NBA THU 11-5-09 early thoughts - value hunting

[pkkingster15]

Thought I'd open up the thread.

Only thing I'm seeing is the under on the Bulls/Cavs game that immediately stuck out. Anyone with thoughts about that or another line?

 

[proguy747]

my first imspression was spurs -1

 

[Joe_Vienna]

No leans tonight!!

but BOLTA:sadwave:
Joe

 

[axp59]

not much to chose from eh? waiting to see if some late movements might open up opportunities.

 

[easterntimezone]

Leans -

Chicago -> + 11
Utah -> + 2

Chicago/Cleveland -> O
San Antonio/Utah -> U

Busy today so will try and provide reasoning as to why later.

 

[jagerfury]

A good spot for rest after reaping WS benefits which were had with way to much juice...:mj06:

 

[jagerfury]

Winning Points

Winning Points

But for those who are choosing to play, here are some of the "experts" opinions;

**PREFERRED
Cleveland* over Chicago by 20
America's softest road team takes the floor against
too much muscle on the host, with its power forward
Tyrus Thomas back home sneezing and wheezing into
a Kleenex Ultra-Soft with flowers on the box. CLEVELAND, 100-80.

 

[BillyBatts]

Leans -

Chicago -> + 11
Utah -> + 2

Chicago/Cleveland -> O
San Antonio/Utah -> U

Busy today so will try and provide reasoning as to why later.

agree with all these. really like jazz tonite. just think they play a good game. undecided on this games total. will check back later

 

[joe_shmoe]

really like jazz tonite. just think they play a good game. undecided on this games total. will check back later

I like the Jazz tonight as well. Another chance to buy low on a team everyone is down on. Probably a ton of people who took them last game and swore them off after they fell apart in that last quarter.

Let's remember, despite all of their problems so far this year, it's pretty much the same team that had a superb home record last year.

 

[CUBBOY69]

HEY GUYS

HEY GUYS

ANYONE KNOW WHY THAT BULLS/CAVS TOTAL JUMPED UP 4 PTS I GOT IT AT 187 ..CHECKED BACK IT WAS ALREADY AT 191 ?????

 

[easterntimezone]

Jazz confirmed - checked across the street and verified that the namesake of the author of "The Prince" is on the other side, usually a positive development - although it's unlikely that he's name-checking said Florentine philosopher and instead Tupac. No matter as the historical figure's manual on clinical conduct is of an advantageous premium when assessing sporting wagers.

He's also on the other side of the Bulls/Cavaliers match-up as well so another point of consideration.

 

[axp59]

coming in late. for entertainment purposes only. :mj07: Leaning...

[702] CLEVELAND -11?-110
[704] UTAH -1-110

 

[MyAddidas]

Jazz confirmed - checked across the street and verified that the namesake of the author of "The Prince" is on the other side, usually a positive development - although it's unlikely that he's name-checking said Florentine philosopher and instead Tupac. No matter as the historical figure's manual on clinical conduct is of an advantageous premium when assessing sporting wagers.
He's also on the other side of the Bulls/Cavaliers match-up as well so another point of consideration.

:142smilie :142smilie

 

[40seven]

I hate to do this

I hate to do this

Love that every one is on the Cav's BUT

Utah 'cus i have a feelin'

It is "More Than A Feeling" Boston Reference intended.

Utah has looked horrible :director: and the Spurs are playing great and are deep!:mj06:

Keep in mind i am a life long Spurs fan! Since the iceman went from Norfolk, Va:nooo: to SA and went to HS David Robinson so admit bias, But come on Utah.

Like last night with the Hornets...they are saying we want to run and score! So you cannot use last years logic with the Unders.

The Jazz as it has been mentioned here every game they Suck:director: and until they prove me wrong i will not bet on them against elite teams.

Spurs or no play, you cannot lose if you do not bet.

 

[- FT -]

coming in late. for entertainment purposes only. :mj07: Leaning...

Taking a stab at me now axp?

 

[axp59]

ANYONE KNOW WHY THAT BULLS/CAVS TOTAL JUMPED UP 4 PTS I GOT IT AT 187 ..CHECKED BACK IT WAS ALREADY AT 191 ?????

cub,

the under has now become very attractive with some meaningful positive value.

just passing that along from a value standpoint.

BOL pal.

 

[axp59]

Taking a stab at me now axp?

no bro, that means action play for me which is 1/20th of my usual 1U. "For my own entertainment".

from your reaction, I'm assuming you use that term often. :shrug:

Not my style...if you find one post of my few thousand here that stabs at anyone, you let me know

 

[canuckfan77]

coming in late. for entertainment purposes only. :mj07: Leaning...

[702] CLEVELAND -11?-110
[704] UTAH -1-110

Have you locked these as action plays Ax?

 

[- FT -]

axp-

If 1/20 of your play = $50, are you typically playing $1k post-thanksgiving?

 

[axp59]

Love that every one is on the Cav's BUT

Utah 'cus i have a feelin'

It is "More Than A Feeling" Boston Reference intended.

Utah has looked horrible :director: and the Spurs are playing great and are deep!:mj06:

Keep in mind i am a life long Spurs fan! Since the iceman went from Norfolk, Va:nooo: to SA and went to HS David Robinson so admit bias, But come on Utah.

Like last night with the Hornets...they are saying we want to run and score! So you cannot use last years logic with the Unders.

The Jazz as it has been mentioned here every game they Suck:director: and until they prove me wrong i will not bet on them against elite teams.

Spurs or no play, you cannot lose if you do not bet.

40, I know you can remain objective. Tell me what it is that the public is reading 'wrong' on SAS. The action coming in isn't all about thinking UTA is going to win at home, some of it has to be that SAS will lose on the road. If that makes sense. I ran value numbers and capped this statistically. Vlue play on SAS and Stats say they over this game by 4. Yet, I put my money on UTA. Am I losing it? Give me the inside scoop on your hometown team brother.

off topic: I read some reviews on what you sent me. I have one for you I just finished. will pass that along across the street.