Robert Ferringo
6.5-Unit Play. Take Over 9.0 Pittsburgh at St. Louis (7 p.m., Saturday, May 31)
Note: This is our Total of the Month.
This one has all the makings of a big one. First, we have a good number. I love that its under double-digits when I had it as a 10.5. Next, we have two shaky starters. One kid Mike Parisi is making his first career MLB start, while the other is Paul Maholm, a known piata. We also have two very shaky bullpens if the starters don?t make it deep into the game, which I dont expect them to. That?s the ace in the hole. Pittsburghs team ERA is 6.12 on the road and 5.95 over the last week. The over is 23-8-3 in Pittsburghs last 34 road games and is 49-15-4 in their last 68 games following a loss. Further, the over is 10-3-1 in Maholms last 14 divisional starts and is 5-1 in his last six road starts. Further, the over is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings between these teams and 4-1 in the last five in St. Louis.
We also have all the intangibles. The wind is blowing out to left field and it should be a warm evening. Next, we have Joe West behind the dish and the over is 10-2 in this last 12 St. Louis games. The over is 7-3-2 in his last 12 behind the dish overall and teams have scored in double digits in eight of the 12 games hes been behind the plate this year. In fact, only one game has seen less than eight runs scored in it and I was watching that one a couple weeks ago. It didnt stay under because of him. West has issued an average of 8.5 walks per game over his last six and has seen an average of 27 base runners over his last seven. Im looking for runs, baby, and I think this could be a great place to find them.
3-Unit Play. Take #966 Arizona (-1.5, -110) over Washington (8 p.m., Saturday, May 31)
1-Unit Play. Take #952 Chicago Cubs (-1.5, -120) over Colorado (1 p.m., Saturday, May 30)
2-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 9.0 Boston at Baltimore (7 p.m., Saturday, May 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #971 Boston (-125) over Baltimore (7 p.m., Saturday, May 30)
Red Sox are 10-2 against a left-handed starter, 18-4 backing Lester against a team with a losing record, and 17-8 in his 25 outings. Orioles are 7-19 against a left-handed starter and 3-12 at home against a southpaw. Red Sox are 36-16 in Baltimore.
1-Unit Play. Take #973 Cleveland (-165) over Kansas City (7 p.m., Saturday, May 30)
Welcome back, Kyle Davies. Davies is making his first start of the year after some time in the minors. However, this guy has been one of my favorite fades and his flat fastball and poor command should hurt his team once again today. C.C. Sabathia seems to have regained some of his mojo, as he?s posted a 1.62 ERA in his last seven outings. Only once in those seven (against K.C. at home) has he given up more than two runs. I think we?re going to see a high-scoring game but I think the Indians extend K.C.'s misery.
1-Unit Play. Take #980 Los Angeles Angels (-130) over Toronto (10 p.m., Saturday, May 31)
That's it for today. I also have very strong leans on San Fran, Atlanta, and St. Louis. I love all three of those plays as well for 1-2 Units, I am just trying to limit the card. Good luck.
