November's NBA plays

[gecko]

goin' for the 3Q OVER Trifecta today......play #3 for 11/14 --


NUGGETS/KINGS OVER 50 3Q to win 9 units

Terrible shooting in the 1H by both teams. Renewed offensive energy coming out of the break.

 

[gecko]

update:




YTD: 20-4 , +73.00 units :look:



11/3 --
PACERS/CAVS OVER 44.5 1Q (1 unit) = W, 47
SONICS/CLIPS OVER 95 1H (2 units) = W, 101

11/4 --
WIZARDS/BOBCATS OVER 44.5 1Q (3 units) = W, 45

11/5 --
DETROIT PISTONS 1Q TEAM TOTAL OVER 22.5 (3 units) = W, 31
SPURS/LAKERS OVER 45.5 1Q (4 units) = W, 56
SPURS 2H TEAM TOTAL OVER 45 (5 units) = W, 46

11/9 --
CAVS/HAWKS OVER 48 1Q (4 units) = W, 60
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES 1Q TEAM TOTAL OVER 22 (5 units) = W, 26
SUNS/BULLS OVER 50 3Q (5 units) = L, 41
RAPTORS/KINGS OVER 51 3Q (3.5 units) = W, 56

11/10 --
L.A. CLIPPERS 1Q TEAM TOTAL OVER 23 (5 units) = W, 24
LAKERS/GRIZZLIES OVER 49 1Q (5 units) = W, 52
GOLDEN STATE +3.5 3Q (6 units) = W, 24-18
KINGS/SONICS OVER 52 1Q (6 units) = W, 53

11/11 --
DALLAS MAVS 1Q TEAM TOTAL OVER 24 (5 units) = W, 34
MAVS/HEAT OVER 50 3Q (7 units) = L, 49

11/12 --
INDIANA PACERS 1Q TEAM TOTAL OVER 24 (5 units) = W, 30
CLIPPERS/KNICKS OVER 47.5 1Q (7 units) = W, 61

11/13 --
KNICKS/PACERS UNDER 48 1Q (6 units) = L, 69
KINGS/SUNS OVER 52 1Q (5 units) = W, 58
LAKERS/ROCKETS OVER 46.5 3Q (7 units) = L, 44

11/14 --
MAVS/WIZARDS OVER 50.5 3Q (8 units) = W, 61
GRIZZLIES/SONICS OVER 48.5 3Q (9 units) = W, 52
NUGGETS/KINGS OVER 50 3Q (9 units) = W, 56

 

[redking]

You're awesome! Just wondering if you have a system or do you watch all the games and get a feel for how they play out?

 

[JCoverS]

Unreal record, gecko! You deserve major kudos.

:clap: :clap: :clap:

-JC

 

[TJBELL]

GREAT JOB BRO!!!!!! :clap: :clap: :clap: :clap: :scared

 

[gecko]

TJ, redking, JCoverS ----- thanks guys! Hope to keep an accurate and detailed record and contribute to this great forum.

redking, to answer your question, basically I'm a situational capper. I don't follow trends all that much (most of them are useless). And as you can tell, I almost never play the entire game. I have neither the patience nor can I forecast how a game is going to shape up as it goes along. For me, NBA games are best broken up into qtrs or halves.

In formulating an opinion, I just look at overall, road vs. home, and the most recent stats. In fact, the Game Notes in NBA.com are a good tool. Then I look at the opening line and note down line movement up til game time. Naturally, I try to find good reasons to play the Over. If I'm not confident that a play will hit, then I'll pass. In looking at the 3Q/2H for a play, I mostly at what happened in the 1H. Yes, a lot of it is "feel" as you say.

 

[gecko]

for 11/16 --

ROCKETS/HAWKS OVER 44.5 3Q for 5 units

 

[gecko]

update:




YTD: 21-4 , +78.00 units



11/3 --
PACERS/CAVS OVER 44.5 1Q (1 unit) = W, 47
SONICS/CLIPS OVER 95 1H (2 units) = W, 101

11/4 --
WIZARDS/BOBCATS OVER 44.5 1Q (3 units) = W, 45

11/5 --
DETROIT PISTONS 1Q TEAM TOTAL OVER 22.5 (3 units) = W, 31
SPURS/LAKERS OVER 45.5 1Q (4 units) = W, 56
SPURS 2H TEAM TOTAL OVER 45 (5 units) = W, 46

11/9 --
CAVS/HAWKS OVER 48 1Q (4 units) = W, 60
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES 1Q TEAM TOTAL OVER 22 (5 units) = W, 26
SUNS/BULLS OVER 50 3Q (5 units) = L, 41
RAPTORS/KINGS OVER 51 3Q (3.5 units) = W, 56

11/10 --
L.A. CLIPPERS 1Q TEAM TOTAL OVER 23 (5 units) = W, 24
LAKERS/GRIZZLIES OVER 49 1Q (5 units) = W, 52
GOLDEN STATE +3.5 3Q (6 units) = W, 24-18
KINGS/SONICS OVER 52 1Q (6 units) = W, 53

11/11 --
DALLAS MAVS 1Q TEAM TOTAL OVER 24 (5 units) = W, 34
MAVS/HEAT OVER 50 3Q (7 units) = L, 49

11/12 --
INDIANA PACERS 1Q TEAM TOTAL OVER 24 (5 units) = W, 30
CLIPPERS/KNICKS OVER 47.5 1Q (7 units) = W, 61

11/13 --
KNICKS/PACERS UNDER 48 1Q (6 units) = L, 69
KINGS/SUNS OVER 52 1Q (5 units) = W, 58
LAKERS/ROCKETS OVER 46.5 3Q (7 units) = L, 44

11/14 --
MAVS/WIZARDS OVER 50.5 3Q (8 units) = W, 61
GRIZZLIES/SONICS OVER 48.5 3Q (9 units) = W, 52
NUGGETS/KINGS OVER 50 3Q (9 units) = W, 56

11/16 --
ROCKETS/HAWKS OVER 44.5 3Q (5 units) = W, 49

 

[gecko]

....and away we go!!!


only play for 11/17 --

CLIPS/LAKERS OVER 49.5 3Q to win 7 units

 

[gecko]

update:




YTD: 21-5 , +70.70 units :shrug: :burnout



11/3 --
PACERS/CAVS OVER 44.5 1Q (1 unit) = W, 47
SONICS/CLIPS OVER 95 1H (2 units) = W, 101

11/4 --
WIZARDS/BOBCATS OVER 44.5 1Q (3 units) = W, 45

11/5 --
DETROIT PISTONS 1Q TEAM TOTAL OVER 22.5 (3 units) = W, 31
SPURS/LAKERS OVER 45.5 1Q (4 units) = W, 56
SPURS 2H TEAM TOTAL OVER 45 (5 units) = W, 46

11/9 --
CAVS/HAWKS OVER 48 1Q (4 units) = W, 60
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES 1Q TEAM TOTAL OVER 22 (5 units) = W, 26
SUNS/BULLS OVER 50 3Q (5 units) = L, 41
RAPTORS/KINGS OVER 51 3Q (3.5 units) = W, 56

11/10 --
L.A. CLIPPERS 1Q TEAM TOTAL OVER 23 (5 units) = W, 24
LAKERS/GRIZZLIES OVER 49 1Q (5 units) = W, 52
GOLDEN STATE +3.5 3Q (6 units) = W, 24-18
KINGS/SONICS OVER 52 1Q (6 units) = W, 53

11/11 --
DALLAS MAVS 1Q TEAM TOTAL OVER 24 (5 units) = W, 34
MAVS/HEAT OVER 50 3Q (7 units) = L, 49

11/12 --
INDIANA PACERS 1Q TEAM TOTAL OVER 24 (5 units) = W, 30
CLIPPERS/KNICKS OVER 47.5 1Q (7 units) = W, 61

11/13 --
KNICKS/PACERS UNDER 48 1Q (6 units) = L, 69
KINGS/SUNS OVER 52 1Q (5 units) = W, 58
LAKERS/ROCKETS OVER 46.5 3Q (7 units) = L, 44

11/14 --
MAVS/WIZARDS OVER 50.5 3Q (8 units) = W, 61
GRIZZLIES/SONICS OVER 48.5 3Q (9 units) = W, 52
NUGGETS/KINGS OVER 50 3Q (9 units) = W, 56

11/16 --
ROCKETS/HAWKS OVER 44.5 3Q (5 units) = W, 49

11/17 --
CLIPPERS/LAKERS OVER 49.5 3Q (7 units) = L, 47

 

[superbook]

Bump -- where is Gecko...