LT Profits
Cleveland Indians @ Los Angeles Dodgers o8.0 (-115)
C.C. Sabathia of the Cleveland Indians has had his troubles on the road lately, while Chan Ho Park is making just his second start of the year for the Los Angeles Dodgers and will no doubt be on a pitch count, so we look for a higher scoring contest than many others expect.
Sabathia is the reining Cy Young Award winner, but he got off to a dreadful start this season before finally appearing to get himself straightened out. However, while he looks to have regained his Cy Young form at home, his last two road starts leave much to be desired, as he allowed a total of nine runs and 20 baserunners in 14 innings. He is facing a Dodgers lineup that is hitting significantly better vs. left-handers (.280) than vs. right-handers (.257) this season.
Park is taking this spot start for the Dodgers after pitching out of the bullpen all season, save for his one other start when he went just four innings. That will probably be the game plan again tonight, but the problem may be that the bullpen may be a bit fatigued after LA was forced to use four relievers over five innings last night.
Thus, the Dodgers may give up a fee tack on runs late, and the Cleveland bullpen can be counted on to do the same considering that units ranks second to last in the Major Leagues with a 4.94 pen ERA, ahead of only Texas.
Indians/Dodgers Over 8 (-115)
Alex Smart
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Minnesota Twins o8.5
Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Minnesota Twins
Game Time: 6/21/2008 7:10:00 PM
Prediction: over
Reason: Micah Owings( 6-5,5.29 ERA) the Arizona Dbacks starting pitcher today, has really been struggling of late, as is evident by allowing 21 runs in last 19 innings of work, spanning 4 starts for an ugly ERA of 9.94. That is not a good omen against a Twins team that has smashed out , 27 runs in their L3 contests. His pitching opponent from the host Minnesota Twins , Nick Blackburn(5-4, 3.87 ERA) has looked really good at times this season, and pretty bad on other occasions, as is evident by his 6.38 ERA in his L3 starts.Considering the pitching matchup, Im expecting a fairly hig scoring tilt. Final notes & Key Trends: Owings has gone OVER in 10 of his L12 outings with a total of between 7 and 8.5, with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 10.9 RPG. Over is 8-1 in Twins last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter. These team have only once in their L9 meetings failed to eclipse the number. Play OVER