% of a $10,000 Bank Roll......

[Sportsaholic]

I looked back on Week 1 of CFL Saturday plays last year from a poster here:

Assuming you have an starting Bank Roll of $10,000, below are bets played before 3:30 games start and the early games finished:

Plays:
4% $400 Bal: $9,600
5% $480 : $9120
4% $364.80 : $8,77.20
4% $350.20 : 8,405.00
3% $252.15 : $8,152.85
2% $163.57 : $7,989.28
6% $479.35 : $7,509.93
5% $375.50 : $7,234.43
4% $289.38 : $6,945.05
4% $277.80 : $6,667.25
5% $333.36 : $6,333.89
4% $253.35 : $6,180.54
3% $185.42 : $5,995.12
4% $239.80 : $5,755.32
5% $287.77 : $5,467.55
6% $328.05 : $5,139.50
4% $205.58 : $4,933.92
3% $148.02 : $4,785.90
4% $191.44 : $4,594.46
6% $275.67 : $4,218.79

 

[Sportsaholic]

Thing that stuck out to me is the very 1st bet is 4% or $400.....That dollar amount is higher than many of the 5% & 6% games that follow....So is this 1 game stronger than those games listed after?

 

[LuvThemDogs]

Thing that stuck out to me is the very 1st bet is 4% or $400.....That dollar amount is higher than many of the 5% & 6% games that follow....So is this 1 game stronger than those games listed after?

And you're not counting juice on the losses. Correct? That would minus substantially more...

 

[Sportsaholic]

And you're not counting juice on the losses. Correct? That would minus substantially more...

Juice doesn't matter (factored into bet) as games haven't finished yet.....I didn't take the extra time to factor in +/- 125 ect....

 

[LuvThemDogs]

Juice doesn't matter (factored into bet) as games haven't finished yet.....I didn't take the extra time to factor in +/- 125 ect....

Got it...If you lost every game, you would be down another $600 or so. Which more than likely wouldn't happen. But I wouldn't say never....

 

[Sportsaholic]

Got it...If you lost every game, you would be down another $600 or so. Which more than likely wouldn't happen. But I wouldn't say never....

Another question is when do you add profit from games back into the Bank Roll, end of day or after the win.....

By the looks of things a 6% play maybe weaker than a 4% play depending on when the games are released.......

 

[LuvThemDogs]

Another question is when do you add profit from games back into the Bank Roll, end of day or after the win.....

By the looks of things a 6% play maybe weaker than a 4% play depending on when the games are released.......

That can definitely be a point of confusion. A 6% play being less money bet than a 4% play, although the 6% play is obviously weighed as the stronger/higher likelihood of winning, play.

 

[hedman]

I looked back on Week 1 of CFL Saturday plays last year from a poster here:

Assuming you have an starting Bank Roll of $10,000, below are bets played before 3:30 games start and the early games finished:

Plays:
4% $400 Bal: $9,600
5% $480 : $9120
4% $364.80 : $8,77.20
4% $350.20 : 8,405.00
3% $252.15 : $8,152.85
2% $163.57 : $7,989.28
6% $479.35 : $7,509.93
5% $375.50 : $7,234.43
4% $289.38 : $6,945.05
4% $277.80 : $6,667.25
5% $333.36 : $6,333.89
4% $253.35 : $6,180.54
3% $185.42 : $5,995.12
4% $239.80 : $5,755.32
5% $287.77 : $5,467.55
6% $328.05 : $5,139.50
4% $205.58 : $4,933.92
3% $148.02 : $4,785.90
4% $191.44 : $4,594.46
6% $275.67 : $4,218.79

:thinking: :thinking:

 

[DuckDogs]

I looked back on Week 1 of CFL Saturday plays last year from a poster here:

Assuming you have an starting Bank Roll of $10,000, below are bets played before 3:30 games start and the early games finished:

Plays:
4% $400 Bal: $9,600
5% $480 : $9120
4% $364.80 : $8,77.20
4% $350.20 : 8,405.00
3% $252.15 : $8,152.85
2% $163.57 : $7,989.28
6% $479.35 : $7,509.93
5% $375.50 : $7,234.43
4% $289.38 : $6,945.05
4% $277.80 : $6,667.25
5% $333.36 : $6,333.89
4% $253.35 : $6,180.54
3% $185.42 : $5,995.12
4% $239.80 : $5,755.32
5% $287.77 : $5,467.55
6% $328.05 : $5,139.50
4% $205.58 : $4,933.92
3% $148.02 : $4,785.90
4% $191.44 : $4,594.46
6% $275.67 : $4,218.79

Sports - you are assuming a bankroll reset after every wager. Typically that would not be the case - you would reset your bankroll once/week. In the example you give above (I may have miscalculated) - you would have 85% of your BR exposed. And 1% of your first wager would be equivalent to 1% of the final wager listed.

Or maybe I am totally wrong:shrug:

 

[Sportsaholic]

Sports - you are assuming a bankroll reset after every wager. Typically that would not be the case - you would reset your bankroll once/week. In the example you give above (I may have miscalculated) - you would have 85% of your BR exposed. And 1% of your first wager would be equivalent to 1% of the final wager listed.

Or maybe I am totally wrong:shrug:

All of the above plays were posted before any 3:30 games had started.....That usually means the early games haven't finished yet....I have no idea if any of those games were early or late, doesn't matter as you would still have to make the wager in the order they were place and no potential winning games had finished yet....

 

[Sportsaholic]

Sports - you are assuming a bankroll reset after every wager. Typically that would not be the case - you would reset your bankroll once/week. In the example you give above (I may have miscalculated) - you would have 85% of your BR exposed. And 1% of your first wager would be equivalent to 1% of the final wager listed.

Or maybe I am totally wrong:shrug:

I assume they use the % of the remaining balance of Bank Roll after each bet so when totaling up all bets you get 85% when you've actually placed 58% in total as your bank roll shrinks after each bet....

 

[DuckDogs]

All of the above plays were posted before any 3:30 games had started.....That usually means the early games haven't finished yet....I have no idea if any of those games were early or late, doesn't matter as you would still have to make the wager in the order they were place and no potential winning games had finished yet....

I agree with you, but in the scenario you describe, I believe the first 4% wager = $400 and the last 6% wager listed would = $600

For a total of 8500 wagered out of your 10k BR

 

[Sportsaholic]

I agree with you, but in the scenario you describe, I believe the first 4% wager = $400 and the last 6% wager listed would = $600

For a total of 8500 wagered out of your 10k BR

I don't believe you can do it that way because some days there are more than 100% in play (not bank roll) at any given time.....


After I wager the first bet of 4% I have $9,600 available for my 2nd bet and so forth.....Once you get to the last bet of 6% you only have a balance of $4,594.46 to bet that 6% with.....:shrug:

 

[MadJack]

I don't believe you can do it that way because some days there are more than 100% in play (not bank roll) at any given time.....


After I wager the first bet of 4% I have $9,600 available for my 2nd bet and so forth.....Once you get to the last bet of 6% you only have a balance of $4,594.46 to bet that 6% with.....:shrug:

I think the BR gets reset after the day is over. If it was like your example there would be a lot of calculating going on before each bet.

 

[DuckDogs]

I am probably wrong, I just can't imagine resetting a BR after every wager
:shrug:


:toast:

 

[Sportsaholic]

I looked back on Week 1 of CFL Saturday plays last year from a poster here:

Assuming you have an starting Bank Roll of $10,000, below are bets played before 3:30 games start and the early games finished:

Plays:
4% $400 Bal: $9,600
5% $480 : $9120
4% $364.80 : $8,77.20 posted Friday night


4% $350.20 : 8,405.00
3% $252.15 : $8,152.85
2% $163.57 : $7,989.28 posted 10:15 am

6% $479.35 : $7,509.93
5% $375.50 : $7,234.43
4% $289.38 : $6,945.05
4% $277.80 : $6,667.25 posted 11:22

5% $333.36 : $6,333.89 posted 11:46

4% $253.35 : $6,180.54 posted 11:52

3% $185.42 : $5,995.12 posted 1:30

4% $239.80 : $5,755.32 posted 1:46

5% $287.77 : $5,467.55
6% $328.05 : $5,139.50
4% $205.58 : $4,933.92
3% $148.02 : $4,785.90
4% $191.44 : $4,594.46
6% $275.67 : $4,218.79 posted 2:55pm

this may make it easier to figure.....:shrug:

I assume you use your starting days Bank Roll and make bet based on what you have available.....The above would be numbers based on using a online book......If your using a local you'd need to calculate different with juice for loses.....God forbid you tried using multiple books as you'd need 10's of thousands to keep up with bets.........:shrug:

 

[bleedingpurple]

Lets say your FIRST week is a bad one., your bankroll is $5000 then you lose 50% with juice that opening week, you are at $2500 bank roll then next week you win 50% then you are at 3750. Then the following week you win 20%, now you are up to $4500. Yeah you have won 20% more action but still down $500, that's all from me on the subject.

 

[MadJack]

this may make it easier to figure.....:shrug:

I assume you use your starting days Bank Roll and make bet based on what you have available.....The above would be numbers based on using a online book......If your using a local you'd need to calculate different with juice for loses.....God forbid you tried using multiple books as you'd need 10's of thousands to keep up with bets.........:shrug:

Why does a % have to be $100?

 

[Sportsaholic]

Why does a % have to be $100?

Well if your paying X amount for service plays you need to win enough to offset set to break even, correct......Guessing 10's wont get you there.....:0008

 

[bleedingpurple]

Well if your paying X amount for service plays you need to win enough to offset set to break even, correct......Guessing 10's wont get you there.....:0008

Just say fuck it put 100% of bankroll on San Fran, guaranteed lock, if they don't cover well it was a good run til start of next football season