Omaha @ SDak St... Denver @ NDakota... Ore St -13.5 @ Port /142.5

[LordofBalls]

Gm 1 - Oma/SDak
I took a closer (historical) look at this matchup:
*SDak St has covered 9 of the L10 meetings between these 2 teams.. in only 4 of 9 wins did they win by DD
*Omaha WON on Jan 11th '25 (at home) after losing (and failing to cover) the previous 9
*The tms combined for 155 or more in 7 of the 10 games.. the L3 were 167-162-177
*In their most recent matchup, they only managed 67 pts in the 1st half, but in 2nd half scored 100 pts between them.

My play:
1st Half OVER 72.5 >>> 121/110
**IF the 1st Half stays under this total, I will bet 2.5u on the 2half to go OVER

Gm 2 - Denv/NDak
*N. Dakota has won/covered the L5 mtgs
*L10 matchups have ALL gone OVER the Total.. L3 games have scored 165-170-170
*1/9/25 matchup scored 87 1st half, 78 2nd half
*Of the L10, the fewest pts scored was 149 which only happened twice, the most recent in Jan '23

My Play:
1st Half OVER 72 >>> 110/100
**Same scenario, IF 1st Half stays under 72, I will bet 2nd Half OVER for 2.5u

Lastly...Oregon St @ Portland:
*Oregon St is in a diff class athletically than Portland, dropping from Pac-12 into the WCC
*Only recent meeting was 12/30/24.. teams scored 85 1st Half, 83 2nd Half.. Ore St wins by 10 (89-79)
*Wash St, St Mary, Gonz, Loy-Mary, USF, Santa Clara, Ore St.. are the "better/stronger" teams in Conf
*When playing vs those teams, Portland surrendered 89-89-81-81-92-105-88-97 pts
*Portland has lost by copious amounts both home/road in conference 16/10/31/23/9/22/43/25/47
*Ore St just lost to a tough, physical St. Mary's team the other night, and I think they get their offense on tonight against a weak Portland team
*Total has dropped from 145.5 down to 142.5 and I do NOT know why.. possibly injury so will wait to make a wager
*Ore State's tm total is 77.5 for tonight's game

My Leans:
**Ore St team total OV 77.5 (3u) <-- not played yet
*1H Over 66.5
*Gm Ore St -13.5
I will wait to make my bets on this one, see IF find out what I can about the total dropping

Please share your thoughts on ANY of these if you have opinions

Thanks and GL to US!!!!!

LoB

 

[LordofBalls]

I see NO Injuries in the Ore St/Port game... (yet the total dropped 3 pts several hrs ago)
I'm guessing it's cuz of how much Ore St struggled offensively against St. Mary's

Portland is NOT anything like St. Mary's!

ADDED:
Ore St tm total OV 77.5 >>> 2u (if I hit the earlier 2 listed above, I'll look to add before tipoff)
USF +15.5 (pt) >>> 1u

🤞🤞🤞🤞🤞

 

[LordofBalls]

In the L10 meetings between UC Riverside and UC Davis:
*the games are usually tight
*DOG has gone 8-2 ATS...
*UC Riv has gone 8-2 inc 5 outright wins as the Dog

I haven't seen UC Davis hardly ever, but I've seen UC Riverside and their Coach is very good!
I'll take the chance on 'em tonight!

UC Riverside +2.5 (pt)... 1u

$75 PAR:
Uc Riv ML
San Fran +15.5


GL

 

[LordofBalls]

get this... the L7 times N. Dakota has played against Denver...

N. Dakota Team Scores: 95-92-92-83-86-71-79... tonight's game through 14 mins and 50 secs... N. Dakota had 8 fggn points

those muddafuggahz!

so I hit the 1h Omaha Over.. lost 1h N. Dakota Over..

gonna play 2h N. Dakota Over whatever it comes out as... and hope and pray they can somehow get the game total OV 152.5 (a parlay I made)

EDIT:
DAMMIT ~ after I wrote this I went in, total was 82.5 so I entered it, and in the 10 seconds or so it takes to make the wager, it comes back..
Line Moved!! up to 84!!

I played the mofo anyway.. wish me luck~!

 

[LordofBalls]

well, good news bad news...

good news is I've got the 2h OV 79.5 in the Omaha/NDak game
bad news is Immadumbass that played another bet on the 2H SDak gm to go over 84... crossing my fingers lol

 

[LordofBalls]

if somehow Denv/NDak can get to 99 in 2h, I'd be quite grateful

currently almost on pacew 39 thru 8 mins

EDIT
I wouldn't be upset if it got to OT