Nolan, I don't disagree with your play at all. Especially if it rains. I think getting in at 38 before the rain comes down may be sweet. I'm considering getting in at 38 with no vig today and if it doesn't rain then I'll buy it back with vig.
I just wanted you to make sure you read the total stream correctly.
I'll have to disagree with your Packers/Ravens over pick. I live here Milwaukee and it's been raining here all morning afternooon and evening and to be through the night. Look for the field to be really muddy. Only good defense and the running game work in those kind of conditions. Look for a real low scoring game in this one, maybe like 17-10.