lostinamerica said:
Posted in the U.S. Open thread on 6.14.06:
Overall, with posted plays at madjacksports.com from 2002-2006, the Masters, Open Championship and Players Championship have been exceptionally good events for me, while the U.S. Open and P.G.A. have been definite disappointments . . . in the majors I'll indulge myself all week long if so moved . . .
Posted in the Open Championship thread on 07.19.06:
Geoff Ogilvy(80/1) at Winged Foot sure turned my U.S. Open record around in a hurry. And along with Stephen Ames(150/1) in The Players Championship and Phil Mickelson(+650) in The Masters . . . giving some back this week seems more realistic than forging closer to a calendar year Grand Slam Plus. Or not.
(2)Tiger Woods(+550) Win Only
- - In the wake of the carnage of the Tiger Slam Plus (i.e., he was amazing enough to include The Players Championship crystal for good measure), in major championships I've always included this wager on my card as "insurance" against.
So, that Grand Slam Plus is still alive for 2006 . . .
I was at Medinah in 1975 (4 days), 1990 (6 days) and 1999 (2 days) (and I'm considering a possible kamikaze run to Chicago to catch the action this Saturday), and I think I'm adequately versed in the recent changes . . . Fearless shots on the healthy Par 3's will provide gains on the field . . . The Par 4's are very manageable (even with the lengthening on #1 and #11 and #4), and veteran ball strikers from Allenby to Verplank should have a PGA venue that they can play their games on . . . And I've also been to championships at Olympic, Hazeltine, Congressional and Olympia Fields, and although the rough was plenty long and thick at Medinah, I strangely recall quite a few balls sitting up nicely in the rough for flyers rather than sinking down (certainly more so than with the gnarly stuff at Olympic) (maybe a broader leaf of grass?); however, I think that characteristic may not be the current reality.
So, done and dusted with pulling the trigger on these plays:
(1) Adam Scott(33/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
- - Medinah has none of the beguiling charms and timeless values that define Winged Foot; it's a stern but straightforward championship test in a majestic parkland setting that is the type of nut Scott has plenty of game to crack. Scott just lacks a scalp in order to stake a claim on another stellar 2006 campaign for a chap from Oz; and there has to be a definite design of some sort controlling his decision to bide his time since his best ever performance in a major at Hoylake. ("I played well this week, I think with a few here and there, like everyone, I played well enough to be right up there but it was a good week, I was happy with the way I struck the ball," said Scott, who dropped three shots at the final two holes to cost himself a share of fourth. "They had to tuck the pins this week otherwise it was going to be really low scoring considering there was no wind. Without the last two holes I would've been quite close but I just want to give myself another chance in three weeks' time." . . .
More from Scott and his compatriots:
http://www.smh.com.au/news/golf/bol...pointing-finish/2006/07/24/1153593272427.html )
(2) Tiger Woods(+225) Win Only
- - Mandatory "insurance" against.
(3) Sean O'Hair(150/1) e.w.
- - I have yet to see the member of the new breed that is a can't miss superstar on the level of Phil Mickelson in 1990 (as a perfect example of what I'm talking about), but if forced to choose among the present cast of characters, my choice on the evidence shown me to date is probably Sean O'Hair . . .I've said I thought he was coming on at the moment he showed the first signs of life during the Byron Nelson Championship, and FWIW his recent results are remarkably similar to those of Dean Wilson before taking a week off prior to the International.
(4) Sergio(33/1) e.w.
- - Issues and opportunities, I guess.
http://sport.scotsman.com/golf.cfm?id=1178672006
(5) Paul Casey(125/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
- - I don't think the refinements he needs to make for the long term foreclose his potential for genius at this juncture, and my Adam Scott discussion on a course for that horse somewhat reflects my take on this venue working for Casey as well . . . With so many future Hall of Famers seeming poised for a serious challenge, I had to opt for the extra place at lesser odds with this selection . . . I don't see Casey's odds here being 4-5 times those of Luke Donald, a statement I know has just significantly enhanced Donald's chances of "going Medieval."
(6) Lee Westwood(125/1) e.w.
- - Ten days ago I thought Scott Verplank was going to headline my choices among veteran outsiders, but I'm going in this direction instead. Westwwod appeared genuinely delighted when he seriously turned his season around at the Smurfit European Open, and his momentum since is no doubt a reflection of his attitude and effort from that point forward. Actually one of the few GB@I stalwarts that doesn't have to make any amends for their dismal collective showing on home soil at Hoylake. 16th here in 1999, and has delivered some other decent showings on the biggest stages, and FWIW, again I see a pattern of recent results very similar to Mr. Dean Wilson's . . . I believe Westwood and his family are extremely close to the entire Clarke family, and this Spice Boy might even be genuinely pissed about some of Captain Woosie's recent comments. History notes that no one thought events provided favorable preparation for Ben Crenshaw in the days preceding his win at Augusta in 1995, but reduced expectations then surely contributed to letting his natural abilities burst through.
That leaves me just with savers for now on Weir(70/1), Verplank(125/1), Furyk(16/1) and Ogilvy(55/1). Feels like a full card already, but still waiting for other specuialty markets at my few golf books avaiable here in the States before committing any further.
GL