NCAA MEN'S BASKETBALL NOTES, NEWS OPINIONS AND BEST BETS THRU MARCH MADNESS !

[Udog]

ARIZONA is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after a non-conference game in the current season.

KANSAS are 9-1 Under (7.9 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

MICHIGAN ST is 11-3 Over (7.7 Units) in road games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better over the last 2 seasons.

IOWA ST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games in the current season.

TEXAS are 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.

ILLINOIS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

OREGON is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games after playing a game as favorite in the last 3 seasons.

N TEXAS are 36-20 ATS (14 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

ARKANSAS ST is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in road games after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

CINCINNATI is 23-5 ATS (17.5 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO ST is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.

ALABAMA A&M is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread in the current season.

SEATTLE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after playing a game as an underdog in the current season.

VIRGINIA TECH is 6-22 ATS (-18.2 Units) in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite in the last 3 seasons.

NC STATE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 23

Saturday’s games
Dayton vs Arizona (-9.5) (@ Salt Lake City)
Dayton (25-7) ranked #30 by KenPom
Tempo: #336
Experience: #72
Continuity: #190
Dayton won three of its last four games.
Dayton rallied from 17 down to beat Nevada Thursday.
Flyers were held under 75 points in their last five losses.
Dayton is 11-2 in non-conference games.
Flyers are shooting 40.2% on arc (#3)
Dayton is 10-7 against teams in the top 100.
Dayton’s schedule, to this point: #87
bench minutes: #344
Dayton is in 2nd round of NCAA’s for first time since 2015.
Coach Grant has coached 5 NCAA games; all five were decided by 3 or less points, or in overtime.


Arizona (26-8) ranked #5 by KenPom
Tempo: #16
Experience: #82
Continuity: #210
Arizona split its last four games, after a 10-1 run.
Wildcats are 10-2 in non-league games.
Arizona has #25 eFG% in country.
Wildcats are a top 5 rebounding team in country.
Arizona is 9-4 against teams in the top 50.
Arizona’s schedule, to this point: #24
bench minutes: #281
Arizona is 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in last six 2nd round games.


Last six years, #2-seeds are 8-12 ATS in this round.
Pac-12 teams are 2-0 SU/1-1 ATS vs A-15 teams this year.


Kansas vs Gonzaga (-4.5) (@ Salt Lake City)
Kansas (23-10) ranked #24 by KenPom
Tempo: #84
Experience: #22
Continuity: #139
Kansas lost four of its last six games.
Jayhawks’ best player McKullar (oblique) is out.
Kansas led Samford by 21 Thursday, had lead cut to 1- they won 93-89.
Kansas played four starters 35:00+.
Jayhawks shot 72.5% inside the arc vs Samford.
Jayhawks are 13-1 in non-conference games (NC sked #68).
Jayhawks are 2-4 ATS as an underdog this season.
Kansas is 10-7 against teams in the top 50.
Kansas’ schedule, to this point: #6
bench minutes: #315
Kansas lost three of last four second round games.


Gonzaga (26-7) ranked #12 by KenPom
Tempo: #79
Experience: #132
Continuity: #218
Gonzaga won 10 of its last 11 games.
Zags are 10-4 in D-I non-conference games.
Gonzaga is shooting 58.1% inside arc (#7)
Opponents are shooting 44.9% inside arc (#11)
Gonzaga is 10-6 against teams in the top 100.
Gonzaga’s schedule, to this point: #101
bench minutes: #343
Last 8 years, Gonzaga is 8-0 SU/4-4 ATS in second round games.


Zags beat Kansas 102-90 in a preseason tournament, three years ago.
Big X teams are 1-0 SU/0-1 ATS vs WCC teams this season.


Michigan State vs North Carolina (-3.5) (@ Charlotte)
Michigan State (20-14) ranked #16 by KenPom
Tempo: #310
Experience: #59
Continuity: #14
MSU lost five of its last eight games.
Michigan State made 10-23 on arc Thursday, had fairly easy win.
Spartans are 9-3 in non-conference games.
Spartans are 2-3 SU/ATS in last five 2nd round games.
Since 2015, MSU is 2-2 ATS as a 2nd round underdog.
MSU is 5-10 against top 50 teams.
MSU is 2-10 in games decided by 7 or less points.
Michigan State’s schedule, to this point: #8
bench minutes: #171


North Carolina (27-7) ranked #9 by KenPom
Tempo: #42
Experience: #6
Continuity: #179
UNC won nine of its last ten games.
Tar Heels are 9-3 in non-conference games.
UNC has #14 eFG% defense in country.
Tar Heels are #6 team in country on defensive boards.
UNC is 8-4 against teams in the top 50.
UNC’s schedule, to this point: #26
bench minutes: #332
UNC is 4-2 ATS in its last six second round games.


North Carolina is 5-0 vs Michigan State in NCAA Tourney games.
Last six years, #1-seeds are 9-13 ATS in second round games.
This year, ACC teams are 3-2 SU/4-1 ATS vs Big 14 teams.


Washington State vs Iowa State (-6.5) (@ Omaha)
Washington State (25-9) ranked #37 by KenPom
Tempo: #313
Experience: #295
Continuity: #307
Wazzu is 4-3 in last seven games, after a 21-6 start.
Wazzu played four starters 35:00+ in Thursday’s 66-61 win.
Coogs have #33 eFG% defense in country.
Coogs are 10-2 in non-conference games (NC sked #314).
Wazzu is shooting 52.1% inside arc (#106)
Wazzu is 10-6 against teams in the top 100.
Wazzu’s schedule, to this point: #84
bench minutes: #272
Wazzu is in NCAA’s for first time since 2008 (Tony Bennett was coach)


Iowa State (28-7) ranked #6 by KenPom
Tempo: #189
Experience: #123
Continuity: #199
Iowa State won 12 of its last 14 games.
Cyclones are 12-2 in non-conference games (NC sked #347).
Cyclones are forcing turnovers 25.6% of time (#2)
Iowa State has #34 eFG% defense in country.
Iowa State is 11-5 against teams in the top 50.
Iowa State’s schedule, to this point: #45
bench minutes: #232
Since 2014, Iowa State is 3-1 ATS in second round games.


Last six years, #2-seeds are 8-12 ATS in this round.
This year, Big X teams are 5-2 SU/4-3 ATS vs Pac-12 opponents.


Oakland vs NC State (-6.5) (@ Pittsburgh)
Oakland (24-11) ranked #130 by KenPom
Tempo: #240
Experience: #107
Continuity: #110
Oakland is 18-3 in its last 21 games, after a 6-8 start.
Grizzlies are 12-3 in games decided by 7 or less points, or in OT
Oakland is 10-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
Grizzlies have #94 eFG% in country.
Oakland is 2-5 against teams in top 100.
Oakland’s schedule, to this point: #178
bench minutes: #225
Oakland is in NCAA’s for first time since 2011.
Since 1998, #14-seeds are 1-10 ATS in second round.


NC State (23-14) ranked #55 by KenPom
Tempo: #139
Experience: #15
Continuity: #243
NC State won its last six games, after a 2-7 skid.
Opponents are shooting 34.3% on the arc (#219)
Wolfpack is 10-6 in games decided by 7 or less points, or in OT
Wolfpack is 9-3 in non-conference games.
NC State is 13-0 against teams ranked outside the top 100.
NC State’s schedule, to this point: #49
bench minutes: #265
Under Keatts, NC State is 1-2 in NCAA Tourney games.
Thursday was Wolfpack’s first NCAA tourney win since 2015.
State played four starters 34:00+ Thursday.

Favorites are 6-0 ATS all-time when a #11-seed plays a #14-seed.
ACC teams are 2-0 SU/1-1 ATS vs Horizon League opponents.


Texas vs Tennessee (-6.5) (@ Charlotte)
Texas (21-12) ranked #25 by KenPom
Tempo: #195
Experience: #4
Continuity: #154
Texas is 7-7 in its last 14 games.
Longhorns are shooting 35.6% on arc (#83).
Longhorns are shooting 53.3% inside arc (#67).
Texas is #222 team on defensive boards.
Longhorns are 12-2 in non-conference games (NC sked #279).
Texas is 7-9 against teams in the top 50.
Texas’ schedule, to this point: #32
bench minutes: #193
Texas is in NCAA’s for 4th straight year, under 3 different coaches.
Since 2009, Texas is 1-4 SU in 2nd round games.


Tennessee (25-8) ranked #7 by KenPom
Tempo: #80
Experience: #52
Continuity: #66
Tennessee won eight of its last 10 games.
Vols have #5 eFG% defense in country.
Vols are 11-3 in non-conference games.
Tennessee is 8-7 against teams in the top 50.
Tennessee’s schedule, to this point: #13
bench minutes: #288
Coach Barnes is 8-7 SU/7-8 ATS in 2nd round NCAA games.
Coach Barnes grew up in Hickory, NC; 60 miles from Charlotte.


Coach Barnes coached Texas from 1998-2015 (402-180)
Both teams had stress-free wins Thursday.
Last six years, #2-seeds are 8-12 ATS in this round.
TY, Big X teams are 10-2 SU/7-5 ATS vs SEC opponents.


Duquesne vs Illinois (-10.5) (@ Omaha)
Duquesne (25-11) ranked #80 by KenPom
Tempo: #251
Experience: #48
Continuity: #95
Duquesne won its last nine games.
Since 2017, #11-seeds are 9-2 ATS in 2nd round games.
Dukes are 9-3 in D-I non-conference games.
Dukes have #53 eFG% defense in country.
Duquesne is 2-3 against top 50 teams.
Duquesne is 9-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
Duquesne’s schedule, to this point: #95
bench minutes: #80
Duquesne is in NCAA’s for first time since 1977.
Coach Dambrot is retiring after this season.

Illinois (27-8) ranked #10 by KenPom
Tempo: #58
Experience: #11
Continuity: #136
Illinois won five in row, eight of last nine games.
Illini is 10-2 in non-league games.
Illinois outscored Morehead 46-31 in 2nd half Thursday.
Illini has #43 eFG%, #55 eFG% defense in country.
Illinois is 16-8 against teams in the top 100.
Illinois’ schedule, to this point: #19
bench minutes: #237
Underwood is 0-4 SU in second round games.
Illinois is 0-5 SU in last five 2nd round games.
Last time Illini made Sweet 16 was 2005.


Big 14 teams are 3-2 SU/ATS vs A-15 teams this season.
Last six years, #3-seeds are 7-16 ATS in this round.

Oregon vs Creighton (-5.5) (@ Pittsburgh)
Oregon (24-11) ranked #51 by KenPom
Tempo: #181
Experience: #169
Continuity: #257
Oregon won its last five games, giving up 66.2 ppg.
Ducks are 9-3 in non-league games.
Ducks scored 1.30 ppp in Thursday’s win vs South Carolina.
Oregon played three starters 36:00+ Thursday.
Oregon is 4-7 against teams in the top 50.
Oregon’s schedule, to this point: #51
bench minutes: #178
Under Altman, Oregon is 5-2 in second round games.
Altman was the Creighton coach from 1994-2010 (327-176)

Creighton (24-9) ranked #11 by KenPom
Tempo: #208
Experience: #8
Continuity: #41
Creighton won eight of its last ten games.
Bluejays are 10-2 in non-conference games.
Creighton has #3 eFG% in the country.
Bluejays have #11 eFG% defense in country.
Creighton forces fewest turnovers in country.
Creighton’s schedule, to this point: #30
bench minutes: #355
Bluejays played four starters 32:00+ Thursday.
Under McDermott, Creighton is 2-4 SU in second round games..


Last six years, #3-seeds are 7-16 ATS in this round.
Big East teams are 4-2 SU/2-4 ATS vs Pac-12 teams this season.

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, March 23

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, March 23

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, MARCH 23​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
UNT at HALL	11:30 AM	UNT +4.0 O 134.5	+500 +500
DAY at ARIZ	12:45 PM	DAY +9.0 U 149.5	+500 +500
ARST at COOK	01:00 PM	ARST -13.0 U 152.0	+500 +500
BRAD at CIN	02:00 PM	CIN -5.5 U 142.0	+500 +500
GONZ at KU	03:15 PM	GONZ -4.0 O 151.5	+500 +500
UCSD at CHS	03:30 PM	CHS +10.0 O 139.0	+500 +500
AAMU at NORF	04:00 PM	NORF -9.5 U 142.5	+500 +500
SEA at DSU	05:30 PM	DSU +12.5 O 137.0	+500 +500
MSU at UNC	05:30 PM	MSU +4.0 U 140.5	+500 +500
WSU at ISU	06:10 PM	WSU +6.5 U 129.0	+500 +500
VT at OSU	07:00 PM	OSU -4.5 U 150.0	+500 +500
OAK at NCST	07:10 PM	OAK +6.0 O 147.0	+500 +500
TEX at TENN	08:00 PM	TEX +6.5 O 146.0	+500 +500
DUQ at ILL	08:40 PM	DUQ +10.5 U 148.0	+500 +500
ORE at CREI	09:40 PM	CREI -5.0 U 146.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday’s 6-pack:
Coaching changes for next year in college basketball:
— Bryant- Phil Martelli Jr
— Coastal Carolina- Justin Gray
— DePaul- Chris Holtmann
— Fairfield- Chris Casey
— Ohio State- Jake Diebler
— Old Dominion- Mike Jones

Quote of the Day
“Very seldom do you see him get to the free throw line when you can make a case that every other possession that he touches the basketball he gets fouled.”
NC State basketball coach Kevin Keatts, talking about his big man, DJ Burns

Sunday’s quiz
Colorado Rockies have played in one World Series, in 2007; who was their manager?

Saturday’s quiz
Vermont is 1-9 in NCAA Tournament games; their only win was against Syracuse in 2005.

Friday’s quiz
Five major league baseball teams have never won a World Series:
Rockies, Brewers, Padres, Mariners, Rays

************************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a snowy Saturday……​

Favorites won all eight games in the NCAA Tournament Saturday, going 6-2 ATS.
Oregon 86, Creighton 73, 2OT
Oregon led by 4 with 0:56 left in regulation.
Only two Ducks scored after halftime.
Creighton was 13-14 on the foul line, Oregon 4-5.
Since 1994, Creighton has had only two basketball coaches; Greg McDermott and Oregon coach Dana Altman, who led the Bluejays from 1994-2010.

NC State 79, Oakland 73
Wolfpack is 7-0 over the last 12 days (won 5 games at ACC tourney LW)
Oakland sharpshooter Gohlke was only 6-17 on the arc.
All five starters for NC State scored in double figures.

Gonzaga 89, Kansas 68
Gonzaga is in the Sweet 16 for the ninth year in a row.
Zags outscored Kansas 46-24 in the second half.
Kansas lost five of its last seven games.
Weird coincidence; the two coaches in this game, Bill Self/Mark Few, were both born on December 27, 1962.

Iowa State 67, Washington State 56
Game was 27-27 at halftime.
Cyclones shot only 37.2% inside arc, were 7-14 on arc.
Wazzu was only 5-23 on the arc.

Arizona 78,Dayton 68
Arizona shot 57.1% inside the arc.
Wildcats win their 7th straight second round game.
Arizona plays the Clemson-Baylor winner in the Sweet 16.

North Carolina 85, Michigan State 69
Spartans led 26-14 early on.
Michigan State is 2-4 in its last six second round games.
North Carolina is 6-0 vs Michigan State in NCAA Tourney games.

Tennessee 62,, Texas 58
Tennessee won despite shooting 33.8% from floor.
Vols allowed 49-58 points in their first two tournament wins.
Tennessee-Creighton is an interesting Sweet 16 game.

Illinois 89, Duquesne 63
Illinois led 50-26 at halftime of this stress-free win.
Duquesne had nothing left after their upset win Thursday.
Illinois starts four seniors; they shot 73.7% inside the arc.

Famous birthdays for March 24:
Garry Templeton, 68
Bruce Hurst, 66
Mike Woodson, 66
Steve Karsay, 52
Peyton Manning, 48
Chris Bosh, 40

— Florida Atlantic coach Dusty May bolted to Michigan Saturday; May was at FAU for six years, getting to the Final Four LY; last two seasons, the Owls were 60-13.
Speaking of May, when FAU lost to Northwestern Friday, one of the Wildcats’ players was Brooks Barnhizer, whose father was Dusty May’s high school coach.

— Saint Mary’s has won the WCC four times since 2010; in those four years, they went 1-3 in their first NCAA Tournament game.

— Indiana Pacers’ F Doug McDermott played college ball for his father Greg at Creighton; the McDermotts have another son, Nick, who is a caddy on the pro golf tour; he caddied for Nate Lashley last week at the PLAYERS Championship.

— Mets signed DH JD Martinez to a one-year, $12M deal. Martinez hit 33 homers for the Dodgers last year, with 103 RBI; unfortunately, he kicked my butt in the finals of our fantasy baseball league.

— Odd Fact of the Day: Only one team in NCAA Tournament history has gone a whole game without taking a foul shot; Illinois, in 1986.
Saturday night, Oregon didn’t take a foul shot until there was 0:24 left in regulation.

— Former NBA coach Stan Van Gundy is a TV analyst on the NCAA’s; it is great to listen to him analyze games, it is like taking a masterclass on basketball. Always learn stuff listening to him.

— St Bonaventure’s athletic director quit suddenly this weekend, a week after the Bonnies opted out of playing in the NIT, but nobody told the players. Must be an interesting story there.

— Oakland coach Greg Kampe has an unusual dentist; the mom of one of his players is Kampe’s dentist, so I’m guessing that kid plays a lot, especially right before his annual checkup.

— Kind of stunning to hear the grief that John Calipari is getting from disgruntled Kentucky fans after the Wildcats lost in the first round, for the second time in three years.
Last five years, Kentucky is 105-52, 62-27 in SEC games, but only 1-3 in NCAA Tournament.
Some nitwits want Calipari fired, but that would cost the school/boosters $33M; that’s the buyout on his contract, and who exactly would want to coach there if they ain’t happy with Calipari?

 

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, MARCH 24​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
UNCO at CLEVST	11:00 AM	UNCO +2.0 O 159.0	+500 +500
COLO at MARQ	12:10 PM	COLO +4.5 O 148.0	+500 +500
MONT at PRE	01:00 PM	MONT -7.5 U 149.5	+500 +500
MINN at INST	02:00 PM	INST -7.5 O 163.5	+500 +500
USU at PUR	02:40 PM	USU +11.5 O 149.5	+500 +500
FAIR at UALR	03:30 PM	UALR -1.0 U 153.0	+500 +500
UGA at WAKE	04:00 PM	WAKE -9.5 O 157.5	+500 +500
JMU at DUKE	05:15 PM	JMU +7.5 O 148.0	+500 +500
QUIN at EVAN	05:30 PM	QUIN -3.0 O 151.5	+500 +500
CLEM at BAY	06:10 PM	BAY -4.5 O 144.5	+500 +500
GRC at ALA	07:10 PM	GRC +5.5 O 168.5	+500 +500
VCU at USF	07:30 PM	USF -3.0 U 142.5	+500 +500
NW at CONN	07:45 PM	CONN -14.0 O 135.5	+500 +500
TAM at HOU	08:40 PM	TAM +10.0 O 134.5	+500 +500
IOWA at UTAH	09:00 PM	IOWA +5.0 U 166.0	+500 +500
BC at UNLV	09:30 PM	BC +4.5 U 143.5	+500 +500
YALE at SDSU	09:40 PM	YALE +5.5 U 128.5	+500 +500

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 24

Sunday’s games
Colorado vs Marquette (-3.5) (@ Indianapolis)
Colorado (26-10)
KenPom rating: 21
Tempo: 168
Experience: 177
Continuity: 62
Colorado won 10 of its last 12 games.
Buffs are 11-2 in non-conference games TY.
Colorado has #16 eFG% in the country.
Buffs are #28 team in country on defensive boards.
Colorado is 6-5 vs teams in top 50.
Colorado’s schedule, to this point: #69
bench minutes: #309
Third game in five days for Colorado.
Buffs played all five starters 30:00 in Friday’s 77-possession win.


Marquette (26-9) ranked #13 by KenPom
Tempo: #93
Experience: #143
Continuity: #3
Marquette had split their last six games, with star G Kolek out.
Kolek had 17 points, 10 assists in his return Friday, an 87-69 win.
Marquette outscored WKU 51-26 in second half.
Eagles are forcing turnovers 21.2% of time (#20)
Marquette is shooting 56.1% inside arc (#15)
Eagles are 9-6 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Marquette’s schedule, to this point: #9
bench minutes: #184
Marquette won three of last four second round games.
Shaka Smart made Final Four in 2011, but is 1-3 in second round games.


Last six years, #2-seeds were 8-12 ATS in second round.
Big East teams are 4-2 SU/2-4 ATS vs Pac-12 teams this season.


Utah State vs Purdue (-11.5) (@ Indianapolis)
Utah State (28-6) ranked #44 by KenPom
Tempo: #108
Experience: #80
Continuity: #360
Utah State won seven of its last eight games.
Aggies are 11-1 in their D-I non-conference games.
Aggies are 2-5 ATS as an underdog this season.
Utah State is shooting 57.3% inside arc (#10)
Opponents are shooting 52.6% inside arc (#286)
Aggies are 6-5 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Utah State’s schedule, to this point: #88
bench minutes: #327
Friday was Utah State’s first NCAA win since 2001.


Purdue (30-4) ranked #3 by KenPom
Tempo: #189
Experience: #67
Continuity: #10
Purdue won seven of its last eight games.
Purdue has #14 eFG% in country.
Boilers are shooting 40.7% on the arc (#2)
Boilers are 12-0 in non-conference games (NC schedule #11).
Purdue is #6 team on offensive boards.
Boilers are 12-4 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Purdue’s schedule, to this point: #6
bench minutes: #235
Coach Painter is 6-4 SU/7-3 ATS in second round games.
Purdue won its four second round games SU.


Last six years, #1-seeds were 9-13 ATS in 2nd round games.


James Madison vs Duke (-4.5) (@ Brooklyn, NY)
James Madison (32-3) ranked #57 by KenPom
Tempo: #64
Experience: #12
Continuity: #198
James Madison won its last 14 games.
JMU led wire-to-wire in its win over Wisconsin Friday.
Dukes have #20 eFG% defense in country.
Dukes have #39 eFG% in country.
JMU is forcing turnovers 20% of time (#37).
Dukes are 2-2 against top 100 teams.
JMU’s schedule, to this point: #278
bench minutes: #124
James Madison is in NCAA’s for first time since 2013.
Only one JMU player played 30:00+ Friday.


Duke (24-8) ranked #9 by KenPom
Tempo: #236
Experience: #205
Continuity: #24
Duke is 4-3 in its last seven games.
Duke is 10-2 in their non-conference games.
Blue Devils have #21 eFG% in country.
Duke is #51 team on defensive boards.
Blue Devils are 12-6 vs teams ranked in top 100.
Duke’s schedule, to this point: #72
bench minutes: #275
Since 2015, Duke is 5-2 SU/6-4 ATS in second round games.


Last six years, #4-seeds were 9-6 ATS in second round games.
Last six years, #12-seeds were 4-4 ATS in second round games.
This year, ACC teams are 2-1 SU/ATS vs Sun Belt opponents.


Clemson vs Baylor (-4.5) (@ Memphis)
Clemson (22-11) ranked #24 by KenPom
Tempo: #261
Experience: #26
Continuity: #64
Clemson lost three of its last five games.
Clemson had stress-free win over New Mexico Friday.
Tigers are shooting 54.3% inside arc (#38)
Opponents are shooting 46.8% inside arc (#42)
Clemson is 11-1 in non-conference games.
Tigers are 8-3 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Clemson’s schedule, to this point: #31
bench minutes: #232
Tigers are in NCAA’s for third time in last seven years.
Since 1997, Clemson is 2-0 in second round games.


Baylor (24-10) ranked #14 by KenPom
Tempo: #282
Experience: #89
Continuity: #234
Baylor won five of its last seven games.
Bears are 11-2 in their D-I non-conference games.
Baylor had stress-free win over Colgate Friday.
Baylor has #13 eFG% in country.
Opponents are shooting 51.9% inside arc (#246)
Bears are 11-9 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Baylor’s schedule, to this point: #4
bench minutes: #302
Baylor is 1-3 SU in last four second round games.


This year, ACC teams are 10-3 SU/ATS vs Big X opponents.
Last five years, underdogs are 6-5 ATS in #3-#6 second round games.


Grand Canyon vs Alabama (-5.5) (@ Spokane)
Grand Canyon (30-4) ranked #50 by KenPom
Tempo: #116
Experience: #59
Continuity: #157
Grand Canyon won six in row, 13 of last 15 games.
Antelopes were 28-36 on foul line Friday.
Antelopes have #9 eFG% defense in country.
Antelopes are forcing turnovers 19.8% of time (#40)
Grand Canyon is #32 team on offensive boards.
Antelopes are 4-1 against top 100 teams.
Antelopes allowed 75+ points in all four of their losses.
Grand Canyon’s schedule, to this point: #184
bench minutes: #292
Grand Canyon is in second round for the first time.
Grand Canyon played three starters 34:00+ Friday.


Alabama (22-11) ranked #15 by KenPom
Tempo: #7
Experience: #63
Continuity: #276
Alabama is 3-4 in its last seven games.
They gave up 100+ points in three of the four losses.
Crimson Tide is 9-5 in non-conference games (NC SOS #17).
Alabama has #9 eFG% in country.
Crimson Tide is #29 team on offensive boards.
Opponents are shooting 51.1% inside arc (#213)
Crimson Tide is 13-11 vs teams ranked in top 100.
Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #6
bench minutes: #133
Under Oats, Alabama is 2-0 SU in second round games.


Last six years, #4-seeds were 9-6 ATS in second round games.
Last six years, #12-seeds were 4-4 ATS in second round games.
This year, SEC teams are 2-0 SU/1-1 ATS vs WAC opponents.


Northwestern vs UConn(-14.5) (@ Brooklyn, NY)
Northwestern (22-11) ranked #38 by KenPom
Tempo: #340
Experience: #56
Continuity: #80
Northwestern lost three of its last five games.
Four Wildcats played 39:00+ in Friday’s OT win.
Wildcats are shooting 39.3% on the arc (#7)
Northwestern has #234 eFG% defense in country.
Wildcats are 12-7 vs top 100 teams.
Northwestern is 10-2 in non-conference games
Northwestern is 10-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
Northwestern’s schedule, to this point: #41
bench minutes: #301
Northwestern is in NCAA’s for 2nd year in row, for first time.
Under Collins, Wildcats are 0-2 in 2nd round games, losing by 5-6 points.


UConn (32-3) ranked #1 by KenPom
Tempo: #324
Experience: #69
Continuity: #149
UConn won eight in row, 22 of last 23 games.
Huskies won the national title last year.
UConn has #5 eFG% in country, #3 eFG% defense.
Huskies are #12 team on offensive boards.
Huskies are 12-2 vs teams ranked in top 50.
UConn’s schedule, to this point: #46
bench minutes: #227
Since 1998, UConn is 10-3 in second round games.

This year, Big East teams are 8-11 SU/ATS vs Big 14 opponents.
Last six years, #1-seeds were 9-13 ATS in 2nd round games.


Texas A&M vs Houston (-9.5) (@ Memphis)
Texas A&M (21-14) ranked #39 by KenPom
Tempo: #264
Experience: #45
Continuity: #43
Texas A&M won six of its last seven games.
Aggies are 6-5 ATS as an underdog this season.
Aggies have #340 eFG% in country.
Luckily for them, Aggies are #1 team in country on offensive boards.
Texas A&M is 10-4 in non-conference games.
Aggies are 8-7 against top 50 teams.
Texas A&M’s schedule, to this point: #18
bench minutes: #153
In his career, Buzz Williams is 4-1 SU in second round games.
Friday, they were 13-23 on arc; for season, Aggies are shooting 29.2% on arc (#344 out of 362 teams)


Houston (31-4) ranked #2 by KenPom
Tempo: #349
Experience: #95
Continuity: #127
Houston won 12 of its last 13 games.
Cougars are 14-0 in their non-conference games (NC SOS #227).
Houston has #2 eFG% defense in country.
Opponents are shooting 43.3% inside arc (#3)
Cougars are 15-4 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Houston’s schedule, to this point: #25
bench minutes: #194
Under Sampson, Houston is 4-1 SU in second round games.


This year, Big X teams are 9-2 SU/7-4 ATS vs SEC opponents.
Last six years, #1-seeds were 9-13 ATS in 2nd round games.


Yale vs San Diego State (-5.5) (@ Spokane)
Yale (23-9) ranked #79 by KenPom
Tempo: #328
Experience: #235
Continuity: #21
Yale has won six of its last seven games.
Bulldogs are 4-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
Yale is #22 team in country protecting the ball.
Yale is #13 team on defensive boards.
Bulldogs are 2-3 against top 100 teams.
Yale is 10-6 in non-conference games (NC schedule #61)
Yale lost 86-71 at Gonzaga, 75-60 at Kansas.
Yale’s schedule, to this point: #114
bench minutes: #326
Yale is in NCAA’s for third time in last five years.
Last five years, #13-seeds are 0-6 ATS in this round.

San Diego State (25-10) ranked #20 by KenPom
Tempo: #271
Experience: #44
Continuity: #117
San Diego State won three of its last four games.
Aztecs’ last four losses were all by 5 or less points.
Aztecs have #29 eFG% defense in country.
San Diego State is 10-2 in D-I non-conference games.
Aztecs are 11-10 against top 100 teams.
San Diego State’s schedule, to this point: #24
bench minutes: #215
Since 2011, San Diego State is 3-2 in second round games.
Last five years, #5-seeds are 9-5 ATS in this round.


Mountain West won their only game this year vs an Ivy League team.

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Sunday, March 24

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 24

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday’s 6-pack:
Leading scorers in the NBA:
34.8— Luka Doncic, Dal
30.8— Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, OKC
30.7— Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milw
27.5— Kevin Durant, Phx
27.4— Donovan Mitchell, Clev
27.4— Jalen Brunson, NYK

Quote of the Day
“You appreciate him on film, then you appreciate him with his numbers. But then you play against him, and you’re like, ‘Holy cow, that kid is special.’ He’s a good player.”
Colorado basketball coach Tad Boyle, talking about Marquette’s Tyler Kolek

Monday’s quiz
What retired player has the most hits in Tampa Bay Rays history?
Hint: He played for Tampa Bay in the 2008 World Series

Sunday’s quiz
Colorado Rockies have played in one World Series, in 2007; Clint Hurdle was their manager.

Saturday’s quiz
Vermont is 1-9 in NCAA Tournament games; their only win was against Syracuse in 2005.

******************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday…….​

Favorites won 15 of 16 games in the second round of the NCAA Tournament Saturday/Sunday, going 12-4 ATS. Very unusual.

— Clemson 72, Baylor 64
#6-seed Tigers were the only underdog to win in the second round.
Clemson led wire-to-wire, shot 56.7% inside the arc.
Clemson plays Arizona in the Sweet 16.

— Houston 100, Texas Tech 95, OT
Tech hit a 3-pointer at the buzzer in regulation to force OT
Houston led by 13 with 3:49 left in regulation.
Tech lost by 5; they missed 16 foul shots (29-45).

— Marquette 81, Colorado 77
Marquette led 45-34 at half; game was tied with 3:33 left.
Kolek scored 21 points, had 11 assists; he played all 40:00.
Golden Eagles shot 73.5% inside arc, Colorado 58.3%.

— Alabama 72, Grand Canyon 61
Antelopes led by 3, with 6:03 left to play.
Grand Canyon was 2-20 on the arc, 23-37 on foul line.
Alabama plays North Carolina in the Sweet 16.

— San Diego State 85, Yale 57
Aztecs came into game shooting 31% on arc; they made 13-27 in this game.
Aztecs led 45-21 at halftime of this stress-free win.
San Diego State plays UConn in the Sweet 16.

— Purdue 106, Utah State 67
Aggies led 20-19 after the first 10:00, then it went downhill, quickly.
Utah State shot 35.9% from the floor.
Zach Edey scored 23 points, had 14 rebounds.

— UConn 75, Northwestern 58
UConn won easily; they led 40-18 at halftime.
Huskies won their last nine games, seven of them by 14+ points.
Northwestern made NCAA’s the last two years, first time they ever did that.

— Duke 93, James Madison 55
Duke led the Dukes 47-25 at halftime.
Blue Devils made 14-28 shots on the arc.
Duke plays Houston in the Sweet 16.

Famous birthdays for March 25:
Elton John, 77
Bonnie Bedelia, 76
Lee Mazzilli, 69
Avery Johnson, 59
Tom Glavine, 58
Kyle Lowry, 38

— College basketball coaching hires:
West Virginia hired Drake coach Darian DeVries as its new coach; his son Tucker is expected to follow him to Morgantown. Tucker DeVries scored 21.6 ppg this year, grabbed 6.7 rebounds per game. Darian DeVries was 150-55 in six years coaching Drake.
Rice Owls hired former SMU coach Rob Lanier as their new coach; Lanier has been a head coach for 10 years at three different schools, making the NCAA’s in 2002 at Siena, 2022 at Georgia State.

— Baltimore Orioles are 23-6 in spring training, which means very little.

— JD Martinez signed a one-year, $12M deal with the Mets; he mentioned how the Giants had offered him more $$$ than the Mets, but because San Francisco’s ballpark is bigger than Citi Field, he thought his numbers would go down with the Giants, and teams would think he was on the decline.

— In the NBA, Portland Trailblazers started five rookies Saturday night, only the second team since 1971 to start five rookies in a game.
On April 26, 2012, Golden State started five rookies against San Antonio; one of the rookies was Klay Thompson.

— The starting five Grand Canyon used against Alabama Sunday averaged 23.0 years old, starting lineup for the NBA’s Oklahoma City Thunder averages 22.6 years old.

— NBA suspensions after a scuffle the other night:
Utah’s Kris Dunn got suspended for two games, a total of $35,678.
Houston’s Jabari Smith got suspended for one game, $53,601.

— All eight #1 and #2-seeds made it to the Sweet 16, for the first time since 2019.

 

[Udog]

HIGH POINT is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses in the current season.

ARKANSAS ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after scoring 85 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO ST is 35-17 ATS (16.3 Units) in road games after playing a game as an underdog in the last 3 seasons.

IUPU-FT WAYNE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds in the current season.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, March 25

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, March 25

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, MARCH 25​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
FAIR at CHS	04:30 PM	FAIR -5.0 O 145.5	+500 +500
SEA at EVAN	06:30 PM	EVAN +8.0 O 141.5	+500 +500
PFW at TST	07:00 PM	TST -5.5 U 151.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Best free throw shooting teams in the country:
80.8%— Villanova
80.5%— Indiana State
80.1%— Princeton
79.8%— Montana
79.5%— Wake Forest
79.3%— Virginia Tech

Quote of the Day
“My commitment is I am going to work. I am not changing… This is what I wanted and this is why I never left. Let’s come together and let’s do something special. We have done it before, so let’s do it again.”
Kentucky basketball coach John Calipari

Tuesday’s quiz
When was last time two #1-seeds played for the college basketball national title?

Monday’s quiz
Carl Crawford has the most hits in Tampa Bay Rays history (1,480)

Sunday’s quiz
Colorado Rockies have played in one World Series, in 2007; Clint Hurdle was their manager.

************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….​

Lot of activity in the coaching carousel:

— Utah State’s Danny Sprinkle bolts from Utah State to Washington; Aggies were 28-7 this season, in Sprinkle’s first year in Logan. He had to rebuild the entire roster; when he took the job, he didn’t have any players who scored a point for Utah State the previous year.
Sprinkle is 80-25 as a coach the last three years; 52-18 at Montana State, 28-7 at Utah State.

— Toledo’s Tod Kowalczyk jumps from the Rockets to Utah State; he went 104-37 the last four years at Toledo, but never made the NCAA’s. Rockets haven’t made the tournament since 1980.

— Utah State will have its 4th coach in five years next year, its 6th coach in 11 years, and they had only one losing season during all that time.

— James Madison coach Mark Byington is now the coach at Vanderbilt; he went 82-36 in four years with the Dukes, after coaching Georgia Southern for seven years.

— Washington State is moving to the WCC next year because the Pac-12 doesn’t exist anymore; their coach Kyle Smith bolted to Stanford Monday. Smith went 94-71 in five years coaching the Coogs, after coaching San Francisco for three years, Columbia for six years.
Stanford is moving to the ACC next year (why!?!??), so Smith will get a lot of frequent flyer miles in his new job.

— Missouri State brought an old friend back, hiring Cuonzo Martin as its new coach;; Martin was 61-41 coaching the Bears from 2008-11, then moved on to Tennessee, Cal and Missouri.
Missouri State was 74-49 the last four years under Dana Ford, 45-31 in MVC games, but they haven’t made the NCAA’s since 1999, when Steve Alford was their coach. The rich people who control the purse strings in college sports aren’t very patient these days.

— William & Mary hired Cornell coach Brian Earl; Big Red went 22-8 this year, winning the Ivy League regular season with a 13-3 mark.

— Some coaching jobs that are still open:
Louisville, Oklahoma State, Cornell, Drake, Duquesne, FAU, Fresno State, James Madison, Long Beach State, Pepperdine, Saint Louis, Siena, Washington State

Famous birthdays for March 26:
Diana Ross, 80
Marcus Allen, 64
John Stockton, 62
Keira Knightley, 39
Von Miller, 35
Cristian Javier, 27

Word of the Day:
Enthusiastic – having or showing intense and eager enjoyment.

— UNLV is in the NIT, where the schedule has been odd:
Wednesday, Rebels won 84-77 at Princeton, in New Jersey. Long trip.
Sunday, Rebels beat Boston College 79-70 at home. Long trip for BC.
This Wednesday, Rebels play at Seton Hall, again in New Jersey.
Final Four for the NIT this year is in Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, where they filmed the last few game scenes in Hoosiers.

— Lon Kruger, father of UNLV coach Kevin Kruger, led five different schools to the NCAA Tournament:
Kansas State, 1987-90
Florida, 1994-95
Illinois, 1997-98, 2000
UNLV, 2007-08, 2010-11
Oklahoma, 2013-16, 2018-21
Kruger also coached the Atlanta Hawks for three years (2000-03)

— Houston’s 100-95 overtime win over Texas A&M Sunday night was unusual:
4 Houston players fouled out; last time a team won an NCAA Tourney game when four of their players fouled out was 1987.
A&M lost by 5 points; they missed 16 foul shots (29-45)
Aggies’ best player, Wade Taylor, shot 5-26 from the floor.
A&M had 26 offensive rebounds; Houston had 24 defensive rebounds.
Houston led by 13 with 3:49 left, won in overtime. Very unusual.

— Deion Sanders is babbling again, saying how he is going to pull strings to make sure his son plays for a certain NFL team(s). Colorado went 4-8 last year with Sanders coaching and his son playing QB (1-8 in Pac-12). The kid has never played for a coach other than his father.
If you ran an NFL franchise, and your 7-figure salary depended on winning, would you draft the Sanders kid? Seems like too much of a soap opera for me.

— UFL starts this week; the 8-team football league, combining teams from the USFL/XFL, will play a 10-game schedule, with the top two teams in each division making the playoffs. It looks like FOX, ESPN and ABC will be showing the games.

— Since 2000, four baseball players have been hit by a pitch twice in the same inning:
2008- Mike Hessman, Det
2010- Jose Guillen, SF
2012- David DeJesus, Cubs
2014- Brandon Moss, A’s

 

[Udog]

OHIO ST is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current season.

HIGH POINT is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after a game where they covered the spread in the current season.

INDIANA ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

SEATTLE is 11-3 Under (7.7 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite in the current season.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 26

NCAAB

Tuesday, March 26

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Georgia @ Ohio State
Georgia
Georgia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Georgia is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Ohio State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Cincinnati @ Indiana State
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Indiana State
Indiana State is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games at home
Indiana State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 26

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, MARCH 26​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
HP at ARST	07:00 PM	HP -2.5 O 158.5	+500 +500
UGA at OSU	07:00 PM	UGA +8.5 U 150.5	+500 +500
SEA at FAIR	09:00 PM	FAIR +7.0 O 143.0	+500 +500
CIN at INST	09:00 PM	INST -3.5 O 154.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Sweet 16 matchups/spreads:
Thursday
Arizona (-7.5) vs Clemson
UConn (-11.5) vs San Diego State
North Carolina (-4.5) vs Alabama
Iowa State (-1.5) vs Illinois
Friday
Marquette (-6.5) vs NC State
Purdue (-5.5) vs Gonzaga
Houston (-4.5) vs Duke
Tennessee (-2.5) vs Creighton

Quote of the Day
“There is a standard here. It’s a high standard. And if you play or coach here, you gotta know what that standard is and love it, relish it. It’s hard.”
Kentucky basketball coach John Calipari, who will be back with the Wildcats next season

Wednesday’s quiz
In the movie The Natural, when Robert Redford played a 30-ish ballplayer who came out of nowhere to become a star, what famous actor played the manager of the New York Knights?

Tuesday’s quiz
2021 was last time two #1-seeds played for the college basketball national title, when Baylor beat Gonzaga, 86-70.

Monday’s quiz
Carl Crawford has the most hits in Tampa Bay Rays history (1,480)

********************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……​

Greetings from Las Vegas, America’s favorite city. This was a long day, was in airplanes/airports all day, but the world doesn’t stop because I’m on vacation. Lot of stuff happened Tuesday.

— You’d think being in an airport at 4:45am on a Tuesday morning would be quiet, but today was anything but; they’re doing construction at Albany Airport, and the lines at the security checkpoint were long, very long. 45 minutes worth of long.

— Somehow, my luggage got to Las Vegas before I did; for a few minutes, I thought they lost by suitcase, but they paged me and told me it got to Las Vegas on a different flight than the one I was on, so that was a relief.

— Lakers-Bucks NBA game was the feature attraction in the sportsbook tonight; guys yelling for both sides in a double overtime game. It was fun to listen to.

— Sportsbooks take bets on everything; they had soccer scores up on the board between countries I’ve never heard of.

— In Las Vegas hotels, if you put the “Do Not Disturb” sign on your door three days in a row, turning down housecleaning, they do a wellness check on you, to make sure you’re not dead, I guess. They actually told me that today when I checked in.

— Vancouver Canucks are 15-1 to win the Stanley Cup, even though they have 98 points, tied for most in the NHL. Vegas Golden Knights are 6-1, even though they only have 86 points, but they are the defending champs.

— New England Patriots are 150-1 to win the Super Bowl next season, which just seems wrong, but times change quickly.

— Peter Marshall, host of the Hollywood Squares and one of the best game show hosts ever, turns 98 years old Saturday; they’re doing a show on YouTube Saturday, some of the old shows from the Hollywood Squares. Should be fun.
Marshall’s son is Pete LaCock, who played in the major leagues for nine years, for the Cubs and Royals, hitting .257 for his career.

— Famous birthdays for March 27:
Randall Cunningham, 61
Ed Pinckney, 61
Danny Fortson, 48
Buster Posey, 37
Brandon Nimmo, 31

— Sweet 16 games are where Purdue coach Matt Painter has struggled; in his career, he is 1-5 SU/ATS in Sweet 16 games. Purdue plays Gonzaga; since 2015, the Zags are 5-3 in Sweet 16 games.

— Clemson is 8-1 against the spread as an underdog this year; they’re getting 7.5 points from Arizona Thursday.

— In the Big West, Cal Poly hired Mike DeGeorge as its new basketball coach; DeGeorge led Colorado Mesa to five NCAA Tournaments in his six years as the D-II school. Cal Poly hasn’t had a winning season since 2013; they were 30-117 in five years under the previous coach, 8-77 in conference games. Not good.

— In the NBA, Houston Rockets are 11-1 ATS in March.

— Sacramento Kings C Domantas Sabonis has had 55 games in a row with a double-double, the longest such streak since at least 1977.

— Arizona Diamondbacks signed P Jordan Montgomery for one year, $25M, getting agent Scott Boras off the hook for leaving his clients hanging this spring.

— Monday’s Cleveland-Arizona game got rained out, which is odd- the Diamondbacks play in a domed stadium. Game was called after six innings when an unexpected rainstorm hit Chase Field. Because of ongoing mechanical issues, the retractable roof at Chase Field can’t be opened or closed with fans in attendance.

— Colorado Rockies signed SS Ezequiel Tovar for seven years, $63.5M; if the Rockies exercise their option for 2031, the contract would be worth $84M.

— All the pro teams have social media accounts, but the Oakland A’s Twitter account is different; you can’t respond to their posts, because lot of us A’s fans despise the cheap bastard who owns the team. A’s seem to be a little bit better this year but seeing how they were 50-112 last year, that won’t take much.

— Actor Bryan Cranston is an avid baseball baseball fan, a Dodger fan; he named one of his dogs Vin Scully.

— Back in 1963, Hall of Fame pitcher Sandy Koufax started 42 games; Dodgers went 36-6 in those 42 games, as Koufax won the Cy Young Award, the MVP and the Dodgers won the World Series. Pretty good year.
Last year, Miles Mikolas started 35 games, Zac Gallen 34, the most of anyone in the big leagues.

— NFL Owners Meetings are going on this week; they changed the kickoff rule, making it more like the one the spring leagues use. It figures to double the amount of kickoff returns next year.

— Christmas is on a Wednesday nine months from now; NFL will actually have two games that day, with those four teams also playing on Saturday the previous week, the 21st.

— Week 1 Friday night game will involve the Eagles and is being played in Brazil, because the NFL takes money from everywhere; apparently that game will be shown on Peacock, and only Peacock, which is disappointing, but there will be baseball on TV that night, too.

— NFL moved its 2024 trade deadline back a week, until the Tuesday after Week 10.

 

[Udog]

HIGH POINT is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) as a dog in the current season.

UNLV is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.

IUPU-FT WAYNE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds in the current season.

VA COMMONWEALTH is 10-0 Under (10 Units) in road games after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers in the current season.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 27

NCAAB

Wednesday, March 27

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UNLV @ Seton Hall
UNLV
UNLV is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
UNLV is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Seton Hall
Seton Hall is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seton Hall's last 6 games at home

PFW @ Norfolk State
PFW
PFW is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
PFW is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Norfolk State
No trends to report

VCU @ Utah
VCU
VCU is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of VCU's last 15 games on the road
Utah
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 27

 

[Udog]

ARIZONA is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after a non-conference game in the current season.

CONNECTICUT is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) when seeded 4 or higher in the NCAA tournament over the last 2 seasons.

N CAROLINA is 7-1 Over (5.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games in the current season.

ILLINOIS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half in the current season.




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 28

Thursday’s games
Clemson vs Arizona (-7.5) (@ Los Angeles)
Clemson (23-11) ranked #23 by KenPom
Tempo: #257
Experience: #26
Continuity: #65
Clemson won its first two NCAA games, scoring 77-73 points.
Clemson is shooting 54.4% inside arc (#38)
Tigers are 12-1 in non-conference games.
Opponents are shooting 46.9% inside arc (#43)
Clemson is 8-1 ATS as an underdog this season.
Tigers are 9-3 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Clemson’s schedule, to this point: #23
bench minutes: #232
Since 1997, Clemson is 0-2 in Sweet 16 games.


Arizona (27-8) ranked #5 by KenPom
Tempo: #16
Experience: #81
Continuity: #211
Arizona won first two NCAA games, scoring 85-78 points.
Wildcats are 11-2 in non-league games.
Arizona has #24 eFG% in country.
Wildcats are a top 5 rebounding team in country.
Arizona is 10-4 against teams in the top 50.
Arizona’s schedule, to this point: #30
bench minutes: #281
Since 2009, Arizona is 3-4 SU in Sweet 16 games.
Since 2019, #2-seeds are 6-4 SU in Sweet 16 games.


This is first time since 2015 that a #2-seed played a #6-seed in this round.
Pac-12 teams are 3-3 SU/ATS vs ACC teams this year.


San Diego State (-5.5) vs UConn (@ Boston)
San Diego State (26-10) ranked #17 by KenPom
Tempo: #266
Experience: #44
Continuity: #117
San Diego State won four of its last five games.
Aztecs’ last four losses were all by 5 or less points.
Aztecs have #26 eFG% defense in country.
San Diego State is 11-2 in D-I non-conference games.
Aztecs are 7-9 against top 50 teams.
San Diego State’s schedule, to this point: #32
bench minutes: #211
Since 2011, San Diego State is 1-2 in Sweet 16 games.
Since 2005, eight #5-seeds have played in the Sweet 16; underdogs went 8-0 ATS in those games.


UConn (32-3) ranked #1 by KenPom
Tempo: #315
Experience: #69
Continuity: #149
UConn won nine in row, 23 of last 24 games.
Huskies won the national title last year.
UConn has #5 eFG% in country, #5 eFG% defense.
Huskies are #15 team on offensive boards.
Huskies are 13-2 vs teams ranked in top 50.
UConn’s schedule, to this point: #41
bench minutes: #229
Last four times UConn made Sweet 16, they also made Final Four.


UConn (-6.5) beat San Diego State 76-65 in national title game LY.
UConn held Aztecs to 32.2% from the floor.
Mountain West teams are 2-1 SU/ATS vs Big East teams this year.
Last six years, #1-seeds are 6-5-1 ATS in this round.


Alabama vs North Carolina (-4.5) (@ Los Angeles)
Alabama (23-11) ranked #14 by KenPom
Tempo: #8
Experience: #63
Continuity: #276
Alabama is 3-1 in its last four games.
They gave up 99+ points in four of their last five losses.
Crimson Tide is 10-5 in non-conference games (NC SOS #16).
Alabama has #10 eFG% in country.
Crimson Tide is #26 team on offensive boards.
Opponents are shooting 50.9% inside arc (#209)
Crimson Tide is 5-11 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #4
bench minutes: #133
Under Oats, Alabama is 0-2 SU in Sweet 16, losing by 7-10 points.


North Carolina (29-7) ranked #9 by KenPom
Tempo: #41
Experience: #6
Continuity: #179
UNC won 10 of its last 11 games.
Tar Heels are 10-3 in non-conference games.
UNC has #15 eFG% defense in country.
Tar Heels are #6 team in country on defensive boards.
UNC is 9-4 against teams in the top 50.
UNC’s schedule, to this point: #16
bench minutes: #332
Since 2004, UNC is 8-2 ATS in Sweet 16 games.


This year, SEC teams are 16-12 SU/18-10 ATS vs ACC opponents.
Last six years, #1-seeds are 6-5-1 ATS in this round.
Since 2012, #4-seeds are 10-14-1 ATS in this round.


Illinois vs Iowa State (-1.5) (@ Boston)
Illinois (28-8) ranked #10 by KenPom
Tempo: #71
Experience: #11
Continuity: #136
Illinois won six in row, nine of last ten games.
Illini is 11-2 in non-league games.
Last four games, Illinois scored 91.3 ppg.
Illini has #31 eFG%, #46 eFG% defense in country.
Illini is 4th-worst team in country at forcing turnovers.
Illinois is 9-6 against teams in the top 50.
Illinois’ schedule, to this point: #33
bench minutes: #238
Last time Illini made Elite 8 was 2001.


Iowa State (29-7) ranked #7 by KenPom
Tempo: #205
Experience: #124
Continuity: #197
Iowa State won 13 of its last 15 games.
Cyclones are 13-2 in non-conference games (NC sked #346).
Cyclones are forcing turnovers 25.5% of time (#2)
Iowa State has #34 eFG% defense in country.
Iowa State is 12-5 against teams in the top 50.
Iowa State’s schedule, to this point: #44
bench minutes: #235
Since 2014, Iowa State is 0-3 SU in Sweet 16 games.


This year, Big X teams are 4-3 SU/ATS vs Big 14 opponents.
Since 2016, #2-seeds are 7-4 ATS vs #3-seeds in this round.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, March 28

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 28