Northern Trust Open

[Chip Hilton]

BetJam

BetJam

Chip where do you get your lines? WSEX must be tired of paying me so they make me pay more Juice, how I got -145 vs. -115 on Choi is beyond me.

BetJamica

Actually this was the biggest difference I have ever seen between the two. Normally WSEX has the better lines because they use a 20cent line and graduate it as the line gets bigger. Bet Jam uses a 30cent line right off the bat. So while I generally prefer WSEX for that reason, sometimes you catch a difference, although usually only 5 cents. In this case, it was a much bigger variance than any other I have ever seen. BetJam rated KJ Choi and Chad Campbell even with both at - 115. This was much like the first round when both were rated closer. WSEX had Chad Campbell @ +120 for the second round, much better odds @ WSEX than -115 @ BetJam...IF you preferred him.

Summary:

BetJam (30cent line) - 1st Rd:
K.J. Choi - 120
Chad Campbell - 110

WSEX (20cent line) - 1st Rd:
K.J. Choi - 125
Chad Campbell + 105


BetJam (30cent line) - 2nd Rd:
K.J. Choi - 115
Chad Campbell - 115

WSEX (graduate to 25cent line) - 2nd Rd:
K.J. Choi - 145
Chad Campbell + 120

 

[Chip Hilton]

Northern Trust Open for Friday, Feb 20th (Aft)

Northern Trust Open for Friday, Feb 20th (Aft)

Tournament Matchups for 18 holes for Second Round only (afternoon session) :


Two Units :

Jim Furyk over Kenny Perry @ - 110. Lose by 3. - 2.20 units (or - 1.10 units if all based on one unit)

One Unit :

Robert Allenby over Phil Mickelson @ + 120. Win by 5. + 1.20 units (or + 1.20 units if all based on one unit)

Luke Donald over Mike Weir @ + 115. Win by 2. + 1.15 units (or + 1.15 units if all based on one unit)

Tim Clark over Retief Goosen @ - 105. Lose by 1. - 1.05 units (or - 1.05 units if all based on one unit)

Robert Allenby over Kenny Perry @ - 110. Win by 1. + 1.00 units (or + 1.00 units if all based on one unit)

Jim Furyk over Luke Donald @ - 115. Lose by 2. - 1.15 units (or - 1.15 units if all based on one unit)

Ben Crane over J B Holmes @ - 115. Lose by 1. - 1.15 units (or - 1.15 units if all based on one unit)

Padraig Harrington over Retief Goosen @ - 135. Lose by 1. - 1.35 units (or - 1.35 units if all based on one unit)

Jim Furyk over Hunter Mahan @ - 145. Lose by 2. - 1.45 units (or - 1.45 units if all based on one unit)



Second Round (afternoon) Record = 3 - 6 : - 5.00 Units (or - 3.90 Units if all based on one unit)

Cumulative Tournament Record -- Thru 2nd Round = 8 - 9 : - 3.30 Units (or - 3.05 Units if all based on one unit)

 

[DerrickTulips]

Stan whats your theory on betting 18 hole matchups vs 72 hole?

I would have been 2 - 0 - 1 this week (including euro).. right now im 0 - 1 and 2 pending.

 

[DerrickTulips]

Nice 44 on the front for Justin :scared Looks like a lot of yall had a fade on him this week.

 

[Stanley]

I don't normally look at players so low down the leaderboard

... and I won't be doing it again

 

[Stanley]

Stan whats your theory on betting 18 hole matchups vs 72 hole?

I would have been 2 - 0 - 1 this week (including euro).. right now im 0 - 1 and 2 pending.

I think that you can use a lot of the analysis behind betting 72-hole matches when looking at rd1 matches.

For the other three rounds, it is all about angles, trends, etc so it really is a very different type of betting.

 

[DerrickTulips]

I think that you can use a lot of the analysis behind betting 72-hole matches when looking at rd1 matches.

For the other three rounds, it is all about angles, trends, etc so it really is a very different type of betting.

Yea i have done really well the past 4 weeks with second third and fourth round betting. Struggled more in 72 holers than in years past.

I wish I would have faded O hern for round 2, didnt even think about checking lines

 

[c20916]

Well got lucky to tie Olgivy ov Els as he makes a 16 ft birdie on the last and Els misses a 10 fter. Then lose with Choi as he misses a birdie on 18 by 3 in.

Added one more afternoon play:

Weir -120 ov Perry

Weir had one bad hole yesterday Perry seemed to be all over the place, knocked it in from 103 yds for eagle guessing that won't happen today.

 

[DerrickTulips]

Matchups
Van Pelt -105 over O hern (72)
Donald -120 over Singh (72) **Big Momma Big**

My first post on this forum...

Van Pelt -105 to beat O?Hern (5dimes) 1 unit



Donald -120 to beat Singh V. (Pinnacle) 1 unit

:toast:

Alright fellas stir that ship in .. and sign that scorecard and we should be straight :0corn

 

[Chip Hilton]

44?

44?

Nice 44 on the front for Justin :scared Looks like a lot of yall had a fade on him this week.

If we are talking the same Justin, I see a 41 rather than a 44. I could have used a 44. My only three unit play was for the tournament fading Leonard but Lucas Glover hasn't done his part and I still trail by one.

 

[Chip Hilton]

Chad

Chad

Then lose with Choi as he misses a birdie on 18 by 3 in.

c2 - after all that discussion about odds and Chad Campbell plus ended up to be the way to go. Thought we had it during the day though.

 

[DerrickTulips]

If we are talking the same Justin, I see a 41 rather than a 44. I could have used a 44. My only three unit play was for the tournament fading Leonard but Lucas Glover hasn't done his part and I still trail by one.

You are correct. I was thinking of someone elses card. I am surprised with how poorly Lucas played..

 

[c20916]

c2 - after all that discussion about odds and Chad Campbell plus ended up to be the way to go. Thought we had it during the day though.

I know Choi up 3 shots after 9 I wasn't too worried about that matchup and sort of stopped following it. disappointing to let that one slip away.

Couples was my big wager for the day so if he comes in he will salvage my day.

 

[DerrickTulips]

Looks like a possible MDF week..

Anyway, about time i had 2 winners that weren't nail biters.. Oh yea, just one week off with Lehman

Lost, Beem is right in it.. lots of big names near the top. A little surprised that Furyk collapsed the way he did.. Anyway should make for a good weekend.

 

[sports student]

3rd round at 5 dimes:

Weir -140 over Els

 

[Stanley]

Round 3 plays (1pt):

Kevin Na to beat Andres Romero +105 @ The Greek [available widely]

Steve Stricker to beat K.J. Choi +105 @ The Greek [also available @ SkyBet and Boyle Sports]

 

[c20916]

3rd rd
d johnson -130 ov romero
Mccarron -110 ov Armour

 

[Chip Hilton]

Northern Trust Open : Feb 21 - 22

Northern Trust Open : Feb 21 - 22

Outrights to Win (after second round) :


1/2 Unit :

K.J. Choi to win @ 12 : 1.



Now own one unit on Choi (1/2 @ 20:1, 1/2 @ 12:1.) and 1/2 unit on Furyk @ 15:1.

 

[Chip Hilton]

Northern Trust Open for Saturday, Feb 21st

Northern Trust Open for Saturday, Feb 21st

Tournament Matchups for 18 holes for Third Round only :


Two Units :

K J Choi over Rory Sabbatini @ - 110. Push. + 0.00 units (or + 0.00 units if all based on one unit)


One Unit :

Jim Furyk over Phil Mickelson @ + 125. Lose by 13. - 1.00 units (or - 1.00 units if all based on one unit)

Tommy Armour III over Scott McCarron @ + 105. Lose by 2. - 1.00 units (or - 1.00 units if all based on one unit)
that darn hill on 8 cost 5 strokes.

Luke Donald over Geoff Ogilvy @ - 105. Win by 2. + 1.00 units (or + 1.00 units if all based on one unit)

Phil Mickelson over Geoff Ogilvy @ - 105. Win by 9. + 1.00 units (or + 1.00 units if all based on one unit)

Jim Furyk over Robert Allenby @ - 115. Lose by 7. - 1.15 units (or - 1.15 units if all based on one unit)

Dustin Johnson over Andres Romero @ - 130. Lose by 2. - 1.30 units (or - 1.30 units if all based on one unit)



Third Round Record = 2 - 4 - 1 : - 2.45 Units (or - 2.45 Units if all based on one unit)

Cumulative Tournament Record -- Thru Third Round = 10 - 13 - 1 : - 5.75 Units (or - 5.50 Units if all based on one unit)

 

[DerrickTulips]

Good luck everyone I think I am done this week.. been trying to get my notes ready for next week. The matchplay is the best event of the year for matchup handicappers.. can't wait :00hour One negative thing about next week is that it's a brand new course which opens a lot of variables.

Chip, I tipped Choi in the beginning of the week and have him on my fantasy roster.. so lets hope he continues his good play. He usually shows up on historic courses..