luck to you :toast: