NBA TUES 02022010-Early Thoughts and Value Hunting

[Ools]

I like it as well, just trying to figure out if 10 is TOO many. That seems like A LOT. :shrug:
Grizzlies are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.



Also, Indy and Toronto are playing each other for the 3rd time in 3 weeks, and the 4th time in 9 weeks. Any over under trends on teams that should know each other pretty well from playing so much? Thanks in advance:toast:

I think i'm off of this one:
Grizzlies are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Grizzlies are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog.
Grizzlies are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games following a S.U. win.
Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.

 

[dr.sinister]

Locking in

Locking in

mem +11
mil@orl under tailing Billy and Slicer :mj06:
nhl vancouver -150 :moon: going against my habs

 

[40seven]

my 2 cents

my 2 cents

I have been looking into those two play.

OM has not done well in this situation Home game 1 after road trips 4-6 ATS with 4 losses. They did not look good playing the Pi"stones" Sunday, a nice Under winner.

The Bucks are a Covering Machines B2B.

Next The Griz have not won a single time B2B, and are 3-6 ATS. Clev is 5-3 ATS.

The kicker is both games 10 points. The griz are 0-2 ats in B2B 9+ games but that is still too many for me to give I am afraid

 

[BillyBatts]

Trend

Trend

Saw this on ESPN Preview, can someone run the ATS # on this factoid?

"Teams that have just completed a road trip of five games or longer are a staggering 14-3 in their first home game, and Chicago's already done so once -- beating Detroit on Dec. 2 after its six-game "circus" trip."

Bulls are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days:scared

 

[BillyBatts]

Head scratcher

Head scratcher

I think i'm off of this one:
Grizzlies are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Grizzlies are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog.
Grizzlies are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games following a S.U. win.
Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.

Memphis game is a no play for me, BUT.....
Cleveland is 0-5 as a fave from 9-10.5 pts
When it goes to 11-13.5 the Cavs are 6-3

Memphis is 1-5 as a DOG from 9-10.5 and 1-0 whe it goes to 11.


If I was forced to bet this game, I'd go with Memphis due to thier decent play on a b2b.

 

[granpa]

Final Card

Final Card

NBA
Ind/Tor U 218
Milw/Orl U 194

NHL
Cbs/Col U 5.5

NCAA
Miss/Kenty O 151.5
Cuse/Prov U 168

GLTA - Granpa

 

[40seven]

Thought of the day

Thought of the day

If I do not actually bet I cannot lose.

Last night I shit my pants as bad as the Wiz did, My luck sucked so bad the Nuggets OT seemed fitting and the two plays I left out WON.

Two plays tonight the Nets +3

The GSW "Dubs" +7

No more totals, no more big Fav's...

 

[JBrilman]

Bulls are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days:scared

I wonder how many of those they had 3 days off before a game. A lot of times its 1 or 2 and players have to come home and deal with the household along with juggling rest, healing, film and prep for next game, but 3 days is a nice cushion before a game and Noah and Gibson should feel better than they did when they tore up that road trip.

Its also a big revenge game for the Bulls mini let down on that trip.

 

[barts185]

Saw this on ESPN Preview, can someone run the ATS # on this factoid?

"Teams that have just completed a road trip of five games or longer are a staggering 14-3 in their first home game, and Chicago's already done so once -- beating Detroit on Dec. 2 after its six-game "circus" trip."

14-3 SU, only 8-9 ATS


p:A and pp:A and ppp:A and pppp:A and ppppp:A and H and season=2009

SU: 14-3 (7.6)
ATS: 8-9-0 (4.8) avg line: -2.9
O/U: 5-12-0 (-7.6) avg total: 202.5

 

[Joe_Vienna]

Final card

Pacers @ Raptors U218.5 (POD)
Bucks @ Magic O194 :box2:

BOLTA :toast:
Joe

 

[Lumi]

Bulls are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days:scared

One more thought on the bulls,

or the Clips.... The Clips are ending a Roadie

just as the Lakers had and we saw the Lakers

half ass it for 48 last night. Thsi could be a return

of the Clip show of 3 or 4 years ago, a big "Fuck

this, we're going home soon" Bullys by double

digits? :shrug:

 

[Ools]

14-3 SU, only 8-9 ATS


p:A and pp:A and ppp:A and pppp:A and ppppp:A and H and season=2009

SU: 14-3 (7.6)
ATS: 8-9-0 (4.8) avg line: -2.9
O/U: 5-12-0 (-7.6) avg total: 202.5

Who is in this situation tonight? or is it Lakers look-ahead?

 

[JBrilman]

One more thought on the bulls,

or the Clips.... The Clips are ending a Roadie

just as the Lakers had and we saw the Lakers

half ass it for 48 last night. Thsi could be a return

of the Clip show of 3 or 4 years ago, a big "Fuck

this, we're going home soon" Bullys by double

digits? :shrug:

I think the Clips had there run for this season. I think they will get up for some home games but it is a apparent atleast to me that they have said FUCK IT. No Kaman tonight and he was a big part of there early success.

I am banking on Clips throwing in the towel in the 3rd quarter.

 

[BillyBatts]

Final Card

Final Card

Final card for tonight, and totals I capped. TREAD LIGHTLY ON TOTALS, 1-3 LAST 2 NIGHTS:scared


My number in BOLD
Mem-Cle 194 199 System play under at 199 or above

Tor-Ind 203 218.5 System Play under

Mil-Orl 191 194 Lean under

Det-NJ 174 183.5 System play under

Lac- Chi 193 197 Lean under

Atl-Okc 189 192.5 Lean under

GSW-Hou 217 218.5 No lean


Final Card :director:

Magic-Bucks Under 194.5 POD

Raps-Pacers Under 218.5
Bulls Under 197.5

Had heavy leans toward Thunder but these trends scared me :
Hawks are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
Hawks are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
Hawks are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. loss.

Plus the fact that PV is on the Hawks

Also like the Clippers plus the points, and The Warriors, but that line for Houston stinks to high hell

Ole Miss will be my POD in College followed a close 2nd by NWestern and Northeastern.

BOL as always fellas, let's kill the books tonight. :firing:

 

[BillyBatts]

Final card

Pacers @ Raptors U218.5 (POD)
Bucks @ Magic O194 :box2:

BOLTA :toast:
Joe

:chairshot




:joke: BOL buddy.

 

[barts185]

Who is in this situation tonight? or is it Lakers look-ahead?

Chicago. They asked for a road trip of 5 or more games, which is what I ran. Chicago is actually coming home from a 7 game road trip. This is the first one of those this season.

 

[BillyBatts]

Interseting stat

Interseting stat

The game AFTER Bulls game goes over, the UNDER is 11-3

They went over last game and Clips are tired. Hmmmmm:shrug:

 

[JBrilman]

The game AFTER Bulls game goes over, the UNDER is 11-3

They went over last game and Clips are tired. Hmmmmm:shrug:

Only thing scary about this play is a rested fast paced bulls team can put up 115 on these road weary Kamanless Clippers...

 

[softballmaniac]

Final card

Pacers @ Raptors U218.5 (POD)
Bucks @ Magic O194 :box2:

BOLTA :toast:
Joe

Off topic:
Hey Joe, by judging your avatar, looks like you are a fan of Lost. Huge fan here! Final season starts tonight. Looking forward to it. Sorry guys, been wanting to say something to Joe since i saw that avatar. :142smilie BOLTA

 

[barts185]

The game AFTER Bulls game goes over, the UNDER is 11-3

They went over last game and Clips are tired. Hmmmmm:shrug:

That would mean that only 14 Bulls games have gone over this season. I get


team=Bulls and season=2009

O/U: 18-26-1 (-2.1) avg total: 195.6

I get ou 4-13-1 after an over game or push

team=Bulls and pu margin>=0 and season=2009

O/U: 4-13-1 (-7.3) avg total: 198.9