Nissan Open

[lostinamerica]

Stan - I just spent 5 minutes at your website and the new tools you have incorporated there look UNBELIEVABLE. THANKS for ALL you do. :clap:

http://www.tour-tips.com

And THANKS to Jack and bestbettor for their sponsorship of the golf contest. :toast:

GL

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Ditto I like extra data on stat form!!!!

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

One early outright to place @ 5dimes (top 5)
Nick Price 13/1

Will probably wait for rest in running and then take everyone but 3 after cut so I have at least one to hit

If all goes the way it has Riley should have big week after dumping on me last week. His 43rd placing 2 years ago was deceiving as he threw in a 76 in a rd.If he just shot par he'd been in the thick of it---and has come a bit since 2000.

I'll also go on record I don't like Tiger here.IMHO Tiger is very beatable on this course.
He has sytematically cut down on par 70 and 71 course as time has went by. I can dig up my stats on his record posted last year on par 70/71 and they very sub-tiger. This course does not favor distance as past winners in last 10 years would dictate.Pavin(twice)Stadler,Mayfair,Faldo,Mattiace,Kite,Tripplett. Has 3 par fives,one reachable by no one and one reachable by all.Quite an equalizer!
This course makes everyone a contender where last weeks course culled 70% of field from start on length alone.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

72 hole @ Sportingbet (ties lose)
Price -111 over Lehman
Substantial rating edge
Price made 94% of cuts in 2002 Lehman 77%---warning: this anology got blasted last week.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
adding @ $plays
Howell +105 over Weir
Weir absolutley no success here missing cut in all 4 attemps and shooting only one rd in 60's(69) with scoring ave just a tick off 73.
Howell placed 6th in only attempt with stroke ave of 68,a 5 stroke adv. One would think they would have to like this wager but after last week I am quite skeptical of anything.

 

[Stanley]

Thanks - hope you put it to good use

Outright plays (1 unit):

Davis Love to win 18/1 e.w. @ BetInternet and Five Dimes
The course does not favour his long-hitting, but he does have a good record in this event with three top-3 finishes in his last seven visits. He also has a liking for Californian courses - his last three victories have been in this State. His game has improved considerably in the last eight months and while he may not repeat his victory at Pebble Beach two weeks ago, he is a far more consistent player than he was 12 months ago.

Chris DiMarco to win 28/1 e.w. @ Bet365
Dimarco has also become a very consistent player on add to his ability to win events - one in each of the last three seasons. He played the first four weeks of the season, securing two top-3 finishes, and should be refreshed after a two-week break. His 6th place finish last year was his best performance at Rivieria and with the emphasis more on approach play and the short game this week, he looks a contender.

Rocco Mediate to finish in the top-five 12/1 @ Five Dimes and SkyBet
Very large price for someone who has finished 2nd, 28th and 5th this season. He may have withdrawn from last week's event, but given the weather forecast in the middle of the week, he had good reason to concentrate on this week instead. His course form is good with just one missed cut in his last ten visits and while his three top-6 finishes were a decade ago, he hasn't finished outside the top-30 in the last four years. Unless he sustained an injury last week, this is a hard price to ignore.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

adding 1 unit total E/W @ 5dimes
Toms 35/1
I refuse to let man who had 9 top 5's in 27 events last year go off at these odds without a token wager.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

adding 72 holes (all ties lose) gulp
Allenby -120 over Duval @ 365

@ Bet & Win all -111
Riley over Duval
Kelly over Monty
Lehman over Lonard
Furyk over Weir

and @ Boyles
Faxon -111 over Lonard
Couples +100 over Badds

 

[milpalm]

Dimarco 28/1 Bet365. 6th last year and in good form.
Kelly 74/1 Betfair. Two top tens here and in decent form.
Leonard 66/1 Chandler. No. 1 for putting in his last start and should like this tight track.

 

[Clive]

Always one of my fave events...hope Tiger doesn't ruin it by romping away with it.
Had 2nd for last two years, and also Stadler all those years ago when I was just a boy.....memories!

diMarco 28/1 - he is becoming that rare thing in pro golf - consistent!
Fred Couples 100/1 - it would be a calamity if he won this and I hadn't backed him - he's got a great history and he's looked pretty good this year
Faxon 66/1 - first price I took this week, 2nd last year, and 3rd last week - if only it were that easy!

 

[kjls04202]

I am still ragging it this week after going so close to a place the last two ups.
I feel that Per Ulrik who was 6th last year when he topped the all round ranking stats for the tournament, showed signs that he was playing well last time out when a never dangerous 21st in The Buick Invitational. He was 5th in driving accuracy and 3rd in greens in regulation in that event and is on offer this week at 150/1.
Secondly Frank Lickliter has being showing signs of coming back to form. Out of sorts last year he has been showing moves up the leaderboard and is worth a second look at the general 125/1.

I must also give a brief mention to Billy Mayfair who is suited by the course and has a good record at the course. Unfortunately he has not shown any form this year as yet. It would not surprise me in the least for this course to bring about a return to form.

 

[He Hate Me]

Little side note on BILLY MAYFAIR, the nissan open WAS NOT at the RIV the year MAYFAIR WON, but it was at a course an hour north in Valencia up by Magic Mountain.

 

[He Hate Me]

I will be fading old men this week, Im going AGAINST Hoch, Sluman, Funk, and J Haas

 

[He Hate Me]

Colin Montgomrie 60-1 1 unit


Eldrick Woods +240 7units,

Eldrick made his pro debut here when he was 16, he wants this one to catch Ernie on the StPaul.

 

[He Hate Me]

another sidebar, The riv is sometimes used by UCLA for there matches. So Scott Mccaron came in 2nd Lyear as ucla alumni, Pavin also UCLA alumni.

 

[Stanley]

Matchup plays (1 unit):

Nick Price to beat Luke Donald -111 @ Paddy Power
Looking for a good week from Price who has been a regular competitor in this event and in 2001 looked to be securing his second top-5 finish at Riviera in three years until a poor final round. This is only his third start of the season, having opened in the Mercedes Championship and then finished 4th in the Dimension Data pro-am, so will be fresh, in good form and relishing the prospect of playing a course under 7,100 yards in length. Opposing Donald who had good finishes in the Phoenix Open and the Buick Invitational, but did the same in these events last year and missed the cut at Riviera.

Nick Price to beat Scott McCarron -111 @ BetandWin
McCarron used to play some his UCLA matches here and he can boast a good record in this event. He has never missed the cut here and has two top-10 finishes from six starts, including 2nd last year. But this course demands good iron play and a good short game and these are the areas in which McCarron does not specialise so when he is playing well, he can play well around this course. But he is not playing well at the moment and he could struggle to keep up his run of weekends at the Riviera.

 

[Ian]

Interesting outsider to me is Kaye - top 10 last 2 starts with excellent all round stats although no real course form. He has finished 2nd four times now - sounds similar to Triplett and Mattiace!
Best price is 100/1 at 365 but 200/1 available on BF.

 

[kjls04202]

Hi Ian - Someone IS copying you? This is a copy of a post on the Ultimate Betting Forum;

Sportsbettingindex



Joined: 22 Oct 2002
Posts: 160
Location: Devon
Posted: Wed 19.02.2003, 14:38 Post subject:

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Interesting outsider to me is Kaye - top 10 last 2 starts with excellent all round stats although no real course form. He has finished 2nd four times now - sounds similar to Triplett and Mattiace!
Best price is 100/1 at 365 but 200/1 available on BF.
_________________
http://www.sportsbettingindex.com

 

[Stanley]

:lol:

Just click on the 'www' under Ian's posts

 

[kjls04202]

Sorry I did not realise that it was one and the same person.
Apologise

Also about Billy Mayfair. I do not think that I particularly mentioned his win, but moreover he still has good course form at Riviera and I think that he is suited by the course. He was indeed 13th last year albeit tied for that position.

 

[Ian]

Nice one - I'd love to think people were copying me