plays & angles for 11/23-11/29

[AR182]

here is the weekly writeup on double digit home dogs by peter fiutak......for the last 7 weeks dd home dogs are 48-18(72.7%)...very impressive.


In the weekly tracking of my theory that, after the early part of the year, the double-digit home underdog almost always covers (also called the DDHD by another column that adopted this theory as its own without giving any love to where it came from). Last week, the home dogs went an 4-3 ATS with Baylor covering against Oklahoma, Army covering against UAB, East Carolina covering against Memphis and Vanderbilt playing well late against Tennessee. Louisville and Northern Illinois, two bugs in the theory all year, won easily, while Boston College coasted against Temple. That brings the total up to 48-18 ATS over the last seven weeks. So as a continued public service, here are this weeks offerings ...
- Arizona State -14 at Arizona
- NC State -20.5 at East Carolina
- Boise State -26 at Nevada
- Fresno State -27 at San Jose State


good luck.

 

[vinnie]

great info

thanks

 

[loophole]

ncs/ecu not in greenville but at neutral site in charlotte. fans should be equally divided, but i wouldn't be surprised to see pirates hang around. imo game too volatile so i won't play a side but will consider the under. g/l my friend.

 

[Irish]

Great info AR, as always!
i was looking at the ECU game because they have been playing well of late. Going with ASU based on talent vs Rivalry alone. Seriously considering the Navada game....the Cowboys have struggled with a few teams on the road this year. Good luck to you this weekend!

Cheers
Irish

 

[gridman]

Be careful on the Boise game. Rivalry with NV goes back a long ways - both teams despise each other. And Ault is back coaching again and I'm sure he was part of the "wars". Nv playing tough at home and Boise having a hard time covering on the road. Points might be the play. Tread lightly.

 

[Irish]

gridman
I think you misunderstood. AR is saying play the Double-digit home dog. So in that case Nevada would be the play. Good luck

 

[bombercoops]

You've done well with the DD dogs this season AR! Hope the success continues for you this weekend mate!

 

[AR182]

thanks guys...it's greatly appreciated.


122-103......+17.71*

playing a small teaser tonight.......

1* toledo+11.5 / kent-1.5


good luck.

 

[Clem D]

Best of luck

 

[gridman]

Ooops, sorry about that. I didn't read carefully. Anyways, just wanted to let you know that I'm leaning towards the pts and Nevada.
GM

 

[AR182]

here are a few angles that i came upon......

i wouldn't make a play solely on an angle...but i think that they are interesting...........

play on any college favorite up to 17 points playing in a final home game with revenge, coming off a su & ats win on the road in the previous game....

since 1980....56-32-3...64%.....

play on boston college & iowa state


play against a college conference road team who played each of its previous 4 games at home.....

since 1980.....14-7-2 ats.....66.7%.....

play against lsu


play against any college football defending national champion in their final game of the season vs. an opponent off a win of more than 1 point......

since 1990.....11-1 ats....91.6%.....

play against lsu


the arizona wildcats are 0-31-1 ats at home in games in which they allow more than 24 points.


good luck.

 

[RexBudler]

Great info buddy and nice hit on that teaser tonight

 

[AR182]

thanks, rex.


1*under 57 conn./rutgers

i remember when i was in college i had a hard time functioning in the morning. so since this is a 10am game, i think it will be a lower score than expected(lol).

good luck.

 

[Blackman]

Like that under play. I live about 20 minutes from campus and the weather has been awful all day, tons of rain and it's not supposed to let up. Field conditions should be poor, not to mention that you could probably hold archery practice in the stands tommorrow.

 

[AR182]

adding........


2.5*tex. a & m +11(120)
2.5*ark.+4(111)
1*u 49 (113) neb./col.


good luck.

 

[trolln4walii]

GL today AR. As always, enjoy the great write-ups

 

[AM2kidz]

Thanks AR for your time and effort into your posts... The information is very helpful...Love the DDHD's today..
Happy Holidays to everyone... Am2kidz..

 

[AR182]

thanks for the well wishes guys.......

some of today's plays i played earlier this week.

all for 2.5*.........

w.f.+7(120)
san jose st.+28(120)
nevada+26
miss. st.+7(130)
tcu-13
v.t.-3(120)
uab+1
e. car.+21.5
u44 missouri/iowa st.
usc-21(130)


good luck.

 

[ajoytoy]

gl on the plays AR!


toy

 

[AR182]

2.5*tulsa+8

good luck.