RBC Canadian Open
- Thread starter cole
- Start date
4th Round Matchups
D. HEARN beat M. HOFFMAN -105
N. THOMPSON beat R. SABBATINI -110
T. GAINEY beat J. HICKS -110
M. SIEM beat A. ROMERO -105
C. WITTENBERG beat D. MATHIS -110
R.H. LEE beat J. LEONARD +100
H. MATSUYAMA beat C. KIRK -110
D. HEARN beat M. HOFFMAN -105
N. THOMPSON beat R. SABBATINI -110
T. GAINEY beat J. HICKS -110
M. SIEM beat A. ROMERO -105
C. WITTENBERG beat D. MATHIS -110
R.H. LEE beat J. LEONARD +100
H. MATSUYAMA beat C. KIRK -110
posted golf ytd 17-27 -11.85 units
finally an easy winner yesterday, but this has been my worst golf season ever both with posted plays and in real life, which is odd because this has been one of the better offseason stretches that I've ever had (offseason meaning outside of football)
anywhoo, playing these for rd 4:
sabbs -110 vs n thompson
furyk -110 vs b Watson
as always, good luck
LA Burns
finally an easy winner yesterday, but this has been my worst golf season ever both with posted plays and in real life, which is odd because this has been one of the better offseason stretches that I've ever had (offseason meaning outside of football)
anywhoo, playing these for rd 4:
sabbs -110 vs n thompson
furyk -110 vs b Watson
as always, good luck
LA Burns
Round 4 plays (4pts):
Brandt Snedeker to beat David Lingmerth -140 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
Snedeker is 2-for-5 in converting 54-hole leads on the PGA Tour and the one time that he had the lead on his own at the start of the final round, he shot 78 in the Phoenix Open to finish 43rd. That makes him a potentially shaky leader, but he is paired with a player who has previously started the final inside the top-5 just four times on the PGA & Web.com Tours. I don't see him being competitive, so I'll take the .5 shot handicap with 5Dimes as the best value on offer for this matchup.
Charley Hoffman to beat Greg Owen -130 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
Owen has played well this week and enters the final round in the top-5, but this is a position from which I would always oppose him. He was always vulnerable under final round pressure, but the nadir came in the 2006 Bay Hill Invitational: leading by one shot with one hole to play, he miss from three-and-a-half feet for par on the 17th and then again from two-feet for his bogey. He has been inside the top-5 at the start of final round eight times since (seven on the Web.com Tour) and still hasn't won, averging over 72 in rd4 from that position. Little wonder that in an article earlier this year (http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/go...ed-2006-Arnold-Palmer-Invitational-loss.html), the opening line was: "Seven years on and he still thinks about his ?what if?? moment". So it's very easy to oppose him with a player in much better form and, for whom, this will be the fifth time that he has been in the top-5 after 54 holes this year.
Charley Hoffman to beat Roberto Castro -110 @ Stan James
I'll also back Hoffman to beat Castro who is a shot further back in 10th place. I don't see Castro as vulnerable under pressure as Owen, but he has started the final round of a PGA or Web.com Tour inside the top-10 on ten occasions in the last four seasons: he has finished lower down the leaderboard at the end of the day then he started it on every single occasion. That's enough for me to oppose him in the final round.
[unofficial rd4 system plays: Schwartzel tb Kirk -150; Campbell tb Every -125]
Brandt Snedeker to beat David Lingmerth -140 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
Snedeker is 2-for-5 in converting 54-hole leads on the PGA Tour and the one time that he had the lead on his own at the start of the final round, he shot 78 in the Phoenix Open to finish 43rd. That makes him a potentially shaky leader, but he is paired with a player who has previously started the final inside the top-5 just four times on the PGA & Web.com Tours. I don't see him being competitive, so I'll take the .5 shot handicap with 5Dimes as the best value on offer for this matchup.
Charley Hoffman to beat Greg Owen -130 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
Owen has played well this week and enters the final round in the top-5, but this is a position from which I would always oppose him. He was always vulnerable under final round pressure, but the nadir came in the 2006 Bay Hill Invitational: leading by one shot with one hole to play, he miss from three-and-a-half feet for par on the 17th and then again from two-feet for his bogey. He has been inside the top-5 at the start of final round eight times since (seven on the Web.com Tour) and still hasn't won, averging over 72 in rd4 from that position. Little wonder that in an article earlier this year (http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/go...ed-2006-Arnold-Palmer-Invitational-loss.html), the opening line was: "Seven years on and he still thinks about his ?what if?? moment". So it's very easy to oppose him with a player in much better form and, for whom, this will be the fifth time that he has been in the top-5 after 54 holes this year.
Charley Hoffman to beat Roberto Castro -110 @ Stan James
I'll also back Hoffman to beat Castro who is a shot further back in 10th place. I don't see Castro as vulnerable under pressure as Owen, but he has started the final round of a PGA or Web.com Tour inside the top-10 on ten occasions in the last four seasons: he has finished lower down the leaderboard at the end of the day then he started it on every single occasion. That's enough for me to oppose him in the final round.
[unofficial rd4 system plays: Schwartzel tb Kirk -150; Campbell tb Every -125]
Additional round 4 play (4pts):
Dustin Johnson to beat Kyle Stanley -140 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
I hadn't liked the lines on this matchup earlier, but I hadn't seen this offering from 5Dimes. This would have been my top-ranked play, knocking the Hoffman/Castro matchup to 'unofficial system play' status, so I'll add it now. Firstly, Stanley had been completely out-of-form until this event - he had missed his last four cuts in a row - so he may struggle with his ball-striking if the conditions are, as prediced, tougher today. Secondly, Johnson has dominated this matchup, finishing ahead of his opponent in 17 of their last 23 common events. And thirdly, Johnson's record when starting the final round in the top-6 is very impressive: since September 2010, he has been in this position ten times and ended the day inside the top-6 on all ten occasions, averaging less than 70 and falling no more than one place during the final round. He is clearly a good player when in final round contention and should beat Stanley many times more than these odds suggest.
Dustin Johnson to beat Kyle Stanley -140 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
I hadn't liked the lines on this matchup earlier, but I hadn't seen this offering from 5Dimes. This would have been my top-ranked play, knocking the Hoffman/Castro matchup to 'unofficial system play' status, so I'll add it now. Firstly, Stanley had been completely out-of-form until this event - he had missed his last four cuts in a row - so he may struggle with his ball-striking if the conditions are, as prediced, tougher today. Secondly, Johnson has dominated this matchup, finishing ahead of his opponent in 17 of their last 23 common events. And thirdly, Johnson's record when starting the final round in the top-6 is very impressive: since September 2010, he has been in this position ten times and ended the day inside the top-6 on all ten occasions, averaging less than 70 and falling no more than one place during the final round. He is clearly a good player when in final round contention and should beat Stanley many times more than these odds suggest.
Round 4 Match Up
K STANLEY (RND 4) -115 (R CASTRO (RND 4) vrs K STANLEY (RND 4))
D JOHNSON (RND 4) -110 (M KUCHAR (RND 4) vrs D JOHNSON (RND 4))
K STANLEY (RND 4) -115 (R CASTRO (RND 4) vrs K STANLEY (RND 4))
D JOHNSON (RND 4) -110 (M KUCHAR (RND 4) vrs D JOHNSON (RND 4))
