RBC Canadian Open

Stanley

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Jul 26, 1999
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Jared Du Toit 21
Steve Wheatcroft 38
Du Toit certainly has 'bouncebackability' - he recovered from a triple-bogey on Friday and a poor opening seven holes yesterday - and is now only one shot behind the leader; he will face a lot of pressure as the home player today, but he shown enough resilience this week to suggest that he should be priced lower than this
I would normally oppose a player who had just shot the low round of the day, but Wheatcroft was only returning to the top-10 where he had been after rd1 so it was a case of just one bad round on Friday and he is back to the form that has seen him finish 5th and 20th in the last two PGA Tour events; with Wheatcroft in this form, these odds look rather high for a player in 4th place and two shots off the lead
 

lostinamerica

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Oct 10, 2001
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I was looking for some wagering opportunities over the weekend, but I felt my clearest thinking was directed toward some early looks at the P.G.A. Championship. I?ll eventually cut and paste this post to that thread.

For openers, I said in my Canadian Open post, ? . . . I had been lining up for a play on Sneds at the P.G.A., but I decided instead that this week was a better spot.? What I more precisely should have said was, ? . . . I decided instead that this week was as good a spot because of Snedeker?s propensity for reappearing at the same spots.?

Reed has all the trappings of being a danger, although yet to be really tested to the fullest extent.

Baltusrol is a big property that can definitely suit Holmes, and J.B. is in the midst of a season of note.

Phil Mickelson
- -
Phil Mickelson(50/1) e.w. 145th Open Championship
Phil Mickelson(66/1) e.w. P.G.A.
Phil Mickelson(25/1) e.w. The Masters
Phil Mickelson(40/1) e.w. U.S. Open
- - In 2004 Mickelson repeatedly noted that Troon suited him best on the Open rota because all the way around you can strategically play to one side of virtually every hole and avoid the real problems which lie on the other side; utilizing his peerless short game when missing a green, and ready shotmaking when missing a fairway, he was indelibly engaged in the three-way battle that separated from the rest of the field. And the record shows what can happen now that Lefty gets to tune up for the Open on a links course instead of the bogs at Loch Lomond . . . I would have definitely concluded that the Open offered the best value in the majors for Mickelson this year if it wasn?t for the fact such surprising odds are being offered at Baltusrol where he has won before and will be played when he will surely be highly focused on a crammed schedule of majors while building toward the Ryder Cup . . . Although the 6-time runner-up surely wants the U.S. Open the most, IMO I would have to easily rate Oakmont as the least suitable major venue for Phil this season.
- - I don?t see anybody being more focused than Phil on the quick transition from the Scottish links to a classic Tillinghast parkland, and Lefty and the New York environs have carried on a mutual love affair.

Snedeker has a pretty decent record when leading, but I don't expect a brilliant closing today under ideal conditions. Regardless, he'll be a play next week.

After that it?s ODDS and ENDS . . .

Not Grace, surprisingly; no Rose, either, but Kaymer looks like a go.

Grillo over Molinari or Woodland, but I?ll likely pass, Lingmerth may be a tougher decision.

Haas, not Stricker, all just opinions. No Sergio. Definitely no Zach.

Koepka too short. Maybe Henley at 200/1, or maybe Top American.

Justin Thomas FRL
Keegan Bradley FRL

DJ, of course, while Rory definitely seems closest to his best of The Big 3 (soon to be 4), which IMO is why his frustration was so evident at Troon, but a P.G.A. at Baltusrol is a much better fit.

Phil Mickelson(66/1) e.w.
Patrick Reed(50/1) e.w.
J.B. Holmes(80/1) e.w.
Brandt Snedeker(66/1) e.w.
Martin Kaymer(66/1) e.w.


GL
 
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