Posted on 2/21/25 - some of the totals changed due to injuries (NYY - Cole) and so on and so forth. These are all still plays with any current numbers
Starting off prop wins: all plays are -110 unless otherwise noted
Under 93.5 Braves - sorry Brave fans, what pitching did you inherit? How many injury bugs will bite ya this year? Can't depend on just Acuna to lead ya, you had 87 wins last year and it solely wasn't because of Acuna being out, Riley got bit by the injury bug, Fried didn't come in clutch the last month of the season, bullpen sucked, you also didn't have Strider most of the year and he's coming back from arm ailment, don't depend on a healthy club to win more than 90 games!
Over 91.5 Phillies (5 units) - Phillies had their shot once again last year to get to the WS, bullpen woes and pitchers getting tired after the All-Star break, the big 3 All-Stars also slumped or got hurt, Bohm, Harper, Trea Turner, Alvarado, Hoffman, Strahm all got weak down the stretch, used way too often, Estevez was a shit show, glad he's gone, pressure on a rookie that only needs to face righties in Kerkering. Added some vets to a good lineup and to the pen will help Phillies repeat with at least 95 wins, remember they led the ML with wins at All-Star break last year.
Over 91.5 NYY - Yankees lost SOTO? OMG! The world is in shambles now!! LOL, NOT! Ya added Belly, Goldie, some younger players may blossom finally in Dominguez for sure then the pitching they have, Cole, Fried, Rodon, pen is better with Devin Williams, a shut down reliever in a new setting with a new focus, Yankees had 94 wins last year, they should duplicate that success again.
Over 90.5 Mets - Soto will add some offensive wins but key is having all the pitching contribute and bullpen to be spot on, the pressure is on folks, you got your big first sacker back, you have Lindor back, you have Manaea back after a come through season, now you have to close out games, that will be the key, fortunately Mets got lots of wins outside of the Division that they'll have to get again this year plus 2 wins, they had 89 wins last year with a good roll the last 2 months in the season.
Under 87.5 Astros - Astros on the decline folks, run production, bullpen, starters, adding Christian Walker is great, but that's all ya got? You had 88 wins last year and only added Walker and lost Tucker & Bregman? Fail!
Over 84.5 Mariners (5 units) - Mariners will have a better year offensively for a team that won 85 games last year with one of the best pitching staffs, new Manager in Willie who I scouted for the Mets in High School, now it's time for Rodriguez to have a stat filled year and get more contributions, hitting <240 as a team is unacceptable. 88 wins and possible ALW Division Winner.
Over 85.5 Rangers - Texas fell on their ass last year after winning the '23 WS, some injuries and a lot of inconsistency with pitching. We have the pieces in place and better pitching coming up to help take on the heat in a weaker division, Seager, Eovaldi, Siemen, Heim, all have to have peak seasons after only 78 wins last year to gain 8 more this year, which is quite possible!
Over 84.5 Boston (5 units) - Sox added Crochet, a couple more pitchers, Bregman will bring some leadership and feisty demeanor but will have to collaborate with Devers and Casas to drive in runs w/RISP. Bullpen is better but their division is full of wild cards, young players, and changes within or with their stadium situation, so they need to start out hot to even duplicate 81 wins, but I believe they can get to 90, but way too much pressure on Crochet, but Buehler will be of help but the bats are going to have to be the difference.
Over 83.5 KC (5 units) - Royals got 86 wins last year and decided to break up the young pitching staff and go with veterans, consistent bullpen folks and have an exciting toolsy player in Bobby Witt Jr, Estevez will help in the pen, Wacha should repeat what he did last year, Ragans is a potential #1, India will have to up his offensive stats in a competitively tight division and young players will have to take up any slack, Salvy isn't young anymore, so Pasquatino better up it and stay healthy.
Over 77.5 Pirates - Buccos have some good arms and a pen, Bednar will have to be back to his '23 form and the bats? Well at least they have some leadership returning in Cutch, but where are the other bats? 76 wins last year with about half a season out of Skenes but he can't win them by himself, that's going to be the key, getting runs for the pitching the Buccos have because they have a very good young staff much like Seattle, the bats suck tho.
Over 72.5 Nationals - Nats got 71 wins last year, have a great group of young players and pitching will be the key here, no big off-season signings or acquisitions, so Nats will have to rely on young hitters to set the pace, looking for 75 wins here
Over 71.5 Athletics - A's moving to Sucramento will have a big effect on how the A's actually do, small ball carrying ballpark which will hold less fans so maybe they'll get some sell outs, LOL, but adding Severino and keeping the big bopper Rooker should help a bit, they had 69 wins last year and should get 3 more by keeping one of the best closers in the MLB in Miller.
Under 53.5 White Sox - ok folks, this team had 41 wins last year and by far were the worse ML team I've seen in 55 years as a MLB fan. Getting 13 more wins from where? A New Manager? Trading away your #1 Crochet for what? What difference makers did the Sox add? They're toast. Jerry should sell while the price is right!
Starting off prop wins: all plays are -110 unless otherwise noted
Under 93.5 Braves - sorry Brave fans, what pitching did you inherit? How many injury bugs will bite ya this year? Can't depend on just Acuna to lead ya, you had 87 wins last year and it solely wasn't because of Acuna being out, Riley got bit by the injury bug, Fried didn't come in clutch the last month of the season, bullpen sucked, you also didn't have Strider most of the year and he's coming back from arm ailment, don't depend on a healthy club to win more than 90 games!
Over 91.5 Phillies (5 units) - Phillies had their shot once again last year to get to the WS, bullpen woes and pitchers getting tired after the All-Star break, the big 3 All-Stars also slumped or got hurt, Bohm, Harper, Trea Turner, Alvarado, Hoffman, Strahm all got weak down the stretch, used way too often, Estevez was a shit show, glad he's gone, pressure on a rookie that only needs to face righties in Kerkering. Added some vets to a good lineup and to the pen will help Phillies repeat with at least 95 wins, remember they led the ML with wins at All-Star break last year.
Over 91.5 NYY - Yankees lost SOTO? OMG! The world is in shambles now!! LOL, NOT! Ya added Belly, Goldie, some younger players may blossom finally in Dominguez for sure then the pitching they have, Cole, Fried, Rodon, pen is better with Devin Williams, a shut down reliever in a new setting with a new focus, Yankees had 94 wins last year, they should duplicate that success again.
Over 90.5 Mets - Soto will add some offensive wins but key is having all the pitching contribute and bullpen to be spot on, the pressure is on folks, you got your big first sacker back, you have Lindor back, you have Manaea back after a come through season, now you have to close out games, that will be the key, fortunately Mets got lots of wins outside of the Division that they'll have to get again this year plus 2 wins, they had 89 wins last year with a good roll the last 2 months in the season.
Under 87.5 Astros - Astros on the decline folks, run production, bullpen, starters, adding Christian Walker is great, but that's all ya got? You had 88 wins last year and only added Walker and lost Tucker & Bregman? Fail!
Over 84.5 Mariners (5 units) - Mariners will have a better year offensively for a team that won 85 games last year with one of the best pitching staffs, new Manager in Willie who I scouted for the Mets in High School, now it's time for Rodriguez to have a stat filled year and get more contributions, hitting <240 as a team is unacceptable. 88 wins and possible ALW Division Winner.
Over 85.5 Rangers - Texas fell on their ass last year after winning the '23 WS, some injuries and a lot of inconsistency with pitching. We have the pieces in place and better pitching coming up to help take on the heat in a weaker division, Seager, Eovaldi, Siemen, Heim, all have to have peak seasons after only 78 wins last year to gain 8 more this year, which is quite possible!
Over 84.5 Boston (5 units) - Sox added Crochet, a couple more pitchers, Bregman will bring some leadership and feisty demeanor but will have to collaborate with Devers and Casas to drive in runs w/RISP. Bullpen is better but their division is full of wild cards, young players, and changes within or with their stadium situation, so they need to start out hot to even duplicate 81 wins, but I believe they can get to 90, but way too much pressure on Crochet, but Buehler will be of help but the bats are going to have to be the difference.
Over 83.5 KC (5 units) - Royals got 86 wins last year and decided to break up the young pitching staff and go with veterans, consistent bullpen folks and have an exciting toolsy player in Bobby Witt Jr, Estevez will help in the pen, Wacha should repeat what he did last year, Ragans is a potential #1, India will have to up his offensive stats in a competitively tight division and young players will have to take up any slack, Salvy isn't young anymore, so Pasquatino better up it and stay healthy.
Over 77.5 Pirates - Buccos have some good arms and a pen, Bednar will have to be back to his '23 form and the bats? Well at least they have some leadership returning in Cutch, but where are the other bats? 76 wins last year with about half a season out of Skenes but he can't win them by himself, that's going to be the key, getting runs for the pitching the Buccos have because they have a very good young staff much like Seattle, the bats suck tho.
Over 72.5 Nationals - Nats got 71 wins last year, have a great group of young players and pitching will be the key here, no big off-season signings or acquisitions, so Nats will have to rely on young hitters to set the pace, looking for 75 wins here
Over 71.5 Athletics - A's moving to Sucramento will have a big effect on how the A's actually do, small ball carrying ballpark which will hold less fans so maybe they'll get some sell outs, LOL, but adding Severino and keeping the big bopper Rooker should help a bit, they had 69 wins last year and should get 3 more by keeping one of the best closers in the MLB in Miller.
Under 53.5 White Sox - ok folks, this team had 41 wins last year and by far were the worse ML team I've seen in 55 years as a MLB fan. Getting 13 more wins from where? A New Manager? Trading away your #1 Crochet for what? What difference makers did the Sox add? They're toast. Jerry should sell while the price is right!
