NCAA MEN'S BASKETBALL NOTES, NEWS OPINIONS AND BEST BETS THRU MARCH MADNESS !

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IOWA is 92-138 ATS (-59.8 Units) in road games after playing a game as favorite since 1997.

ALABAMA is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) as a home fav of >=12.5 over the last 2 seasons.

MD-EAST SHORE is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

FURMAN is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing their 2nd game in 3 days in the last 3 seasons.

SAN JOSE ST is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

OREGON ST is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.




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Dunkel

Monday, December 4

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NCAAB

Monday, December 4

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Maryland-Eastern Shore @ East Carolina
Maryland-Eastern Shore
No trends to report
East Carolina
East Carolina is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of East Carolina's last 6 games at home

Iowa @ Purdue
Iowa
Iowa is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Purdue
Iowa is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Purdue
Purdue is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Purdue is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Iowa

Middle Georgia @ Georgia State
Middle Georgia
No trends to report
Georgia State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia State's last 6 games at home
Georgia State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Arkansas State @ Alabama
Arkansas State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas State's last 6 games on the road
Arkansas State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Alabama
Alabama is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games at home
Alabama is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Furman @ Arkansas
Furman
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Furman's last 7 games on the road
Furman is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arkansas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arkansas's last 5 games at home
Arkansas is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home

San Jose State @ North Dakota State
San Jose State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose State's last 5 games on the road
San Jose State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
North Dakota State
North Dakota State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Western New Mexico @ UTEP
Western New Mexico
No trends to report
UTEP
UTEP is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

Cal Poly @ Oregon State
Cal Poly
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cal Poly's last 7 games on the road
Cal Poly is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Oregon State
Oregon State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oregon State's last 8 games at home


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Cnotes53

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MONDAY, DECEMBER 4​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
IOWA at PUR07:00 PMPUR -14.0
U 158.0		+500 +500
ARST at ALA08:00 PMALA -25.0
U 165.0		+500 +500
SJSU at NDSU08:00 PMNDSU -2.5
U 137.5		+500 +500
FUR at ARK08:00 PMARK -11.5
O 158.0		+500 +500
CP at ORST10:00 PMCP +14.0
U 132.0		+500 +500
 
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DECEMBER'S COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS !

12/04/2023................................6 - 2...........................75.00%.............................+ 19.00
12/03/2023..............................18 - 7...........................72.00%.............................+ 51.50
12/02/2023.............................24 - 12..........................66.66%.............................+ 54.00
12/01/2023................................9 - 7..........................56.25%..............................+ 6.50

TOTALS...................................57 - 28..........................67.05%..............................+ 131.00
 
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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Odds to get the #1 pick in this year’s baseball draft:
18.3%- A’s, Royals, Rockies
14.7%- White Sox
8.3%- Cardinals
6.1%- Angels
4.3%- Mets
3.0%- Pirates
The lottery for the draft is Tuesday at 5:30.

Quote of the Day
“I’m not offended at all by dumb blonde jokes, because I know I’m not dumb, and I know I’m not a blonde.”
Dolly Parton

Tuesday’s quiz
LSU won the national title in college football four years ago, with Joe Burrow/Ja’Marr Chase playing; who was LSU’s coach that year?

Monday’s quiz
UNLV lost 36-14 to North Texas in the 2013 Heart of Texas Bowl, the last time the Rebels were in a bowl game.

Sunday’s quiz
Nick Saban coached the Miami Dolphins in 2005-06.

*******************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….​

Bengals 34, Jaguars 31, OT
Backup QB Browning was 32-37/354 passing for his first NFL win.
McPherson kicked a 48-yard FG in overtime for the win.
Chase caught 11 passes for 149 yards and a TD.
Bengals were 8-14 on third down, Jacksonville 6-15.
Jaguars lost QB Lawrence late in game with an ankle injury.
Jaguars scored four touchdowns on their first seven drives.
Jaguars’ last four drives: 27 plays, 111 yards, 3 points.
Under Pederson, Jags are 2-6 ATS as a home favorite.

— There are two Monday night games next week, both at 8:15:
Packers @ Giants, Titans @ Miami

— In their 6-0 loss to the Chargers Sunday, New England’s average starting position on their 10 drives was their own 14-yard line, which is terrible field position.
In all the NFL games since 2000, counting playoff games, this was the worst average starting field position by any team, in any one game.
New England is also the only team since 1938 to give up 10 or fewer points three games in a row, and lose all three games.

— Bears beat Minnesota 12-10 last Monday night; in that game, Justin Fields’ average pass length was 2.7 yards downfield, the shortest by any QB in a game since Tony Romo in 2010.
He threw 12 screen passes; only 19 of his 37 passes were beyond the line of scrimmage.

— In their two post-bye games, Atlanta Falcons haven’t allowed a touchdown on 22 drives; opponents have tried 8 field goals on those 22 drives, but haven’t scored a TD, and Atlanta won both games.

— In their last three games, Denver Broncos are only 8-37 on third down.

— Tennessee Titans lost in overtime Sunday; they’re 4-8, and fired their special teams coach Monday. Titans had a punt blocked for a TD Sunday; their punter also lost a fumble, and hurt his knee trying to recover it- he’s out for the year.
Tennessee also blocked a Colts’ PAT and ran it back for two points, but they lost, and there have to be scapegoats, so the special teams coach was told to take a hike, after six years with the Titans.

— Steelers’ QB Kenny Pickett had ankle surgery Monday, to “accelerate the healing process” on his sprained right ankle, according to Mike Tomlin.
— Word of the Day: Anagram- a word or phrase that is made by switching around the letters of another word or phrase.
For example, “listen” is an anagram for “silent”
“ocean” is an anagram for “canoe”

— Random trend for the upcoming bowl games:
Over the last five years, bowl underdogs who lost their conference championship game have gone 15-9 against the spread in their bowl games.

— Hotel rates for Super Bowl weekend (February 9-12) in Las Vegas:
Aria $1,467/night.
Bellagio $1,600/night.
Cosmopolitan $1,600/night.
Fountainblue $1,567/night.
Venetian $1,199/night.
Yikes.

— Wealthiest owners in pro sports:
$100B- Steve Ballmer, LA Clippers
$67B- Rob Walton, Denver Broncos
$32B- Miriam Adelson, new owner of Dallas Mavericks
$21B- Dan Gilbert, Cleveland Cavaliers
$20B- David Tepper, Carolina Panthers

— In their first 34 years of existence, the Minnesota Timberwolves spent a total of 10 days as the #1-seed in the NBA’s Western Conference. Thats 10 days in 34 years.
This season, Minnesota is 15-4, the #1-seed in the West; they’ve spent more time as the #1 seed in the West this season than they did in their first 34 years of existence.

— 23 years ago, Mark Cuban bought the Dallas Mavericks for $285M; he just sold them for $3.5B, plus he retains control of basketball operations in the deal.
There are some conspiracy theories as to why this happened:
The Adelson family wants to own a casino(s) in Texas, once Texas legalizes gambling.
If that doesn’t happen, Adelsons might move the Mavericks to Las Vegas
Cuban might be thinking of running for President.
We’ll see what happens, but it must be nice to be so freakin’ rich.

— I mentioned a few weeks ago how I was intrigued by Rice QB JT Daniels as a longshot NFL Draft prospect; he’s played at several different colleges, but now word comes out of Houston that Daniels has been advised to medically retire from football because of all the concussions he’s had over the years.
Daniels told ESPN that he plans to get into coaching; he knows a lot of people after a playing career at four different schools over six years. Networking will help him get his first job.

— When Florida State got left out of the college football playoff, it cost the ACC $6M from the money that the playoff generates; 14 teams in the ACC, that’s $428,571 per school.
 
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NCAAB

Tuesday, December 5

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TUESDAY, DECEMBER 5​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CCSU at BC06:00 PMCCSU +16.5+500
DEL at XAV06:30 PMDEL +12.0+500
GMU at TENN06:30 PMGMU +15.5+500
FAU at ILL06:30 PMFAU -2.0+500
QNC at WIN06:30 PMO 158.0+500
PROV at OKLA07:00 PMOKLA -5.0+500
WCU at HP07:00 PMO 151.5+500
DREX at PRIN07:00 PMPRIN -8.5+500
LAF at CLMB07:00 PMCLMB -6.0+500
STET at CHAR07:00 PMSTET +9.0
O 132.5		+500 +500
WIS at MSU07:00 PMMSU -5.0
U 130.5		+500 +500
VILL at KSU07:00 PMKSU +2.5+500
UNCA at KENN07:00 PMKENN -2.0
O 165.0		+500 +500
NCCU at UVA07:00 PMUVA -23.0
U 124.5		+500 +500
BRAD at AKR07:00 PMBRAD +1.5+500
WMU at ND07:00 PMWMU +9.0+500
MOSU at MTU07:30 PMO 132.0+500
LT at SFA07:30 PMSFA -4.0+500
GT at UGA07:30 PMGT +5.0+500
MSM at MISS08:00 PMMSM +16.0+500
INST at NIU08:00 PMNIU +8.0+500
COR at SYR08:00 PMO 165.5+500
WEB at UVU08:00 PMWEB -2.5+500
BUFF at BUT08:30 PMBUFF +25.0+500
UNT at BSU09:00 PMBSU -4.0+500
UNC at CONN09:00 PMCONN -6.0+500
ARPB at GONZ09:00 PMARPB +33.5
O 167.5		+500 +500
HALL at BAY09:00 PMBAY -11.0+500
IND at MICH09:00 PMO 145.0+500
PAC at IDHO09:00 PMIDHO -4.0+500
SUU at UTAH09:00 PMSUU +24.5+500
EVAN at BYU09:00 PMBYU -24.5+500
SDSU at GRC09:00 PMGRC +2.5+500
KENT at SDST09:15 PMKENT +1.5
O 146.5		+500 +500
CLEVST at SMC10:00 PMCLEVST +16.5+500
IDST at FRES10:00 PMFRES -9.0+500
MTST at WASH11:00 PMMTST +18.5
O 146.5		+500 +500
 
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DECEMBER'S COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS !

12/05/2023............................16 -11.......................59.25%...........................+ 19.50
12/04/2023..............................6 - 2........................75.00%..........................+ 19.00
12/03/2023............................18 - 7........................72.00%...........................+ 51.50
12/02/2023............................24 - 12.......................66.66%...........................+ 54.00
12/01/2023..............................9 - 7........................56.25%.............................+ 6.50

TOTALS..................................73 - 39.......................65.17%............................+ 150.50
 
Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Top six picks in the 2024 baseball draft:
1- Guardians
2- Royals
3- Rockies
4- A’s
5- White Sox
6- Angels

Quote of the Day
“There’s not enough basketballs on the planet for this team.”
PJ Tucker of the 9-10 Los Angeles Clippers

Wednesday’s quiz
In the famous movie Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid, with Paul Newman/Robert Redford, what South American country are the two outlaws in when the movie ends?

Tuesday’s quiz
LSU won the national title in college football four years ago, with Joe Burrow/Ja’Marr Chase playing; Ed Orgeron was LSU’s coach that year.

Monday’s quiz
UNLV lost 36-14 to North Texas in the 2013 Heart of Texas Bowl, the last time the Rebels were in a bowl game.

********************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— USC QB Caleb Williams isn’t going to play in the Trojans’ Holiday Bowl game, coach Lincoln Riley announced Monday; Williams threw for 3,633 yards and 30 TD’s in USC’s 7-5 regular season, when they lost five of their last six games.

This raises an interesting question; the QB is the heart of the team right, the most important player? What does it say about a quarterback when he skips out on the team’s last game of the year to protect his own self-interest?

If you’re an NFL general manager, does this change how you evaluate Williams? I’m serious about this, if a QB jumps ship on his team, what does it say about him, if anything?

Guess I’m old fashioned, but he’d have some explaining to do before my team drafted Williams to be the QB of our future.

— Kansas State 72, Villanova 71, OT
K-State won its last four games, the last three in overtime.
Villanova lost its last three games; they’re 6-4.
In his head coaching career, K-State coach Tang is 9-0 in OT games.

— Southern Illinois 70, Oklahoma State 68
Salukis’ G Johnson scored 32 points, had five assists.
Oklahoma State is 1-5 vs teams ranked in top 200.
Salukis are 6-2, shooting 39.8% on the arc (#17).

— Delaware 87, Xavier 80
Xavier is 4-5, losing last three games, by 2-6-7 points.
Musketeers led by 10 points in first half.
Delaware came into the game on a 3-game losing skid.

— Illinois 98, Florida Atlantic 89
Illinois scored 1.31 ppp; they shot 75.7% inside the arc.
FAU is off to a 7-2 start, against schedule #38.
Right now, Illinois has the #2 eFG% defense in country.

— UConn 87, North Carolina 76
Huskies scored 1.23 ppg, shooting 68.6% inside arc.
UConn is grabbing 39.3% of its missed shots (#9 in country).
Carolina is 3-2 vs top 100 teams; their next game is 11 days from now.

— Grand Canyon 79, San Diego State 73
This is arguably the biggest win in Grand Canyon history.
Antelopes shot 64% inside the arc.
This is why top 50 teams don’t like to play road games before Christmas.

— Wisconsin 70, Michigan State 57

Wisconsin won its late six games, with three top 50 wins.
Spartans are off to a sputtering 4-4 start, 1-4 vs top 100 teams.
MSU is shooting 27.5% on arc (#325), 67.1% on foul line (#278).

— Word of the Day: Camaraderie- mutual trust and friendship among people who spend a lot of time together.

— Red Sox traded OF Alex Verdugo to the Bronx, in exchange for three minor league pitchers. Verdugo will be a free agent next winter; the last two years, his OPS was .732/.745, numbers that should go up with the short right field porch in the Bronx.

— White Sox signed P Erik Fedde to a 2-year, $15M deal, after Fedde was MVP of the Korean League last summer. He was 21-33, 5.41 in 88 major league starts in six years with Washington, going 6-13, 5.81 in 27 starts for the Nationals two years ago.

— There are already 1,184 kids in the college football transfer portal; not all of them are QB’s.

Texas Tech QB Tyler Shough is bolting to Louisville; next year will be his 7th season of college football- he’ll be 25 years old, and has previously played at Oregon, Texas Tech.

— Tim Boyle started at QB for the Jets the last two weeks; they cut him Tuesday, and added QB Brett Rypien, who has already been with the Rams and Seattle this season.

— I don’t give a rat’s ass who wins the Heisman Trophy; it might be the most over-hyped thing in all of sports. I’m not big for individual awards, but this one they start speculating on around Labor Day, which is ludicrous.

— Arizona State G Jose Perez has had an interesting college basketball career; he’s been all over the country, could write an excellent book.

2018-20- Gardner Webb- shot 37% on arc as a freshman, 26% as a sophomore.
2020-21- Marquette- He only played in 10 games; the coaching staff got fired after the year.
2021-22- Manhattan- scored 19.3 ppg for the Jaspers, who fired their coach after the year.

2022-23- Bolted to West Virginia but wasn’t granted eligibility. Not surprisingly, the coach at West Virginia got fired after the season, but it was for non-basketball reasons.
2023-24- Arizona State- is scoring 11.3 ppg this year; Sun Devils are 28-15 since the start of last season, so at least the coach’s job is (probably) safe.
 
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Wednesday, December 6

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