nFl 2023-24

WildBillPicks7

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Winner last night, yep it was a brutal game. Anyone taking the Broncos the rest of the year better/bettor think twice, as Payton has pissed off the league, Wilson doesn't respect nor care for Payton, players are jumping ship and finger pointings in practice not going over with holdovers from previous Head Coaches. This organizations is a shitshow right now!!

Added plays and adjusted play on SF now -9 1/2 due to Watson being out and Bills new on the board for me blew up to -15 1/2 with Daniel Jones out news!! Looking hard at the Chargers on MNF SU vs Cowboys, Chargers off a bye week and have Ekeler back MN too!!

Also, road teams covering spreads as favs are doing well this year!! 16 ATS WINS 12 LOSSES 2 PUSHES!!

Road Underdogs are: 22 ATS WINS 20 ATS LOSSES 2 PUSH

GLE!!
 

WildBillPicks7

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7-12 overall in Week 5, -24.4 units!!

Week 6, 10/12-10/16

7 pt: KC -3 1/2 & Under 54 1/2 (5 units) - KC not a good DD Fav cover, Denver can't cover shit either and blew so many chances at home vs the Jets in the Hackett return game!! Chiefs "D" will put pressure on Wilson who's been scrambling better of late, thanks to escape routes in the collapsing pocket, the Broncos running game as well not doing so well, yet Denver has been able to score points, just not in KC. Denver's running "D" and passing "D" allow way more than the average yards per game, evidenced vs Wilson & Jets last week, vs Chicago and got totally blown out for 70 pts vs the Dolphins. I don't see that trend changing too much on TNF in KC vs Mahomes, Pacheco and the other receivers KC has other than Kelce. It's also a short week! WINNER

Baltimore -4 - taking Ravens once again, they can't blow a game like they did again vs the Steelers here vs the Titans can they? I think they bounce back as Tannehill's magic is wearing down and Colts "D" stymied Titans last week, which not too many teams have done. Ravens by a TD in London!!

SF -5, -9 1/2 (5 units) - Niners one of two undefeateds with the best on paper "D" face another tough "D" with a ? mark at QB for the Brownies, Ford should be back for Browns, but key here is Purdy and his weapons which for me are at least a TD better than the Browns.

Miami -13 1/2 - Dolphins can name their score vs an "O" that stinks evidenced by their loss at Detroit last week so 2 straight weeks on the road, the Dolphins are missing Achane so Mostert & Wilson will fill in along with the WRs weapons for Tua

LV -3 - can't back the Patriots anymore this year

Jags -4 (5 units) - one of the first matchups where both teams faced each other already in their conference and division, Jags off 2 straight games in London now face Indy with Minshew at the helm for Indy and Taylor in the fold at RB but don't tell Moss who had a breakout day last week vs Tennessee, Jags have Indy's number and should win this one by 6 or more

Philly -6 1/2 (5 units) - Eagles go from West to East now face Jets who won their media game for Hackett last week in Denver of all places, Wilson & the Jet offense are playing better but they've not faced a "D" line like what Philly has and of course Hurts is a mobile QB and Jets DBs will get challenge, D Smith for Eagles has been quiet thus far and it's time for a breakout game for him because Brown has been on FIRE for the Eagles and Jets will concentrate on him while Goeddert and the other receivers get their targets, special teams also a factor here, I have Eagles winning by 10!

Buffalo -15 1/2 (5 units) - Bills smarting a bit for oversleeping their flight into London last week, tried the comeback vs Jags, now are home and catch the Giants limping and going to 2nd string QB at home, may be some wind in this game so I'll side with running style and "D" of Bills to cover over the Giants, as I have Bills winning by 34?

Under 51 1/2 Dallas/LAC (5 units)




12-9, +2.1, 1 unit sides
10-12-1, -3.2, 1 unit totals
10-11-1, -10.5, 5 unit sides
2-2, -1.0, 5 unit totals

3-0, +5.0, 1 unit, 7 pt teaser:
4-4, -1.5, 5 unit, 7 pt teaser

0-1, -5.5, 5 unit team total
1-1, -.10, 1 unit team total

1-0, +1.2, 1 unit Sweetheart teaser
0-1, -5.0, 5 unit Sweetheart teaser
1-0, +5.0, 2H-5 unit play
1-0, +1.0, 2H-1 unit play
2-0, +10.0, Quarter plays
1-2, -6.0, 5 unit Live plays
0-1, -5.25, 5 unit ML plays

...........TOTAL OF YEAR
...........GAME OF YEAR
WON.....48....LOSS.....44....PUSH....2...., -13.75 units, beginning 9/7/23

13 Pt Sweetheart, 1 unit wins 2.86 units
Baltimore Ravens +8 1/2, Jags +9, Eagles +6 1/2, Bills -2, Rams +6 (5 units)
 

WildBillPicks7

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8-3 week, banging the sweetheart teaser for 5 units +14.3 units on that play, Live plaly on Bills I can only count as a 1 unit, it was supposed to be a 5 unit play Sunday night. Onward!! +16.8 units on the week to gain back from a lousy week 4!!

15-9, +5.1, 1 unit sides
10-12-1, -3.2, 1 unit totals
11-14-1, -22.5, 5 unit sides
3-2, +4.0, 5 unit totals
3-0, +5.0, 1 unit, 7 pt teaser:
5-4, +3.0, 5 unit, 7 pt teaser

0-1, -5.5, 5 unit team total
1-1, -.10, 1 unit team total

1-0, +1.2, 1 unit Sweetheart teaser
1-1, +9.3, 5 unit Sweetheart teaser
1-0, +5.0, 2H-5 unit play
1-0, +1.0, 2H-1 unit play
2-0, +10.0, Quarter plays
1-2, -6.0, 5 unit Live plays
0-1, -5.25, 5 unit ML plays

1-0, +1.0, 1 unit Live Play

...........TOTAL OF YEAR
...........GAME OF YEAR
WON.....56....LOSS.....47....PUSH....2...., +3.05 units, beginning 9/7/23
 

WildBillPicks7

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Rollercoaster ride last 3 weeks, winning week, losing week, then winning week!! Picking like the Eagles are playing!!


Week 7 10/19-10/23

7 pt: Jags +8 1/2 & Over 32 1/2 (5 units) - Don't trust the Aints with Carr one bit, they have OL issues, so "D" may be on the field quite a bit here vs Jags, Jags tore apart the Colts offense in both tilts vs Colts and I consider Saints "D" the same as the Colts!! Ridley will get his looks but look for Jags lesser known players to get some credit tonight!! Btw the Colts comparison to Aints is how many yards per rush/pass they give up as an average. Aints scored 17 pts vs Carolina, 9 vs Tampon Bay & 20 vs Carolina?

Jags +1 1/2 - check at halftime for halftime play!

LV -3 - rookie QB for Bears!! Raiders' Adams wants the damn ball!

Indy +3 - this line is low, yeah Watson may not play but Browns BU QBs suck!! How they beat SF last week is something on Shanahan's head!!

Over 41 Det/Balt

Over 41 Buf/NE

Over 42 Pit/LAR

Rams -3 (5 units) - this line hasn't moved much, Steelers are typically good off a bye week however Pickett is just in his 2nd season and still trying to gain traction calling plays, the Steelers best chance is their "D", now they have to cover Kupp & Nacua and the Steelers allow way too many passing yards as it is, they get sacks when they need them, but this is on the road all the way out west and Rams licking their chops at home getting no respect!!

Over 47 LAC/Chiefs (5 units) - yeah Unders hitting at 61% so far this year, the lines will adjust as I've seen the public pounding Unders in all but 1 game in the NFL this weekend!!

Chargers +5 1/2 (5 units) - I don't trust the Chiefs, they went out and got Hardman back from the Jets which tells you something and their special teams not as good as in the past, Chargers off the MNF tilt now play a divisional game and typically play KC tough! Palmer the key ingredient for the Bolts!

Green Bay -1 - will not back the Broncos with their dysfunction going on!!

Eagles -2 (5 units) - All the talk has been around how good Miami is and how poorly the Eagles have under-performed offensively which is true, Eagles went out and got a system guy who knows AJ Brown well as Devonta Smith has been a no show offensively with drops and his lightweight body is getting beat up by DBs the other receivers Watkins & Zaccheaus had been non-existent and Goeddert is a 4-5 yd catch guy which is not conducive in helping the Eagles offensively if they can't get first downs. Dolphins on the road at Buffalo and NE didn't play well at all, there is some wind supposedly which will effect the aerial game a bit here and the kicking game, I'm betting on the Eagle "D" to come back and smack down on Tua and Hurts will pull his head out of his ass to ignite some RPO's and utilize Jones if he's game shape ready here, otherwise, AJ Brown will be the key with Swift gaining some yards on vs Dolphin lackluster "D". Miami allows 4.1 yards per rush attempt! Eagle DBs on the crutches, so someone back there needs to take control, hopefully Slay is 100% this go around, front line the key on Eagle "D". Carter should be back along with Cox, Reddick the key card here! Why aren't the Dolphins favored here? Hmm...

Over 51 Dolphins/Eagles (5 units) - feeling a 31-24 type game here!!

SF -6 1/2 - Niner "D" too much for the Vikings, Cousins playing for a contract for next year somewhere else, Jefferson out for a while, can't see Vikes "D" keeping Niners "O" in check at home.


15-9, +5.1, 1 unit sides
10-12-1, -3.2, 1 unit totals
11-14-1, -22.5, 5 unit sides
3-2, +4.0, 5 unit totals
3-0, +5.0, 1 unit, 7 pt teaser:
5-4, +3.0, 5 unit, 7 pt teaser

0-1, -5.5, 5 unit team total
1-1, -.10, 1 unit team total

1-0, +1.2, 1 unit Sweetheart teaser
1-1, +9.3, 5 unit Sweetheart teaser
1-0, +5.0, 2H-5 unit play
1-0, +1.0, 2H-1 unit play
2-0, +10.0, Quarter plays
1-2, -6.0, 5 unit Live plays
0-1, -5.25, 5 unit ML plays

1-0, +1.0, 1 unit Live Play

...........TOTAL OF YEAR
...........GAME OF YEAR
WON.....56....LOSS.....47....PUSH....2...., +3.05 units, beginning 9/7/23
 

WildBillPicks7

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Rollercoaster ride last 3 weeks, winning week, losing week, then winning week!! Picking like the Eagles are playing!!


Week 7 10/19-10/23

7 pt: Jags +8 1/2 & Over 32 1/2 (5 units) - Don't trust the Aints with Carr one bit, they have OL issues, so "D" may be on the field quite a bit here vs Jags, Jags tore apart the Colts offense in both tilts vs Colts and I consider Saints "D" the same as the Colts!! Ridley will get his looks but look for Jags lesser known players to get some credit tonight!! Btw the Colts comparison to Aints is how many yards per rush/pass they give up as an average. Aints scored 17 pts vs Carolina, 9 vs Tampon Bay & 20 vs Carolina?

Jags +1 1/2 - check at halftime for halftime play!

LV -3 - rookie QB for Bears!! Raiders' Adams wants the damn ball!

Indy +3 - this line is low, yeah Watson may not play but Browns BU QBs suck!! How they beat SF last week is something on Shanahan's head!!

Over 41 Det/Balt

Over 41 Buf/NE

Over 42 Pit/LAR

Rams -3 (5 units) - this line hasn't moved much, Steelers are typically good off a bye week however Pickett is just in his 2nd season and still trying to gain traction calling plays, the Steelers best chance is their "D", now they have to cover Kupp & Nacua and the Steelers allow way too many passing yards as it is, they get sacks when they need them, but this is on the road all the way out west and Rams licking their chops at home getting no respect!!

Over 47 LAC/Chiefs (5 units) - yeah Unders hitting at 61% so far this year, the lines will adjust as I've seen the public pounding Unders in all but 1 game in the NFL this weekend!!

Chargers +5 1/2 (5 units) - I don't trust the Chiefs, they went out and got Hardman back from the Jets which tells you something and their special teams not as good as in the past, Chargers off the MNF tilt now play a divisional game and typically play KC tough! Palmer the key ingredient for the Bolts!

Green Bay -1 - will not back the Broncos with their dysfunction going on!!

Eagles -2 (5 units) - All the talk has been around how good Miami is and how poorly the Eagles have under-performed offensively which is true, Eagles went out and got a system guy who knows AJ Brown well as Devonta Smith has been a no show offensively with drops and his lightweight body is getting beat up by DBs the other receivers Watkins & Zaccheaus had been non-existent and Goeddert is a 4-5 yd catch guy which is not conducive in helping the Eagles offensively if they can't get first downs. Dolphins on the road at Buffalo and NE didn't play well at all, there is some wind supposedly which will effect the aerial game a bit here and the kicking game, I'm betting on the Eagle "D" to come back and smack down on Tua and Hurts will pull his head out of his ass to ignite some RPO's and utilize Jones if he's game shape ready here, otherwise, AJ Brown will be the key with Swift gaining some yards on vs Dolphin lackluster "D". Miami allows 4.1 yards per rush attempt! Eagle DBs on the crutches, so someone back there needs to take control, hopefully Slay is 100% this go around, front line the key on Eagle "D". Carter should be back along with Cox, Reddick the key card here! Why aren't the Dolphins favored here? Hmm...

Over 51 Dolphins/Eagles (5 units) - feeling a 31-24 type game here!!

SF -6 1/2 - Niner "D" too much for the Vikings, Cousins playing for a contract for next year somewhere else, Jefferson out for a while, can't see Vikes "D" keeping Niners "O" in check at home.


15-9, +5.1, 1 unit sides
10-12-1, -3.2, 1 unit totals
11-14-1, -22.5, 5 unit sides
3-2, +4.0, 5 unit totals
3-0, +5.0, 1 unit, 7 pt teaser:
5-4, +3.0, 5 unit, 7 pt teaser

0-1, -5.5, 5 unit team total
1-1, -.10, 1 unit team total

1-0, +1.2, 1 unit Sweetheart teaser
1-1, +9.3, 5 unit Sweetheart teaser
1-0, +5.0, 2H-5 unit play
1-0, +1.0, 2H-1 unit play
2-0, +10.0, Quarter plays
1-2, -6.0, 5 unit Live plays
0-1, -5.25, 5 unit ML plays

1-0, +1.0, 1 unit Live Play

...........TOTAL OF YEAR
...........GAME OF YEAR
WON.....56....LOSS.....47....PUSH....2...., +3.05 units, beginning 9/7/23
Live plays and 2H blew yesterday as Bears get a pick 6 gift to fuck the under 39 1/2 play, Detroit got in the red zone area and failed to score and missed a 2 pt try?

MNF already have a play on the Niners tonight, -6 1/2, adding:

7 pt: Niners +1/2 & Under 50 1/2 (5 units) Niners off the bad road loss to Cleveburgh last weekend, they will have Mac attack back and they still have Aiyuk and Kittle, both will be the difference tonight. Vikings lack of overall talent the key here, Niners will expose it!! Niners 17-6 under MNF lights on the road, 12-0 off a road loss as a fav, Vikings 2-4 as a home dog on MNF! Niners have a +15 turnover margin in this tilt as well!!
 

WildBillPicks7

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8-11, -18.9 units!! Meltdown on halftime and quarter plays. Onward!!

16-12, +2.8, 1 unit sides
13-13-1, -3.2, 1 unit totals
12-15-1, -23.0, 5 unit sides
3-4, -7.0, 5 unit totals

3-0, +5.0, 1 unit, 7 pt teaser:
6-5, +2.5, 5 unit, 7 pt teaser

0-1, -5.5, 5 unit team total
1-1, -.10, 1 unit team total

1-0, +1.2, 1 unit Sweetheart teaser
1-1, +9.3, 5 unit Sweetheart teaser
2-1, +4.5, 2H-5 unit play
1-0, +1.0, 2H-1 unit play
3-1, +9.5, Quarter plays
1-3, -11.5, 5 unit Live plays
0-1, -5.25, 5 unit ML plays

1-0, +1.0, 1 unit Live Play

...........TOTAL OF YEAR
...........GAME OF YEAR
WON.....64....LOSS.....58....PUSH....2...., -18.75 units, beginning 9/7/23
 

WildBillPicks7

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Week 8, 10/26 - 10/30


7 pt: Bills -1 & Over 35 - Bills off a bad road loss, TB off a bad home loss getting 3 turnovers from Atlanta yet still failing to win at home

Jags -1 1/2 - Jags matchup well vs Pitt, Jags difference is Ridley & Kirk, vs Steelers receivers, also special teams edge Jags

Houston -3 - Panthers are just bad, Texans playing out of their minds off a bye week should be fresh here on the road

Under 45 1/2 Phil/Wash - second game between the two, Eagles big home win, Wash off bad road loss scoring just 7, Eagles "D" will ream Howell a new assho**

Eagles -7 (5 units) - first go around Wash covered losing 34-31, this time around Eagles front line salivating over a team giving up 40 sacks already and no running game, Eagles have yet to turn a turnover into actual points, they get that chance here and Byard makes his debut with Philly too! Philly 31 Wash 10

Over 45 1/2 LAR/Dallas (5 units) - Rams robbed possibly at home vs Steelers, Dallas at home playing west coast teams typically high scoring, no difference here so long as Stafford can find his receivers and Henderson gets some carries

Over 47 NE/Miami (5 units) - second game match here, Miami won at NE 24-17 first time, Miami off beatdown vs Eagle "D", should get some exposure to week areas of NE who are off a big win vs Bills, Miami with some injuries to watch, all players should be ready at home, if not, Dolphin "D" doesn't stop anyone

Giants +3 - Giants off a win at home beating Wash 14-7, team does well executing with vet backup QB and Barkley getting some looks, Jets will try to get Cook some runs, Jets "D" is their strength however, longer on the field the Giants will exploit it.

Tenn +1 1/2 (5 units) - Falcons off big road win with turnovers they gave up more than twice now face Titans off a bye week, should have plenty of carries given out to Spears & Henry here, check Titan QB situation, upgrade might be to use backups here, Tenn "D" lost their best DB trading him to Philly however, Titans at home typically better than on the road

Over 44 Balt/AZ (5 units) - Ravens found their scoring ability vs the Lions, now go into Phoenix to possibly face a new starting QB for Cardinals should Murray finally be ready, and is so, AZ has scored some points, they beat Dallas at home, but put up just 10 points last week at Seattle. Raven's "D" is playing better of late evidenced by containing the Lions last week, they could be relaxed a bit here and can see a 31-17 type game for the Ravens.

TOTAL OF THE YEAR: Over 45 Bears/Chargers (10 units) Bears threw up some nuggets vs a bad Raider's team and Chargers on a 2 game bender now at home, time for Hebert to mix up some scores with a healthy Ekeler back and utilize Allen, Palmer and their Tight End to smother the Bears which had been giving up over 30 ppg before facing the Raiders and Hoyer. LAC 34 CHI 17!

7 pt: Detroit -1/2 & Over 37

16-12, +2.8, 1 unit sides
13-13-1, -3.2, 1 unit totals
12-15-1, -23.0, 5 unit sides
3-4, -7.0, 5 unit totals

3-0, +5.0, 1 unit, 7 pt teaser:
6-5, +2.5, 5 unit, 7 pt teaser

0-1, -5.5, 5 unit team total
1-1, -.10, 1 unit team total

1-0, +1.2, 1 unit Sweetheart teaser
1-1, +9.3, 5 unit Sweetheart teaser
2-1, +4.5, 2H-5 unit play
1-0, +1.0, 2H-1 unit play
3-1, +9.5, Quarter plays
1-3, -11.5, 5 unit Live plays
0-1, -5.25, 5 unit ML plays

1-0, +1.0, 1 unit Live Play

...........TOTAL OF YEAR
...........GAME OF YEAR
WON.....64....LOSS.....58....PUSH....2...., -18.75 units, beginning 9/7/23
 
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WildBillPicks7

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Week 8, 10/26 - 10/30


7 pt: Bills -1 & Over 35 - Bills off a bad road loss, TB off a bad home loss getting 3 turnovers from Atlanta yet still failing to win at home

Jags -1 1/2 - Jags matchup well vs Pitt, Jags difference is Ridley & Kirk, vs Steelers receivers, also special teams edge Jags

Houston -3 - Panthers are just bad, Texans playing out of their minds off a bye week should be fresh here on the road

Under 45 1/2 Phil/Wash - second game between the two, Eagles big home win, Wash off bad road loss scoring just 7, Eagles "D" will ream Howell a new assho**

Eagles -7 (5 units) - first go around Wash covered losing 34-31, this time around Eagles front line salivating over a team giving up 40 sacks already and no running game, Eagles have yet to turn a turnover into actual points, they get that chance here and Byard makes his debut with Philly too! Philly 31 Wash 10

Over 45 1/2 LAR/Dallas (5 units) - Rams robbed possibly at home vs Steelers, Dallas at home playing west coast teams typically high scoring, no difference here so long as Stafford can find his receivers and Henderson gets some carries

Over 47 NE/Miami (5 units) - second game match here, Miami won at NE 24-17 first time, Miami off beatdown vs Eagle "D", should get some exposure to week areas of NE who are off a big win vs Bills, Miami with some injuries to watch, all players should be ready at home, if not, Dolphin "D" doesn't stop anyone

Giants +3 - Giants off a win at home beating Wash 14-7, team does well executing with vet backup QB and Barkley getting some looks, Jets will try to get Cook some runs, Jets "D" is their strength however, longer on the field the Giants will exploit it.

Tenn +1 1/2 (5 units) - Falcons off big road win with turnovers they gave up more than twice now face Titans off a bye week, should have plenty of carries given out to Spears & Henry here, check Titan QB situation, upgrade might be to use backups here, Tenn "D" lost their best DB trading him to Philly however, Titans at home typically better than on the road

Over 44 Balt/AZ (5 units) - Ravens found their scoring ability vs the Lions, now go into Phoenix to possibly face a new starting QB for Cardinals should Murray finally be ready, and is so, AZ has scored some points, they beat Dallas at home, but put up just 10 points last week at Seattle. Raven's "D" is playing better of late evidenced by containing the Lions last week, they could be relaxed a bit here and can see a 31-17 type game for the Ravens.

TOTAL OF THE YEAR: Over 45 Bears/Chargers (10 units) Bears threw up some nuggets vs a bad Raider's team and Chargers on a 2 game bender now at home, time for Hebert to mix up some scores with a healthy Ekeler back and utilize Allen, Palmer and their Tight End to smother the Bears which had been giving up over 30 ppg before facing the Raiders and Hoyer. LAC 34 CHI 17!

7 pt: Detroit -1/2 & Over 37

16-12, +2.8, 1 unit sides
13-13-1, -3.2, 1 unit totals
12-15-1, -23.0, 5 unit sides
3-4, -7.0, 5 unit totals

3-0, +5.0, 1 unit, 7 pt teaser:
6-5, +2.5, 5 unit, 7 pt teaser

0-1, -5.5, 5 unit team total
1-1, -.10, 1 unit team total

1-0, +1.2, 1 unit Sweetheart teaser
1-1, +9.3, 5 unit Sweetheart teaser
2-1, +4.5, 2H-5 unit play
1-0, +1.0, 2H-1 unit play
3-1, +9.5, Quarter plays
1-3, -11.5, 5 unit Live plays
0-1, -5.25, 5 unit ML plays

1-0, +1.0, 1 unit Live Play

...........TOTAL OF YEAR
...........GAME OF YEAR
WON.....64....LOSS.....58....PUSH....2...., -18.75 units, beginning 9/7/23
MNF, still pending 7 pt teaser adding another teaser

7 pt: Detroit - 1/2 & Under 52 1/2 (5 units)
 

WildBillPicks7

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A winning week however a huge let down losing my TOY after the Bolts/daBears had 27 points at half-time only to score 16 the rest of the game!! Sad to watch and I apologize to those who followed on them. Wanted to make Rams/Boys the TOY , se la vi! I'll take the profit for the week!!

GLE!!
 
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