NfL rOaD tO dA sUpErBoWl
- Thread starter WildBillPicks7
- Start date
- Nov 30, 2003
- 3,712
- 230
- 63
9-4 yesterday, missing one prop by 5 yards and couldn't get a 1/2 sack for Carter, he tried tho!! +7.85 units!!
Eagles made it in the Super Bowl, YAY!!!
NFL Post-Season 2024-25
5-1-1, +3.90, 1 unit plays
0-1, -1.1, 1 unit live plays
0-1, -1.3, 1 unit 7 pt teaser
7-4, +3.55, 1 unit player prop plays
0-1, -1.25, 1 unit Quarter plays
1-0, +.65, 1 unit parlay plays
1-0, +1.0, moneyline plays
5-3, +9.5, 5 unit plays
2-0, +10.0, 5 unit live plays
4-0, +20.0, 5 unit 7 pt teaser
2-0, +10.5, 5 unit Quarter plays
6-5, +5.25, 5 unit play prop plays
1-0-1, +5.0, 5 unit halftime plays
0-1, -11.0, 10 unit live plays
WON.....34....LOSS....17.....PUSH....2.....66.66% WINNERS, +54.7 units, as of 1/11/25
Eagles made it in the Super Bowl, YAY!!!
NFL Post-Season 2024-25
5-1-1, +3.90, 1 unit plays
0-1, -1.1, 1 unit live plays
0-1, -1.3, 1 unit 7 pt teaser
7-4, +3.55, 1 unit player prop plays
0-1, -1.25, 1 unit Quarter plays
1-0, +.65, 1 unit parlay plays
1-0, +1.0, moneyline plays
5-3, +9.5, 5 unit plays
2-0, +10.0, 5 unit live plays
4-0, +20.0, 5 unit 7 pt teaser
2-0, +10.5, 5 unit Quarter plays
6-5, +5.25, 5 unit play prop plays
1-0-1, +5.0, 5 unit halftime plays
0-1, -11.0, 10 unit live plays
WON.....34....LOSS....17.....PUSH....2.....66.66% WINNERS, +54.7 units, as of 1/11/25
We got 2 weeks LOL!! However, comparison sake, Eagles had KC the last time they met in KC, revenge situation, early in the season in '23 and lost in the Super Bowl after being up a good bit 38-35 as a small fav. Holdovers for both teams, AJ Brown, DeVonta Smith, Jalen Hurts, Goeddert, new to Eagles, LB - Baum, Barkley, Davis, Carter, Q & Coop, Slay is healthy. For Chefs, Mahomes, Kelce, Jones, that's about it, some position changes on the OL for Chefs and they added Worthy, Hopkins, Schuster-Smith, Hunt, they have Pacheco back I believe he played in the last Super Bowl vs Eagles but not regular season game at KC, I'd have to go back to check. My numbers have Eagles winning by 3 with a total of 43. Right now I'm seeing -1 1/2 to -2 for KC & total from 50 1/2 down to 49 1/2 now. This is in a dome and the Eagles have played there before coming back vs the Aints down big and lost in the Super Bowl in NOLA vs Faiders back in 81-82?
I'm gonna check out how the line moves up until next weekend!! Might be better prop plays than sides. Really wanted the Bills to make it, not just to face the Eagles, but the Bills ain't won a Super Bowl ever and if they had made it and Beat the Eagles I wouldn't be real upset about it, being a homer Eagle fan for 55 years.
Super Bowl 2/9/25
Eagles +1 1/2 +100 (5 units) - Common denominator both teams with a solid core "D", Eagles a tad younger but faster and bigger upfront, OL edge to Eagles, ground game to Eagles, receiving I'm giving this to Eagles, kicking game about even, Elliott a wild card but this game is indoors. Jalen disrespected since week 11 of 2023 till now. Mahomes won't get his baby crying red flags here and he'll have to scramble the way Jalen Carter and Davis have been stacking the front the past 3 weekends. Commanders had the whole field at home to choose from in their rematch vs Eagles in which Hurts & Pickett both got stung up 36-33 after leading and dominating the Commanders most of the first half. The Eagles showed it with ample turnover opportunities they turned into TDs not FGs. Chiefs most likely could have gone into OT vs Bills if the TE catches that 4th down pass from Allen, that was a pick'em game and Eagles got lots of game film from that tilt, along with tilt vs Texans, their rematch in '23 where Eagles beat KC on Nat'l TV early in the season and the Eagles have revenge still on their mind for their 38-35 loss when they were up in the 1H vs the Chefs!! Sirianni has a plan, Kellen Moore & Fangio ditto, I think the Eagles will use one of their LBs or DBs to spy on Mahomes and they shut down Kelce, leaving Worthy & Schuster-Smith in coverage vs Mitchell/Slay/Dejean - Rodgers the key guy who'll get picked on but he thrives in that situation. Burks OLB for Eggles will be used with Nolan Smith to get to Mahomes often!! Running game with Hurts & Barkley will have an added spark in special teams player and occasional RB Shipley who may have to fill in for Gainwell who got banged up last game. Dickerson & Juergens both should be 100% by game time. Mahomes doesn't make many turnovers but when he's pressured often times he tangles himself up close to blockers and all it's going to take is a few large hand swipes to get him to fumbler-ooooski oooooski to give Eggles chances!! I have Eagles winning this one by 7, 34-27!! I have a feeling this line will stay course until game time which could turn to a pick'em or -1 for KC. Lots of time left, just going with the gut and stats.
Over 49 1/2 (5 units)
1Q over 9 1/2 -110 (5 units)
Saquon Barkley MVP +275 (1 unit) - just feel Saquon is the Kwan the Eagles needed and his leadership and team play, he'll exploit in any opening vs KC "D". He could have a 200 yard+ game receiving & rushing yards!!
Eagles TT over 24 1/2 -110 (5 units)
Will have player props once the lines are out for them. Only seeing the SB props they normally post, nothing for receiving, rushing, TDs etc just yet
Eagles +1 1/2 +100 (5 units) - Common denominator both teams with a solid core "D", Eagles a tad younger but faster and bigger upfront, OL edge to Eagles, ground game to Eagles, receiving I'm giving this to Eagles, kicking game about even, Elliott a wild card but this game is indoors. Jalen disrespected since week 11 of 2023 till now. Mahomes won't get his baby crying red flags here and he'll have to scramble the way Jalen Carter and Davis have been stacking the front the past 3 weekends. Commanders had the whole field at home to choose from in their rematch vs Eagles in which Hurts & Pickett both got stung up 36-33 after leading and dominating the Commanders most of the first half. The Eagles showed it with ample turnover opportunities they turned into TDs not FGs. Chiefs most likely could have gone into OT vs Bills if the TE catches that 4th down pass from Allen, that was a pick'em game and Eagles got lots of game film from that tilt, along with tilt vs Texans, their rematch in '23 where Eagles beat KC on Nat'l TV early in the season and the Eagles have revenge still on their mind for their 38-35 loss when they were up in the 1H vs the Chefs!! Sirianni has a plan, Kellen Moore & Fangio ditto, I think the Eagles will use one of their LBs or DBs to spy on Mahomes and they shut down Kelce, leaving Worthy & Schuster-Smith in coverage vs Mitchell/Slay/Dejean - Rodgers the key guy who'll get picked on but he thrives in that situation. Burks OLB for Eggles will be used with Nolan Smith to get to Mahomes often!! Running game with Hurts & Barkley will have an added spark in special teams player and occasional RB Shipley who may have to fill in for Gainwell who got banged up last game. Dickerson & Juergens both should be 100% by game time. Mahomes doesn't make many turnovers but when he's pressured often times he tangles himself up close to blockers and all it's going to take is a few large hand swipes to get him to fumbler-ooooski oooooski to give Eggles chances!! I have Eagles winning this one by 7, 34-27!! I have a feeling this line will stay course until game time which could turn to a pick'em or -1 for KC. Lots of time left, just going with the gut and stats.
Over 49 1/2 (5 units)
1Q over 9 1/2 -110 (5 units)
Saquon Barkley MVP +275 (1 unit) - just feel Saquon is the Kwan the Eagles needed and his leadership and team play, he'll exploit in any opening vs KC "D". He could have a 200 yard+ game receiving & rushing yards!!
Eagles TT over 24 1/2 -110 (5 units)
Will have player props once the lines are out for them. Only seeing the SB props they normally post, nothing for receiving, rushing, TDs etc just yet
- Nov 30, 2003
- 3,712
- 230
- 63
BTW that PI vs Bradberry back in 2023 was total BS call, today the refs haven't been calling that type of call and relativelly been allowing more other PI shit than ever, if it comes down to that stuff, watch early in the game for Live plays, intangibiles in this game mean more than in games in the past. Eagles remember all that BS, Bradberry is back but he has better alliances to help support him in Slay, Q Mitch & Coop along with a more seasoned Blankenship, the linebackers are faster and the DL line is not only huge, but line cloggers. The running game is better today for the Eagles than it was with Gainwell & Sanders, Goeddert has a running mate in Calcaterra, Johnny Wilson and Dotson are less talked about sleepers to make a mark in the right situation, this will be an exciting game!! If the Eagles get up early don't count on them relenting the attack on Mahomes!!
Defensive line is about 9-10 yrs younger on average then 2 years ago. Think our average age was 34 or 35 2 years ago. More fuel in the tanks for this one.
PROPS:
Barkley over 111.5 rushing yards -110 (5 units)
Hurts over 37.5 rushing yards -110 (5 units)
Anytime TD Barkley -240
Anytime TD Hurts -155
1st TD Scorer Hurts +500
Anytime TD Scorer AJ Brown +175
Anytime TD Scorer Dallas Goeddert +225
Anytime TD Scorer DeVonta Smith +200
2 TDs or more Saquon Barkley +260
Devonta Smith over 4.5 receptioins -110 (5 units)
AJ Brown over 71.5 yards receiving -110
Devonta Smith over 51.5 yards receiving -110
4 team prop: DeVonta Smith (PHI) 80+ Receiving Yards, Over 4.5 Receptions, DeVonta Smith (PHI) 1+ Touchdowns, PHI win +1150 (1 unit)
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Great year and yes we are blessed! Stay healthy in the off season , hit the weights, cardio, and eat strong!!
