preseason week 1 plays...

AR182

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i think the defenses have an advantage over the offenses in the first week of preseason...i think the coaches play the first preseaon game very conservatively....just to get the players feet wet...also took a look at my preseason thread, & am playing these....

2*under 37 tenn./n.o....

like the fact that 9 of last 12 tenn. preseason games have gone under....also like that n.o. are learning a new offensive system & have new players...highly doubt brees will play....

2*under 37 g.b./s.d....

g.b. also has a new coach where players will learn a new system...while s.d. has marty as their coach...marty does everything conservatively...


good luck.
 
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sdf

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my view on the teams

NOR - agree brees wont play (or shouldnt). backups arent scary. assume back WRs as well. expect to see a lot of reggie bush.

TEN - not sure here. Volek is no stranger to starting so I cant see Fisher playing him much. Expect VY to get a lot of snaps. expect back RBs and WRs as well.

like the under there

----

GB - expect to see a heavy dose of rodgers...will he pass a lot? WR corps is testied but sucked last year. i would think they'd want to get them some catches during nflx to see who the top 3 are now that javon walker is gone. RB corps is pretty much set and is pretty good IMO.

SD - marty HAS to get Rivers a bunch of snaps during nflx...doesnt he? this worries me on playing SD unders. I guess I just expect SD to pass much more than run since LT and backup are known quantities and dont need much work.

still waiting for the QB reports to come out so i'm just guessing at some of this. it's true marty doesnt care much about nflx so i'm very tempted to play GB in that game.

thoughts?
 
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AR182

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i also put these 2 in when i put the other 2 in, but for some reason forgot to post them....

2*u 37 n.e./atl....

like the fact that in n.e. has gone under in 13 of it's last 16 preseaon games.

2*u 37 dallas/seattle...

because the 2nd & 3rd string qb's on these teams are pretty weak, i think both coaches are going to either play their starting qb's a series or 2 or sit them down for the whole game & not risk injuring them.

good luck.
 
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AR182

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lowell said:
thanks for early picks. will tag along for the ride


lowell...

be my guest...but as you know nothing is guaranteed....just a hunch that offenses are behind defenses at this stage of preseason.
 

MrChristo

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Nice job on getting a couple of those games at 37, AR...dropped a point or two since then.
I reckon I'll be on the NO/Tenn under, even at 35.5.

Not sure if you have seen some reports out of Dallas this week?
The offense played 9 ten snap drills against the defense...scored 7 TDs and a FG!!
Apparently Romo and Henson both looked very strong...pretty sure one of them was like 9/10 for 150 or there abouts!

Of course, there's every chance this says more about the Dallas D than either of these 2, but either way, a Dallas under could be scary.

Actually tempted by GB +3.5 too...I remember last season Favre came out and played for the whole first half...I'm thinking the other way sdf, that if Rivers goes down, the Chargers are in a WORLD of hurt.
Not sure he'll be risked too much.

Anyway...sorry about the thread clutter AR, but great to be back talking about foots, even if it is just the X!
 

lowell

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AR182 said:
so far 3-1 +3.80* for week 1....

don't know if i'll play anything on sunday...

good luck.
thanks for the ride. nice work
 

AR182

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i was going to put in a bet on under for tonight's game...but the total went from 36.5-35...

then i read the following on another site....i capitalized a section of the info that i felt was important for a total play....imo more passes mean a chance of a high scoring game...but i don't like to play overs so i'll sit this game out...


Oakland Raiders - QB Rotation: Aaron Brooks (1st Q+), Andrew Walter (2nd Q+), Marques Tuiasosopo (3rd Q+).

The Raiders starters will play into the second quarter. QB Aaron Brooks is expected to see at least one quarter of action for the second straight game and be called upon to ATTEMPT MORE PASSES than he did in the first game. Look for the Raiders to continue their quest to get RB LaMont Jordan more comfortable in an offense geared toward getting him a sizable workload during the regular season.

Defensively, the Raiders figure to assert themselves more as their younger players get more comfortable in the scheme and playing with new teammates. Look for rookie Michael Huff to get more playing time, both at strong safety and cornerback.

Art Shell wants more pushing and shoving, he said Raiders weren't physical enough in the opener. "At the beginning of the game, I don't think on both sides of the ball we were as physical as we needed to be," Shell said.

WR Jerry Porter is expected to make his exhibition-season debut Monday for the Raiders. CB Mike Huff started at strong safety in the exhibition opener and estimated that he played 15 snaps. He hopes he'll see about 20 to 25 snaps Monday night.

This is Oakland's second game, winning the Hall of Fame game last Sunday, 16-10, over the Eagles.

Brooks, signed as a free agent from the Saints, will start. Brooks is the heir apparent to Kerry Collins over Andrew Walter, No. 2 on the depth chart.

Discipline will be a key in preseason: Shell expects his players to be crisp, detailed and disciplined. The Raiders have been a sloppy team the last few years, especially with penalties, but were much better in the preseason opener.

Minnesota Vikings - QB Rotation: Brad Johnson (1st Q), Mike McMahon (half of the 2nd Q), rookie Tarvaris Jackson (2nd-3rd Qs), J.T. O'Sullivan (4th Q).

Brad Johnson, the oldest QB in the league turing 38 next month, is expected to play one quarter, with Mike McMahon relieving. Rookie QB Tarvaris Jackson will play the final portion of the second quarter and all of the third. J.T. O'Sullivan will handle the fourth quarter. QB Mike McMahon has worked with the second-team offense in practice, with rookie Tarvaris Jackson running the third team. No. 2 quarterback Mike McMahon will play for part of the second quarter before Jackson enters.

Former Eagles assistant Brad Childress is the new Minnesota head coach. The 49-year-old Childress had been the Eagles' offensive coordinator since 2002.

Tonight will mark the first opportunity the Vikings have to get a read on how the players are adjusting to the new schemes, the West Coast offense and Tampa-2 defense. Childress said he is being careful not to overburden his players with too much.

"This is the most physical camp I've ever been associated with," cornerback Antoine Winfield said. The Vikings have practiced in full pads once a day since Aug. 1; Childress has paired each with a second daily practice in shells or shorts. They are not scheduled for a lighter day until Sunday, the day before their preseason opener against Oakland, and do not have a day off until Aug. 15. If Childress sticks to his schedule, players will take part in 12 consecutive days of full-pads practices.

Tampa Bay defensive backs coach 33-year old Mike Tomlin will be the new defensive coordinator, while former Green Bay quarterbacks coach Darrell Bevell is the new offensive coordinator.


good luck.
 

Mully

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AR....

Thank you on behalf of the entire mad jack family for all of your hard work....

Handicapping football is most definitely one of your callings. I always enjoy and gain something from each and every one of your posts....
 
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