Northern Trust Open

Stanley

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Round 2 plays (2pts):

John Senden to beat Seung-Yul Noh +110 @ Boyle Sports
Senden is one of my 'go to' players for rd2. When starting the second round outside the top-60, he has improved his leaderboard position in that round in 27 of the last 28 occasions. Against a player who is making his course debut, Senden looks the more likely to feature this week despite his opening round.

Matt Kuchar to beat K.J. Choi -138 @ 5Dimes and BetVictor [available generally]
Kuchar is already featuring in this event - he holds a one-shot lead over the rest of the field after day one. That is the culmination of very good performances this year - 9th, 5th and 16th in his three starts in 2013 - and a good record on this course. He may have the added pressure of being the 1st round leader, but in the three times that he has been in this position since 2010, he has always retained the lead after round 2. He didn't go on to win any of those events, but he still played well under the pre-weekend pressure.

Sergio Garcia to beat Charl Schwartzel -115 @ The Greek [available generally]
Garcia is one shot back in 2nd place and once again, it appears largely predictable on the basis on recent form - 2nd and 17th in his two starts this year - and a good course history which includes 4th place last year. Schwartzel did finish 2nd last week, so is in good form, but that was his only Tour start of 2013 and this week represents his first event outside South Africa since November. With the long-haul flight from Johannesburg to Los Angeles at the start of the week, his form can be expected to dip this week.

Jim Furyk to beat Fredrik Jacobson -138 @ Bet365
Last week's opener at Pebble Beach appears to have blown the cobwebs off Furyk's game. He followed his 30th place finish last week with 68 yesterday to finish the day inside the top-10. With a good record on this course and a good history of maintaining these strong starts for at least two more rounds, Furyk looks likely to feature on the leaderboard throughout the week.

Phil Mickelson to beat Keegan Bradley -110 @ Stan James
Furyk's record at Riviera pales into insignificance when compared with Mickelson's - in four of the last six years, he has been 1st after 72 holes. Admittedly, in two of those years he was tied with other players and then lost the playoff, but it is a very impressive course record. With Mickelson also holding a 7-0-0 h2h record over Bradley over the last six months, it is difficult to see how that run will be ended this week.
 

Stanley

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Round 3 play (4pts):

Matt Kuchar to beat Sergio Garcia +107 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
Two players that disappointed yesterday, but Kuch is the type of player who is more likely to bounce back today. He also dominates this matchup 9-4 over the last 12 months and that includes 13-6-1 over rd3 and rd4, so I don't see why he should be such a sizeable underdog against Garcia.
 

cawdawg

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3rd Rd Matchups

Couples ov Furyk +125 - Couples at + money against a player he has dominated H2H at this course. Seems too easy.

Guthrie ov Noh +110 - Guthrie has a better 3rd round scoring average (68.83 vs 71.07) since Guthrie came on tour and and better H2H record against Noh

Molder ov Estes -120 - Molder has better H2H record per round (5-1-1) at this course than Estes

Mickelson ov Mahan -125 - Mick with a 13-4-3 H2H record per round against Mahan. Decent price for this
 
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UGA12

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Rd 2:facepalm:

Rd 3 Match-ups----------.50 each

Mickelson over Mahan -130
Kuchar over Garcia -110
Rollins over Jacobson +105

Outrights-------------.20 each

Kuch 16/1
Phil 16/1


GL
 

boomer1

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schwartzel to win +400

simpson -.5 stroke +100 haas
schwartzel +100 donald
westwood -110 mickelson
stadler -130 chalmers

good luck today guys
 

kickserv

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I am going to follow along and take C. SCHWARTZEL TO WIN NORTHERN TRUST OPEN.

I got him at odds of $6.00 (+500) heading into the start of the final round.

Thanks for the selection boomer1, let's hope it cashes:SIB

Let's go Charl Schwartzel:00hour

You taking him to win the tourney craig31?

What odds you get him at craig31?
 

stomie

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$110.00 $517.00 Golf PGA +470 Northern Trust Open - Charl Schwartzel
$100.00 $540.00 Golf PGA +540 Northern Trust Open - Webb Simpson
 

Another Steve

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Boys, Boys, Boys

4th Round match Ups
J LEONARD (RND 4) -110 (J LEONARD (RND 4) vrs T IMMELMAN (RND 4))
L WESTWOOD (RND 4) -115 (P MICKELSON (RND 4) vrs L WESTWOOD (RND 4))
 

LA Burns

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ugly start to the golf season - went back to add it all up and came up with:

3-9 -6.80 units season to date


so those who are backing Charl today should take at least some small sense of satisfaction with this rd 4 selection

Luke Donald -115 vs Schwartzel

Luke with a little bit more familiarity with the course and without the pressure and spotlight of playing in the last group - 3 straight 33's on the back 9 for Donald this week, so with a steady start think Lukie can take this one home today


As always, good luck to all no matter which golfers you choose

LA Burns
 
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