Hope I can play with you guys...just looking for some like-minded punters to share some thoughts with. Mine are a tad off the beaten path, as you will see...Thanks for the interaction, and best of luck at Pebble.
Outrights:
1* Duval +1500 (Yes, THAT Duval...)
1* Furyk +1500
1* Kelly +1800
1* Mediate +2500
1/2* Couples +4000 (should be 40,000, probably, BUT)
1/2* Field +230 (this will cover my Bam-Bam bet... )
I think Duval will experience a resurgence this season, and I think it will happen sooner than later. Last week we saw some nice rounds wrapped around one bad one, and I think that if Dave is playing well for the most part, it won't take much to get him back on track. I'll play him for a few weeks and see what happens. Jerry Kelly looks like my best play for the weekend, and I will call for his win this weekend. Talented, in good form, and a top 10 tour pro right about now. Furyk and Mediate are two players in terrific form right now, and are being quickly diminished in the betting pool. Both are worth a unit in my opinion, and are capable of winning in this Pro-Am format. Couples is a reach, but well-suited to the course and format for anything at +400 and up, in my opinion. Playing the field also this week, as I am a bit superstitious about going a long time between outright winners, no matter how small.
Matchups:
2** Kelly -1.10 over Weir
2** Furyk -1.15 over Weir
1* Couples +1.10 over Lehman
1* Kelly +1.15 over Love
1* K. Perry -1.05 over McCarron
1* Sabbatini -1.15 over Gamez
My outright plays kind of have a theme that mirrors my outright plays. I am betting against Weir as a last-week champion who should fade after the gloss wears off. Backing Kelly twice as I think he is top five this week. Taking a shot with Couples at this venue against Lehman, who is better in other events. I like Sabbatini in this format much more than Gamez who can rattle easily in odd suroundings like a Pro-Am. I have personally seen him in tourneys with amateurs around him, and he seems really put off by it all. Finally, not convinced McCarron is in good form this season, and Perry can get the job done on this type of course.
Very late this week with the posts and ideas. Still do not have a beneficial out odds-wise for golf, and will be undertaking that soon. So, we suffer through the Don Best offerings for another week.