RBC Canadian Open

cole

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Dec 27, 2004
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To win:

Snedeker +1400 (1)

Horschel +3300 (1)

DeLaet +3500 (2)

Summerhays +5000 (0.5)

Hearn +5000 (0.5)

Kirk +5000 (0.5)

D. Johnson +2200 (0.5)

GL!
 
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Tommyjay

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Jan 1, 2008
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John Huh to win 150-1 5dimes
I was considering Huh when he was 75-1, a day later he is double that. I couldn't believe my eyes. Thanks Betfair. When Bf and 5d get far apart, the bettors stop buying at dimes and get down at betfair. That's natural. 5d has to raise their price or get no action on that golfer.

Huh is a really good golfer, not great, at least not yet. American born, he is bigger than most Asian golfers, 6ft. 195 lb. I spent a few years in Asia, and I noticed that Huh, although Chinese, really, really looks Japanese. I don't know what significance that is.
A winner last year, a winner of a million bucks this year already, a course different from last year, all means John has a chance here. Not a better chance than the big favorites, but a good chance over everyone else.
This is the biggest overlay this year so far---I believe.
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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Jul 7, 2002
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Damn Cole, we are close. I may have to go back and add Billy, since I hit with him earlier.

Outrights
ODDS TO WIN CANADIAN OPEN BRANDT SNEDEKER +1250
ODDS TO WIN CANADIAN OPEN CHARL SCHWARTZEL +1500
ODDS TO WIN CANADIAN OPEN DUSTIN JOHNSON +2200
ODDS TO WIN CANADIAN OPEN GRAEME DELAET +2800
ODDS TO WIN CANADIAN OPEN CHRIS KIRK +5000
ODDS TO WIN CANADIAN OPEN DAVID HEARN +5000
ODDS TO WIN CANADIAN OPEN BILLY HORSCHEL +3000

4 Round match Ups
G DELAET -115 (E ELS vrs G DELAET)
D HEARN -120 (D HEARN vrs M JONES)
R GARRIGUS EV (R GARRIGUS vrs C STROUD)
P REED -115 (J SENDEN vrs P REED)
 
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arkansas.al

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Oct 19, 2004
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John Huh to win 150-1 5dimes
I was considering Huh when he was 75-1, a day later he is double that. I couldn't believe my eyes. Thanks Betfair. When Bf and 5d get far apart, the bettors stop buying at dimes and get down at betfair. That's natural. 5d has to raise their price or get no action on that golfer.

Huh is a really good golfer, not great, at least not yet. American born, he is bigger than most Asian golfers, 6ft. 195 lb. I spent a few years in Asia, and I noticed that Huh, although Chinese, really, really looks Japanese. I don't know what significance that is.
A winner last year, a winner of a million bucks this year already, a course different from last year, all means John has a chance here. Not a better chance than the big favorites, but a good chance over everyone else.
This is the biggest overlay this year so far---I believe.
John Huh's ethnicity is Korean.
 
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IE

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Mar 15, 1999
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To win the RBC Canadian Open


Ernie Els +2500
 

Tommyjay

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Jan 1, 2008
652
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Sierra Mountains
72 holes
Huh over Perez +100
Noh over VJay -115

Perez and VJ both have had their time in the sun, now it's Huh and Noh's turn. Old guy, young guy match up---I always lean toward the youngers.
 

Stanley

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Round 1 play (2pts):

John Merrick to beat Scott Stallings -110 @ Stan James
Opposing Stallings in this matchup. It is easy to remember that he finished 4th-4th-2nd in three consecutive weeks in May-June, but in the next five starts he has finished 53rd-mc-23rd-mc-mc, averaging 72.79 over that period. This is a typical profile for Stallings who has long periods of poor play and then very strong periods of form. Last year, for example, he missed eight cuts in ten events before finishing 1st-7th-mc. On a course which requires accuracy off the tee, he looks unlikely to reverse his recent lack of form.
 

lostinamerica

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Outrights:

David Lingmerth(100/1) e.w.
J.J. Henry(110/1) e.w.
Kevin Stadler(150/1) e.w.
Y.E. Yang(125/1) e.w.
Graham Delaet(33/1) e.w.
Ernie Els(33/1) e.w.
Stuart Appleby(200/1) e.w.
Casey Wittenberg(250/1) e.w.
Geoff Ogilvy(125/1) e.w.
Cameron Tringale(100/1) e.w.
Mike Weir(150/1) e.w.
Kyle Stanley(125/1) e.w.
Billy Andrade(250/1) e.w.
Brandt Snedeker(12/1) e.w.

GL
 

lostinamerica

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Oct 10, 2001
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Between Green Bay and Iowa City
Outrights:

Snedeker looks like a strong contender, but at 14/1 I went in a different direction . . .

David Lingmerth(100/1) e.w.
- - Heads my list of candidates for having been beneficially stewing in their own juices and/or chomping at the bit while watching the action across the pond last week.

J.J. Henry(110/1) e.w.
- - IMO has really done nothing but good and real good since I?ve had him prominent in my hole-by-hole radar in recent weeks and months, and IMO has the class to deliver the goods.

Kevin Stadler(150/1) e.w.
- - I thought he was playing the best golf of his career (or nearly so) earlier in the season, and now evidence of a second wind in whatever he was doing.

Y.E. Yang(125/1) e.w.
- - May have some wind under his sails.

Graham Delaet(33/1) e.w.
- - Impressed me in a number of subtle ways while hosting the Inside the P.G.A. Tour program this week.

Ernie Els(33/1) e.w.
- - I thought it a stretch that he would hit another valedictory peak last week at Muirfield, but think what he left on the table last week has him in a good place this week vis-a-vis his price.

Stuart Appleby(200/1) e.w.
- - Still time for him to earn a spot at Firestone, where he is always among my first choices since his marriage to the local gal, his lovely second wife, Ashley.

Casey Wittenberg(250/1) e.w.
- - Sitting at #162 in the FedEx standings, I?ve had him pegged for punctuating his 2013 season with a fight and a bang rather than a whimper.

Geoff Ogilvy(125/1) e.w.
- - As an Ogilvyaholic, I am a bit surprised at his play and his scheduling and a lot about his season. But my catechism teaches me that when assessing Ogilvy it all starts with his driving, and I thought that gave him some modest possibilities given the generous fairways of Muirfield, and he sort of did there about what I modestly expected. Now on to a Nicklaus course, which should again be roomy enough off the tee for some better days, so we?ll see.

Cameron Tringale(100/1) e.w.
- - I have overplayed this hand this season, but it?s been built on similar ANGLES and INFORMATION as my best stuff from a good year has been built on, so I just keep trusting my stuff.

Mike Weir(150/1) e.w.
- - Delusional, plain and strong, and at a lousy price.

Kyle Stanley(125/1) e.w.
- - Some of my impressions about his 2013 campaign have parallels to what I said about Ogilvy (only much less so, not more so), and a roomy Nicklaus venue may get him untracked as well.

Billy Andrade(250/1) e.w.
- - I was very impressed with ?where he was at? after watching his lengthy interview during a rain delay last week, especially when he talked about his son being on his bag in order to earn some money before starting back to college. I was then too wrapped up in the proceedings at Muirfield to give much thought to Mississippi, but I was kicking myself as he charged up the leaderboard on Sunday (but he got only a share of 5th instead of a share of 4th). The decision this week is that come what come may, at least I won?t be kicking myself.

Brandt Snedeker(12/1) e.w.
- - I lied.

Note: I had these write-ups more or less prepared for this morning, but then I had a computer problem that had me in a panic to just get on any computer and get my plays posted before the 7:00 a.m. EDT start, and now my computer is letting me get at my document so I can tweak and post my write-ups.

GL
 

Stanley

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Round 2 plays (4pts):

Charl Schwartzel to beat Chris Kirk -125 @ Bet365 [also avialable @ Stan James]
Schwartzel played much better than his current 93rd position shows: he ranked 18th in greens in regulation, as well as inside the top-40 for driving distance and driving accuracy. It is clear where his problems were yesterday and those are much easier to rectify than poor ball-striking. He has been in a similar twice so far this year and he shot 70 in rd2 of the Crowne Plaza Invitational and 68 in rd2 last week at Muirfield to jump to 11th, so he has good history of bouncing back rather than giving in when out of contention so early in a tournament. Kirk, on this year's evidence, tends to move in the opposite direction when inside the top-10 after rd1, so this looks a good matchup despite their 1st round scores.

Charl Schwartzel to beat Graeme DeLaet -140 @ 5Dimes
Like Schwartzel, DeLaet had trouble early in his round and bounce back to be one shot ahead of the South African. He has been in good form, but with a best finish of 46th in his home Open, he looks unlikely to be able to compete this week with the added pressure of no home winner since 1954. I don't see him competing against a player ranked #13 in the World Rankings if Schwartzel does bounce back today as expected.

Camilo Villegas to beat Johnson Wagner -145 @ 5Dimes
With a record of missing the cut in all four previous attempts in this event and currently in 126th place after rd1, it looks like 5-for-5 for Wagner, particularly as only five players hit fewer greens in regulation than him yesterday. In their 11 common events in the last six months, Wagner has finished ahead of Villegas just once. The Colombian deserves to be a strong favourite in this matchup.

[unofficial rd2 system plays: Huh tb Bae -105; Donald tb Furyk -110]
 

Stanley

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Round 3 plays (2pts):

Ryan Palmer to beat David Mathis -143 @ Bet365 [also avialable @ Ladbrokes]
Huge difference between a player inside the World Top-100 and one outside the top-500. They have played in eleven common events since March and Palmer is a perfect 11-0-0 against his opponent. Ranked 3rd in greens in regulation so far this week, as well as top-10 for driving distance and top-20 for driving accuracy, he looks far more likely to move up the leaderboard today.

Bubba Watson to beat Patrick Reed -143 @ Bet365 [available generally]
Another mismatch - Bubba is inside the top-20 in the World Rankings and Reed outside the top-200. He has finished behind Reed just once since March and currently leads the field in greens in regulation so he is clearly playing well. This is the third time this season that Reed has started the weekend inside the top-5; he has finished the 3rd round 17 and 7 places lower down the leaderboard on those two occasions.

Brandt Snedeker to beat Matt Kuchar -105 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, Bet365, The Greek and Carib]
Snedeker has looked in very good in recent weeks, much better than Kuchar, and he has dominated this matchup for longer, finishing ahead of Kuchar in 9 of their last 12 common events. With a top-5 finish on the course last time round, I expect Sneds to continue his dominance of this matchup.

[unofficial rd3 system play: Tringale tb Castro -111]
 
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