NCAA MEN'S BASKETBALL NOTES, NEWS OPINIONS AND BEST BETS THRU MARCH MADNESS !

Cnotes53

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Nevada sports books’ profits for last six Super Bowls:
2024- $6,802,264
2023- $4,361,646
2022- $11,063,412
2021- $12,574,125
2020- $18,774,148
2019- $10,780,319

Quote of the Day
“We’re the second-smallest city with both an NFL franchise and Major League Baseball club, and we want to sustain ourselves as a major league city. We want these franchises to thrive here for another 50 years.”
Kansas City Royals owner John Sherman, on building a new ballpark there

Wednesday’s quiz
Who is the all-time leading scorer for the New York Knicks?

Tuesday’s quiz
George Seifert was the 49ers’ coach, last time they won a Super Bowl, 30 years ago.

Monday’s quiz
Alex Smith was the Chiefs’ quarterback before Patrick Mahomes.

***************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— This is the age of transfers in college sports; of the top 20 scorers in the Big 6 conferences, 14 of them started their college careers at another school.

— When I was in high school, I took Spanish for three years, but apparently, I didn’t maintain a lot of the stuff I learned. Was watching the Caribbean World Series on ESPN+ last week- they broadcast it in Spanish. Couldn’t understand a freakin’ thing they said, except that izquierda is left. At least they had good graphics, so it was easy to follow what was going on.

— Total of $185.6M was wagered in Nevada on the Super Bowl this year, beating the previous record by $6M. Sportsbooks posted a profit of $6.8M on the game.
This year’s Super Bowl was also the most-watched TV show ever.

— Orlando Magic retired Shaquille O’Neal’s number 32 Tuesday night; O’Neal played the first four years of his career for the Magic- they went 208-120 in regular season with Shaq, losing 4-0 in the 1995 NBA Finals, to Houston.

— Two things I’m curious about:
How much $$$ does Shohei Ohtani’s interpreter make?
How much $$$ did Christopher Walken get for that BMW commercial during the Super Bowl?

— Since 2018, major league teams who spent the most draft bonus $$$ on pitchers:
Royals, Pirates, Rangers
Since 2018, major league teams who spent the least draft bonus $$$ on pitchers:
Red Sox, Astros, A’s

— San Francisco Giants signed OF Jorge Soler for three years, $42M. Soler hit 36 homers for Miami last year, had an .853 OPS.

Baseball Note of the Day: There were 16 times last year when a player had 7 plate appearances in one game; Jose Altuve is the only guy who had two of those.

Word of the Day: Callous- someone who does not feel or show any concern about the problems or suffering of other people.

— Syracuse 86, North Carolina 79
Tar Heels have now lost three of their last five games, after a 10-0 run.
Syracuse shot 71% inside the arc.
Three players in this game played all 40:00.

— Illinois State 80, Indiana State 67
Sycamores get in top 25 for first time since 1979, then lose as 17-point favorites.
Indiana State had won 10 games in row; they still lead MVC by a game.

— San Diego State 71, Colorado State 55
Colorado State led 44-30 at half; they got outscored 41-11 in 2nd half.
Aztecs are 5-1 ATS as a Mountain West home favorite.
Bill Vinovich was a ref in this game; he was the referee in Super Bowl Sunday,

— Pitt 74, Virginia 63
Panthers made 14-32 shots on the arc.
Loss snaps Virginia’s 8-game winning streak.

— Kentucky 75, Ole Miss 63
Kentucky snaps their 3-game home losing streak.
Wildcats played nine guys 13:00+; unusual depth for this era.

— Baylor 79, Oklahoma 62
Jayden Nunn scored 27 points, on only 12 shots from floor.
Baylor made 11-21 shots on the arc.

— Drake 78, Evansville 75
Atin Wright banked in a 40-foot runner at the buzzer for the win.
Drake made 13-27 on arc; they’re 21-5, 12-3 in the Valley.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 14

Wednesday’s 5 interesting games
Michigan State
(-3.5) @ Penn State
Michigan State (15-9, 7-6)
KenPom rating: 15
Tempo: 297
Experience: 66
Continuity: 20
MSU won six of its last eight games (5-3 ATS).
Spartans are 1-5 SU/1-3 ATS as a Big 14 road favorite.
MSU has #35 eFG% defense in country.
Spartans are 9-9 vs top 100 teams.


Penn State (12-12, 6-7)
KenPom rating: 90
Tempo: 65
Experience: 68
Continuity: 352
Penn State won three of its last four games.
Nittany Lions are 9-3 ATS as Big 14 underdogs.
PSU is forcing turnovers 21.7% of time (#19)
Nittany Lions are 5-10 vs teams in the top 100.


Spartans (-13) pounded Penn State 92-61 January 4th.
Michigan State won five of last six series games.
Spartans won six of last seven visits to Happy Valley.
Big 14 road favorites of 4 or less points are 6-12 ATS.


Miami @ Clemson (-7.5)
Miami (15-9, 6-7)
KenPom rating: 73
Tempo: 94
Experience: 90
Continuity: 75
Miami lost three of its last four games.
Hurricanes are 2-4 SU/3-2 ATS as ACC road underdogs.
Hurricanes have #40 eFG% in country.
Miami is 7-9 against teams ranked in top 100.


Clemson (16-7, 6-6)
KenPom rating: 31
Tempo: 232
Experience: 30
Continuity: 61
Clemson won three of its last four games.
Tigers are 2-3 SU/1-4 ATS as ACC home favorites.
Tigers are shooting 54.4% inside arc (#40)
Clemson is 9-6 vs top 100 teams.


Clemson (-1.5) lost 95-82 at Miami January 3.
Miami scored 60 points in second half of that game.
Hurricanes won last four series games.
Teams split their last four meetings at Littlejohn.
ACC home favorites of 7 or less points are 22-21 ATS.


Xavier @ Seton Hall (-2.5)
Xavier (13-11, 7-6)
KenPom rating: 40
Tempo: 45
Experience: 114
Continuity: 344
Xavier won three of its last four games.
Musketeers are 2-4 SU/3-2 ATS as Big East road dogs.
Musketeers are 3-8 in games decided by 7 or less points.
Xavier is 7-9 vs top 100 teams.


Seton Hall (15-9, 8-5)
KenPom rating: 70
Tempo: 292
Experience: 11
Continuity: 194
Seton Hall lost four of its last six games.
Pirates are 1-7 ATS as a favorite this season.
Pirates are #9 team in country on defensive boards.
Seton Hall is 5-8 vs top 100 teams.


Xavier (-2.5) beat Seton Hall 74-54 at home December 23.
Xavier won last three series games, by 3-22-20 points.
Musketeers won four of last five visits to Seton Hall.
Big East favorites of 3 or less points are 5-3 ATS.


South Carolina @ Auburn (-11.5)
South Carolina (21-3, 9-2)
KenPom rating: 44
Tempo: 355
Experience: 22
Continuity: 178
South Carolina won its last seven games (6-1 ATS)
Gamecocks are 4-1 SU/ ATS as a MW road underdog.
Carolina has only one loss by more than 7 points.
Opponents are shooting 45.6% inside arc (#31)
South Carolina is 7-3 vs top 100 teams.


Auburn (19-5, 8-3)
KenPom rating: 5
Tempo: 71
Experience: 116
Continuity: 77
Auburn won three of its last four games.
Tigers are 5-0 SU/ATS as an SEC home favorite.
Auburn has #2 eFG% defense in the country.
Auburn is 8-5 vs teams ranked in top 100.


Auburn won last six series games.
Carolina lost last four visits to Auburn (9-9-11-13 points)
SEC double digit home favorites are 12-4 ATS


Western Carolina @ Samford (-6.5)
Western Carolina (18-7, 7-5)
KenPom rating: 120
Tempo: 181
Experience: 60
Continuity: 10
WCU lost 5 of its last 8 games, after an 15-2 start.
Catamounts are 2-2 SU/1-0 ATS as SoCon road dogs.
WCU is 4-0 ATS as an underdog this season.
Opponents are shooting 45.2% inside arc (#23)
WCU is 1-4 in games vs top 150 opponents.


Samford (22-3, 11-1)
KenPom rating: 72
Tempo: 10
Experience: 112
Continuity: 175
Samford won 20 of its last 21 games.
Bulldogs are 5-0 SU/3-2 ATS as SoCon home favorites.
Bulldogs have #5 eFG% in country.
Samford is 5-3 vs teams ranked in top 150.


Samford (+1) won 75-71 at WCU January 16.
Samford won last six series games.
WCU lost last three visits to Samford, by 4-25-9 points.
SoCon home favorites of 7 or less points are 7-14 ATS
 
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Wednesday, February 14


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Cnotes53

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WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 14

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
OAK at PFW07:00 PMOAK -1.0
O 149.5
+500 +500
SBON at FOR07:00 PMSBON -3.5
O 139.5
+500 +500
NKU at WIGB07:00 PMWIGB -4.0
O 137.5
+500 +500
XAV at HALL07:00 PMXAV +2.5
O 145.5
+500 +500
MIA at CLEM07:00 PMCLEM -7.0
O 152.5
+500 +500
ETSU at CHAT07:00 PMCHAT -7.5
O 138.5
+500 +500
SCUS at HP07:00 PMHP -13.0
O 150.5
+500 +500
AMER at NAVY07:00 PMAMER -1.5
U 129.5
+500 +500
TLSA at USF07:00 PMUSF -7.5
O 148.5
+500 +500
WEBB at CHSO07:00 PMWEBB -5.0
O 144.0
+500 +500
JAC at KENN07:00 PMKENN -5.5
O 150.5
+500 +500
INDPU at DETU07:00 PMINDPU +5.5
O 143.5
+500 +500
CHS at EKY07:00 PMEKY -11.5
O 144.0
+500 +500
WOF at MER07:00 PMMER -2.0
O 138.5
+500 +500
UNF at QNC07:00 PMUNF +3.5
O 164.0
+500 +500
MILW at CLEVST07:00 PMMILW +4.0
O 157.5
+500 +500
L-MD at LAF07:00 PMLAF -9.5
O 127.5
+500 +500
UNCG at CIT07:00 PMCIT +6.5
O 135.5
+500 +500
MASS at RICH07:00 PMMASS +6.5
U 144.5
+500 +500
GT at ND07:00 PMGT +3.5
O 133.5
+500 +500
HC at COLG07:00 PMCOLG -18.5
O 140.0
+500 +500
VMI at FUR07:00 PMVMI +23.5
O 165.5
+500 +500
SIU at BEL07:30 PMSIU +3.0
O 145.5
+500 +500
MOSU at MURR08:00 PMMURR -3.5
O 137.5
+500 +500
UNI at VALP08:00 PMVALP +7.5
O 145.0
+500 +500
STJOE at L-IL08:00 PML-IL -3.0
O 149.5
+500 +500
UIC at BRAD08:00 PMUIC +14.5
O 141.0
+500 +500
IOWA at MD08:30 PMIOWA +5.5
O 147.5
+500 +500
SCAR at AUB08:30 PMSCAR +11.5
O 136.0
+500 +500
ORST at ASU09:00 PMASU -7.5
O 137.0
+500 +500
CONN at DEP09:00 PMCONN -24.5
O 142.0
+500 +500
TENN at ARK09:00 PMTENN -8.5
O 151.0
+500 +500
WCU at SAM09:00 PMSAM -8.0
O 154.5
+500 +500
USU at WYO10:00 PMUSU -8.0
O 148.5
+500 +500
UNLV at FRES11:00 PMUNLV -4.5
O 137.5
+500 +500
 
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Cnotes53

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
Six of the Boston Red Sox’ best prospects:
1- Marcelo Mayer, SS
2- Roman Anthony, OF
3- Kyle Teel, C
4- Ceddanne Rafaela, OF/SS
5- Miguel Bleis, OF
6- Wilyer Abreu, OF

Quote of the Day
“It is just unconscionable that we have allowed guns to have this much power — and inflict this much death — in our beautiful, freedom-loving country.”
Claire McCaskill, former US Senator from Missouri, and a Chiefs’ fan

Thursday’s quiz
Where did Kevin Durant play his college basketball?

Wednesday’s quiz
Patrick Ewing is the all-time leading scorer for the New York Knicks.

Tuesday’s quiz
George Seifert was the 49ers’ coach, last time they won a Super Bowl, 30 years ago.

************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

— San Francisco 49ers fired defensive coordinator Steve Wilks Wednesday, three days after the 49ers lost the Super Bowl in overtime. Shanahan had said Tuesday that he expected all of his coaches to be back next year, which tells you it wasn’t his decision to fire Wilks.
49ers were #8 in NFL in yardage allowed this year, #3 in points allowed; obviously they won a lot of games, damn near won the Super Bowl. Surprising to see a coordinator from a very good team get fired.

— Ohio State is 9-25 in its last 34 conference games; they fired basketball coach Chris Holtmann Wednesday. Holtmann was in his 7th year at Ohio State; his team made four of last five NCAA Tournaments, but only went 4-5 in those events.
Buckeyes have to pay Holtmann $12.5M to go away.

— One of the quirks of the college basketball season is that bubble teams need the teams they beat to do really well, so their wins look better to the Selection Committee.
For example, Gonzaga is a bubble team right now; they beat Kentucky, so they need the Wildcats to finish strong, so that win impresses people next month.

— Why are Central Florida and BYU in the same league? Teams played Tuesday night in Provo; according to MapQuest, the schools are 2,324 miles apart. It is nonsensical for these schools to be in the same league, not to mention very expensive.

— JJ Redick is replacing Doc Rivers on ESPN’s NBA broadcast team, after Rivers left three months into his first season of a 3-year contract to return to coaching with the Milwaukee Bucks.

— Retired P Adam Wainwright is going to work games for both MLB Network and FS1 this coming season, after an excellent 18-year career on the mound.

Baseball Note of the Day: Michael Wacha is pitching for Kansas City this season, his 6th team in the last six seasons; he’s done really well the last two years, but he keeps moving around.

Word of the Day: Prognosticate- predicting the outcome of a future event.

— Detroit 81, IUPUI 66
Detroit was favored by 5.5 points, despite being 0-26 coming into the game.
Detroit only played seven guys; four of them are seniors. Not much hope for the future.

— Auburn 101, South Carolina 61
Auburn shot 61% inside arc, 12-20 on the arc.
Auburn is 6-0 SU/ATS in SEC home games.
Loss ends South Carolina’s 7-game winning streak.

— Michigan State 80, Penn State 72
Malik Hall scored 29 points, had 10 rebounds.
Penn State made 12-23 on the arc, still got beat at home.

— Milwaukee 71, Cleveland State 68
Panthers won despite being minus-11 (19-8) in turnovers.
Cleveland State led by 11 points late in first half.

— UMass 69, Richmond 59
UMass held Richmond to 33.3% from the floor.
Only second loss in last 14 games for the Spiders.

— Northern Kentucky 58, Green Bay 57
Loss ends Green Bay’s 5-game winning streak.
Teams combined to shoot 13-54 on the arc.
Green Bay is 12-4 in the Horizon, but NKU swept their two meetings.

— Wednesday was supposed to be a really happy day in Kansas City, with a parade to honor the Super Bowl champion Chiefs. Instead, a person was murdered, and 21 others injured, 11 of them children, in this country’s 48th mass shooting in the first 45 days of 2024.
The people who make the laws in this country suck at their jobs, to allow things like this to keep happening. 11 kids got shot Wednesday!!! at a freakin’ parade……..horrendous.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 15

Thursday’s 5 interesting games
Memphis
@ North Texas (-1.5)
Memphis (18-6, 7-4)
KenPom rating: 77
Tempo: 22
Experience: 57
Continuity: 342
Memphis won its last three games, scoring 79.7 ppg.
Tigers are 3-2 SU on AAC road this season.
Memphis is 4-1 ATS as an underdog, all non-AAC games.
Tigers are 5-2 vs top 100 teams.


North Texas (13-10, 6-5)
KenPom rating: 73
Tempo: 361
Experience: 119
Continuity: 221
North Texas lost five of its last seven games.
Mean Green is 3-2 SU/2-2 ATS as AAC home faves.
UNT has #19 eFG% defense in country.
Mean Green is 1-6 vs teams in the top 100.


This is teams’ first meeting as AAC rivals.
AAC home favorites of 4 or less points are 5-7 ATS.


Morehead State (-2.5) @ Little Rock
Morehead State (20-5, 11-1)
KenPom rating: 110
Tempo: 322
Experience: 164
Continuity: 249
Morehead won its last seven games, giving up 60 ppg.
Eagles are 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS as OVC road favorites.
Eagles are shooting 55.9% inside arc (#22)
Morehead is 15-1 against teams ranked outside top 200.


Little Rock (14-11, 8-4)
KenPom rating: 241
Tempo: 75
Experience: 256
Continuity: 290
Little Rock won six of its last seven games.
Trojans are 4-1 SU in OVC home games.
Little Rock is 5-6 ATS as an underdog this year.
Little Rock is 3-5 vs top 200 teams.


Teams split two games LY, their first year as OVC rivals.
OVC home underdogs of 4 or less points are 7-12 ATS.


Colorado (-1.5) @ UCLA
Colorado (16-8, 7-6)
KenPom rating: 35
Tempo: 102
Experience: 191
Continuity: 59
Colorado lost three of its last four games.
Buffs are 1-5 SU/1-3 ATS as Pac-12 road favorites.
Buffs have #26 eFG% in the country.
Colorado is 6-6 vs top 100 teams.


UCLA (13-11, 8-5)
KenPom rating: 92
Tempo: 340
Experience: 319
Continuity: 294
UCLA won five in row, 7 of its last 8 games.
Bruins are 3-2 SU/2-0 ATS as Pac-12 home dogs.
Underdogs are 5-0 ATS in UCLA’s Pac-12 home tilts.
Bruins are 3-9 vs top 100 teams.


UCLA won five in row, 7 of last 8 series games.
Colorado lost its last four visits to Westwood.
Pac-12 home underdogs of 4 or less points are 6-12 ATS.


Long Beach State @ Cal-Davis (-3.5)
Long Beach State (15-9, 7-5)
KenPom rating: 161
Tempo: 19
Experience: 66
Continuity: 7
Long Beach won three of its last four games.
Long Beach is 3-3 SU/0-2 ATS as a Big West road dog.
Long Beach is #62 team on offensive boards.
Long Beach is 5-6 vs top 200 teams.


Cal-Davis (15-9, 10-3)
KenPom rating: 163
Tempo: 135
Experience: 41
Continuity: 4
Cal-Davis won seven of its last nine games.
Aggies are 6-1 SU/3-2 ATS as a Big West home favorite.
Cal-Davis is forcing turnovers 21.3% of time (#24)
Aggies are 3-7 vs teams ranked in top 200.


Long Beach won three of last four series games.
Long Beach lost seven of last eight visits to Davis.
Big West home favorites of 4 or less points are 6-7 ATS


Cal-Santa Barbara @ Cal-San Diego (-5.5)
Cal-Santa Barbara (13-10, 6-7)
KenPom rating: 164
Tempo: 216
Experience: 235
Continuity: 157
UCSB lost four of its last six games.
Gauchos are 4-2 SU/2-0 ATS as Big West road dogs.
Gauchos have #34 eFG% in the country.
UCSB is 4-6 in games vs top 200 opponents.


Cal-San Diego (15-9, 9-3)
KenPom rating: 109
Tempo: 310
Experience: 217
Continuity: 120
San Diego lost last two games, giving up 85-94 points.
Tritons are 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS as Big West home favorites.
Tritons are 4-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
San Diego is 4-7 vs teams ranked in top 200.


Tritons (+4.5) won 79-72 at Santa Barbara January 4.
UCSB won five of seven series games.
Teams split their two meetings in San Diego.
Big West home favorites of 6 or less points are 10-11 ATS
 
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Thursday, February 15


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