Accuscore 7:35 pm est
Accuscore 7:35 pm est
Chi by 8.2 / 188.6
Lak by 10.7 / 203.7
San by 12 / 204.2
Ut by 8.2 / 195.8
Accuscore 7:35 pm est
Chi by 8.2 / 188.6
Lak by 10.7 / 203.7
San by 12 / 204.2
Ut by 8.2 / 195.8
NBA TUE 032409 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)
- Thread starter axp59
- Start date
- Mar 22, 2009
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Game Preview #72 - Detroit Pistons @ Chicago Bulls
by torch on Mar 24, 2009
This is from Blog a bull
After last night's near loss to the Least of the East, it is hard to rustle up any optomism for our game tonight against the Pistons. However we can take solace in tow things: 1) A win is a win, and 2) the Pistons might be more beat up than Boston was a week ago.
Tonight begins Operation Toyota, our quest to pass Detroit and acquire the 7th seed in the playoffs. Hollinger currently has us in the 8th seed in the East, with the same record as Detroit (40-42). We currently sit two games behind them in the standings, having played two more games than they have. More importantly, we play them tonight and again in three weeks. The only tough game we have remaining on our schedule is against Miami this Thursday at home and we only have two road games left. Detroit has a home game against the Lakers on Thursday, while also traveling to both Cleveland and Miami later this season and they have seven games away from Auburn Hills remaining. If we take care of business tonight and on April 13th, we will be percentage points ahead of Detroit in the standings while holding the head-to-head tie breaker. From there, we only need to win one more game than they do over our remaining schedule. As far fetched as it may seem, this is reasonably within our reach
On to tonight's game: According to the Detroit Free Press, Rasheed Wallace and Allen Iverson are out for tonight, with Rip Hamilton being very doubtful. Besides the depth issues this poses Detroit, it also benefits us on the defensive end, as our guards won't have to chase Rip around and our bigs can stay closer to the paint, not having to guard Sheed at the time line. This makes tonight's extremely winnable, especially at home. Accuscore has us as a 3:1 favorite tonight. Let's prove the computers right!
:0corn
by torch on Mar 24, 2009
This is from Blog a bull
After last night's near loss to the Least of the East, it is hard to rustle up any optomism for our game tonight against the Pistons. However we can take solace in tow things: 1) A win is a win, and 2) the Pistons might be more beat up than Boston was a week ago.
Tonight begins Operation Toyota, our quest to pass Detroit and acquire the 7th seed in the playoffs. Hollinger currently has us in the 8th seed in the East, with the same record as Detroit (40-42). We currently sit two games behind them in the standings, having played two more games than they have. More importantly, we play them tonight and again in three weeks. The only tough game we have remaining on our schedule is against Miami this Thursday at home and we only have two road games left. Detroit has a home game against the Lakers on Thursday, while also traveling to both Cleveland and Miami later this season and they have seven games away from Auburn Hills remaining. If we take care of business tonight and on April 13th, we will be percentage points ahead of Detroit in the standings while holding the head-to-head tie breaker. From there, we only need to win one more game than they do over our remaining schedule. As far fetched as it may seem, this is reasonably within our reach
On to tonight's game: According to the Detroit Free Press, Rasheed Wallace and Allen Iverson are out for tonight, with Rip Hamilton being very doubtful. Besides the depth issues this poses Detroit, it also benefits us on the defensive end, as our guards won't have to chase Rip around and our bigs can stay closer to the paint, not having to guard Sheed at the time line. This makes tonight's extremely winnable, especially at home. Accuscore has us as a 3:1 favorite tonight. Let's prove the computers right!
:0corn
- Mar 21, 2009
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Rockets @Jazz
With lines telling us the presumed difference in strenght between 2 teams, I ran Jazz as -5 to -6 homefav and Rockets as 5 to 6 away dog. As expected it's few selected opponent along side that years dark horse...since 2000
Jazz laying -5 vs: LALx4 HOUx3 CLE ORL POR NOR PHI PHO SAS.... 3-11-0 o/u
Jazz laying -5 to -5.5 avg 5.2 vs: same teams + DEN TOR SEA GSW....6-21 o/u
Jazz laying -5 to -6 avg -5.5 vs: same teams + CHI...14-28 o/u (with 2+ days rest 1-7 o/u avg line 192, avg score 182.6)...since 2006 5-10 o/u...on 2+ days rest 0-3
Rockets as away dog of 5 vs: NOR LAL DAL UTA CBC MIA SAS and so on: 7-16 o/u
Rockets as away dog 5 to 5.5 avg 5.2 vs: same teams 12-22 o/u
Rockets as 5 to 6 dog avg 5.5 vs: same teams 24-30 o/u avs total 186, avg score 186 (back to 2006 to find a total bigger than 191), with 1+ day rest 17-21 o/u...since 2006 3-5 o/u...on min day rest 1-3 o/u
That's saying that through 7-8 years these teams have been playing hard and defensivley vs each other which reflected over lines. Since 2006 is to see if there were any changes in personell and such...go back to 2005 for Rockets and overs jump up...
With lines telling us the presumed difference in strenght between 2 teams, I ran Jazz as -5 to -6 homefav and Rockets as 5 to 6 away dog. As expected it's few selected opponent along side that years dark horse...since 2000
Jazz laying -5 vs: LALx4 HOUx3 CLE ORL POR NOR PHI PHO SAS.... 3-11-0 o/u
Jazz laying -5 to -5.5 avg 5.2 vs: same teams + DEN TOR SEA GSW....6-21 o/u
Jazz laying -5 to -6 avg -5.5 vs: same teams + CHI...14-28 o/u (with 2+ days rest 1-7 o/u avg line 192, avg score 182.6)...since 2006 5-10 o/u...on 2+ days rest 0-3
Rockets as away dog of 5 vs: NOR LAL DAL UTA CBC MIA SAS and so on: 7-16 o/u
Rockets as away dog 5 to 5.5 avg 5.2 vs: same teams 12-22 o/u
Rockets as 5 to 6 dog avg 5.5 vs: same teams 24-30 o/u avs total 186, avg score 186 (back to 2006 to find a total bigger than 191), with 1+ day rest 17-21 o/u...since 2006 3-5 o/u...on min day rest 1-3 o/u
That's saying that through 7-8 years these teams have been playing hard and defensivley vs each other which reflected over lines. Since 2006 is to see if there were any changes in personell and such...go back to 2005 for Rockets and overs jump up...
- Mar 21, 2009
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This means that teams ranging -5 to -5.5 ar similar strenght as o/u went 3-11 and 3-10 for 6-21.
Adding -6 teams is a shift in strength and that teams has 8-7 o/u (it checks out).
So given that linemakers know what they are talking about, we should know the relative strength between the teams for that particular year when we see the line.
As line for the game opened at -5, these teams fall into a combined 10-27 o/u situation (72.9%).
I think I'm gonna test me that one.
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- Mar 21, 2009
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My cover is blown...:mj07: When I'm not filming my show, I'm capping NBA.
It's hard to. I rarely take 'em all out at the same time. I have to make a couple of trips. What else do I have to do right? It's not a bad gig man. :mj23: :mj23: :mj23: :mj23: :mj23:
Sorry I caught this late bro gotta stay in shape ya know. probably better off...under looking good right now. Don't want to jinx ya if you played this. :00x31
Thank goodness these are only 1/20U plays...geez. I'll be :drinky: if I only end up paying the juice tonight. I see a good one tomorrow though!
- Mar 18, 2009
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