NCAA MEN'S BASKETBALL NOTES, NEWS OPINIONS AND BEST BETS THRU MARCH MADNESS !

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NCAAB

Wednesday, December 13


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Trend Report
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Cnotes53

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WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 13

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NORF at STON06:30 PMNORF +2.0
O 137.5
+500 +500
FIU at FAU07:00 PMFAU -23.5
U 154.5
+500 +500
NORAL at CHSO07:00 PMNORAL -5.0+500
MRSH at TOL07:00 PMTOL -8.0+500
APP at QNC07:00 PMO 149.0+500
MURR at MSST07:30 PMMURR +16.5
O 136.5
+500 +500
UTSA at UALR07:30 PMUALR -6.5+500
ARST at LOU08:00 PMARST +3.5
O 150.0
+500 +500
UNCA at AUB08:00 PMAUB -19.5
U 152.0
+500 +500
ALST at LSU08:00 PMLSU -21.0+500
LONG at MILW08:00 PMLONG -2.5+500
UAB at AAMU08:00 PMUAB -13.0
U 153.0
+500 +500
TNST at LIB08:00 PMLIB -14.5+500
USM at MCNS08:00 PMMCNS -6.0+500
CHS at NW08:00 PMNW -24.5+500
EKY at ULL08:30 PMULL -2.0+500
DEN at BYU09:00 PMDEN +26.5
O 157.0
+500 +500
CREI at UNLV09:00 PMCREI -12.5+500
SEA at SF10:00 PMSF -9.5
O 135.0
+500 +500
WEB at NEV10:00 PMNEV -9.0
U 138.0
+500 +500
USU at SCU10:00 PMSCU +1.5
U 151.0
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
12/13/202319-12-061.29%+2900Detail
12/12/202321-23-047.73%-2150Detail
12/11/202311-7-061.11%+1650Detail
12/10/202322-28-144.12%-4400Detail
12/09/202387-109-644.55%-16450Detail
12/08/20236-10-037.50%-2500Detail
12/07/20237-3-070.00%+1850Detail
12/06/202327-39-040.91%-7950Detail
12/05/202329-15-065.91%+6250Detail
12/04/20237-3-070.00%+1850Detail
12/03/202318-7-072.00%+5150Detail
12/02/202331-26-154.31%+1200Detail
12/01/202325-26-049.02%-1800Detail
 

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DECEMBER'S COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS !

12/13/2023.......................14 - 8.................................63.63%.........................+ 26.00
12/12/2023.......................11 - 15..............................42.30%..........................- 27.50
12/11/2023......................... 9 - 5................................64.28%..........................+ 18.50
12/10/2023.........................14 - 20..............................41.17%..........................- 40.00
12/09/2023.........................49 - 60..............................44.95%..........................- 85.00
12/08/2023..............................6 - 8..............................42.85%...........................- 14.00
12/07/2023..............................6 - 3..............................66.66%..........................+ 13.50
12/06/2023............................23 - 27...........................46.00%...........................-20.00
12/05/2023............................16 -11............................59.25%...........................+ 19.50
12/04/2023................................6 - 2............................75.00%...........................+ 19.00
12/03/2023..............................18 - 7...........................72.00%............................+ 51.50
12/02/2023.............................24 - 12.........................66.66%.............................+ 54.00
12/01/2023.................................9 - 7..........................56.25%..............................+ 6.50

TOTALS..................................205 - 185.........................52.56%............................ + 22.00
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
College hoop teams who have played the easiest schedules so far:
— TCU
— Samford
— Cal-Northridge
— Longwood
— Georgetown
— Presbyterian

Quote of the Day
“When you watch the film, penalties in critical moments, turnovers in critical moments. Yeah, it’s frustrating, but at the same time, we know a lot of it is self-inflicted, and we know that, moving forward, it can be fixed and we have the guys to be able to get it fixed.”
Chiefs’ TE Travis Kelce

Thursday’s quiz
What actress played Mrs Griswold (Chevy Chase’s wife) in the Vacation movies?

Wednesday’s quiz
Since 2006, Chargers have started only 3 quarterbacks; Philip Rivers, Justin Herbert and Tyrod Taylor. Easton Stick becomes the 4th Thursday night.

Tuesday’s quiz
Green Bay Packers won the first two Super Bowls, beating Chiefs/Raiders.

************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

— There was a cool moment Tuesday night that unfortunately didn’t get onto TV until about 1:15am, during the NBA postgame show on TNT.
TNT’s Ernie Johnson was inducted into the Sports Broadcasting Hall of Fame in New York City on Tuesday night; when you listened to the people on TNT talk about him, with a universal reverence from people who aren’t usually that way, it was touching.
Ernie Johnson is so well-loved/respected that Shaquille O’Neal, Kenny Smith and Charles Barkley showed up at the award ceremony unannounced, to surprise their partner on TNT.
All the people working on TNT that night were wearing t-shirts with Ernie’s picture on it; in an era where people can’t agree about anything, it was great to see a person honored who everyone loves/respects.

— In the NFL, “explosive plays” are defined by:
Running plays of 10+ yards
Passing plays of 20+ yards
Teams that have allowed the fewest explosive plays this season:
54- Vikings
57- Dolphins
59- Patriots
60- Bears, 49ers

Teams that have allowed the most explosive plays this season:
96- Bengals
85- Giants
84- Packers
83- Broncos

— There is a fine line between success/failure in the NFL:
Best records in games decided by 8 or fewer points:
Eagles 7-1
Steelers 7-2
Browns, Colts 5-2
Lions, Giants 4-2

Worst records in games decided by 8 or fewer points:
Panthers 1-5
Patriots 3-7
Cardinals 1-4
Bills 3-6

— NFL teams who won the field position battle by 10+ yards are 51-3 this season; the three teams that lost:
Vikings, Week 3 vs Chargers
Giants, Week 5 at Miami
Buccaneers, Week 9 at Houston

— NFL announced that there will be a regular season game in Brazil next season, the NFL’s first game in South America. It is likely that the Miami Dolphins will be one of the teams playing; it is likely the game would be in Week 1 next season.
Dolphins have exclusive Brazilian marketing rights for NFL stuff, which is why it is likely that they’ll be one of the teams playing in the game.

— Giants’ QB Tommy DeVito is making $44,000/game this season; he’ll make $915,000 next year, while the Giants pay injured starting QB Daniel Jones $40M a year. Awkward.

— Coastal Carolina QB Grayson McCall bolted to NC State, after starting for the Chanticleers for the last four seasons.

— Word of the Day: Mercenary- a person primarily concerned with making money at the expense of ethics.

— Shohei Ohtani will make $2M a year for the next ten years, then $68M a year from 2034-43; meanwhile, Mookie Betts also has a ton of deferments in his contract:
2033-37- $8M/year
2038-39- $10M/year
2040-44- $11M/year
In 2043, Betts/Ohtani will bank a combined $79M; Betts will be 50 years old, Ohtani 48.

— Do the agents for these players have their fees deferred too? If Ohtani’s agent is banking 3%, which is normal, his take is $21M, but he’ll only see $600,000 of it in the next ten years.

— Ohtani doesn’t have an opt out, by the way, unless president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman or controlling owner Mark Walter loses his role with the Dodgers. Then he would.

— MLB Network needs to show more baseball games during the off-season; what else is there? Promote your sport; show Ohtani, show Trout, show some Japanese games with this Yamamoto guy pitching. Stop with the goofy talk shows, unless they’re talking about free agent signings or trades- anything else is a waste of time.

— UNLV 79, Creighton 64
Bluejays shot 8-29 on the arc; they were shooting 40.3% coming into the game.
Keylan Boone scored 10 points off the bench in his UNLV debut; his brother Kalib scored 25 points, with 7 rebounds, 4 steals. UNLV had great energy in this game.

— Chicago State 75, Northwestern 73:
Huge win for the 4-9 Cougars, who had been 0-3 vs top 100 teams, with losses by 29-16-9 points.
Northwestern led this game by 10 points in first half; how do you beat Purdue and lose this game?
Chicago State’s three previous wins were over teams #336-347-244

— Arkansas State 75, Louisville 63:
Louisville was 4-28 last year, is 4-6 this year; hard to believe that Kenny Payne will still be the Louisville coach next season.
Arkansas State is 4-7; they shot 5-25 on the arc and still won.

— RIP to actor Andre Braugher, who passed away this week at age 61; I remember him from his role as Detective Frank Pembleton on Homicide back in the 90’s- he was great in that show, which was set in Baltimore. RIP, sir.
 

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WISCONSIN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points in the last 3 seasons.

ST THOMAS (MN) is 17-6 ATS (10.4 Units) after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

THE CITADEL is 6-23 ATS (-19.3 Units) after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

FLORIDA is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

FURMAN is 33-56 ATS (-28.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.

GRAMBLING is 17-5 ATS (11.5 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in a week in the last 3 seasons.

LAMAR is 7-0 Over (7 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.
 

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NCAAB

Thursday, December 14


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Trend Report
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Bethany-WV @ Youngstown State
Bethany-WV
No trends to report
Youngstown State
Youngstown State is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home

The Citadel @ College of Charleston
The Citadel
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of The Citadel's last 7 games on the road
The Citadel is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing College of Charleston
College of Charleston
College of Charleston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing The Citadel
College of Charleston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against The Citadel

Jacksonville State @ Wisconsin
Jacksonville State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville State's last 5 games on the road
Jacksonville State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 7 games at home

Saint Mary-of-the-Woods @ Morehead State
Saint Mary-of-the-Woods
No trends to report
Morehead State
Morehead State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

Furman @ Tulane
Furman
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Furman's last 5 games on the road
Furman is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Tulane
Tulane is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tulane's last 10 games at home

Birmingham Southern @ New Orleans
Birmingham Southern
No trends to report
New Orleans
No trends to report

St. Thomas (MN) @ Marquette
St. Thomas (MN)
No trends to report
Marquette
Marquette is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Marquette's last 6 games at home

Louisiana-Monroe @ Lamar
Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 6 games on the road
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Lamar
Lamar
No trends to report

Grambling State @ Drake
Grambling State
No trends to report
Drake
Drake is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Mayville State @ South Dakota State
Mayville State
No trends to report
South Dakota State
South Dakota State is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
South Dakota State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home


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Cnotes53

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THURSDAY, DECEMBER 14

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
JVST at WIS07:00 PMJVST +19.5
O 125.0
+500 +500
ECU at FLA07:00 PMFLA -15.0
U 153.0
+500 +500
FUR at TULN07:00 PMTULN -7.5
O 172.0
+500 +500
CIT at COFC07:00 PMCIT +13.0
U 147.5
+500 +500
GRAM at DRKE08:00 PMDRKE -23.0
O 142.5
+500 +500
STT at MARQ08:00 PMMARQ -23.0
U 144.0
+500 +500
ULM at LAM08:00 PMLAM -1.0
U 144.0
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
12/14/20235-9-035.71%-2450Detail
12/13/202319-12-061.29%+2900Detail
12/12/202321-23-047.73%-2150Detail
12/11/202311-7-061.11%+1650Detail
12/10/202322-28-144.12%-4400Detail
12/09/202387-109-644.55%-16450Detail
12/08/20236-10-037.50%-2500Detail
12/07/20237-3-070.00%+1850Detail
12/06/202327-39-040.91%-7950Detail
12/05/202329-15-065.91%+6250Detail
12/04/20237-3-070.00%+1850Detail
12/03/202318-7-072.00%+5150Detail
12/02/202331-26-154.31%+1200Detail
12/01/202325-26-049.02%-1800Detail
 

Cnotes53

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DECEMBER'S COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS !

12/14/2023..........................3 - 8................................27.27%.........................- 29.00
12/13/2023.......................14 - 8.................................63.63%.........................+ 26.00
12/12/2023.......................11 - 15..............................42.30%..........................- 27.50
12/11/2023......................... 9 - 5................................64.28%..........................+ 18.50
12/10/2023.........................14 - 20..............................41.17%..........................- 40.00
12/09/2023.........................49 - 60..............................44.95%..........................- 85.00
12/08/2023..............................6 - 8..............................42.85%...........................- 14.00
12/07/2023..............................6 - 3..............................66.66%..........................+ 13.50
12/06/2023............................23 - 27...........................46.00%...........................-20.00
12/05/2023............................16 -11............................59.25%...........................+ 19.50
12/04/2023................................6 - 2............................75.00%...........................+ 19.00
12/03/2023..............................18 - 7...........................72.00%............................+ 51.50
12/02/2023.............................24 - 12.........................66.66%.............................+ 54.00
12/01/2023.................................9 - 7..........................56.25%..............................+ 6.50

TOTALS...............................208 - 193.........................51.87%............................ - 7.00
 

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Friday’s 6-pack:
All-time passing yardage leaders for the Raiders:
35,222— Derek Carr
19,078— Ken Stabler
17,585— Rich Gannon
16,655— Daryle Lamonica
12,665— Jim Plunkett
11,760— Marc Wilson

Quote of the Day
“You don’t lose if you get knocked down. You lose if you stay down.”

Muhammad Ali
Friday’s quiz
What is the only division in the NFL where all four teams have won a Super Bowl?

Thursday’s quiz
Beverly D’Angelo played Mrs Griswold (Chevy Chase’s wife) in the Vacation movies.

Wednesday’s quiz
Since 2006, Chargers have now started only 4 quarterbacks; Philip Rivers, Justin Herbert, Tyrod Taylor and Easton Stick.

*****************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

Its funny the things you remember sometimes………

— Long time ago, 41 years ago, I lived in an apartment in downtown Albany with six friends of mine; I had just graduated college and was working midnight-to-8am for NY State- the other six guys were still in college, at UAlbany.
At one point during the year, two pieces of paper were taped on the dining room wall; one was the NBA’s “1 Club”, NBA players who scored one point in a game. Doesn’t happen that much; for example, this past Wednesday night, in nine NBA games, two guys scored one point; Cam Payne and Oscar Tshiebwe (it was Tshiebwe’s first-ever NBA point).

— The other list was called “Square Pegs”, named after an obscure TV show that was on for only one season back then. Square Pegs were people who did something unusual/funny; the seven of us would vote on whether a person was a Square Peg or not.
This is 41 years ago, I can’t remember all the details, but one of the first Square Pegs was a guy named Curtis Sharp, who hit the lottery for $5M, back when they first started the lottery.
It was a big deal; they had a news conference, and Curtis Sharp shows up, with his wife AND his girlfriend!!!! The three of them were yukking it up, they were all rich, and Curtis Sharp was one of the first Square Pegs.
I’m trying to think of who would be a Square Peg today; we didn’t vote that many people in, but I’m thinking that Tommy DeVito’s agent would definitely get on the list.

— Random Square Pegs trivia; on the actual TV show, Sarah Jessica Parker and Jami Gertz were two of the stars, while Bill Murray, Tony Dow (Wally Cleaver on Leave it to Beaver) and Jerry Seinfeld were all in an episode or two.

Raiders 63, Chargers 21
Chargers trailed this game 42-0 at halftime, a dismal performance.
Bolts are 0-5 ATS in last five games as an underdog.
LA is 1-7 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Chargers are 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 AFC West road games.
Raiders are first team since 1950 to have 8 different players score a TD.
Raiders scored two defensive TD’s in the second half.
Las Vegas is 8-3 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite (4-1 TY)
Only 2nd time all season Raiders went over their team total.
This is the same Raiders team that lost 3-0 at home last week.

— By the time you read this, Brandon Staley might not be the Chargers’ coach anymore; this was as putrid a performance as I’ve seen an NFL team have.

— RIP to basketball star George McGinnis, who passed away this week at age 73; he was a 3-time ABA All-Star and a 3-time NBA All-Star who was inducted into the Naismith Hall of Fame in 2017. He is one of four Indiana Pacers to have his number retired.
A sturdy power forward, McGinnis scored over 17,000 points in his pro career; he led the ABA in free throws taken three years in a row, grabbed 10+ rebounds/game seven years in a row.
RIP, sir.

— Word of the Day: Debacle- a complete failure.

— College football bowl games start Saturday; here is some quick knowledge on how the conferences break down, bowl-wise:
AAC- six teams in bowls, four of them are underdogs.
ACC- 11 teams in bowls, six of them are underdogs.
Big X- nine teams in bowls, seven of them are favored.
Big 14- nine teams in bowls, six of them are underdogs.
Conference USA- four teams in bowls, 2 favorites, 2 underdogs.
MAC- six teams in bowls, all of them are underdogs.
Mountain West- seven teams in bowls, four of them are underdogs.
Pac-12- eight teams in bowls, four of them are underdogs.
SEC- nine teams in bowls, six of them are favored.
Sun Belt- 12 teams in bowls (12!!!!), eight of them are favored.

— Dodgers acquired P Tyler Glasnow and OF Manuel Margot from Tampa Bay; Glasnow has to sign a contract extension for the deal to go thru, but that is expected to happen.
In return, Tampa Bay gets P Ryan Pepiot and a minor league outfielder.
Glasnow has thrown 100+ innings in only two of his eight major league seasons; he threw a career high 120 IP last year, going 10-7, 3.53.

— Detroit Tigers signed P Jack Flaherty to a one-year, $14M contract; he was 8-9, 4.99 in 27 starts last year, for the Cardinals/Orioles.
Texas Rangers signed P Tyler Mahle for two years, $22M; Mahle had Tommy John surgery last May, won’t be ready to pitch until the middle part of the ’24 season.

— Portland Trailblazers were favored over Utah Thursday, the first time this season they’ve been favored, the last NBA team to be favored in a game this season. Celtics are the only team that hasn’t been an underdog this season.

— NFL teams who have gone under the total the most this season:
Vikings and Steelers have both gone under 10 of 13 games; Raiders/Chargers had also gone under in 10 of 13 games, until Thursday night’s debacle.

— There are six teams tied for the last playoff spot in the AFC, with 7-6 records; there might be tie-breakers involved by the time we get to Week 18.

— Cleveland Browns signed QB Joe Flacco to a contract for the rest of this season, getting him off the taxi squad; Flacco has thrown for 565 yards in two games, with 5 TDs, 2 INT’s.
Browns’ kicker Dustin Hopkins is 8-for-8 this season on field goals of 50+ yards.

— Remember last week, when there was a private jet flying from Anaheim to Toronto, and people thought Shohei Ohtani was flying to Canada to sign with the Blue Jays?
Turns out it was Canadian businessman Robert Herjavec on that jet; apparently he is on that Shark Tank TV show with Mark Cuban. Have never seen the show, but he must be really rich, if he rents private planes.
 

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GONZAGA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

MOUNT ST MARYS are 16-6 ATS (9.4 Units) in road games after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

SAM HOUSTON ST is 26-9 ATS (16.1 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 in the last 3 seasons.

TEXAS A&M CC is 23-9 ATS (13.1 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.

N COLORADO is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

BRADLEY is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

NEW MEXICO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 3 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

CS-BAKERSFIELD is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in December games in the last 3 seasons.

SAN DIEGO is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NCAAB

Friday, December 15


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saginaw Valley @ Butler
Saginaw Valley
No trends to report
Butler
Butler is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Butler's last 5 games at home

Bridgewater @ Elon
Bridgewater
No trends to report
Elon
Elon is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

Texas State @ Sam Houston State
Texas State
Texas State is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas State's last 6 games on the road
Sam Houston State
No trends to report

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ UTRGV
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
No trends to report
UTRGV
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of UTRGV's last 11 games when playing Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
UTRGV is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Texas A&M-Corpus Chri

Cleveland State @ Bradley
Cleveland State
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Cleveland State's last 12 games on the road
Cleveland State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Bradley
Bradley is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Bradley's last 7 games at home

Northern Colorado @ Colorado
Northern Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Northern Colorado's last 7 games on the road
Northern Colorado is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Northern Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Colorado

New Mexico @ New Mexico State
New Mexico
New Mexico is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Mexico's last 7 games when playing New Mexico State
New Mexico State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Mexico State's last 7 games when playing New Mexico
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico State's last 5 games when playing at home against New Mexico

Connecticut @ Gonzaga
Connecticut
Connecticut is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Gonzaga
Connecticut is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Connecticut

Cal State-Bakersfield @ Fresno State
Cal State-Bakersfield
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cal State-Bakersfield's last 6 games on the road
Cal State-Bakersfield is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Fresno State
Fresno State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cal State-Bakersfield
Fresno State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Cal State-Bakersfield

Portland State @ San Diego
Portland State
Portland State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Portland State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Diego
San Diego is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Portland State


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