Dr. Bob
2 Star Selection
Kentucky (-3 ?) over Georgia
15-Mar-08 09:00 AM Pacific Time
Georgia managed to upset Mississippi yesterday but that overtime win could make it tough for the Bulldogs to have the energy to beat a Kentucky team that has caught fire in conference play after struggling to adapt to new coach Billy Gillespie early in the season. The Wildcats started the season 7-9 straight up but they?ve won 11 of 13 games since then and my ratings using conference games only favor the Wildcats by 6 points in this game (by 4 ? using all games). Kentucky beat Georgia twice in the regular season, by 5 points and by 6 points, and they should get the sweep today given that the Bulldogs apply to a negative 39-77-3 ATS situation that is based on their first round upset win. The best part of that situation doesn?t apply but there is enough line value on the side of the Wildcats to make them a play. I?ll take Kentucky in a 2- Star Best Bet at -4 points or less.
2-Stars at -4 or less.
2 Star Selection
Duke (-4) over Clemson
15-Mar-08 01:00 PM Pacific Time
Clemson applies to a negative 13-49 ATS subset of a 50-102-2 ATS conference tournament situation today and my ratings favor Duke by 5 points. I?ll take Duke in a 2-Star Best Bet at -5 points or less.
2-Stars at -5 or less.
3 Star Selection
Temple (+3) over St. Josephs
15-Mar-08 03:00 PM Pacific Time
Both of these teams are playing well, but Temple applies to a 136-51- 4 ATS conference tournament momentum situation and the Owls are now 15-4-1 ATS this season when not favored by 5 points or more while also being 14-3-1 ATS in conference games. Each team won a 1 point decision in the regular season and my ratings favor St. Joe?s by 2 ? points, but using conference games only would result in a fair line of St. Joe?s by only 1 points and Temple finished well ahead of the Hawks in conference play. I?ll take Temple in a 3-Star Best Bet at +3 or more and for 2-Stars from +2 ? to +1.
3-Stars at +3 or more, 2-Stars down to +1.
2 Star Selection
Kent State (-1 ?) over Akron
15-Mar-08 04:00 PM Pacific Time
These teams are about even over all games this season, but Kent plays their best against better teams. Akron is 5-3 against the other 4 top teams in the MAC (Miami-Oh, Ohio, W. Mich, and Kent) but Kent State is 7-1 against the top teams in the conference, including a sweep of Akron. My ratings only favor Kent by ? a point in this game using all games for the season, but using games against quality teams would result in a line of Kent by 5 ? points. I think the fair line on this game is Kent by 2 points and Kent State applies to a 136-51-4 ATS conference tournament situation. I?ll take Kent State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -2 or-1 ? and for 3-Stars at -1 or better.
2-Stars at -2 or less, 3-Stars at -1 or better.
3 Star Selection
Fullerton State (-5) over UC Irvine
15-Mar-08 08:00 PM Pacific Time
Fullerton State beat UC Irvine by 10 points at home and then by 8 points in Irvine last week. I expect the Titans to make it 3 for 3 tonight, as they apply to a very good 136-51-4 ATS conference tournament momentum situation while Irvine applies to a negative 45- 113-4 ATS letdown situation following their 3 straight wins and covers. My ratings favor Fullerton by 5 ? points and I?ll take Fullerton State in a 3-Star Best Bet at -5 points or less and for 2- Stars at -5 ? or -6 points.
3-Stars at -5 or less, 2-Stars at -5 1/2 or -6 points
2 Star Selection
Kentucky (-3 ?) over Georgia
15-Mar-08 09:00 AM Pacific Time
Georgia managed to upset Mississippi yesterday but that overtime win could make it tough for the Bulldogs to have the energy to beat a Kentucky team that has caught fire in conference play after struggling to adapt to new coach Billy Gillespie early in the season. The Wildcats started the season 7-9 straight up but they?ve won 11 of 13 games since then and my ratings using conference games only favor the Wildcats by 6 points in this game (by 4 ? using all games). Kentucky beat Georgia twice in the regular season, by 5 points and by 6 points, and they should get the sweep today given that the Bulldogs apply to a negative 39-77-3 ATS situation that is based on their first round upset win. The best part of that situation doesn?t apply but there is enough line value on the side of the Wildcats to make them a play. I?ll take Kentucky in a 2- Star Best Bet at -4 points or less.
2-Stars at -4 or less.
2 Star Selection
Duke (-4) over Clemson
15-Mar-08 01:00 PM Pacific Time
Clemson applies to a negative 13-49 ATS subset of a 50-102-2 ATS conference tournament situation today and my ratings favor Duke by 5 points. I?ll take Duke in a 2-Star Best Bet at -5 points or less.
2-Stars at -5 or less.
3 Star Selection
Temple (+3) over St. Josephs
15-Mar-08 03:00 PM Pacific Time
Both of these teams are playing well, but Temple applies to a 136-51- 4 ATS conference tournament momentum situation and the Owls are now 15-4-1 ATS this season when not favored by 5 points or more while also being 14-3-1 ATS in conference games. Each team won a 1 point decision in the regular season and my ratings favor St. Joe?s by 2 ? points, but using conference games only would result in a fair line of St. Joe?s by only 1 points and Temple finished well ahead of the Hawks in conference play. I?ll take Temple in a 3-Star Best Bet at +3 or more and for 2-Stars from +2 ? to +1.
3-Stars at +3 or more, 2-Stars down to +1.
2 Star Selection
Kent State (-1 ?) over Akron
15-Mar-08 04:00 PM Pacific Time
These teams are about even over all games this season, but Kent plays their best against better teams. Akron is 5-3 against the other 4 top teams in the MAC (Miami-Oh, Ohio, W. Mich, and Kent) but Kent State is 7-1 against the top teams in the conference, including a sweep of Akron. My ratings only favor Kent by ? a point in this game using all games for the season, but using games against quality teams would result in a line of Kent by 5 ? points. I think the fair line on this game is Kent by 2 points and Kent State applies to a 136-51-4 ATS conference tournament situation. I?ll take Kent State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -2 or-1 ? and for 3-Stars at -1 or better.
2-Stars at -2 or less, 3-Stars at -1 or better.
3 Star Selection
Fullerton State (-5) over UC Irvine
15-Mar-08 08:00 PM Pacific Time
Fullerton State beat UC Irvine by 10 points at home and then by 8 points in Irvine last week. I expect the Titans to make it 3 for 3 tonight, as they apply to a very good 136-51-4 ATS conference tournament momentum situation while Irvine applies to a negative 45- 113-4 ATS letdown situation following their 3 straight wins and covers. My ratings favor Fullerton by 5 ? points and I?ll take Fullerton State in a 3-Star Best Bet at -5 points or less and for 2- Stars at -5 ? or -6 points.
3-Stars at -5 or less, 2-Stars at -5 1/2 or -6 points
