NCAA MEN'S BASKETBALL NOTES, NEWS OPINIONS AND BEST BETS THRU MARCH MADNESS !

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, February 23

Friday’s 5 interesting games
Toledo (-4.5) @ Bowling Green
Toledo (17-9, 11-2)
KenPom rating: 135
Tempo: 78
Experience: 164
Continuity: 196
Toledo won 11 of its last 14 games.
Rockets are 4-2 SU/1-2 ATS as MAC road favorites.
Opponents are shooting 57.3% inside arc (#360)
Toledo is 9-1 vs teams outside the top 200.


Bowling Green (16-10, 7-6)
KenPom rating: 244
Tempo: 130
Experience: 176
Continuity: 333
Bowling Green lost six of its last eight games.
Falcons are 4-2 SU at home in MAC games.
Falcons are 3-6 ATS as an underdog this year.
Falcons have #256 eFG% in the country.
Bowling Green is 3-6 vs teams in the top 200.


Toledo (-5) beat Falcons 88-72 at home, on January 27
Toledo won last five series games.
Rockets won last three visits to Bowling Green by 18-13-5 points.
MAC road favorites of less than 5 points are 7-6 ATS.


Fort Wayne @ Green Bay (-2.5)
Fort Wayne (17-10, 8-8)
KenPom rating: 173
Tempo: 31
Experience: 320
Continuity: 297
Fort Wayne won last three road games, by 5-27-14 points.
Mastodons are 5-2 SU/3-1 ATS as Horizon road dogs.
Mastodons are forcing turnovers 22.8% of time (#9)
Fort Wayne is 5-7 against teams ranked in top 200.


Green Bay (17-10, 12-4)
KenPom rating: 185
Tempo: 349
Experience: 346
Continuity: 341
Green Bay won eight of its last ten games.
Phoenix is 7-1 SU/3-1 ATS as Horizon home favorites.
Green Bay is shooting 53.9% inside arc (#52)
Phoenix is 7-6 vs teams ranked in top 200.


Fort Wayne (-10.5) beat Green Bay 75-71 November 29.
Mastodons outscored Green Bay 19-6 on foul line in that game.
Fort Wayne won last six series games.
Mastodons won last three visits to Green Bay, by 5-19-17 points.
Horizon home favorites of 5 or less points are 11-15 ATS.


Yale @ Cornell (-1.5)
Yale (17-7, 8-1)
KenPom rating: 89
Tempo: 310
Experience: 235
Continuity: 21
Yale won 10 of its last 11 games.
Bulldogs are 3-2 ATS as an underdog this season.
Favorites are 7-2 ATS in their Ivy League games.
Yale is 3-4 vs teams in the top 125.


Cornell (19-4, 8-1)
KenPom rating: 99
Tempo: 24
Experience: 269
Continuity: 28
Cornell won 11 of its last 13 games.
Big Red is 5-0 SU/2-2 ATS as Ivy League home faves.
Cornell is shooting 63.6% inside arc (#1)
Big Red is 2-4 vs teams in top 150.


Yale (-7) nipped Cornell 80-78 at home February 10.
Cornell led that game by 15 in first half.
Yale won 19 of last 21 series games, but……
Yale lost last two visits to Ithaca, by 6-12 points.
Ivy League home favorites of 5 or less points are 3-4 ATS.


Fairfield @ Quinnipiac (-2.5)
Fairfield (16-10, 10-5)
KenPom rating: 176
Tempo: 136
Experience: 238
Continuity: 221
Fairfield won four of its last five games.
Stags are 5-2 SU/2-1 ATS as MAAC road dogs.
Opponents are shooting 53.5% inside arc (#308)
Stags are 1-6 vs top 200 teams.


Quinnipiac (19-6, 11-3)
KenPom rating: 196
Tempo: 20
Experience: 220
Continuity: 184
Quinnipiac lost last two games, after a 10-0 streak.
Bobcats are 6-1 SU/5-2 ATS as MAAC home favorites.
Bobcats are 8-0 in games decided by 6 or less points or in OT.
Quinnipiac is 2-3 vs teams ranked in top 200.


Quinnipiac (+2.5) won 66-64 at Fairfield January 28.
Bobcats won eight of last ten series games.
Fairfield lost its last five visits to Quinnipiac.
MAAC home favorites of 3 or less points are 6-8 ATS.


Nevada (-9.5) @ San Jose State
Nevada (21-6, 8-5)
KenPom rating: 42
Tempo: 242
Experience: 7
Continuity: 35
Nevada won five of its last six games.
Wolf Pack is 3-3 SU/1-1 ATS as a MW road favorite.
Wolf Pack gets 23.8% of its points on foul line (#16)
Nevada is 6-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200.


San Jose State (9-18, 2-12)
KenPom rating: 240
Tempo: 281
Experience: 214
Continuity: 134
San Jose lost nine of its last 10 games.
Spartans are 1-6 SU/1-3 ATS as MW home underdogs.
Spartans have #340 eFG% defense in country.
San Jose is 3-7 ATS vs teams ranked in top 100.


Nevada pounded San Jose 90-60 at home February 2nd.
Wolf Pack won six of last seven series games.
Nevada won 11 of last 12 visits to San Jose.
Mountain West single digit home underdogs are 9-8 ATS
 
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Friday, February 23

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Cnotes53

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FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 23​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
KENT at AKR06:00 PMAKR -7.5
O 135.0		+500 +500
NIAG at CAN07:00 PMNIAG -1.5
U 142.0		+500 +500
IONA at RID07:00 PMRID -2.0
U 146.0		+500 +500
YALE at COR07:00 PMYALE +3.0
O 156.5		+500 +500
PENN at DART07:00 PMPENN -5.5
U 132.5		+500 +500
PRIN at HARV07:00 PMHARV +6.0
O 140.0		+500 +500
MRST at MAN07:00 PMMRST -7.5
U 132.5		+500 +500
UNF at JAC07:00 PMUNF -1.0
U 141.5		+500 +500
SPU at MSM07:00 PMSPU +2.5
O 131.5		+500 +500
PFW at WIGB07:00 PMPFW +2.0
O 138.0		+500 +500
BRWN at CLMB07:00 PMCLMB -4.0
U 146.0		+500 +500
TOL at BGSU07:00 PMBGSU +4.5
O 158.5		+500 +500
YSU at MILW08:00 PMYSU -2.5
O 160.5		+500 +500
DUQ at FOR08:30 PMDUQ -3.0
O 138.5		+500 +500
FAIR at QUIN09:00 PMQUIN -3.0
U 156.5		+500 +500
NEV at SJSU10:00 PMNEV -10.0
U 144.0		+500 +500
 
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Cnotes53

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
— Raptors 123, Hawks 121- Toronto was +13 in 17:00 Agbaji played.
— 76ers 104, Cavaliers 97- Maxey had 24 points, 7 rebounds, 5 assists.
— Rockets 114, Suns 110- Houston is 20-9 at home, 5-22 on road.
— Clippers 101, Grizzlies 95- Mann scored 23 points, grabbed 12 rebounds.
— Heat 106, Pelicans 95- Miami was minus-8 in 21:00 Jimmy Butler sat out.
— Thunder 147, Wizards 106- Wizards are 9-47; they trailed 80-57 at the half.

Quote of the Day
“It is a very bad thing to become accustomed to good luck.”
Pubilius Syrus

Saturday’s quiz
Where did Steve Kerr play his college basketball?

Friday’s quiz
In the movie Good Will Hunting, Matt Damon plays a janitor at MIT who has a gift for Math; Robin Williams played the psychologist who helped him find direction in his life.

Thursday’s quiz
Thomas Jefferson was the third President of the United States.

***************************************************

Saturday’s Den: Random stuff on a winter night…….​

— Idea of the Day– ESPN or NFL Network needs to bring Jon Gruden back to TV, so he can do those interviews he used to do with college QB’s before the NFL Draft. Learned a lot watching those, and this year especially is a very interesting year for QB’s in the draft.

— NFL’s salary cap is going up 13.6% next season, up to $255.4M/team.

— New Orleans Saints are restructuring QB Derek Carr’s contract, giving them $23M or so in salary cap relief for 2024, but Carr’s 2025 salary cap hit is up to $50.13M, including a $10M bonus that guarantees in three weeks.
In other words, the Saints kicked their cap woes down the road a year.
Right now, Saints are still $40,071,454 over the 2024 salary cap; Buffalo Bills are $41,742,609 over the cap, so those teams still have some work to do, cap-wise.

— Rams signed WR Demarcus Robinson for one year, $5M; Robinson caught 26 passes for 371 yards this season, with four TD’s, all of which came from Week 13 on.

— Golden State Warriors signed coach Steve Kerr for two years, $35M, which coincides with what’s left on Steph Curry’s contract. Kerr has won four NBA titles coaching the Warriors.

— Minnesota Golden Gophers are 17-9, 9-7 in conference this year, but they’re an impressive 23-3 against the spread this season. This is Minnesota’s first winning season since Richard Pitino led the Gophers to a 22-14 record five years ago.

— Was surprised to read that Thursday night’s Law and Order was the last episode for the great actor Sam Waterston, whose character Jack McCoy was on the show for 405 episodes. Thanks for all your work, sir. You’ll be missed.
The three TV shows I watch the most: CSI, Law and Order, Magnum PI, So many famous actors have been on Law and Order before they hit it rich. Great show.

— Baseball Stuff: Colorado Rockies have 33 pitchers in their major league camp this spring.

— Word of the Day: Mensch- a person of integrity and honor.
— Famous people with birthdays on February 24:
Hall of Fame 1B Eddie Murray, 68
actor Edward James Olmos, 77
actor Billy Zane, 58
singer George Thorogood, 73
former NC State/NBA center Tom Burleson, 72

— Spring training baseball started Thursday; great to watch baseball on TV again, its like welcoming old friends back into your house, after a 4-5 month lull.
Now the games themselves don’t mean so much; it isn’t about winning, it is just the players getting back in shape, preparing for the regular season, but it is still fun to watch.

— Fairfield 85, Quinnipiac 81
Fairfield is 17-10, after starting the season 1-6.
Stags made 13-26 on the arc in this game.
Quinnipiac has lost three in a row, after a 10-0 run.

— Cornell 65, Yale 62
Cornell outscored Yale 13-4 over the final 3:23.
Yale was only 11-26 on the foul line.
Big Red now leads the Ivy League by a game over Yale/Princeton.

— Bowling Green 76, Toledo 68
Toledo’s loss puts Akron atop the MAC standings.
Marcus Hill scored 31 points for Bowling Green, which starts four seniors.

— Fort Wayne 85, Green Bay 59
Mastodons led 47-23 at halftime.
Fort Wayne shot 60.5% inside arc, had only 4 turnovers.
Green Bay’s loss puts Oakland atop the Horizon standings.

— Teams shooting the best %age on 3’s this season:
40.6%- Purdue (24-3)
40.5%- Kentucky (18-8)
40.4%- Baylor (19-7)

-Teams shooting the worst %age on 3’s this season:
25.2%- IUPUI (6-22)
26%- Buffalo (4-22)
26.4%- Coppin State (2-21)
 
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Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, February 24

Saturday’s 5 interesting games
Houston (-2.5) @ Baylor
Houston (23-3, 10-3)
KenPom rating: 1
Tempo: 347
Experience: 102
Continuity: 128
Houston won four in row, nine of its last 10 games.
Cougars are 3-3 SU/1-5 ATS as Big X road favorites.
Houston has #2 eFG% defense in the country.
Houston is 8-3 vs teams in the top 50.


Baylor (19-7, 8-5)
KenPom rating: 14
Tempo: 291
Experience: 93
Continuity: 235
Baylor won five of its last seven games.
Bears are 5-1 SU at home in MAC games.
Bears are 3-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
Baylor has #9 eFG% in the country.
Baylor is 7-6 vs teams in the top 50.


This is teams’ first meeting as Big X rivals.
Big X home underdogs of 4 or less points are 6-4 ATS.


North Carolina (-3.5) @ Virginia
North Carolina (20-6, 12-3)
KenPom rating: 10
Tempo: 40
Experience: 4
Continuity: 181
UNC split its last six games, after a 10-0 run.
Tar Heels are 6-2 SU/5-3 ATS as ACC road favorites.
Tar Heels have #30 eFG% defense in country.
UNC is 12-5 against teams ranked in top 100.


Virginia (20-7, 11-5)
KenPom rating: 67
Tempo: 362
Experience: 111
Continuity: 222
Virginia lost two of last three games, after an 8-0 run.
Cavaliers are 7-1 SU in ACC home games.
Cavaliers are 2-4 ATS as an underdog this year.
Virginia has #20 eFG% defense in country.
Virginia is 3-3 vs teams ranked in top 50.


Teams split their last six meetings.
Tar Heels lost their last eight visits to Charlottesville.
ACC road favorites of 5 or less points are 10-7 ATS.


Alabama @ Kentucky (-2.5)
Alabama (19-7, 11-2)
KenPom rating: 6
Tempo: 14
Experience: 60
Continuity: 274
Alabama won 13 of its last 15 games.
Crimson Tide is 4-2 SU/1-2 ATS as an SEC road underdog.
Last three games, Alabama scored 109-100-98 points.
Alabama is 5-6 vs teams in the top 50.


Kentucky (18-8, 8-5)
KenPom rating: 23
Tempo: 18
Experience: 188
Continuity: 318
Kentucky is 4-5 SU in its last nine games.
Wildcats are 4-2 SU/3-2 ATS as SEC home faves.
Kentucky is shooting 40.5% on the arc (#2)
Wildcats are #1 team in country on offensive boards.
Wildcats are 4-4 vs teams in top 50.


Teams split their last eight meetings.
Alabama lost nine of last ten games in Rupp Arena.
SEC home favorites of 5 or less points are 7-9 ATS.


Cal-Irvine @ Cal-San Diego (-1.5)
Cal-Irvine (20-7, 13-2)
KenPom rating: 78
Tempo: 143
Experience: 187
Continuity: 57
Irvine won 13 of its last 15 games.
Anteaters are 5-2 SU in Big West road games.
Anteaters are 3-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
Opponents are shooting 43.8% inside arc (#7)
Anteaters are 10-5 vs top 200 teams.


Cal-San Diego (19-6, 11-3)
KenPom rating: 196
Tempo: 20
Experience: 220
Continuity: 184
Cal-San Diego won 12 of its last 15 games.
Tritons are 7-0 SU/5-2 ATS as Big West home favorites.
Tritons are 5-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
Cal-San Diego is 0-5 vs teams ranked in top 125.


Irvine (-6.5) beat UCSD 76-65 at home January 18.
Irvine won sis of last seven series games.
Anteaters won two of last three visits to LaJolla.
Big West home favorites of 3 or less points are 5-6 ATS.


USC @ UCLA (-5.5)
USC (10-16, 4-11)
KenPom rating: 106
Tempo: 120
Experience: 144
Continuity: 109
USC lost nine of its last eleven games.
Trojans are 0-7 SU/2-4 ATS as a Pac-12 road underdog.
Trojans are #324 team on defensive boards.
USC is 4-12 vs teams ranked in the top 100.


UCLA (14-12, 9-6)
KenPom rating: 91
Tempo: 348
Experience: 318
Continuity: 293
UCLA won eight of its last 10 games.
Bruins are 4-3 SU/0-4 ATS as Pac-12 home favorites.
Bruins are shooting 45.2% inside arc (#339)
UCLA is 9-2 ATS vs teams ranked outside top 100.


UCLA (+2.5) won 65-50 at USC January 27.
Bruins won four of last five series games.
Trojans lost last two visits to Westwood, by 7-2 points.
Pac-12 home favorites of 6 or less points are 6-18 ATS.
 
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Saturday, February 24

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