Round 1 plays (1pt):
Charles Howell to beat Boo Weekley -111 @ Unibet
Weekly has yet to beat Howell in any first round this year and of their four common strokeplay events in 2008, Weekley has ended the tournament ahead of Howell only once, so he is hardly in the better form. With Weekley missing the cut and Howell finishing 6th last year, the value appears to be with Howell in this match
Kenny Perry to beat David Toms -120 @ Five Dimes
Toms had problems with his back midway through the first round of the WGC World Matchplay and, even though he won that day, he lost in the next round and shot 79-77 to miss the cut by a long way last week. With this concern, it hardly matters that Perry has the early tee-time (Toms starts in the afternoon) and a 8-3-2 1st round h2h lead over the past 12 months
John Senden to beat Trevor Immelman -120 @ Five Dimes
Three missed cuts from three strokeplay events and a 2nd round defeat in the WGC World Matchplay is clear evidence that he is still some way from competitiveness after his health problems. No such worries with Senden who finished 2nd last year
J.B. Holmes to beat Fred Couples -143 @ Unibet
Already a winner this year, plus 7th in his last strokeplay event, came extremely close to beating Tiger in the WGC World Matchplay last time out and finished 8th last year; Couples can't compete with those credentials