RBC Heritage

cawdawg

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Feb 19, 2008
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excellent read this morning, LIA. Good things to consider. (5), lol.

Third Rd Matchups (1u)

Brown ov Ishikawa ? 120 ? Brown has a better scoring average on the weekend in 2013, 3rd rd - 69.00 (69.23 adjusted); 4th rd - 69.33 (69.33 adjusted) vs Ishikawa?s 3rd - 71.20 (70.6 adjusted); 4th rd -73.00 (74.48 adjusted). Also like his familiarity with these types of courses being from South Carolina vs Ishikawa's first trip here

McDowell ov Kaymer -130 ? McDowell 4-0 on the weekend vs Kaymer in 2013. McDowell has a better scoring average on the weekend in 2013, 3rd rd ? 72.33 (70.6 adjusted); 4th rd ? 70.33 (67.13 adjusted) vs Kaymer?s 3rd ? 73.00 (71.62 adjusted); 4th rd -71.40 (69.9 adjusted).

Streelman ov Hoffman -102 - Streelman has a better scoring average on the weekend in 2013, 3rd rd ? 69.57 (69.31 adjusted); 4th rd ? 68.71 (68.31 adjusted) vs Hoffman?s 3rd ? 71.67 (70.6 adjusted); 4th rd -71.33 (71.17 adjusted). Really like Streelman?s form and newfound confidence after winning in Tampa this year.
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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3rd Round Match Ups
J DAY (RND 3) -120 (J DUFNER (RND 3) vrs J DAY (RND 3))
B HAAS (RND 3) -105 (L DONALD (RND 3) vrs B HAAS (RND 3))
 

cawdawg

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4th Rd Matchups (1u)

Day ov Choi -145
Perez ov Appleby -140
Spieth ov Leishman -125
Kelly ov Hicks -120
 

Stanley

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Round 4 plays (2pts):

Tim Clark to beat Justin Hicks -138 @ Stan James
Opposing Hicks who starts the day alongside Clark in 6th place. For the South African, this is a continuation of the form that he showed last week (11th in the Masters) and on this course (nine cuts made in ten attempts), but not for Hicks who has missed his last two cuts and has never previously started the final round of a PGA Tour event inside the top-10. On the one occasion that he started the third round of a PGA Tour event in the top-10 (2013 Farmers Insurance Open), he shot 80-74 over the weekend to finish 73rd. On the one occasion that he has started the second round of a PGA Tour event in the top-10 (2008 U.S. Open), he then shot 80 in the next round as well.

Pat Perez to beat Camilo Villegas -116 @ Bet365
On just one occasion has Villegas started the final round of a PGA Tour event in the top-10 - 2012 Children's Miracle Network Classic - and he shot 74 to drop from 5th to 28th on that day. Without a top-10 finish on the PGA Tour for over 2 1/2 years, I expect him to struggle today, particularly as he ranks poorly in greens in regulation this week.

Bill Haas to beat Billy Horschel +100 @ Bet365 and Expekt [available generally]
Two players in good form - Haas has top-20 finishes in six of his last seven strokeplay events, Horschel has finished 2nd and 3rd in his last two starts - but this still represents only the 6th time that Horschel has been within five shots of the lead at the start of the final round. He is yet to win on this Tour whereas Haas has four wins in the last three seasons. In this position, I'll back the more experienced player.
 

Another Steve

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4th Round Match Ups
S APPLEBY (RND 4) +115 (P PEREZ (RND 4) vrs S APPLEBY (RND 4))
B DE JONGE (RND 4) -120 (K STREELMAN (RND 4) vrs B DE JONGE (RND 4))

Have a Beer for me IX
 
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