Tourney record so far:
Not Inviteds: +$0.68
Rd 1: +$1.75
Rd 2: +$10.58
My goal during tourney time is to not get killed, not square out and play every game just to have crack rat action, and enjoy the games. There are certainly better places to improve your bankroll. Everyone gets so hyped up for this, they abandon their basic handicapping style and start relying on vague eye tests, gut feelings, and "analysis" of the teams playing. I guess that's one way to embrace variance and wild swings ultimately just paying juice to the man. My advice would be to take it easy, reserve your big plays for spots, and if you see a game that stacks up in your favor, then hit it. Don't think you can just slam every game because you have it all figured out.
Early:
Alabama -4 $4.35 to win $4.00
Michigan over 144.5 $4.20 to win $4.00
Also lean to Michigan in this matchup, but prefer the total. Wolverines played some lower scoring affairs in Big Ten play where their opponents were able to and knew they had to slow down the pace. VCU wants to push pace, and considering Michigan is at its best in the open floor, they should oblige. Would expect an up and down game. Who knows if enough shots will fall, but the pace and possessions should be there.