Well the good news is Monday's games are done and behind us. I lost two full units for the second time in a week. Limited action from me today, but will post more later for now I need to get in shapekurby
NBA TUES 02022010-Early Thoughts and Value Hunting
- Thread starter 40seven
- Start date
Early Leans:
Mil/Orl Under 195
Toronto -1
Bulls -7.5
Atl/OKC Over 192.5
College:
TOP Play: Northeastern -9
Med Plays: Mich St +2, KState -3, Syracuse U169
Not sure If I'll pair it down or not yet, still looking into some factors and watching line movements, I'd feel better about the bulls at -7 considering # of days rest they have had and they are 3-0 ATS on 3+ days of rest this year + revenge angle and Clips on extended road trip. Toronto has been playing well as of late, looking for them to keep the push going. Orlando return to defense tonight. ATL/OKC I see granpa on other side of me on that one, would love to hear feedback on that one.
Mich State = size advantage/rebounding advantage and they play strong on the road.
KState = one of the better bounceback teams, too much explosive scoring for half court Nebraska.
Syracuse Under = I see a 160 game, but 170?? That's getting ridiculous, all it takes is for Providence to have a semi hard time knocking down outside shots against Syracuse's Zone.
Northeastern = Conference motivated to keep pace with GMason 1 game back, last time these two met, NE went 0-10 from 3pt land and won by 4. Telling stat was they went 17-20 from FT line.
Mil/Orl Under 195
Toronto -1
Bulls -7.5
Atl/OKC Over 192.5
College:
TOP Play: Northeastern -9
Med Plays: Mich St +2, KState -3, Syracuse U169
Not sure If I'll pair it down or not yet, still looking into some factors and watching line movements, I'd feel better about the bulls at -7 considering # of days rest they have had and they are 3-0 ATS on 3+ days of rest this year + revenge angle and Clips on extended road trip. Toronto has been playing well as of late, looking for them to keep the push going. Orlando return to defense tonight. ATL/OKC I see granpa on other side of me on that one, would love to hear feedback on that one.
Mich State = size advantage/rebounding advantage and they play strong on the road.
KState = one of the better bounceback teams, too much explosive scoring for half court Nebraska.
Syracuse Under = I see a 160 game, but 170?? That's getting ridiculous, all it takes is for Providence to have a semi hard time knocking down outside shots against Syracuse's Zone.
Northeastern = Conference motivated to keep pace with GMason 1 game back, last time these two met, NE went 0-10 from 3pt land and won by 4. Telling stat was they went 17-20 from FT line.
Saw this on ESPN Preview, can someone run the ATS # on this factoid?
"Teams that have just completed a road trip of five games or longer are a staggering 14-3 in their first home game, and Chicago's already done so once -- beating Detroit on Dec. 2 after its six-game "circus" trip."
"Teams that have just completed a road trip of five games or longer are a staggering 14-3 in their first home game, and Chicago's already done so once -- beating Detroit on Dec. 2 after its six-game "circus" trip."
NBA Betting Nuggets
Play on road underdogs of 10 or more points like Milwaukee, after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten outings. (35-10 ATS L14Y)
The Indiana Pacers are 11-0 UNDER after three straight losses by 10 points or more since 1996.
Play on road underdogs of 10 or more points like Milwaukee, after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten outings. (35-10 ATS L14Y)
The Indiana Pacers are 11-0 UNDER after three straight losses by 10 points or more since 1996.
early leans
early leans
Hey fellas how's everyone? Good I hope. Good luck today on all your plays.
Here are my early leans:
memphis@cle mem +11
detroit@nj det-2.5
P.S. Guys I know this is a basketball thread but a little info on nhl. I am from Montreal and a devoted fan. I know this team inside out. They are in deep trouble right now. All the way from the front office to the maintenance staff. Unless a miracle happens, they should lose the majority of their remaining games and it starts tonight against Vancouver followed by Boston on Thursday. You also might want to take a look at the Toronto Mapleleafs who got rid of half their team in the last two days for some questionable players. They too will not win many. Just wanted to pass on some info. Also wanted to add that tonight the canucks goalie Luongo is originally from Montreal and their coach was the Habs x- coach, so they surely will want to win this one. Canucks are also red hot as of late. One more thing, the failure of the Habs makes the media in this city absolutely crazy and just adds fuel to the fire.
nhl van-50
early leans
Hey fellas how's everyone? Good I hope. Good luck today on all your plays.
Here are my early leans:
memphis@cle mem +11
detroit@nj det-2.5
P.S. Guys I know this is a basketball thread but a little info on nhl. I am from Montreal and a devoted fan. I know this team inside out. They are in deep trouble right now. All the way from the front office to the maintenance staff. Unless a miracle happens, they should lose the majority of their remaining games and it starts tonight against Vancouver followed by Boston on Thursday. You also might want to take a look at the Toronto Mapleleafs who got rid of half their team in the last two days for some questionable players. They too will not win many. Just wanted to pass on some info. Also wanted to add that tonight the canucks goalie Luongo is originally from Montreal and their coach was the Habs x- coach, so they surely will want to win this one. Canucks are also red hot as of late. One more thing, the failure of the Habs makes the media in this city absolutely crazy and just adds fuel to the fire.
nhl van-50
Leans
Leans
2-2 last night losing my POD as the Suns over couldn't quite get there.
Updated record as of 1/20
24-12 W/L
7-3 POD's
Now I know why that Blazers total was set so low, as the Bobs had absolutely no energy left form that long west coast trip.
Oh well, get it back and then some today
Early Leans
Pacers -1 and Under
Bulls -7.5
THUNDER -1.5 :00hour
GSW-Hou over
Be back in a bit after some research.
P.S - System play totals went 1-3 for the 2nd night in a row, shouldve been 2-2 if not for the under OT moose in Denver, so it may be back to the drawing board on those, we will see after tonight. kurby
Leans
2-2 last night losing my POD as the Suns over couldn't quite get there.
Updated record as of 1/20
24-12 W/L
7-3 POD's
Now I know why that Blazers total was set so low, as the Bobs had absolutely no energy left form that long west coast trip.
Oh well, get it back and then some today
Early Leans
Pacers -1 and Under
Bulls -7.5
THUNDER -1.5 :00hour
GSW-Hou over
Be back in a bit after some research.
P.S - System play totals went 1-3 for the 2nd night in a row, shouldve been 2-2 if not for the under OT moose in Denver, so it may be back to the drawing board on those, we will see after tonight. kurby
- Mar 18, 2009
- 418
- 1
- 0
I think Pitt Viper is against your Thunder tonight...not crossing his line of fire right now.
nets +2.5 is about as solid as they come tonight boys(yes i realize this team has won 4 games all year):mj07:
Actually
Actually
It was kind of a joke about the Thunder, I haven't really even looked into it. As far as PV, I've said it before I hope he keeps hitting about 80%, but he has to come back down to earth eventually doesn't he?? :shrug:
Actually
It was kind of a joke about the Thunder, I haven't really even looked into it. As far as PV, I've said it before I hope he keeps hitting about 80%, but he has to come back down to earth eventually doesn't he?? :shrug:
- Mar 18, 2009
- 418
- 1
- 0
I think play tonight is Cleveland -10. Memphis coming off big upset last night and now travel to Cleveland. Cleveland winner of 8 straight and 4 straight covers. Plus add the revenge angle here (Memphis beat Clev in OT in December), add extra days rest for Clev and add Memphis has 3 guys in the top 15 in minutes played = tired team after big upset win.
I knid of agree
I knid of agree
I like it as well, just trying to figure out if 10 is TOO many. That seems like A LOT. :shrug:
Grizzlies are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.
Also, Indy and Toronto are playing each other for the 3rd time in 3 weeks, and the 4th time in 9 weeks. Any over under trends on teams that should know each other pretty well from playing so much? Thanks in advance:toast:
I knid of agree
I like it as well, just trying to figure out if 10 is TOO many. That seems like A LOT. :shrug:
Grizzlies are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.
Also, Indy and Toronto are playing each other for the 3rd time in 3 weeks, and the 4th time in 9 weeks. Any over under trends on teams that should know each other pretty well from playing so much? Thanks in advance:toast:
Plays
Plays
1st play of the day before it drops.
Locked in :director:
Orlando-Milw UNDER 194.5
5th game in 8 days, and a 2nd road game on a b2b for the Bucks, similar to the Bobs last night. These trends help my decision also.
Under is 10-1 in Magic last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 9-2 in Magic last 11 games as a favorite.
Under is 7-2 in Magic last 9 overall.
Under is 6-2 in Bucks last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Plays
1st play of the day before it drops.
Locked in :director:
Orlando-Milw UNDER 194.5
5th game in 8 days, and a 2nd road game on a b2b for the Bucks, similar to the Bobs last night. These trends help my decision also.
Under is 10-1 in Magic last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 9-2 in Magic last 11 games as a favorite.
Under is 7-2 in Magic last 9 overall.
Under is 6-2 in Bucks last 8 games following a S.U. win.
cle too many points to cover
cle too many points to cover
Guys I think that it is too many points to cover. I understand that it's a b2b coming off a big game, but teams can build and take flight in these situations, not to mention that Cle maybe without some key players. Just too many points to cover.
cle too many points to cover
Guys I think that it is too many points to cover. I understand that it's a b2b coming off a big game, but teams can build and take flight in these situations, not to mention that Cle maybe without some key players. Just too many points to cover.
Good luck
Good luck
Glad to hear you're on it as well Slicer. :toast:
Do you have a final card?
Also for you guys that play College games, doesn't 11 seem like a lot of points for Kentucky to be giving Ole Miss??
Love the Northeastern play slicer, been on those guys a few times and probably again tonight. :box2:
Good luck
Glad to hear you're on it as well Slicer. :toast:
Do you have a final card?
Also for you guys that play College games, doesn't 11 seem like a lot of points for Kentucky to be giving Ole Miss??
Love the Northeastern play slicer, been on those guys a few times and probably again tonight. :box2:
Playing Card like this:
Mil/Orl U195 Full unit
Action: Chi -7.5, Atl/OKC O 192.5, Toronto -1
College: NE -9 1/2 unit, Syracuse Under 169 1/2 unit
Action: Mich St +2, KState -3
As for KY, yes it seems to be alot but not testing KY @ home, just seems like the right time for a blazing game from there, Ole Miss is tough but this could be tight coming down the stretch, not much wiggle room in my opinion.
Mil/Orl U195 Full unit
Action: Chi -7.5, Atl/OKC O 192.5, Toronto -1
College: NE -9 1/2 unit, Syracuse Under 169 1/2 unit
Action: Mich St +2, KState -3
As for KY, yes it seems to be alot but not testing KY @ home, just seems like the right time for a blazing game from there, Ole Miss is tough but this could be tight coming down the stretch, not much wiggle room in my opinion.
