Saturday Service Plays 5/31/08

the duke

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Factsman

Pod Marlins/Phillies Over 9.5 +105



Executive

250 % Giants




Plusline Sports


Cubs -1.5 runline


PPP

2% Chicago Cubs -1.5 runs
2% St Louis Cards
 

the duke

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Michael Cannon


20 Dime ?

TIGERS (With Verlander as listed pitcher)

Take the Tigers for the road win this afternoon over the Mariners.

Seattle stinks. I can?t spell it out for you any clearer than that.

The Mariners are tied with the Rockies for the worst record in baseball, have gone 7-20 in May while scoring just 94 runs, which is also worst in the majors for this month.

Felix Hernandez will start for Seattle and he?s 0-5 with a 5.54 ERA in his last six starts. During that span he?s walked 21 batters in 37 1-3 innings.

The Tigers will counter with Justin Verlander, who has been the victim of poor run support this year. Detroit has scored one or zero runs while Verlander has been in the game in eight of his 11 starts.

But scoring runs against the Mariners shouldn?t be a problem.

The Tigers are 4-0 against the Mariners this season, outscoring them 37-18.

Verlander has also had great success against Seattle in his career, going 5-0 with a 2.43 ERA in five starts.

Take the Tigers as they grab the road win.


5 Dime ?

WHITE SOX (With Vazquez as listed pitcher)

Take the White Sox as the road dog over the Rays.

Insane price to pay for Tampa, considering how well the White Sox have been playing.

I know Scott Kazmir is pitching, but it?s not like he?s the second coming of Sandy Koufax.

Besides, the White Sox have won four of six and are 12-4 since May 13.

Javier Vazquez will get the nod and he?s looking to win his third straight decision. The right-hander has a 2.85 ERA over his last six starts and is 5-2 with a 4.48 ERA in 10 career starts against the Rays, including a 3-1 mark at Tropicana Field.

Take the White Sox at a nice plus return for the win.


RED SOX (With Lester as listed pitcher)

Take the Red Sox for the road win tonight over the Orioles.

Jon Lester will start for Boston and he?s 3-0 in four career starts against the O?s with a 3.00 ERA.

Baltimore will counter with Garrett Olson, who is 0-2 with a 7.63 ERA in three career starts against the BoSox.

After the 13-inning affair last night, both teams will be looking for their starters to take them deep into tonight?s game, and I feel that?s where the Red Sox have the advantage tonight with Lester.

Take Boston as they grab the road win.
 

YTownGambler

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Larry Ness' NL Game of the Month:

8-3 s/Mon
Larry's had a solid "money-making" week in MLB so far, going 8-3 with his guaranteed releases on the diamond since Monday. On this final day of May, he caps the month with his NL Game of the Month. Join this 24-year vet, already 4-2 with Game of the Month plays in May, for this GUARANTEED winner!


St.Louis Cardinals
 

the duke

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Stu Feiner

10,000 Dime MLB Game of the Week
ATLANTA BRAVES


I know the Braves have had some serious struggles on the road this year, but their opponent this afternoon are N.L. Central division cellar dwellers, the Cincinnati Reds. This is a serious bounce back game for Atlanta, which is a nice 13-6 in day games and 3-1 versus the Reds this year despite last night?s extra inning loss. Atlanta has the better offensive lineup and they have the better starting pitcher in this one. Jair Jurrjens (5-3, 2.86) is 1-0 with a 2.16 ERA in his last three starts overall. And he?ll be backed by a pen that has a nice 3.36 ERA.

Then there?s Cincy?s Josh Fogg, who has been terrible both as a starter and as a reliever this season. He began the year as the team?s No. 5 starter, but was sent to the pen after posting a 13.09 ERA in his first three starts. In his most recent start, he allowed nine earned in just two frames against at the Cubs and allowed six earned in four innings in his last home start against the Phillies. Back on May 4 in Atlanta, he was battered for five runs in 2 2/3 innings. His teams are 1-4 in his five career starts against the Braves and he?s facing an Atlanta lineup that is batting .288 and averaging 5.5 runs per game against righty starters. Meanwhile, the Reds have a losing mark versus right-handed starters. Chipper Jones had a bad Friday night, but he?ll have a big Saturday as the Braves bounce back big time.


1,000 Dime MLB Winners
TIGERS
ANGELS


The Tigers are 4-0 versus the M?s this year after Friday?s 7-4 win. They?ll make it five straight with a win tonight against a Seattle team that has dropped eight of its last 10 overall. The Mariners will start Felix Hernandez, who is 1-3 with a 4.08 ERA in seven home starts this year and has a 4.12 ERA in his last three starts overall, and he?ll be followed a pen that has a 4.23 ERA. After a slow start, Detroit starter Justin Verlander is beginning to heat up with a 1.89 ERA in his last three starts in allowing just four earned in 19 innings. In five career starts against Seattle, he?s 5-0 with a 2.43 and he?ll handcuff this M?s outfit that is batting a mere .250 versus righty starters. Tigers get it done.



After last night?s setback, look for the Angels to rebound behind the arm of starter John Lackey, who is 6-0 with a 3.31 ERA lifetime against the Blue Jays. Eleven days ago in Toronto, he earned the win in allowing just one run in seven innings as he?s sporting a 2.05 ERA in his last three starts overall. Toronto is playing better of late, but Shaun Marcum has a 4.20 ERA in his last three starts after giving up four earned in 6 2/3 innings versus the visiting Halos 10 days ago. He took the loss in that game and he?ll absorb another tonight as the Angels bounce back at home.
 

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Teddy Covers

MLB 3* LA Angles

AFL 4* Arizona Rattlers/Orlando Predators under 108

AFL 4* San Jose Sabercats



PowerPlayWins


Atlanta -130

Boston -129

Tampa Bay -141



Alex Smart


MLB 2* St Louis Cardinals

AFL 3* TB Storm

AFL 3* San Jose Sabercats




LT Profits

MLB 2* Chicago White Sox

MLB 2* Baltimore

MLB 2* Oakland
 

the duke

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BRIAN MAC

5 UNITS ATLANTA
5 UNITS MILWAUKEE
5 UNITS OVER (FL)
5 UNITS OVER (PITT)
5 UNITS UNDER (LAA)
3 UNITS OVER (RED SOX)
 

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Teddy June

MLB NL Total of the Day

My 5* MLB NL Total of the Day
San Diego /San Francisco Over



MLB AL Total of the Day

My 5* MLB AL Total of the Day
New York /Minnesota Under
 

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Winning Points Online

MLB.

BOSTON (Lester) -135 over BALTIMORE (Olson)

The Orioles have been trending down in recent days
(3-7, -$330 last 10) so this might be a good time
to start going against them, while prices are still
reasonable. Garrett Olson has not looked sharp in
his recent outings (5.59 ERA last 2) and the Bosox
are a healthy 6-2 (+$390) vs. lefthanders. Jon Lester
has been outstanding (3.55 ERA in 12 starts . . 1.93
ERA last 2) and the Orioles have lost money against
southpaws (-$135). The O's blew numerous opport-
unities in last night's extra-inning defeat, and they'll
be hard pressed to pull out a victory tonight.



Ultra

(DAY GAME)
**PREFERRED
UNDER 8.5
LA Dodgers at NY Mets


This qualifier gets played 'under' constant threat of rain in the area,
so they'll want to move it along as quickly as possible.
The Mets have a Team BA of .182 against Billingsley, who
is a good non-contact pitcher (67 Ks in 58 innings).
Pelfrey is your typical choking, Mr. Softie Met (24 walks, 23 strikeouts)
but at least he'll benefit from pitching in his home pitcher's park,
on a day when anything close will be a strike. The Dodgers have never
faced him so it might take them a while to figure out that he stinks.
 

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Prophet



BET THE FARM 3*: Pittsburgh Penguins -110

This is another do or die game for the Pens and they know a loss tonight means the Cup run is over. This is a young, talented team and I believe their youth cost them the first two games. They came out scared, backing up and allowing too much room and respect for the veteran Red Wings. That changed 10 minutes into game 3 and the Pens started to play the hockey we have seen and expected in this Series. I believe the Pens have gained momentum and the confidence they need and will come out tonight and create many scoring chances. If the Pens can win tonight, they can take this series. Add to the fact that Thomas Holmstrom was obviously hurting late into game two. Take him out of the lineup and I love the Pens even more. Our sources say he will lace up, but he will be used sparingly if the Pens jump out on top. It was worth the two penalties the Pens took to lay that man on his back, eh? Many people are all over Detroit tonight but to me, it all adds up to a Pens victory and even series after tonight. Good luck to us!!!


Banker



STRONG PICK 2*: Pittsburgh Penguins -110

Toughest game to call so far in this series, seeing how these two teams have played. Fluery worries me but I like how the Pens are getting opportunities, unlike the first two games.
 

the duke

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The Rock

Hotside Hotline 20-8 ytd

Arena Football
10* Orlando/Arizona Under 106 (7-1 on 10* Arena Football Plays) ytd
 

the duke

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Mike Rose

THE RUN IS ON - Get Mike's 3 AFL Sat Winners
The Season Mike, after BACK TO BACK Weekend Sweeps, has won his last 9 STRAIGHT Areal Football Cards, is on a 9-0, 13-5 run and is up almost $30,000 for his MLB Dime Bettors. One word and one word only can describe Mike Rose's Arena Football...Legendary. Last season Mike DEMOLISHED Books, winning 72% of ALL his Total Bets and netting Dime Unit Bettors a Hefty $55,000. Lifetime, Mike's made Bettors close $150,000 of cold hard CASH.

AFL 3* Tampa Bay Storm/Georgia Force u 109.5

AFL 2* Dallas Desperados

AFL 2* LA Avengers
 

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Jim Feist

4* Tampa Bay



Dave Cokin


Under the Hat
RedSox

Total
Under Arizona

3* Yankees
 

the duke

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Larry Ness

Las Vegas Insider-MLB (4-0 since Mon) $35.00
Larry takes an 8-3 mark with his MLB releases into the weekend (since Monday). He and his "unmatched" contacts have been the 'cornerstone' of his winning run, going a PERFECT 4-0 with Larry's exclusive Las Vegas Insiders, after going eight days without one (5/18-5/25). "It pays to be on the inside with Larry." Want in?

Tampa Bay Devilrays
 

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SPORTS MONITOR


Washington Nationals (23-32) at Arizona Diamondbacks (30-24)


THE LINE:
Diamondbacks-220 total 8

TRENDS: The Diamondbacks are 19-12 home. The Nationals are 11-17 on theroad. Arizona has won seven of the last nine against Washington.The under is 11-5 in Washington's last 16 games.

GAME SUMMARY: Brandon Webb will try to help the NL West-leading Diamondbacks end their longest losing streak in nearly a year on Saturday astheir three-game series with the Washington Nationals continuesat Chase Field.



PREDICTION: Diamondbacks 5 Nationals 3
 

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Brian Reno (1-1 Yesterday)

Top Plays (5%):

MLB: Cleveland -1.5 runs (EVEN)
Lean: (3%)

2 Team Parlay: Cleveland -173 + NYY -162







Stan "The Man" Szumera
(3-0 Yesterday)

Note: 5* Plays = 5%

5* Boston -125
 

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John Ryan


Florida Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies (MLB) - May 31, 2008 7:05 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: -223 Philadelphia Phillies Play Title: Philadelphia with Hamels

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Philadelphia ? This is one of those rare times that the AiS grades a large favorite as a 3* graded play. Remember though it is always valid and for very strong and extensive reasons. Florida bats are hitting just 221 with a 312 OBP over their past 7 games. More alarming is that they have struck out 74 times in 244 AB during this stretch and now to have to face one of the best strikeout starters in the NL. Phils bats are just sickly good hitting 311 with a 389 OBP, 33 EB, 12 HR, and scoring 9.4 RPG over their past 7 games. In case Hamels does get in trouble he can rely on the BEST bullpen in the Majors. The bullpen has been rock solid sporting a 2.79 ERA and a 1.306 WHIP on the season and a 2.30 ERA and 1.276 WHIP over their past 7 games. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 142-32 for 82% making 71.9 units since 1997. Play against road dogs with a money line of +175 to +250 after allowing 10 runs or more and is now facing an opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more. With just a little more offense Hamels could have 8 or even 9 wins. Still his team is 8-3 in home starts and against divisional foes he has been lights out posting a 1.45 ERA and 0.968 WHIP in 4 starts. Hamels is 19-3 (+14.0 Units) against the money line versus poor baserunning teams that are averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. Take Philadelphia.
 
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