RBC Heritage
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- Start date
Outrights
ODDS TO WIN RBC HERITAGE JASON DAY +2500
ODDS TO WIN RBC HERITAGE BILLY HORSCHEL +4000
ODDS TO WIN RBC HERITAGE BILL HAAS +3300
ODDS TO WIN RBC HERITAGE JASON DAY +2500
ODDS TO WIN RBC HERITAGE BILLY HORSCHEL +4000
ODDS TO WIN RBC HERITAGE BILL HAAS +3300
To win:
Snedeker +1200 (5)
Always a chance of a Masters hangover but my gut says Sneds comes out motivated at a course that suits his game well. Been impressed with his post Masters interviews.
Day +2500 (1)
Day admitted that the pressure got to him on last Sunday's back 9 and like Snedeker I think this tournament is a good chance for him to regroup. Playing really good golf right now.
Weekley +3000 (2)
Improved putting has Boo competing again. I'll take my chance with a two time winner of this tourney who is hot. Easy for me to root for Boo.
Cink +4000 (1)
Another two time winner of this tournament who is playing very solid golf.
Horschel +4000 (0.5)
Nails. First time he has played in the Heritage but the fact that he never misses cuts is a good enough reason for me to make him an every week play. Atleast ill feel like I get my money's worth. Great ball striker and putter which are musts here and dude has to win sometime.
Hoffman +5000 (0.5)
Anyone else find it strange that Charley doesn't win more tournaments? Guy has game.
Good luck guys! Really like this tournament.
Snedeker +1200 (5)
Always a chance of a Masters hangover but my gut says Sneds comes out motivated at a course that suits his game well. Been impressed with his post Masters interviews.
Day +2500 (1)
Day admitted that the pressure got to him on last Sunday's back 9 and like Snedeker I think this tournament is a good chance for him to regroup. Playing really good golf right now.
Weekley +3000 (2)
Improved putting has Boo competing again. I'll take my chance with a two time winner of this tourney who is hot. Easy for me to root for Boo.
Cink +4000 (1)
Another two time winner of this tournament who is playing very solid golf.
Horschel +4000 (0.5)
Nails. First time he has played in the Heritage but the fact that he never misses cuts is a good enough reason for me to make him an every week play. Atleast ill feel like I get my money's worth. Great ball striker and putter which are musts here and dude has to win sometime.
Hoffman +5000 (0.5)
Anyone else find it strange that Charley doesn't win more tournaments? Guy has game.
Good luck guys! Really like this tournament.
Last edited:
Last Week (Overall)
Matchups 19-12-1 +5.62 units (65-50-11 +11.82 units) ? Got a little over-stimulated with the Masters action last week and played a bunch of matchups. I couldn?t help myself. Results were positive but the Round 2 Tiger vs. Donald matchup reversal hurt the bottom line and should have ended up 20-11-1 +8.57 units. Oh well, shoulda woulda coulda.
Outrights/Finish 1-5 +1.9 units (3-70 -2.45 units)
Outrights
Horschel 50/1 (.1u)
Clark 50/1 (.1u)
Gay 55/1 (.1u)
Crane 60/1 (.1u)
Pettersson 85/1 (.1u)
Brown 325/1 (.1u)
Top 10
Scott Brown 13.5/1 (.1u)
Tournament Matchups (1u)
Furyk ov Snedeker +105 ? Furyk has bested Snedeker in this event five of the past seven years with four Top 10?s versus Snedeker?s one, although it was a win for Snedeker in 2011. Furyk also sports a slightly better overall scoring average of 69.83 (69.38 adjusted) vs 70.88 (69.97 adjusted). Plus I think there is a bit of a hangover for Sneds after his final round on Sunday in Augusta. Furyk was in good form last week and didn?t have to deal with the emotion of being in contention late on Sunday
Baddeley ov Hanson +100 ? Baddeley has a good track record here, although he MC last year, with a 14-22-21-2-10-1 finish the past 6 years. Hanson has one start here and missed the cut shooting 76-78. Badds has a pretty low 69.57 scoring average (69.21 adjusted) here in eight events. Also like Badds better scrambling and putting stats compared to Colsaerts.
Crane ov Kaymer -115 ? Crane has a good track record here finishing in the Top 30 the four times he has played this event in the past six years with a high finish of 6th in 2011. He also has had success at the McGladrey Classic on Sea Island which is a similar course winning that event in 2011. Kaymer has never played in either event. Also like Crane?s advantage in Driving Accuracy, GIR%, Scrambling and Strokes Gained-Putting categories.
Davis ov Leishman -130 ? Davis has finished above Leishman the past three years with a finish of 13-21-2 while Leishman has posted 44-91-41. Davis has a much lower scoring average here at 70.46 (69.57 adjusted) vs 71.58 (71.03 adjusted). Leishman is in good form with a well played Masters but Davis is also in decent form with a 29th at Valero Texas and a 6th place finish at the Shell Houston Open.
Rollins ov Colsaerts -125 ? Rollins had success last year in this event finishing 20th with a MC in 2009 and 14th in 2008. Colsaerts has never played this event. Don?t really think this track particularly suits Colsaerts? game and give the advantage to Rollins based on better Driving Accuracy, Scrambling and Strokes Gained-Putting categories.
Kohles ov Noh -125 - Love Kohles advantage in Driving Accuracy, GIR%, scrambling and Strokes Gained-Putting. Noh has only played this event once shooting 76-78 and missing the cut.
Good luck this week
Matchups 19-12-1 +5.62 units (65-50-11 +11.82 units) ? Got a little over-stimulated with the Masters action last week and played a bunch of matchups. I couldn?t help myself. Results were positive but the Round 2 Tiger vs. Donald matchup reversal hurt the bottom line and should have ended up 20-11-1 +8.57 units. Oh well, shoulda woulda coulda.
Outrights/Finish 1-5 +1.9 units (3-70 -2.45 units)
Outrights
Horschel 50/1 (.1u)
Clark 50/1 (.1u)
Gay 55/1 (.1u)
Crane 60/1 (.1u)
Pettersson 85/1 (.1u)
Brown 325/1 (.1u)
Top 10
Scott Brown 13.5/1 (.1u)
Tournament Matchups (1u)
Furyk ov Snedeker +105 ? Furyk has bested Snedeker in this event five of the past seven years with four Top 10?s versus Snedeker?s one, although it was a win for Snedeker in 2011. Furyk also sports a slightly better overall scoring average of 69.83 (69.38 adjusted) vs 70.88 (69.97 adjusted). Plus I think there is a bit of a hangover for Sneds after his final round on Sunday in Augusta. Furyk was in good form last week and didn?t have to deal with the emotion of being in contention late on Sunday
Baddeley ov Hanson +100 ? Baddeley has a good track record here, although he MC last year, with a 14-22-21-2-10-1 finish the past 6 years. Hanson has one start here and missed the cut shooting 76-78. Badds has a pretty low 69.57 scoring average (69.21 adjusted) here in eight events. Also like Badds better scrambling and putting stats compared to Colsaerts.
Crane ov Kaymer -115 ? Crane has a good track record here finishing in the Top 30 the four times he has played this event in the past six years with a high finish of 6th in 2011. He also has had success at the McGladrey Classic on Sea Island which is a similar course winning that event in 2011. Kaymer has never played in either event. Also like Crane?s advantage in Driving Accuracy, GIR%, Scrambling and Strokes Gained-Putting categories.
Davis ov Leishman -130 ? Davis has finished above Leishman the past three years with a finish of 13-21-2 while Leishman has posted 44-91-41. Davis has a much lower scoring average here at 70.46 (69.57 adjusted) vs 71.58 (71.03 adjusted). Leishman is in good form with a well played Masters but Davis is also in decent form with a 29th at Valero Texas and a 6th place finish at the Shell Houston Open.
Rollins ov Colsaerts -125 ? Rollins had success last year in this event finishing 20th with a MC in 2009 and 14th in 2008. Colsaerts has never played this event. Don?t really think this track particularly suits Colsaerts? game and give the advantage to Rollins based on better Driving Accuracy, Scrambling and Strokes Gained-Putting categories.
Kohles ov Noh -125 - Love Kohles advantage in Driving Accuracy, GIR%, scrambling and Strokes Gained-Putting. Noh has only played this event once shooting 76-78 and missing the cut.
Good luck this week
Tournament
B WEEKLEY +140 (J DAY vrs B WEEKLEY)
B HORSCHEL +145 (B HORSCHEL vrs B HAAS)
E COMPTON +135 (J LEONARD vrs E COMPTON)
SPIETH -130 (J SPIETH vrs B CAULEY)
B WEEKLEY +140 (J DAY vrs B WEEKLEY)
B HORSCHEL +145 (B HORSCHEL vrs B HAAS)
E COMPTON +135 (J LEONARD vrs E COMPTON)
SPIETH -130 (J SPIETH vrs B CAULEY)
1st rd matchups
Furyk -105 over sned
Zjohnson -105 over haas
Duffer +107 over kuchar
Tourney matchups
Dufner -140 over Simpson
Furyk +105 over sned
Zjohnson +100 over mcdowell
Zjohnson +3300 to win
Furyk -105 over sned
Zjohnson -105 over haas
Duffer +107 over kuchar
Tourney matchups
Dufner -140 over Simpson
Furyk +105 over sned
Zjohnson +100 over mcdowell
Zjohnson +3300 to win
To win
Potter jr 100/1 (.05 units)
Chalmers 90/1 (.05 units)
English 60/1 (.10 units)
Weekley 25/1 (.30 units)
Potter jr 100/1 (.05 units)
Chalmers 90/1 (.05 units)
English 60/1 (.10 units)
Weekley 25/1 (.30 units)
Brian Davis to win 70-1 sia
This is the first time I've ever bet on Davis, pro or con. To be honest I don't know too much about him, I did see he scored a second a couple of years ago, and he seems familiar with this venue.
This is the first time I've ever bet on Davis, pro or con. To be honest I don't know too much about him, I did see he scored a second a couple of years ago, and he seems familiar with this venue.
72 holes
Kuchar over Furyk +129
English over Mark Wilson +100
Is something going on with Kuchar? He was -115 on Monday. I didn't hear anything.
Kuchar over Furyk +129
English over Mark Wilson +100
Is something going on with Kuchar? He was -115 on Monday. I didn't hear anything.
Met many MJers in LV , will be at the tourney on Sunday and offering to do the same and buy a beer for those attending.
Two names getting some local love off the grid: Dufner and Crane.
Two names getting some local love off the grid: Dufner and Crane.
Round 1 plays (2pts):
Chad Campbell to beat Ted Potter -110 @ 5Dimes
Both players have been in poor form recently - Potter has missed his last four cuts, whereas Campbell has a best finish of 50th in his last four cuts - so the decisive edge lies in their course histories at Harbour Town. Campbell has been inside the top-5 after two rounds in each of the last three years here, whereas Potter is making his course debut. With the exception of Boo Weekley (champion in 2007 and 2008), this course typically requires experience and Campbell certainly fits that bill.
Ben Crane to beat Stewart Cink -105 @ Bet365
Cink certainly has experience here and is a double-winner (2000 and 2004), but his game has been, for some time, a long way from the level that saw him play well here. There has been some upturn in form recently, but I'd rather back Crane who was 4th last time out in Houston and finished 6th in his previous appearance at Harbour Town.
Brian Harman to beat Josh Teater -103 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
Teater had some high finishes at the start of the season, but has yet to record a top-25 finish since the Tour moved to Florida in March. By contrast, Harman has had three top-25 finishes in that spell and is backed to beat a player who has struggled on this course: he has finished mc, 56th, mc in his three visits and averages 73.25 per round.
Chad Campbell to beat Ted Potter -110 @ 5Dimes
Both players have been in poor form recently - Potter has missed his last four cuts, whereas Campbell has a best finish of 50th in his last four cuts - so the decisive edge lies in their course histories at Harbour Town. Campbell has been inside the top-5 after two rounds in each of the last three years here, whereas Potter is making his course debut. With the exception of Boo Weekley (champion in 2007 and 2008), this course typically requires experience and Campbell certainly fits that bill.
Ben Crane to beat Stewart Cink -105 @ Bet365
Cink certainly has experience here and is a double-winner (2000 and 2004), but his game has been, for some time, a long way from the level that saw him play well here. There has been some upturn in form recently, but I'd rather back Crane who was 4th last time out in Houston and finished 6th in his previous appearance at Harbour Town.
Brian Harman to beat Josh Teater -103 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
Teater had some high finishes at the start of the season, but has yet to record a top-25 finish since the Tour moved to Florida in March. By contrast, Harman has had three top-25 finishes in that spell and is backed to beat a player who has struggled on this course: he has finished mc, 56th, mc in his three visits and averages 73.25 per round.
Outrights:
Boo Weekley(33/1) e.w.
Zach Johnson(40/1) e.w.
Stewart Cink(50/1) e.w.
Brian Davis(50/1) e.w.
David Lynn(125/1) e.w.
Justin Leonard(150/1) e.w.
Tim Clark(50/1) e.w.
Brian Gay(55/1) e.w.
Lucas Glover(150/1) e.w.
Mark Wilson(80/1) e.w.
Scott Brown(200/1) e.w.
GL
Boo Weekley(33/1) e.w.
Zach Johnson(40/1) e.w.
Stewart Cink(50/1) e.w.
Brian Davis(50/1) e.w.
David Lynn(125/1) e.w.
Justin Leonard(150/1) e.w.
Tim Clark(50/1) e.w.
Brian Gay(55/1) e.w.
Lucas Glover(150/1) e.w.
Mark Wilson(80/1) e.w.
Scott Brown(200/1) e.w.
GL
Round 2 plays (2pts):
Carl Pettersson to beat Brian Davis -120 @ 5Dimes
Opposing the rd1 leader. This will be only the fourth time that he had a PGA Tour event after rd1 and the last time was back in 2008. On those three occasions, he finished 3rd (36-hole event), 44th and 13th. I'd like to back him as he did the 'right thing' three years ago when in the playoff - quite a contrast with last week - but I just don't see him holding onto such a lofty leaderboard position.
Webb Simpson to beat Marc Leishman -125 @ Stan James
Leishman is another who finished high on the leaderboard after day one - he is currently 4th and two shots behind Davis. But his record from fast starts is poor. He is 0-for-9 when finishing day one in the top-10 and on none of those nine occasions he has finished the second round closer to the lead than at the start of the day. Without a top-40 finish on this course in four attempts and ranking only 76th in greens in regulation yesterday, I don't see him holding onto his leaderboard position either. Given the windy conditions forecast, this should be a good situation for Simpson to move closer to the lead.
Carl Pettersson to beat Marc Leishman -138 @ Paddy Power
Defending champion Pettersson is another who is better in windy conditions than Leishman. He was also much better at finding the green yesterday, so I'd expect him to score much better than Leishman today.
Pat Perez to beat Marc Leishman -120 @ 5Dimes
PP is another who is better in windy conditions. In fact, he is simply better than Leishman as his h2h record against the Australian shows: in their last 15 common events, Perez leads 13-1-1.
Bill Haas to beat Stewart Cink -125 @ Paddy Power
Cink has a poor record in windy conditions and has finished behind Haas in five of their last six common events. He is already two shots behind after the 1st round and I can only see that continuing.
Carl Pettersson to beat Brian Davis -120 @ 5Dimes
Opposing the rd1 leader. This will be only the fourth time that he had a PGA Tour event after rd1 and the last time was back in 2008. On those three occasions, he finished 3rd (36-hole event), 44th and 13th. I'd like to back him as he did the 'right thing' three years ago when in the playoff - quite a contrast with last week - but I just don't see him holding onto such a lofty leaderboard position.
Webb Simpson to beat Marc Leishman -125 @ Stan James
Leishman is another who finished high on the leaderboard after day one - he is currently 4th and two shots behind Davis. But his record from fast starts is poor. He is 0-for-9 when finishing day one in the top-10 and on none of those nine occasions he has finished the second round closer to the lead than at the start of the day. Without a top-40 finish on this course in four attempts and ranking only 76th in greens in regulation yesterday, I don't see him holding onto his leaderboard position either. Given the windy conditions forecast, this should be a good situation for Simpson to move closer to the lead.
Carl Pettersson to beat Marc Leishman -138 @ Paddy Power
Defending champion Pettersson is another who is better in windy conditions than Leishman. He was also much better at finding the green yesterday, so I'd expect him to score much better than Leishman today.
Pat Perez to beat Marc Leishman -120 @ 5Dimes
PP is another who is better in windy conditions. In fact, he is simply better than Leishman as his h2h record against the Australian shows: in their last 15 common events, Perez leads 13-1-1.
Bill Haas to beat Stewart Cink -125 @ Paddy Power
Cink has a poor record in windy conditions and has finished behind Haas in five of their last six common events. He is already two shots behind after the 1st round and I can only see that continuing.
2nd Round Match Ups
J DAY (RND 2) -125 (J DAY (RND 2) vrs W SIMPSON (RND 2))
J TEATER (RND 2) -115 (B HARMAN (RND 2) vrs J TEATER (RND 2))
J DAY (RND 2) -125 (J DAY (RND 2) vrs W SIMPSON (RND 2))
J TEATER (RND 2) -115 (B HARMAN (RND 2) vrs J TEATER (RND 2))
ODDS and ENDS:
(1) 2013 has really featured an early season with no shortage of strong story lines, and the Masters closed the first chapter in memorable fashion, on all four days.
(2) Coming out of any major championship, I have a short litany of things I hope to catch, namely:
- - (a) Players surely disappointed (or chomping at the bit) about not participating in the Masters, but with evidence of peaking nonetheless, or obvious signs of moving in the right direction, or they've been on my radar and done more right than wrong (how about Marcel Siem, Billy Horschel, David Howell, and maybe Paul Casey and Peter Uihlein).
- - (b) Players who participated in the Masters, and built on their momentum and bounce heading into the week (Stewart Cink fits the profile, next stop Hilton Head), or had obvious momentum coming in and had something dumb or sloppy, like missing the cut or sliding away on Saturday (but not crushing-ish, like Jason Day), happen when the hopes were high. I think Garcia surely gained something for the long term, but left with no immediate momentum for a National Championship for the short term.
- - (c) With either (a) or (b), a player with some special affinity for the champion or the vanquished (Aaron Baddeley, for a total stab in the dark, but the odds were skinny on that one).
- - (d) I've been on my golf for as much as I'm going to be for any 8-12 week span, so whatever other strong feeling about a player or theme I latch on to.
(3) The ones I should have had at Hilton Head are Horschel and Haas, and the ones I should have had in Spain were Uihlein and Howell. The ones I'm glad I latched on to are Cink and Clark, Casey and Garrido, with a nice scoop on Brown under the umbrella of No. 2(d).
(4) There is always a contingent of players who arrive at Augusta feeling palpable elation. I would not have my money on Justin Rose for the 2013 Masters because I think he arrived carrying the demons of too many big numbers around that venue, an obstacle that would not be favorably hurdled on this attempt. After finding many further ways to struggle around Rae's Creek and the signature greens, I'll feel even stronger about dodging Rose next year, until Rose settles some scores by going all the way and winning some other major, or by trending a better direction based on his scorecards while on the grounds of Augusta . . . Jason Day is at the other end of the spectrum for carrying my cash at Augusta.
(5) Stevie Williams is a right cunt who can make it a tenet of some people to root against Adam Scott, but absorbing the body blow of losing the Open Championship to Els should overcome objecting on those grounds to what unfolded.
Saturday:
Casey(+140) over Waring/Derksen
Cink(-115) over De Jonge
Horschel(-125) over Spieth
Brown(-125) over Ishikawa
Gainey(-110) over Klauk
GL
(1) 2013 has really featured an early season with no shortage of strong story lines, and the Masters closed the first chapter in memorable fashion, on all four days.
(2) Coming out of any major championship, I have a short litany of things I hope to catch, namely:
- - (a) Players surely disappointed (or chomping at the bit) about not participating in the Masters, but with evidence of peaking nonetheless, or obvious signs of moving in the right direction, or they've been on my radar and done more right than wrong (how about Marcel Siem, Billy Horschel, David Howell, and maybe Paul Casey and Peter Uihlein).
- - (b) Players who participated in the Masters, and built on their momentum and bounce heading into the week (Stewart Cink fits the profile, next stop Hilton Head), or had obvious momentum coming in and had something dumb or sloppy, like missing the cut or sliding away on Saturday (but not crushing-ish, like Jason Day), happen when the hopes were high. I think Garcia surely gained something for the long term, but left with no immediate momentum for a National Championship for the short term.
- - (c) With either (a) or (b), a player with some special affinity for the champion or the vanquished (Aaron Baddeley, for a total stab in the dark, but the odds were skinny on that one).
- - (d) I've been on my golf for as much as I'm going to be for any 8-12 week span, so whatever other strong feeling about a player or theme I latch on to.
(3) The ones I should have had at Hilton Head are Horschel and Haas, and the ones I should have had in Spain were Uihlein and Howell. The ones I'm glad I latched on to are Cink and Clark, Casey and Garrido, with a nice scoop on Brown under the umbrella of No. 2(d).
(4) There is always a contingent of players who arrive at Augusta feeling palpable elation. I would not have my money on Justin Rose for the 2013 Masters because I think he arrived carrying the demons of too many big numbers around that venue, an obstacle that would not be favorably hurdled on this attempt. After finding many further ways to struggle around Rae's Creek and the signature greens, I'll feel even stronger about dodging Rose next year, until Rose settles some scores by going all the way and winning some other major, or by trending a better direction based on his scorecards while on the grounds of Augusta . . . Jason Day is at the other end of the spectrum for carrying my cash at Augusta.
(5) Stevie Williams is a right cunt who can make it a tenet of some people to root against Adam Scott, but absorbing the body blow of losing the Open Championship to Els should overcome objecting on those grounds to what unfolded.
Saturday:
Casey(+140) over Waring/Derksen
Cink(-115) over De Jonge
Horschel(-125) over Spieth
Brown(-125) over Ishikawa
Gainey(-110) over Klauk
GL
