Round 4 plays (1pt):
Troy Matteson to beat Rich Beem -120 @ Pinnacle
Beem has been in the top-15 with one round to play 15 times over the last 5 seasons and not once has he broken 70 in the final round. In fact, he has fallen down the leaderboard in 14 of those 15 occasions from an average position of 7.6 to 19.8. Worth opposing today
Frank Lickliter to beat Daniel Chopra -105 @ Five Dimes
At eight shots off the lead, these players could still challenge for a top-5 finish today. How have they fared in similar situations in the past? In the last 5 five seasons, Lickliter averages 70.1 and 13/27 rounds under 70; Chopra 71.8 and 9/43 rounds under 70
Jesper Parnevik to beat Tim Herron +100 @ Five Dimes
These two players languish in 74th place and with the weather conditions expected to be fair today, it is all above incentives in this position and they differ in this situation. For example, Herron was 67th last week and shot 80 in the final round; the last three times Parnevik has been worse than 55th, he has shot 69-65-68
