Outrights: I am some from last weeks hit so I'm gonna make a few more picks than usual as I can't seem to toss anyone out. Badds and Na are the obvious but short. So....
1 unit each
Padraig Harrington 50/1: Boy has he been quiet since grabbing b2b majors in 2008. In fact that was his last win on either tour. He undertook a swing change after 2008 with little to show until just recently. He opened the year in Africa with a 10th finish followed with a 35th in Abu Dhabi. The he kicks off his PGA Tour season with a t7 at Pebble, which was better than any finish he had on tour last year. Has a 3rd place finish and a 7th. So if he's finally comfortable with his swing he should go well on a course that suits him well.
Retief Goosen 70/1: I hope this doesn't become a habit, backing players past their prime. But we're at Riviera, a place where Freddie competes year in, year out- at 50! It's a traditional course where shotmaking is key and length off the tee isn't as big a factor. Look at the winners here recently- All are seasoned and great ball-strikers. Not for the young guns this week. Anyways goosen comes in with nice form going 3,16 & 2 in January in South Africa. Last year he tied for twelfth in this event.
Bo Van Pelt 80/1: More of a hunch here as he missed the cut last year, thoough he missed 4 of the first five. This year he is coming off of a t8 in Scottsdale and he has turned into a solid player, he shows up time to time in Majors but certaily disappointing having only 1 Win, epecially when that win is a tournament opposite the British Open. But he's getting better with age. He does have finishes of 11th in 2006 and t15 in 2010. 80/1 is nice for a player who contents as much as he does.
Ryan Moore 80/1: It was between Moore and Barnes for this fourth main spot. Obviously Barnes finished 3rd last week but Moore finished t20 which is no top 5 but it does been his game is getting there. Moore aslo shot 61 in the 2nd round of The Humana which means nothing but I though I'd mention it. When circling his name I didn't even realize he finished 4th here last year. I like him here because he's finally healthy. He'd have won a lot more than 1 tournament if it wasnt for his wrist. The other reason is that he is a throwback golfer in my mind and this is definitely a throwback course.
0.5 unit each
Andres Romero 150/1: If he was in form he'd 50/1 or less because loves this course. t3 in 09 and t5 in '10. Two events so far with a t52 at Farmers and cut at Scottsdale. Keep waiting for this talent to break out.
Trevor Immelman 190/1: Another talent plagued by injuries but those seemed to have healed. Was off to a great start before missing the cut at Pebble. Immelman won at two classic course, Augusta and Coghill. His starts here are few and average but assuming he is finally health 190 is a big price for a Major champion
1 unit each
Padraig Harrington 50/1: Boy has he been quiet since grabbing b2b majors in 2008. In fact that was his last win on either tour. He undertook a swing change after 2008 with little to show until just recently. He opened the year in Africa with a 10th finish followed with a 35th in Abu Dhabi. The he kicks off his PGA Tour season with a t7 at Pebble, which was better than any finish he had on tour last year. Has a 3rd place finish and a 7th. So if he's finally comfortable with his swing he should go well on a course that suits him well.
Retief Goosen 70/1: I hope this doesn't become a habit, backing players past their prime. But we're at Riviera, a place where Freddie competes year in, year out- at 50! It's a traditional course where shotmaking is key and length off the tee isn't as big a factor. Look at the winners here recently- All are seasoned and great ball-strikers. Not for the young guns this week. Anyways goosen comes in with nice form going 3,16 & 2 in January in South Africa. Last year he tied for twelfth in this event.
Bo Van Pelt 80/1: More of a hunch here as he missed the cut last year, thoough he missed 4 of the first five. This year he is coming off of a t8 in Scottsdale and he has turned into a solid player, he shows up time to time in Majors but certaily disappointing having only 1 Win, epecially when that win is a tournament opposite the British Open. But he's getting better with age. He does have finishes of 11th in 2006 and t15 in 2010. 80/1 is nice for a player who contents as much as he does.
Ryan Moore 80/1: It was between Moore and Barnes for this fourth main spot. Obviously Barnes finished 3rd last week but Moore finished t20 which is no top 5 but it does been his game is getting there. Moore aslo shot 61 in the 2nd round of The Humana which means nothing but I though I'd mention it. When circling his name I didn't even realize he finished 4th here last year. I like him here because he's finally healthy. He'd have won a lot more than 1 tournament if it wasnt for his wrist. The other reason is that he is a throwback golfer in my mind and this is definitely a throwback course.
0.5 unit each
Andres Romero 150/1: If he was in form he'd 50/1 or less because loves this course. t3 in 09 and t5 in '10. Two events so far with a t52 at Farmers and cut at Scottsdale. Keep waiting for this talent to break out.
Trevor Immelman 190/1: Another talent plagued by injuries but those seemed to have healed. Was off to a great start before missing the cut at Pebble. Immelman won at two classic course, Augusta and Coghill. His starts here are few and average but assuming he is finally health 190 is a big price for a Major champion
