NBA WED 032509 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)

axp59

Jarhead
Forum Member
Oct 8, 2008
3,012
0
0
Taxachusetts
you think that suns line will come down any?

I'm hoping since I missed the boat yesterday but at least the hook is off the 3 which is HUGE for me. There's conflicting opinions on the magic number in the NBA but I think there's no other number but 3. 3 represents that single possession. If I were ever (and I won't) to buy up or down...it would only be on this number.

I'm not sure if I could take a chance of the hook coming back and putting me back in the 2 possession territory.
 

axp59

Jarhead
Forum Member
Oct 8, 2008
3,012
0
0
Taxachusetts
Ax so you just saw NBAFan post at the old place.

He is usually reliable at pulling great info.

What do you think?

Man, it's going to come down to minutes. Coaches start scrubs to make a point but if the the minutes still even out and the starters get theirs, what's the real difference? The play it looks like is PHI in 1Q

for the game...you can't cap for this. This is a big blow to the MIN side play tonight. :sadwave: goodbye value
 

Mindframe913

Registered User
Forum Member
Mar 21, 2009
448
0
0
FADE THE NUMBER 1

March 24 - fade auburn -3...baylor + 3 W (1-0)
march 25 fade notre dame... kentucky +2.5 1/2


nd probably blows them out but here goes.

goodluck on your plays.
 

40seven

Registered User
Forum Member
Mar 18, 2009
818
0
0
Va Beach
FADE THE NUMBER 1

March 24 - fade auburn -3...baylor + 3 W (1-0)
march 25 fade notre dame... kentucky +2.5 1/2


nd probably blows them out but here goes.

goodluck on your plays.

Maybe but....sounds good. ND almost lost to Tulsa and did not Cover so i think it has a good shot.
 

axp59

Jarhead
Forum Member
Oct 8, 2008
3,012
0
0
Taxachusetts
Lines go from 200.5 to 201.5, still go for 1 full unit and not buy back right?

Your call Eagle...I'm was all in hours ago. If you're having doubts, go with your gut.

Imagine filling your tank and it's half full when the pump stops. the guys stopped the pump because the price of gas dropped. He wanted to change the price and give it to you for less. Do you say, I can't finish filling my tank because this is 'cheap' gas now or do you celebrate?

If you like the under at 200 then it's a better bargain at 201.

Yesterday, the DET line was 191 and I liked the over...it dropped to 189 and was asked if I still liked it. seriously...you just gave up another 2 points for an overs play.

I don't mean to be short but I already covered this 3 pages ago.

Go with your gut...and BOL as always
 

40seven

Registered User
Forum Member
Mar 18, 2009
818
0
0
Va Beach
Ax and Co thanks for everything today...

BOLTA and see you in the AM.

Too much thinking i need a drink!
 

burnetto57

Registered User
Forum Member
Mar 18, 2009
295
0
0
burnetto57

burnetto57

Sorry for being off topic but I ran into agame that represents the off number I was referring to. ND kentucky total 144.5 up to 145. Ken 5 straight u and 9-10 under this #. ND 8 straight U and 8-10 under this #. Averages below #. No head to head. Both teams seem to be willing to play fast paced when called on. Anybody got an opinion on this.

Folks I've been following w/ a lot of success both have ND Under 3 out of 3 of them
 

Ools

Registered User
Forum Member
Mar 18, 2009
418
1
0
another tough one .dont really see anything i like other than minny +10 philly been on the road a long time ..1st game back home is usally filled with distractions with players seeing family and girlfriends and such..what do you think

Cubby - read post 86 about betting fables
 

barts185

Registered User
Forum Member
Feb 9, 2005
378
0
0
one more that looks good

team=Warriors and p:site=away and n:site=away and n:rest=0 and n:total>=210 and 20061030<=date

Not sure if you were looking at this for the side or total, but I'd be leery about backing GSW. Getting so close last night and falling short had to take something out of them.

Dallas is in the 8th available playoff spot and might use this chance to secure another win. Of course, no reason they have to win by 10 or more.

No strong opinion on the game, but if forced to choose, I'd rather back a team fighting to stay in the playoffs than a team that just fell short of getting it's first ever win against another club and knows that it's going home when the season ends.


(added after edit)
And I now realize that the totals in those games were averaging 211.6, so you were probably talking about that.

Good Luck,
Bart
 
Last edited:

GMan321

Registered User
Forum Member
Mar 20, 2009
25
0
0
MA
if min's bench is playing, then the safe play is phi up by 5+ after 1st quarter and 10+ after 1H.

any thoughts?
 

Griffin8s

Devil Dog
Forum Member
Mar 18, 2009
340
0
0
Ohio
Sorry I don't have time tio read everything just heard something on Cavs game warm up that may help may not. Cavs going for fanchise year win record tonoight. Make one think they will play big but then again hard to lay 12.5 points. Maybe help the over crowd though. Just throwing it out there for everyone. GL to you guys.

I been sick all day so I'm taking the day off. Tried to do some capping early and can't focus so f- it:sadwave:
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top