NHL 2016-17 snafu edition

[Snafu]

here we go then


last years posted regular season plays W484-L598 +4355
(then i managed to burn that in play offs... :facepalm: )

2015-16 was quite an roller coaster season; first up +4000,
december -4000, january +10000 then faded to +4355...

1u = ?100

Toronto +123 2u
StL +109 2u
StL/Chi 1st O1? +140 1u
LA +120 2u


good luck guys

:0008

goalie info, usually pretty accurate:
http://www.rotoworld.com/news/probable-nhl-goalies.aspx

 

[Snafu]

1-3 -282

thursday

StLouis -118 3u
O5 -115 2u

Buffalo +115 2u

TB -1? +175 2u
this might be a cruel season for Det. Datsyuk now gone and Larkin
plays with good for 3rd-4th line guys... and Mrazek, you really can't
count on him with this defence...

Carolina +111 2u


gl :0008

 

[Snafu]

thursday 2-2-1 +2.50u
season 3-5 -0.32u

Car 4-1 up after 45min... loses 4-5 :facepalm:

friday

Chicago +111 2u
O5 -136 2u
1st O1? +127 2u

Edmonton +109 2u

LAK -1? +215 1u
J Quick out, Zatkoff in for LA

 

[Snafu]

friday 2-2-1 +1.72
season 5-7 +1.42

saturday

Boston +102 3u
1st Boston -102 1u ml
Boston tt O2? -134 2u
would love to hammer this totally, but it is too early to
the season for GOY's and shit like that... let's keep it cool :SIB

TB - NJ O5 +102 2u

Detroit +127 2u

Dallas -113 2u

Vancouver -114 2u


gl :0074

 

[Snafu]

fukin' hell, i had Rask as a starter.. not hooverdobin
after early easy goals match was done.
that's what you get making early plays, 7pm is 2am here...

1-5-1 -8.96u
season 6-12 -7.54

sunday

Car@Van O5 -139 1u

Edmonton -1? +180 2u

 

[Snafu]

sunday 1-1 -100
season 7-13 -8.54


mondayh

Ottawa +130 2u
O5? -103 2u
Det 74 shots against in just two matches, Ott 64 shots shot in two...
Mrazek starts vs Hammond

Col@Pit U5? -121 1u
both teams play tomorrow

Boston +111 2u


gl :0008

 

[Snafu]

monday 2-2 +1.01
season 7-13 -7.53

tuesday
Anaheim -110 2u

Colorado +177 2u
Grubauer in for WAS
Varlamov vs ex-team WAS in 4 matches 7 allowed

Pittsburgh +103 2u

Tampa Bay -140 2u
Reimers debut for Fla

Dal@Nas O5? -123 2u
Rinne vs Lehtonen, usually two finnish goalies = over

StL@Van O5? +132 1u
Markstr?m starts for Van


gl

 

[Snafu]

tuesday 1-5 -766
season 8-18 -15.19

based on latest info:
Rangers Henrik Lundqvist - Red Wings Jimmy Howard
Jets Michael Hutchinson - Maple Leafs Frederik Andersen


Tor@Win 1st O1? -107 1u

NYR -154 2u
U5? -116 2u

gl

 

[Snafu]

wednesday 2-1 -0.08
season 10-19 -15.27

thursday

Minnesota -1? +160 2u

Pittsburgh +115 2u

Montreal tt O3? +146 2u

salami U60? -115 2u
looks like most #1 goalies are in tonight...

gl

 

[Snafu]

3-1 +5.22
13-20 -10.05

friday

NYI tt O3? +122 2u

Nashville
-111 2u
1st -? +184 1u
tt O2? -119 2u

Chicago -110 2u
Clb had five days off... :shrug:


gl

 

[Snafu]

1-4 -5.42
14-24 -15.47

Boston -111 2u

StL -124 2u

NYR +142 2u


might add something later :toast:

 

[Snafu]

2-1 +2.62
14-24 -12.85


Min@NYI
O5 -151 1u
O6? +185 1u

salami OVER 22? +111 2u


gl

 

[Snafu]

3-0 +5.07
14-24 -7.78


Phi@Mon O5 -129 2u

home goals -1? +120 2u
salami O10? -125 1u



gl

 

[jordan23]

Tough breaks last night. Been tailing from the beginning. Let's get hot

Sent from my XT1585 using Tapatalk

 

[Snafu]

thanks jordan,
yeah, well, let's hope breaks go both ways :0074

 

[Snafu]

rookie Subban in for Bruins, back up another rookie Zane McIntyre

Malcolm Subban will be between the pipes for Boston on Tuesday night.
He has played just 32 minutes at the NHL level in his career, but will get
a chance to play against Minnesota because of injuries to Tuukka Rask
and Anton Khudobin. Just in case you were wondering, Subban has
struggled at the AHL level this year. Oct 25 - 11:45 AM

Subban played NHL 31 minutes in 2014, 6 shots 3 goals .500%

http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nhl/4047/malcolm-subban

i really don't believe these year after year in AHL goalies
that haven't had chance to play in NHL


Minnesota -123 3u and -1? +239 1?u
O5? +110 2u

more later

 

[Snafu]

i know i should wait longer, but starting system plays today.

system is pretty simple:

if favorite team wins by -1? they earn +100 amount of money:
-143 team wins by -1? they get +100

if dog team wins +1? they earn their odds amount of money:
+150 dog wins or loses by one goal, they get +150

as the season goes by this builds profit saldo for each team

rule:
if +odds team (dog) has +money saldo vs -money saldo team, that's a bet
doesn't matter if dog plays at home or away, system picks only dogs

i used this as a guide line last year and it did pretty well

some teams will build pretty decent +money saldo even they keep losing by one goal (currently Toronto +675 1-1-2-1), and vice verse, if favorite can't constantly win -1? their saldo doesn't grow well (like Tampa Bay just +141 even they are 4-1 )

i try to keep separate stats for system and other plays

tuesday

Dallas -135 2u

system:

Florida +147 1u
Buffalo +131 1u
Anaheim +144 1u
Columbus +137 1u


gl

 

[Snafu]

nice... Bos can't score one @home, Fla up 2-0 loses 2-3 and three ot/so losses...

regular 3-1 +6.58
system 0-4 -4.00
-----------------------
tuesday 3-5 +2.58
season 17-32 -11.03

wednesday

system play, i like it anyway

Montreal +104 2u

will play NYR -1? and O if odds are decent...


gl

 

[Snafu]

NYR
-1? +167 2u
1st -? +158 2u

gl

 

[Snafu]

regular 1-1 +1.42
system 1-0 +2.00
-----------------------
wednesday 2-1 +3.42

system 1-4 -2.00
season total 19-33 -7.61


thursday 27th

TB@Montreal O5 -117 3u and O6 +220 1u
total is just 5 ??? trap as a trap is... Price 1.68gaa vs Bishop 3.51gaa

Florida -103 3u and -1? +273 1u
Luongo 1.99gaa vs Andersen 4.29gaa .851

grand salami UNDER 49? +109 2u


system

Detroit +152 1u
Columbus +175 1u



gl