NBA Sun 031410- Early Thoughts & Value Hunting

[darkchild]

Congratulations to those who bet over on any Sat plays

My Sat results Win: Orlando -12, Den - 2, Spurs -12, GS +2 :00hour
But I also lost my Parlay and POD thanks to Dallas :sadwave:


Early leans

Bucks - 9.5 vs Pacers since there seems to be something special in Milwaukee's gatorade

OKC -2 but Utah is just lousy on the road and just came off a loss but Boozer may want to redeem himself

Suns -8 vs NO Posey is out again

Portland -8 vs Raptors

 

[BillyBatts]

Leans

Leans

Hope everyone had some winners yesterday.

Early leans

Pacers +9.5
let down spot for the Bucks who have now covered 11 or 12 in a row. That's just nuts and think line is inflated

Celts +7
best road record in the league

Bobs +9
seems like a trap line

OKC and Utah under

Min and Sac over


Be back shortly

 

[Slicer]

Celts, Bobs, Thunder

Took a beating in NBA last night so tread lightly

 

[Gibson7]

1-0 Saturday. :00hour

Early bird special.

Bucks -9.5

 

[canuckfan77]

Like it as well, good luck sir.

 

[BillyBatts]

Locked in

Locked in

First Play

Pacers +9.5 Regular play


Best of luck fellas.



Gibson--Nice call on that over yesterday, took some balls.:toast:

 

[Ools]

Slicer and billy - college plays??

my pod is und 136.5 ky/miss st

 

[canuckfan77]

First Play

Pacers +9.5 Regular play


Best of luck fellas.



Gibson--Nice call on that over yesterday, took some balls.:toast:

Hate going head to head with you Billy. Good luck sir.

 

[Joe_Vienna]

19 - 20 kurby
1 - 2 yesterday :sadwave:

Today

Bobcats @ Magic O188.5 (POD)
Kings -8.5

BOLTA :toast:
Joe

 

[Lumi]

I will try to get some Pacers V Bucks info up quickly




Trends - Indiana at Milwaukee

ATS Trends

Indiana

Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Pacers are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Pacers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Pacers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.
Pacers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Pacers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.
Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Sunday games.


Milwaukee

Bucks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Bucks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Bucks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.
Bucks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Bucks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.
Bucks are 22-6-1 ATS in their last 29 vs. Eastern Conference.
Bucks are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Bucks are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Bucks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Bucks are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite.
Bucks are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Bucks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games.
Bucks are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games following a ATS win.
Bucks are 26-10-1 ATS in their last 37 games following a S.U. win.
Bucks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Bucks are 45-21-1 ATS in their last 67 games overall.


OU Trends

Indiana

Over is 5-1 in Pacers last 6 Sunday games.
Over is 5-1 in Pacers last 6 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Under is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
Over is 5-2 in Pacers last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
Over is 5-2 in Pacers last 7 games as an underdog.


Milwaukee

Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 games as a home favorite.
Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 home games.
Under is 5-0 in Bucks last 5 games as a favorite.
Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 games following a ATS win.
Under is 8-1 in Bucks last 9 vs. NBA Central.
Under is 7-1 in Bucks last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Under is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Under is 21-6 in Bucks last 27 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 16-5 in Bucks last 21 overall.
Under is 6-2 in Bucks last 8 Sunday games.
Under is 5-2 in Bucks last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.


Head to Head

Favorite is 16-5-2 ATS in the last 23 meetings.
Pacers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
Pacers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

 

[Lumi]

Indiana Pacers (21-44) at Milwaukee Bucks (35-29), 1 p.m.

The red-hot Milwaukee Bucks continue their push to the postseason Sunday when they attempt to sweep Central Division rival Indiana for the first time in nearly 30 years.

The Bucks have already beaten the Pacers three times this season and a win this afternoon would give them a series sweep for the first time since the 1981-82 season, when they were 6-0 against Indiana.

Most recently Milwaukee continued an impressive homestand with a 95-87 win over the Utah Jazz on Friday. John Salmons scored 24 points and hit a pair of important free throws with less than 20 seconds to go in that one.

Salmons continued to provide a spark for Milwaukee, which is 11-1 with him in the lineup since his acquisition at the trade deadline. The Bucks improved to 3-0 on their four-game homestand, having beaten contenders Cleveland, Boston and Utah in succession on the stretch. The team has also won five straight overall.

Brandon Jennings added 23 points, and Andrew Bogut contributed with 16 points and 12 boards. Eryan Ilyasova provided 14 points in the impressive victory, as the Bucks exceeded last season's win total with their 35th win and moved a season-high six games over .500.

"Utah's not an easy team to beat. You have to bring your "A" game," Jennings said. "They got the lead, and it was kind of back-and-forth, and we got some good stops at the end of the game. We played three teams that are great playoff teams; to come in here and beat them, that's pretty big."

The Pacers, meanwhile, are just playing out the string and lost for the fifth time in six games on Friday when Paul Pierce scored 20 to lead a balanced attack, and the Boston Celtics got back to their winning ways with a 122-103 rout of Indiana.

Roy Hibbert was the leading scorer for the Pacers with 23. Troy Murphy added 17 points and 10 boards, while Danny Granger returned from a one-game suspension to score 16 in defeat.

"They have too many weapons for us," Pacers head coach Jim O'Brien said of the Celtics. "They played well. They shot the basketball well. We could never get our break gone because they shot over 60 percent of the first half. So, I think that was the difference in the game."

 

[Lumi]

NBA Matchup - Indiana at Milwaukee

Indiana Pacers (21-44) at Milwaukee Bucks (35-29), 1 p.m.
2009-10 Head-to-head record Milwaukee 3-0
2008-09 Head-to-head record Tied 2-2
2007-08 Head-to-head record Indiana 3-1
2006-07 Head-to-head record Indiana 4-0
2005-06 Head-to-head record Tied 2-2
2004-05 Head-to-head record Tied 2-2
2003-04 Head-to-head record Milwaukee 3-1
2002-03 Head-to-head record Indiana 3-1
Overall Head-to-head record Milwaukee 86-69
Home Record: Indiana 14-16; Milwaukee 22-9
Away Record: Indiana 7-28; Milwaukee 13-20
Current Streak: Indiana (L1); Milwaukee (W5)
Record vs. Central Division: Indiana 3-8; Milwaukee 8-5
Record vs. Eastern Conference: Indiana 16-23; Milwaukee 25-15
2009-2010 Meetings
12/21 - Milwaukee, 84-81 (at Ind)
02/06 - Milwaukee, 93-81 (at Mil)
02/25 - Milwaukee, 112-110 (at Ind)
2008-2009 Meetings
12/13 - Milwaukee, 121-103 (at Mil)
01/28 - Indiana, 107-99 (at Ind)
02/11 - Milwaukee, 122-110 (at Mil)
04/15 - Indiana, 115-108 (at Ind)
2007-2008 Meetings
01/24 - Milwaukee, 104-92 (at Mil)
03/02 - Indiana, 128-106 (at Ind)
04/04 - Indiana, 105-101 (at Mil)
04/06 - Indiana, 105-97 (at Ind)
2006-2007 Meetings
11/18 - Indiana, 102-100 (at Mil)
11/21 - Indiana, 93-88 (at Ind)
02/21 - Indiana, 136-129 2ot (at Ind)
04/11 - Indiana, 104-98 (at Mil)
2005-2006 Meetings
11/12 - Milwaukee, 103-102 (at Mil)
01/11 - Indiana, 112-88 (at Ind)
02/15 - Indiana, 88-77 (at Ind)
04/01 - Milwaukee, 96-89 (at Mil)
2004-2005 Meetings
12/07 - Milwaukee, 89-86 (at Ind)
12/10 - Milwaukee, 95-86 (at Mil)
01/04 - Indiana, 116-99 (at Ind)
03/28 - Indiana, 90-76 (at Mil)
2003-2004 Meetings
10/31 - Milwaukee, 93-79 (at Ind)
12/26 - Milwaukee, 101-96 (at Mil)
03/30 - Milwaukee, 95-86 (at Mil)
03/31 - Indiana, 111-78 (at Ind)
2002-2003 Meetings
11/15 - Indiana, 103-100 ot (at Ind)
12/11 - Indiana, 126-119 ot (at Mil)
02/28 - Indiana, 107-98 (at Ind)
04/13 - Milwaukee, 107-98 (at Mil)
Game Notes
Note - Milwaukee has won three straight meetings.
Note - Milwaukee has won four of five and five of the last seven meetings.
Note - These two teams have split the last 10 meetings.
Note - Indiana has won nine of the last 15 meetings.
Note - Indiana has won 11 of 18 and 13 of the last 21 meetings.
Note - Indiana has won 14 of the last 24 meetings.
Note - These two teams have split the last 28 meetings.
Note - Indiana has won 18 of the last 32 meetings.
Note - Indiana has lost three straight and four of its last five at Milwaukee.
Note - Indiana has lost six of its last nine at Milwaukee.
Note - Indiana has lost 10 of 14 and 14 of its last 19 at Milwaukee.
Note - Milwaukee has won two straight after losing its last nine at Indiana.
Note - Milwaukee has lost 10 of 13 and 13 of its last 17 at Indiana.
Note - Milwaukee has lost 15 of its last 20 at Indiana.
Indiana last five games Milwaukee last five games
03/03 - L at Portland, 79-102 03/03 - W vs. Washington, 100-87
03/05 - L at Denver, 114-122 03/05 - W at Washington, 102-74
03/06 - L at Phoenix, 105-113 03/06 - W vs. Cleveland, 92-85
03/09 - W vs. Philadelphia, 107-96 03/09 - W vs. Boston, 86-84
03/12 - L at Boston, 103-122 03/12 - W vs. Utah, 95-87


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Lumi]

Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1996
MILWAUKEE is 34-25 against the spread versus INDIANA since 1996
INDIANA is 37-25 straight up against MILWAUKEE since 1996
31 of 59 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 7-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-5 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons





All games played at MILWAUKEE since 1996
MILWAUKEE is 19-10 against the spread versus INDIANA since 1996
MILWAUKEE is 17-12 straight up against INDIANA since 1996
15 of 28 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games played at MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 4-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 4-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Lumi]

INDIANA
[C] 12/22/2009 - Jeff Foster out for season ( Back )
[F] 01/27/2010 - Tyler Hansbrough out indefinitely ( Ear )
[G] 03/13/2010 - T.J. Ford is downgraded to doubtful Sunday vs. Milwaukee ( Groin )
[F] 03/13/2010 - Danny Granger injured last game, probable Sunday vs. Milwaukee ( Knee )
MILWAUKEE
[G] 01/11/2010 - Michael Redd out for season ( Knee )

 

[BillyBatts]

Thanks

Thanks

Thanks for the info sir:toast:

I agree the trends don't look good for the Pacers, but I think the line is inflated due to those trends
Just saying, if the line was 20 and all those trends werre the same, would people still take the Bucks?? Just see some value there and a possible letdown.

Good luck guys:toast:

I posted my college plays in CBB forum

Miss St POD

and Duke.

Like Ohio st too:box2:

 

[Lumi]

I am tailing you on the Pacers

watching racing, cars are sliding around like they are driving on an hockey rink :scared

 

[BillyBatts]

Illuminati

Illuminati

Best of luck to us sir.:00hour

I will keep an eye on the ice rink racing as well:scared


Interesting trend for Boston:director:

The Celtics are 8-0 ATS (7.4 ppg) since January 30, 2009 on the road when they allowed one-hundred-plus points for two straight games.

Road teams have done well recently in this series as well

 

[Lumi]

I'm getting ready to post Boston Vs Clevland now

then off to chow

 

[barts185]

First Play

Pacers +9.5 Regular play

Nice way to start the day - thanks.

 

[canuckfan77]

I agree the trends don't look good for the Pacers, but I think the line is inflated due to those trends
Just saying, if the line was 20 and all those trends werre the same, would people still take the Bucks?? Just see some value there and a possible letdown.

Good call Sir.