PGA @ Southern Hills

DOGS THAT BARK

Registered User
Forum Member
Jul 13, 1999
19,438
132
63
Bowling Green Ky
This is not a play but thought was rather amusing--Thought I throw in a $5 win ticket@ VIP and was cut to $3.33 limit :)



Sorry, you have exceeded your maximum amount to win on a wager. Changes have been made and are reflected below.

ID Date League Wager Description Amount to
Risk Amount to
Win Cancel Wager
13241799 08/09/2007
07:30 GOL Tim Clark (60 to 1 Odds)
Tim Clark to Win
2007 PGA Championship - To Win
Player To Win Championship $ 3.33 $ 200.00
Totals $ 3.33 $ 200.00
 

abc

on probation
Dec 30, 2006
2,238
25
0
:mj07: My units range from 20 to 30.. and i feel like im a low limit guy.

But maxing an outright at 200 bucks :com:

abcs
golf7.gif
 
Last edited:

Stanley

Registered
Forum Member
Jul 26, 1999
11,801
26
0
Manchester, England
www.tour-tips.com
Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)

Jim Furyk to win 22/1 e.w. @ Paddy Power, BetFred and Boyle Sports [6 places]
Withdrew from the Bridgestone Invitational last Thursday morning due a tightening of his back, but he has said that his back has improved under treatment and the hope is that it will not be a factor this week. He withdrew from the Barclays Classic last season after injuring his back in a skins game, but the week's rest did him good the following week as he finished 2nd in the U.S. Open to Geoff Ogilvy. A repeat would be profitable. Indeed, it is strange to see so many of the leading players competing the week before a Major and on such a tough course setup. That can only work to Furyk's advantage if fit. The final factor, apart from his form which reads five top-5 finishes in his last seven starts including a win last time out, is the Colonial factor ... that course was re-designed by Perry Maxwell in the 1940s and he also built Southern Hills. A strong link between high finishes at Southern Hills and high recent finishes at Colonial has been established elsewhere (bettingzone.co.uk) and Furyk fits that angle very nicely having been a playoff loser at Colonial in May.

K.J. Choi to win 35/1 e.w. @ Paddy Power [6 places]
One of the hottest players on the PGA Tour having won two of his previous three starts before the British Open where he finished 8th, having been in contention throughout, and he then continued that good form last week at Firestone where he finished 11th. Little wonder that his price has been falling quickly this week and while 40/1 is still available, there should be better value in these lower odds, but better place terms at Paddy Power. Notable in his recent form has been a big improvement in his driving accuracy and greens in regulation stats. On this short course with penal Bermuda rough, that ability to keep the ball on the short grass should be very important and places a greater emphasis on the iron play (rather than the power play on many newer PGA Tour course), in which Furyk and Choi are some of the better exponents. He has finished 6th and 7th in two of the last three years in this event (as well as top-25 at Colonial in each of the last three years) and should threaten to post another leaderboard finish on this course.


Will add more plays later.
 

abc

on probation
Dec 30, 2006
2,238
25
0
Love the choi play stan, furyk at 22/1 is sick value if healthy ( i would have him as the favorite ..). But i saw him on the golf channel last night and he was really down and depressed. I talked to a couple tour insiders and they said its a lot worst than what we know. The greek isn't even offering matchup odds with jim. I think Jims press conference is tomorrow, it will be interesting to hear how he is doin.
 

Stanley

Registered
Forum Member
Jul 26, 1999
11,801
26
0
Manchester, England
www.tour-tips.com
My take on the Furyk injury is that he won't risk playing if he can't be competitive - he said he could play last week, but not be competitive - and whereas in previous years, he might take a chance with it being a Major, he won't this year. Why? Because of the Fedex Cup ... they have only one week's rest and then it's the playoffs and he won't risk ending his season this week by playing when unfit. So, if he plays, he has a real chance, and if he's not fully fit, he withdraws and the bet is void. At least that's what I'm hoping ;)
 

abc

on probation
Dec 30, 2006
2,238
25
0
Rose under 24.5 finishing position -115. :com:

Top 10 plays..

Z Johnson +550
Choi +275


Also looking at Perry, Clark and Pampling..

golf7.gif
abcs
 
Last edited:

abc

on probation
Dec 30, 2006
2,238
25
0
Glover -120 over Allenby (72 Holes)
Lukes last 5 tournies 10,12,11,27 11
Allenby has been bad.. real bad the last 2 tournies finishing nearly dead last at the WGC and missing the cut at the British. In his last 5 rounds hes had a 79,82 and 80 :scared
golf7.gif
abcs
 

abc

on probation
Dec 30, 2006
2,238
25
0
And the biggest bet of the week.. and my biggest matchup bet of the year..:scared I am now 5 - 1 - 2 on the year on 6+ unit plays.

drum.gif


Charley Hoffman -140 over Olazabel


Just in case you have been sleeping under a rock, Ollie is out of form. He was too injured to play at the British and made an 'attempt' last week that Michele Wie would have laughed at. He shot 78,80,78, 79.. Hell Agent would be giving him strokes. He was 77th in DA and dead last in GIR's last week. Well maybe he had a bad week.. wrong. On the year he is 189th and 193rd in those stats. Even if healthy Id like Hoffman here.
Charley is big time underrated..
Charleys last 3 tournies ( all top fields) the AT&T, British and the WGC he had a 19,35 and 22. He also is from Cali and lived in Nevada so th heat shouldn't bother him. No way Ollie can stay too long on the range and find his swing.
Back up the truck and unload on this one.
golf7.gif
abcs

Fear the mullet!!!


Thats it for my plays for the week..
 

Cantona7

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 17, 2002
234
1
0
53
Manchester
www.golfgreenfees.com
will make a brief return with some thoughts on the event. difficult call on the outrights as you can make a very solid case for 10-15 players. usual suspects most mentioned above. interesting one that has just sneaked in and at 250/1 in some books is Leaney. Solid run of form and in top 10 on par 4s which should suit on here.

on match ups like:
perry v appleby
pampling v allenby
sabbatini v casey
verplank v toms
got to agree with abc on Hoffman play.
 

ormond80

Registered User
Forum Member
Feb 27, 2001
1,369
13
38
charlotte, n.c. usa
i am trying to find odds on Steve Stricker to win but cant find him on my site or The Greek. Playing w/ Brett W. and Weir. Did he WD? Help..
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
Forum Member
Jul 7, 2002
11,595
249
63
68
Benbrook
By Christian Peterson
Senior Editor

August 7, 2007

Tiger Woods was utterly dominant in destroying the field at the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational last week, which should be a scary thought for the rest of the boys. However, he also had an astonishing track record of success at Firestone Country Club, which we can't exactly say of Southern Hills (though he did tie for 12th at the 2001 U.S. Open). Considering he has yet to add another major to his collection this season, you can bet Eldrick is pumped for his "last shot at glory." Still, the trio of first-time major winners so far this year gives plenty of hope for a similar outcome this weekend, and there's the always-dangerous contingent of world-class players who already have a major title to their names.



The Favorites
At last update, it appeared Jim Furyk was going to be able to tee it up this week in Tulsa, despite a bad back that forced him out of last week's action in Akron. Normally, he and Phil Mickelson would be installed as top-three fantasy options behind Woods, but injuries to both casts that status in serious doubt. Mickelson simply hasn't been a factor since his wrist injury in early June, so it's difficult to see him going toe-to-toe with Tiger at Southern Hills (where he tied for seventh in 2001). Of course, 2001 Open champ Retief Goosen will get a lot of attention this week, but he's been so awful over the past year it's tough to see him winning again this week (see below for further detail). The list of "traditional" favorites gets rounded out by Vijay Singh and Ernie Els. Singh tied with Mickelson at the 2001 Open and comes into the week having two top-four finishes in his last five PGA TOUR events, but he hasn't logged a top-10 finish at a major since last year's U.S. Open and hasn't truly contended for a title since winning the 2004 PGA (yes, he had a streak of six straight major top 10s immediately following that win, but when was the last time you remember him having a chance to win on the back nine on Sunday?). As for Els, he didn't fare well at Southern Hills six years ago (T66), but a T4 finish at last month's British Open at least puts him back in the conversation as one of the contenders.


The Best of the Rest
With Padraig Harrington scratched off the list, Sergio Garcia and Adam Scott are in a knock-down, drag-out battle for the dishonor of being labeled the best golfer in the world without a major title. Garcia came achingly close at Carnoustie, and if he gets his putter going again this week at Southern Hills he should be very dangerous. Scott has faded badly after a solid start to the season, but the PGA has been his best major format over the last couple of years, so don't count him out entirely. Among those who could continue the first-time major winner trend are: Tim Clark, who has two runner-ups and a T6 in his last three PGA TOUR events; K.J. Choi, who has climbed all the way to No. 13 in the Official World Golf Rankings; Steve Stricker, who's been in contention at nearly every major for over a year; and Justin Rose, who's finished worse than T12 just once in his last seven PGA TOUR events. Finally, don't overlook Stewart Cink. At the 2001 Open, Cink had a 15-footer for birdie that he thought he had to make to give himself a chance at a playoff with Goosen. After barely missing the birdie attempt, he also lipped out an 18-incher that wound up costing him that chance after Retief inexplicably three-putted from close range on No. 18. Cink is coming off a T6 at Carnoustie and is seeking revenge this week at Southern Hills.


Who's Hot?
Andres Romero: Since bursting onto the scene with his second top-10 finish at the British Open in as many years, the young Argentine has won a European Tour event and tied for sixth last week at the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational.

Steve Stricker: Dating back to last year's U.S. Open (T6), Stricker has finished worse than T13 at a major just once (T7 at 2006 PGA, MC at Masters, T13 at Oakmont, T8 at Carnoustie) in the last two years.


Who's Not?
Retief Goosen: The 2001 Southern Hills champ has been awful for over a year; recording just two top-10 finishes in his last 21 PGA TOUR events and contending at a major just once since 2005 (both times at the Masters).

Geoff Ogilvy: Ogilvy has just one top-10 finish in his last 10 PGA TOUR events. Furthermore, for a guy who had become a regular contender at major championships, he's been very quiet this year, recording finishes of T24 at the Masters, T42 at the U.S. Open, and missing the cut at the British.


Player Trends
It's not a fool-proof indicator of future success, but golfers who fare well at a particular venue tend to do so time and again. With that in mind, we provide a list of players who have notable trends at this week's event (most recent results are listed first).

The Good
K.J. Choi (T7, T40, T6, T69, Cut, T29)
Adam Scott (T3, T40, T9, T23, T23, Cut)
Kenny Perry (Three top 10s, just one missed cut in 13 attempts)
Steve Elkington (Five top 10s in 14 tries, including a T2 in 2005)
Shaun Micheel (A runner-up and a win in four career appearances)

The Bad
Retief Goosen (Just one top 10 in nine appearances)
Padraig Harrington (Best finish of T17 in eight attempts; missed cut each of last two years)
Tom Lehman (1-for-13 in top 10s, nothing better than T29 since 1997)
Scott Verplank (One top 10 in 13 tries; three missed cuts in the last five years)
John Daly (Since his improbable win at Crooked Stick in 1991, Daly has missed the cut 10 times in 14 subsequent appearances)

The Ugly
Rory Sabbatini (Cut, T74, Cut, 68, Cut, Cut, 77)
 

abc

on probation
Dec 30, 2006
2,238
25
0
i am trying to find odds on Steve Stricker to win but cant find him on my site or The Greek. Playing w/ Brett W. and Weir. Did he WD? Help..

the greek sucks.. i wanted top 10's on perry and there werent any :shrug:
 

abc

on probation
Dec 30, 2006
2,238
25
0
I will say this course is similar to Congressional. Appelby suprisingly played well there and played well last week. I would not be surprised to see him near the top. He seems to somehow pop up on tough courses.
 

abc

on probation
Dec 30, 2006
2,238
25
0
Glover -120 over Allenby (72 Holes)
Lukes last 5 tournies 10,12,11,27 11
Allenby has been bad.. real bad the last 2 tournies finishing nearly dead last at the WGC and missing the cut at the British. In his last 5 rounds hes had a 79,82 and 80 :scared
golf7.gif
abcs

Robert Allenby shot 82-80 on the weekend at Firestone, not the best way to head into the final major of the year.

Especially with his record in the majors.

Allenby is among five players at Southern Hills who have missed the cut in all three majors this year. The others are former British Open champion Todd Hamilton, Colin Montgomerie, Joe Durant and Johan Edfors.
 

abc

on probation
Dec 30, 2006
2,238
25
0
My take on the Furyk injury is that he won't risk playing if he can't be competitive - he said he could play last week, but not be competitive - and whereas in previous years, he might take a chance with it being a Major, he won't this year. Why? Because of the Fedex Cup ... they have only one week's rest and then it's the playoffs and he won't risk ending his season this week by playing when unfit. So, if he plays, he has a real chance, and if he's not fully fit, he withdraws and the bet is void. At least that's what I'm hoping ;)

Jim Furyk commented that he will need the pain in his back to get better for him to play this week at the PGA Championship.
He did some light practice on Monday and played nine holes, but commented, "It's better, but if I don't keep getting better each day, I would say that it's unlikely that I will play." Furyk was red hot before his back injury last week, and fantasy managers will have to watch over the next couple of days to see if his injury improves.
 

ridle

Namaste!
Forum Member
Jun 28, 2005
480
1
0
40
Germany
R1 3-Balls:
Rollins-Dougherty N-Small 2.25 VC
Taniguchi-Sabbatini-Rose 6 BetDAQ
Watson D-Sullivan C- Pavin 3.75 Portlandbet
Byrd-Furyk-Donald 4.5 Coral

OUTRIGHT:
Van Pelt 450 BetFair win only
Snedeker 290 BetFair win only
Pampling 240 BetFair win only
MacKenzie W 800 BetFair win only
Kim A 300 BetFair win only
Howell C 380 BetFair win only
Hansen S 470 BetFair win only
Green R 280 BetFair win only
Calcavecchia 410 BetFair win only
Byrd 330 BetFair win only

1-5:
Mediate 1-5 51 Centrebet win only
Clarke D 1-5 51 Totesport win only
Snedeker 1-5 30 Unibet win only
Elkington 1-5 50 Unibet win only

1-10:
Taniguchi 1-10 50 BetFair win only
Brier 1-10 50 BetFair win only
Quinney 1-10 23 Stan James win only

Green R 1-10 15 SportingbetAU win only
Calcavecchia 1-10 17 SportingbetAU win only
Love D 1-10 15 SportingbetAU win only

Howell C 1-10 21 Stan James win only
Clarke D 1-10 21 Stan James win only

Round 1 Leader:
R1: Clarke D 151 Totesport 1/4 1-5
R1: Mediate 151 Betfred 1/4 1-5
R1: Van Pelt 126 Bet365 1/4 1-5
R1: Kim A 126 Betfred 1/4 1-5

R1: Oberholser 126 Betfred 1/4 1-5
R1: Weir 91 Bet365 1/4 1-5
R1: Pampling 101 Boylesports 1/4 1-5

R1: Ames 126 Boylesports 1/4 1-5

Lowest Round for the tournament:
Snedeker LTR 101 SportingbetAU win onl
Love D LTR 151 SportingbetAU win only
Flesch LTR 151 SportingbetAU win only

Top European:
Chopra TOP EU 81 Boylesports 1/4 1-4
Hansen S TOP EU 67 Coral 1/4 1-4
Havret TOP EU 67 Boylesports 1/4 1-4

Bjorn TOP EU 1 Boylesports 1/4 1-4

Top American without Woods:
Howell C TOP US WOW 101 Sportingbet 1/4 1-4
Mayfair TOP US WOW 126 Coral 1/4 1-4
Calcavecchia TOP US WOW 81 Totesport 1/4 1-4

Top Rest of the World:
Green N TOP ROW 81 Coral 1/5 1-4
Coceres TOP ROW 67 Totesport 1/5 1-4
Pampling TOP ROW 41 Sunderlands 1/5 1-4
Green R TOP ROW 51 Sunderlands 1/5 1-4

Top Rest of the World without Australia:
Taniguchi ROW WOAU 81 Betdirect 1/4 1-4
 
Last edited:
Bet on MyBookie
Top