OK worm -
Great job this season, and good luck the rest of the way! Always respect your picks and great record. However, I DISAGREE with you on this one. Nobody knows this team like me and I just think we win this one. So, I'm going to give you some things to think about (not just because I'm a homer either).
Dallas played at home on Thanksgiving which gives them much more rest for this game.
Dallas is a GREAT dog to take coming off of a loss, we all know the Parcells factor and they have a strong ATS record coming off of a loss.
This will also have a big impact:
Total Offense - Penalties
Team G Plys Yds/G Y/P FD/G 3rd Md 3rd Att 3rd % 4th Md 4th Att 4th % Pen PenYds TOP TF L
Oakland 11 697 332.0 5.2 19.3 55 145 37.9 5 9 55.6 113 904 28:48 18 5
Baltimore 11 728 278.5 4.2 17.4 64 171 37.4 9 14 64.3 106 806 30:39 17 9
New York (N) 11 715 357.5 5.5 19.5 58 152 38.2 5 8 62.5 102 796 29:55 15 7
New Orleans 11 696 324.0 5.1 20.2 56 144 38.9 1 7 14.3 100 846 30:43 17 14
Arizona 11 739 345.0 5.1 19.2 62 163 38.0 4 12 33.3 98 789 30:36 16 10
Miami 11 679 315.2 5.1 16.0 50 148 33.8 5 13 38.5 95 763 27:05 23 10
Tampa Bay 11 677 304.9 5.0 16.5 55 149 36.9 3 4 75.0 93 737 31:20 11 7
St. Louis 11 693 372.4 5.9 20.5 51 138 37.0 13 15 86.7 92 672 29:36 19 11
Tennessee 11 706 330.9 5.2 17.8 56 151 37.1 6 15 40.0 87 713 31:38 20 9
Cincinnati 11 699 378.8 6.0 21.9 51 131 38.9 1 6 16.7 87 752 31:19 15 6
Detroit 11 681 272.5 4.4 16.8 56 156 35.9 6 15 40.0 87 616 30:05 14 9
Philadelphia 11 708 350.6 5.4 19.3 50 147 34.0 1 7 14.3 87 710 29:22 20 6
Jacksonville 11 691 315.4 5.0 17.3 67 159 42.1 2 7 28.6 86 707 31:32 19 7
Minnesota 11 674 287.8 4.7 18.0 48 142 33.8 4 9 44.4 86 669 29:43 18 10
Buffalo 11 647 244.3 4.2 16.2 49 140 35.0 5 13 38.5 85 625 29:39 18 8
Chicago 11 655 261.3 4.4 15.0 45 148 30.4 4 9 44.4 81 668 29:14 25 12
Kansas City 11 737 367.1 5.5 21.1 56 149 37.6 9 13 69.2 81 625 32:26 15 8
Atlanta 11 713 348.8 5.4 21.3 70 150 46.7 4 8 50.0 81 702 30:56 20 11
Green Bay 11 684 314.8 5.1 19.3 61 141 43.3 3 9 33.3 79 610 29:43 22 8
New England 11 671 347.7 5.7 19.5 53 141 37.6 5 7 71.4 76 641 27:51 15 9
San Diego 11 691 366.4 5.8 22.1 56 131 42.7 4 6 66.7 76 623 31:10 13 6
Washington 11 727 332.5 5.0 19.2 66 161 41.0 5 10 50.0 75 590 31:11 23 15
San Francisco 11 591 217.5 4.0 11.5 35 143 24.5 5 7 71.4 74 527 26:59 23 12
Cleveland 11 638 306.5 5.3 15.8 46 130 35.4 4 10 40.0 71 524 27:25 16 9
Seattle 11 717 386.1 5.9 22.9 55 139 39.6 6 6 100.0 70 656 29:07 14 6
Carolina 11 661 301.9 5.0 17.7 66 148 44.6 1 3 33.3 68 530 30:39 17 8
Pittsburgh 11 646 295.4 5.0 17.7 39 128 30.5 3 8 37.5 68 577 29:55 11 6
Denver 11 693 360.7 5.7 20.5 47 141 33.3 10 13 76.9 67 533 32:21 14 7
Houston 11 626 237.6 4.2 15.1 49 142 34.5 7 15 46.7 67 532 27:51 23 9
New York (A) 11 617 248.8 4.4 15.5 53 141 37.6 4 12 33.3 66 524 26:31 30 14
Indianapolis 11 702 378.6 5.9 23.7 69 131 52.7 4 6 66.7 65 463 31:08 10 5
Dallas 11 740 333.6 5.0 21.0 65 155 41.9 5 10 50.0 63 470 33:30 23 8
I could bring a lot of other stuff into this thread, but I won't rain on your parade. Dallas ML - CASH IT!!
kneifl