Saturday Service Plays 7/5/08

the duke

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Bobby Maxwell

Boston (+120) at N.Y. YANKEES

The Red Sox have taken the first two of this series and now they get to face Mike Mussina who they have absolutely dominated recently. We'll back Boston in this one as they send youngster Justin Masterson (4-2, 3.75 ERA) to the mound at Yankee Stadium.

Boston won the first game 7-0 on Thursday and then won Friday's contest 6-4. They've won five of the last six meetings this season and three straight in New York.

The Yankees have lost four of five on this homestand and five of six overall. Mussina (10-6, 3.87) has struggled a bit lately and New York has lost three of his last four starts. Against the Red Sox, the Yankees have lost his last five outings as he's given up 23 earned runs in 26.1 innings of work. For his career, Mussina is 19-17 with a 3.80 ERA in 54 starts against Boston.

Masterson gave up four runs on five hits in six innings of work Monday when the Red Sox lost 5-4 in Tampa Bay. But Boston is 5-3 in his eight starts this season and he's kept them in the game in each of his outings.

The Yankees are in one of their modes of struggling offense right now and the Red Sox aren't having any trouble scoring runs. Plus they love to hit off Mussina. Let's play the Sox to win their third straight in this series. Play Boston

3♦ BOSTON


Chris Jordan

Oakland at CHICAGO (-130)

Play the White Sox over the visiting Athletics Saturday night, as there shouldn't be any issue with Gavin Floyd toeing the rubber for us in this one.

The crafty right-hander comes in off a solid showing looked Monday against the Indians, much better than he had in either of his previous two starts, as he struck out a career-high 10 batters. Anyone who watched his quality start against the Tribe saw the return of his offspeed command, as he his changeup was hitting the zone with ease.

Also, Chicago comes in on winning runs of 5-0 in Floyd's last five home starts, 6-1 in his last seven starts overall and 7-2 in its last nine overall. On the other hand, the A's are 7-13 in their last 20 as an underdog and 1-4 in Greg Smith's last five starts as the pup.

Take the South Siders in this one, as they'll roll the A's tonight.

3♦ WHITE SOX



Greg Daraban


Florida (44-42) at Colorado (36-51)
(Tucker vs De La Rosa)

Thursday Colorado won 6-5, Friday Colorado won 18-17 in a slugfest.

Rookie Tucker 2-2, De La Rosa 2-4
With the fish in the hunt they will get this 3rd game of this 4 game set. SS Hanley Ramiez continues to impress with the glove and the bat 303.

Take Florida



Marc Lawrence

Play On: Milwaukee w/Bush vs Maholm

Note: The Brewers take on the Pirates in Game Two of this three-game set in Milwaukee when Dave Bush battles Pat Maholm in Suds City tonight. Bush has been much stronger at home this season with a 3.18 ERA as opposed to a 7.11 ERA in the road in 2008. On the flip side, Maholm's 5.53 ERA on the road is more than two full runs worse than his 3.47 ERA at home this year. Stay at home with the steadier serves of Bush and the Brewers as Milwaukee improves to 12-4 at home on Saturdays here this evening.


Jeff Benton


Rangers-Orioles OVER the posted price.

These teams pounded out 14 runs and 21 hits yesterday, and with the pitchers scheduled in this one, I wouldn?t be surprised to see those numbers get eclipsed here. First off, Baltimore?s Brian Burres sports a 5.09 ERA in his 15 starts this season, and that ERA jumps to 6.18 in his eight outings at Camden Yards (six of which have gone over the total).

As for Rangers Scott Feldman, he is coming off three straight decent starts. But the fact remains he?s got a 6.00 ERA in six road starts this season. Also, he hasn?t lasted a full six innings in any of his last three starts. You have to figure that trend will continue tonight, and if it does, that means the Rangers? bullpen ? one of the worst in baseball with a 5.06 ERA ? will be called upon for extra duty. And as it is, Feldman is going up against a Baltimore offense that?s cookin? right now (the O?s have tallied five runs or more in the first five games of this current homestand, scoring 34 runs in all over this stretch).

And of course, the Rangers, with Josh Hamilton, Milton Bradley, Michael Young, Ian Kinsler, etc., certainly know how to make it around the bases. In fact, no team in baseball has scored more runs than Texas. Finally, with yesterday?s game easily topping the posted total, nine of Baltimore?s last 12 games at Camden Yards have gone ?over.? Make it 10 of 13!

(Based on a 1♦ to 10♦ rating system)

5♦ Rangers-Orioles OVER the total


Scott Delaney

Last night we won with the Cubs in this NL Central clash, today we're playing the Cardinals to get it done against Chicago, and we're listing Lohse and Lilly as the starting pitchers here. These two met back on May 3 here at Busch Stadium, and it was Lilly nabbing the win. Tonight Lohse gets revenge.

St. Louis? right-hander comes in off a stellar home win against the Mets, whom he held scoreless over seven innings to win his second game in three starts.

He also improved to 5-1 on the year at home, along with a 2.77 ERA at Busch. We already know where that lone home loss came to, so look for revenge to come easy tonight.

2♦ CUBS


Tony Weston

Of course I came through with the Orioles yesterday. Did you doubt it I?d nail that one? Well, if you?re keeping count, I?m now 27-7 my last 34 Comp Plays and I?m adding to that win total again tonight.

We?re heading out to the desert into Phoenix as the Padres will battle the Arizona Diamondbacks. In this one I?m loving the under. The total set on this one is about 8 ? and this will come in rather easily.

These teams have played each other seven times this season and over their last four meetings the under is 3-1. In that four-game stretch the teams have totaled on average 7 ? runs per game. In their last two meetings they?ve totaled, on average 4 ?.

For the Diamondbacks the under is 6-2-2 their last 10 games, while the under is 7-3 in the Padres? last 10 games, including 3-0 their last three.

It?ll be anther low-scoring affair as the teams trot out two pitchers with season ERAs under four (Padres? Jake Peavy with a 2.90 and the Diamondbacks? Doug Davis with a 3.79).

This is an easy one. Go with the under tonight.

3♦ PADRES-DIAMONDBACKS UNDER (1♦ to 5♦ Scale)
 

the duke

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Dave Cokin

My free pick of the day is the game between (923) KC Royals and (924) TB Rays
Take "(924) TB Rays".

Zack Greinke is doing a stellar job for the Royals, and when he's on his game he's tough as nails. But there just doesn't seem to be a way to beat this Rays team at home these days, and they usually garner lots of support when Andy Sonnanstine takes the mound. Considering how dominating this team is at home, I see the number here being too low and I'll look for the Rays to win yet again.




Jim Feist


My free pick of the day is the game between (927) TOR Blue Jays and (928) LA Angels. Take "Under". A pair of aces on the mound here in Roy Halladay and John Lackey. Both are workhorses and on a roll. Halladay has a 1.99 ERA his last three starts and is leading the league in innings pitched. Lackey has a 0.74 ERA his last three starts and just 1.44 for the season. The Angels have been an under the total machine this season with that weak offense and great pitching, starting 52-29 under. Look for that trend to continue with these two aces throwing goose eggs. Play the Blue Jays/Angels under the total.
 

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Hondo

Hondo dealt himself a losing hand last night with the Cards, which caused a few dead presidents to be deleted from his still bulging bankroll.

Tonight, with 570 tracewskis in the account, Mr. Aitch is working the late shift with the Tigers in Se attle - 10 units on Galarrrrraga


ARMVIN SPORTS

HOUSTON ASTROS 146

CLEVELAND INDIANS 110


Mike Wynn


Detroit w/Galarraga -135 Over Seattle
 

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Razor Sharp Sports

DETROIT (Galarraga) -130 over Seattle


Totals4U

WASHINGTON/CINCINNATI UNDER 9


Big Time Sports


SAN DIEGO / ARIZONA UNDER 8.5


#1 Sports


BALTIMORE -125


Computer Sports


SEATTLE M's+120 W/DICKEY


Arthur Ralph


CHI White Sox


Dr. Vegas


Angels -125 over Toronto


Dark Horse Sports


Boston +120 over NY Yankees


The Vegas Steam Line


MINNESOTA w/ Slowey -115 over Cleveland


Trace Adams

Milwaukee Brewers
 
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Sports Gambling Hotline

Los Angeles (-120) at SAN FRANCISCO

We gave you a 4th of July winner on the Dodgers yesterday to make it a 20-11-3 comp play run the last 34 days!

Tonight we come right back with those very same Dodgers as we like Los Angeles to once again have their way against the Giants.

Barry Zito took yet another loss his last start, and is now 3-12 this year with an ERA of 5.99. Zito has already lost once this season to LA, and his team is just 1-3 this year in the season series.

Los Angeles has won their last 4, and they are just 1/2-game behind the Diamondbacks for the top spot in the NL West. With the Dodgers owning a dominating 15-4 mark at San Francisco since the 2006 season, we have to side with the men in blue to extend their winning streak to 5 in a row this evening.

Play on Los Angeles.

4♦ LOS ANGELES


Matt Rivers

Saturday take the Angels at the Big A.

Roy Halladay is obviously great and laying money to him is not the easiest decision to make but right now John Lackey is probably the best pitcher on the planet and can easily shut down this struggling Toronto offense.

The Jays have flat out had a tough tough season. Their pitching is very good and should have been very good with Halladay, AJ Burnett, Shawn Marcum and a few others along with BJ Ryan closing things out but the offense has been underachieving and flat out awful. Alex Rios and Vernon Wells should be in the midst of breakout seasons but we have seen anything but and all in all this squad is just not very good right now. Cito Gaston was brought in to try and change the losing culture but the team has continued to play sluggishly and in a division with Boston, Tampa and the Yankees are all done and they know it.

Lackey has been phenomenal this season even with missing the first month on the dl. The righty has not missed a beat since start number one and was money in that last outing at Chavez Ravine completely outclassing the Dodgers in that 1-0 win. K-Rod came in for the one out save there and I can easily see him not even have to get ready here as Lackey gets that one extra out and completes this thing in possible shutout fashion.

Vlad and the offense certainly have had their share of struggles but they should be able to plate a few here at home and I'm not so sure that the scuffling Jays will be able to muster all that much on the road, across the country and against a superstar in Lackey.


In the end I'm looking for a 4-0, maybe 4-1, type of an Anaheim victory!


Jake Timlin


Minnesota Twins

Big winner on the Twins yesterday as my top rated selection I now look towards Minnesota for an easy freebie winner today. After thanks to the Indians continuing to suck having now lost their last 6 games and 12 of their last 16 it?s pretty easy to go against the Tribe right now. Especially when you factor in that Minnesota is red hot winning their last 4 and 17 of their last 21. Even better it?s the Twins who will have the edge on the mound as Slowey 2-0 over his last 3 starts with an ERA of 0.46 goes up against Laffey who is winless over his last 3 starts. Flat out the Twins are playing their best baseball of the season and I see them continuing to shine today at home against a struggling Cleveland team.

All Minnesota!


Ross Benjamin


Oakland (Smith) @ White Sox (Floyd)

Under 8.5 (-115)

Reason: The White Sox starter Gavin Floyd has been lights out in 9 home starts this season posting a 2.87 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. The Oakland starter Greg Smith has seen just 1 of his last 12 starts go over the total. In his last 3 starts on the road Smith has posted a brilliant 1.42 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. Both of these teams possess two of the better bullpens in baseball. This series has seen 7 of the last 8 games played go under the total. Play on under the total as my free selection of the night.
 
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the duke

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SCOTT FERRALL


Texas +110
over Baltimore
I just believe in that Ranger offense. They always bust out eventually. UNDER 10 RUNS and Hurley over Burres. Hurley's ERA is under 4.

CHICAGO WS -130 over Oakland
Smith won't beat Gavin Floyd on the South Side. The Sox are 30-12 at home. They are the real deal again and as tough as the Cubs to boot.

Kansas City
+125 over Tampa
this takes balls to run with Zach Greinke against this Rays team at the Trop. Tampa is 34-13 there. The Royals blow, but I say it looks to easy to jump on Sonnanstine. UNDER 8.5 RUNS

Cleveland +115
over Minnesota
Risky but worth it if Laffey gets it done over Slowey at the Homerdome. OVER 8.5 RUNS because both starters have ERA's in the low 3's and everyone will bet the under and they'll all get burned--while your laughing and drinking one in Ferrall's name

ANGELS -125
over Toronto Jays
Lackey was the pitcher of the month in June and he'll go at it with Halladay. What a pitching matchup--take the UNDER 7 RUNS

Detroit -135
over Seattle
Galarraga has been unreal and he'll cool off the streaking and suddenly hot Mariners. Ibanez won the game for them Friday with a HR--they've won 8 of 11, but that ends here
 

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Bob Balfe

07/05/2008

Major League Baseball
Phillies -115 over Mets
Moyer/Maine
 

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Joe Wiz

New York Yankees (-135)

Arizona (+105)



Insider Sports Report


Pittsburgh/Milwaukee (MLB) UNDER 9


National Sports Service

Minnesota -125 over Cleveland (MLB)
 
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the duke

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Karl Garrett

Oakland at WHITE SOX (-125)

Look for the White Sox to get a win tonight at home against an Oakland team that has won the first two of this holiday weekend four game set.

Keep in mind that even with those two losses, Chicago is still 30-13 at home this season, and a large part of that succes is because of Gavin Floyd.

Floyd takes the mound tonight with a 6-1 mark at US Cellular this season, and his ERA is a slender 2.87. The G-Man expects Floyd to get the Sox on board with another quality home start.

Oakland had been slumping prior to hitting the Windy City, as they had lost 4 of 5 before taking the first two this weekend. The Athletics will go with Greg Smith who is coming off a complete game win at the Angels, but it is questionable whether he can turn the trick again on the road.

The G-Man doesn't think he can!

Roll with the Pale Hose in this one.

2♦ WHITE SOX



Alex Smart

Minnesota Twins (-118)
Sat Jul 5 '08 7:10p

The Minnesota Twins enter into todays mlb action on fire, having won 14 of their 16 overall, and 11 of their L13 at home in the Metrodome. Their opponents the Cleveland Indians are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum , after losing their 7th straight game yesterday to the Twins by a lopsided 12-3 count.

Kevin Slowey the Minnesota Twins starting right hander today against the visiting Cleveland Indians, enters this tilt, mimicking his teams successes, and is off his first career shutout on Sunday against the Brewers, allowing just three hits. It was the 24 year olds fourth consecutive quality start, which extended a 16-inning scoreless streak, that has also seen him, over power and strike out 24 batters over a 29 inning stretch. Slowey has garnered a nifty 3-0 record along with a minuscule 0.93 ERA during that stellar span.

Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from the Tribe, rookie, Aaron Laffey (4-5,3.24 ERA)is currently not in good form, as is evident by a 0-2 record and slightly bloated 4.58 ERA in his last 3 starts. He has shown the ability to pitch out of jams, but I keep getting this feeling, his luck is soon to run out , and hes going to end up on the wrong side of a beat down.

Final notes & Key Trends:Cleveland ha lost 21 of their 28 road games and are 8-23 in their 31 as underdogs. Twins are 8-0 in their last 8 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
With both pitchers and both teams obviously moving in different directions, Im suggesting we go with the flow, and back the upward momentum of the red hot Twins in this spot. Play on the Minnesota Twins



Terron Chapman


ST LOUIS CARDINALS -109

Kyle Lohse will take the ball from manager Tony Larussa Saturday afternoon with hopes he can avenge his worst loss of the season. We'll play on him and his teammates to do so as they try to keep pace with the division leading Chicago Cubs in the second game of their weekend series. Lohse was tagged for 9 hits and 8 earned runs in 6 innings pitched in the Cardinals 9-3 loss to the Cubbies back on May 3rd. We'll assume it was just one of those days as Lohse has been solid for the Cardinals all season. The right hander who signed as a free agent over the summer is 10-2 on the season with a 3.67 ERA. He has been a pleasant suprise for a Cardinals pitching staff decimated by injuries. That loss is the one blip on his home record this season as he is 5-1 with a 2.77 ERA at Busch stadium this year. The Cardinals are 8-1 in his last 9 starts. We expect him to rebound with a strong perfomance against the Cubbies giving his team a chance at the win. Ted Lilly was the winnig pitcher that day in May and will oppose Lohse once again as he takes the mound for the Cubs. Lilly is 4-3 on the road this season with a 4.19 ERA to boot. His team is 5-4 in his road starts this year. Lilly might struggle some this afternoon against a Cardinals team hitting .319 agaisnt southpaws the last 10 games. Even with last night's win the Cubs are still a below average team on the road. They are 18-25 on the road this year and 5-16 in their last 21 road games against a team with a winning record. The Cardinals have rebounded well in this spot all season and are 13-1 in game 2's this year. Expect that trend to hold up this afternoon.



Chip Chirimbes


CHICAGO CUBS

Kyle Lohse (10-2, 3.67 ERA) has been a pleasant surprise for the Cardinals since they signed him during spring training, he is 1-2 with a 5.92 ERA in five starts against Chicago. The right-hander allowed a season-high eight runs and nine hits in six innings of a 9-3 loss to the Cubs on May 3 as Fukudome went 3-for-5 with two RBIs off him. Lohse, 7-0 with a 2.44 ERA in his last eight starts overall, allowed an unearned run and five hits in seven innings of a 7-1 victory over the New York Mets on Monday, giving him one more victory than he had for Cincinnati and Philadelphia in 2007. The Cubs counter with Ted Lilly (9-5, 4.56), who is looking for his fifth straight winning decision in his second matchup this season against Lohse. Lilly, 4-2 with a 3.06 ERA versus the Cardinals, lasted seven innings in that May contest at Busch. The left-hander - 4-0 with a 3.15 ERA in his last five outings - gave up seven hits and both runs in eight innings of a 9-2 win at San Francisco on Monday.


Rob Vinciletti


CHICAGO CUBS +101

On Saturday afternoon the free play for Saturday is on the Chicago Cubs game 901 at 3:55 Eastern. The pitching matchup in this game does slightly favor the Cards. Lohse has been better this year Than Lilly. But teams are hitting 27 points lower vs Lilly than they are vs Lohse. The reason for the play though is the Cubs are a remarkable 13-0 this year after 2 or more games scoring 3 runs or less. In a game that virtually a pickem ill lean with the Cubs.


Jimmy Boyd


Florida Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies

Colorado Rockies -135

1 Unit Free Play on Colorado Rockies -135 (action)
After a wild 18-17 win in game 2 of this series, I like the home Rockies to out slug the Marlins again today. The Marlins are 1-6 in their last 7 games as an underdog, 1-4 in their last 5 road games, and 9-24 in their last 33 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher. The Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite, 10-4 in their last 14 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher, and 37-15 in their last 52 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The Rockies are finally starting to play some baseball. I expect them to put a lot of runs on the board again today on their way to victory.
 
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Black Widow


Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners

Detroit Tigers -130
1* on Detroit Tigers -130
(List Galarraga and Dickey)

Detroit is 13-1 (+11.9 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.700 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Detroit is 17-3 (+13.6 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.70 or worse over the last 3 seasons. As you can see, the Tigers clearly don?t feel sorry for the worst starting pitchers in this league. Instead, they pound ?em like the pussies they are. R.J. Dickey is 0-3 with a 10.80 ERA in all home starts this year. Dickey will get pounded by a hot Tigers? lineup scoring 5.5 runs per game in night games this season. Detroit is 44-17 (+19.4 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 3 seasons. Take the Tigers on the Money Line.


Info Plays

3* on Cleveland Indians +117
(Listing Laffey and Slowey)

Cleveland got it handed to them by Minnesota yesterday. The Indians threw one of their worst starters in Paul Byrd, but they come back today with one of their better starters in Aaron Laffey to try and revenge that loss. Laffey?s 3.24 ERA in 12 starts this season ranks up there with the best on the Indians staff. Eric Wedge is 46-23 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season as the manager of Cleveland. The Indians know that if they are to get back into the AL Central race, they cannot afford to lose today?s game to the Twins who are well ahead of them already. Bet Cleveland on the road.


John Martin


Toronto Blue Jays vs. LAA Angels
LAA Angels -123

1 Unit on L.A. Angels -123
(Listing Lackey)

John Lackey has been virtually un-hittable this season. Yes, Roy Halladay has more than a handful of complete games, but his numbers don?t match up with Lackey?s. Lackey is 6-1 with a miniscule 1.44 ERA this year, 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA at home, and 3-0 with a 0.74 ERA over his last 3 starts. Lackey just keeps getting better as the season progresses. The Angels are 18-5 against the money line after batting .240 or worse over a 10 game span this season. Anaheim is finding ways to win games by manufacturing runs and throwing another great starting pitcher each time out. Lackey is their Ace and he won?t lose at home to the Blue Jays. Cash in with the Angels as the favorite.


Jimmy The Moose


Game: Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox Jul 5 2008 7:05PM
Prediction: under

Reason: The A's have played under the total in 8 of their last 11 games. The under is 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog. The under is 6-2 in their last 8 vs. NL Central opponents. The under is 10-1-1 in Smith's last 12 starts. The A's have played the under in 7 of his last 8 road starts. The under is 7-1-1 in Smith's last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 15-5 in the White Sox last 20 games vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a left-handed starter. The team's have played the under in 7 of their last 8 meetings. The under is 5-0 in the A's last 5 trips to Chicago. Play the under.


Drew Gordon


Florida (+120) at COLORADO

Won a wild one with yesterday's Free Play winner on the Rockies storming back to win 18-17 over the Marlins Friday! Staying with this series, but tonight we go the other way, and here's why:

I told you in this spot yesterday, that the Rockies were not to be trifled with at Coors against lefties, especially at night, when they're now 10-1 after Friday's win. However, its a different story with a righty on the mound tonight, as the Rockies are just 9-12 against them at Coors in night games.

Granted, rookie Ryan Tucker hasn't exactly been on point of late, but he's got two things going for him in this match up: A. His ERA is considerably lower on the road (5.73 away versus 7.71 at home), and that includes his best start of the season, at Seattle, where he allowed 2 runs over 6 innings for the win. And B. He's being opposed by Jorge De La Rosa, who's been garbage at Coors this season, posting an ugly 7.33 ERA there. In other words, you can expect plenty of room for error with De La Rosa on the mound.

Also, for all the talk about the Rockies offensive explosion yesterday, let's not forget the Fish scored 17 runs on 22 hits, and still posses one of the better power offenses in the Majors. They average nearly 5 runs per game against lefties on the highway, and the way De La Rosa is pitching, expect them to reach that numbers with ease tonight.

Bottom line, look for the Fish to bounce back strong in this one, as the Rockies have been feasting on southpaws all season at Coors, but its a different story with the righty Tucker on the hill in this one. Granted, both teams should score plenty of runs, but in the end, Florida offers rock-solid value in this spot, especially when you consider how terrible De La Rosa was at home against the sorry-ass Padres offense in his last start (6 runs on 11 hits over 5 innings)! Play here is squarely on the Fish.

Take Florida behind Tucker over Colorado and De La Rosa in this MLB match up.

2♦ FLORIDA
 

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John Fina

July 5, 2008
Selection: Chicago White Sox (-130)



Tony Mathews


Matchup: San Diego vs. Arizona

Selection: Arizona (-105)
 

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Golden Contender

Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, July 05, 2008
$34.99 Guaranteed: ON SATURDAY EVENING ITS THE RELEASE OF ANOTHER SUPER STRONG GURANTEED TOTALS PLAY. THIS GAME IS BACKED WITH ANGLES THAT ARE 34-3 COMBINED.GET THE PLAY,GET THE WRITEUP, GET THE CASH ON SATURDAY.JUMP ON THIS MAX PLAY NOW! 7/5/2008

BLUEJAYS/ANGELS UNDER
 

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Mr. A


Kansas City Royals (39-48) at Tampa Bay Rays (53-32)

(R) Zack Greinke (7-4) vs. (R) Andy Sonnanstine (9-3)

Tampa Bay has won their last five games, five of its last six at home and have beaten the Royals in 12 of the last 14 meetings at Tropicana Field. Kansas City has lost five of their last 7 games, but has won seven of its last 10 on the road.

Kansas City's Zack Greinke (7-4, 3.65) is 2-0 with a 4.50 ERA in his last three starts.The right-hander is 0-1 with a 4.03 ERA in six career outings, including three starts against Tampa Bay, but hasn't faced them since 2005.
Tampa Bay's Andy Sonnanstine (9-3, 4.60 ERA) is 2-0 with a 3.18 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander allowed three earned runs on six hits over seven innings in an 8-7 loss at Kansas City in his only previous start versus the Royals on July 7, 2007, but didn't factor in the decision.

Take Tampa Bay at home with Andy Sonnanstine on the mound. The Rays are 12-2 in the right-hander's last 14 starts and 6-1 in his last 7 at home.

Tampa Bay Rays -140






JB's Computer picks

Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox
(L) Greg Smith (5-6) vs. (R) Gavin Floyd (9-4) Chicago White Sox -135

7:10 p.m. Kansas City Royals at Tampa Bay Rays
(R) Zack Greinke (7-4) vs. (R) Andy Sonnanstine (9-3) Tampa Bay Rays -140

7:10 p.m. Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins
(L) Aaron Laffey (4-5) vs. (R) Kevin Slowey (5-6) Minnesota Twins -130 * * *

9:05 p.m. Toronto Blue Jays at Los Angeles Angels
(R) Roy Halladay (9-6) vs. (R) John Lackey (6-1) Los Angeles Angels -130
 

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Sports Kingz

MLB

Minnesota -125

Detroit -135

Dodgers -110

Tampa Bay -130
 

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Ben Burns

*GAME OF YEAR ALERT*
Divisional GOY *6-0 L6 $40.00
With winners on Seattle, Colorado & Baltimore yesterday, Ben Burns heads into Saturday having gone a SIZZLING 6-0 his last six baseball bets. Burns tests that PERFECT STREAK this afternoon with an extremely BIG play. In fact, this selection is so strong that it qualifies as his #1 Divisional GAME OF THE YEAR. Get it right away


New York Yankees
 

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SPORTS ADVISORS

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Chicago Cubs (52-35) at St. Louis (49-39)

This N.L. Central rivalry continues with two veteran pitchers scheduled to square off as the Cubs send southpaw Ted Lilly (9-5, 4.56 ERA) to the mound at Busch Stadium to take on the Cardinals? Kyle Lohse (10-2, 3.67).

Chicago got a boost from the return of ace Carlos Zambrano on Friday with a 2-1 victory over the Cardinals, moving 3? games ahead of St. Louis in the N.L. Central. The two teams have split four games this season after the Cubs won 11 of 16 last year. Despite last night?s win, the Cubs are still on slides of 3-8 on the road, 0-7 as a road ?dog, 2-6 on the highway against right-handed starters and 2-4 against teams from the N.L. Central.

Meanwhile the Cardinals are just 2-6 in their last eight at Busch Stadium, but they are on positive streaks of 13-3 on Saturdays and 4-2 against N.L. Central Division foes.

Lilly is 2-0 with a 3.74 ERA in his last three outings, and the Cubs have won his last five starts, including Monday when he held the Giants to two runs over eight innings of a 9-2 victory in San Francisco. He beat the Cards back on May 3 when he gave up three runs over seven innings of a 9-3 victory, improving to 4-2 with a 3.06 ERA in seven lifetime starts against St. Louis.

Lohse is 5-1 with a 2.77 ERA at Busch Stadium this season and he allowed just one unearned run over seven innings of a 7-1 home win over the Mets on Monday. The Cardinals have won eight of his last nine starts, and the right-hander has held the opposition to three earned runs or less in eight of those outings. Lohse was on the opposite side of that May 3 start against Lilly and gave up eight runs on nine hits in six innings, falling to 1-2 with a 5.92 ERA in five career starts against Chicago.

The Cubs are on runs of 6-0 when Lilly opposes teams with a winning record, 4-0 when he gets four days of rest and 5-2 when he pitches on Saturday. St. Louis is on streaks of 6-0 when Lohse faces a team with a winning mark, 4-0 when he toils at home and 5-1 when he goes on four days? rest.

For Chicago, the over is 7-2 in its last nine against right-handed starters, 5-2 against winning teams, 8-3 overall and 7-3 on the highway. For the Cardinals, the over is 11-4-1 as a favorite, 9-3-1 as a home favorite and 5-2-2 at home against southpaws. However, the under is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings in this rivalry and 5-1-1 in the past seven clashes in St. Louis.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE



AMERICAN LEAGUE

Boston (52-37) at N.Y. Yankees (45-42)

The Red Sox have taken the first two of this four-game weekend set and now send young Justin Masterson (4-2, 3.75 ERA) to the hill to face the Yankees and veteran right-hander Mike Mussina (10-6, 3.87) in the Bronx.

Boston won Friday?s Fourth of July contest 6-4 after taking Thursday?s series opener 7-0. The Red Sox have now won five of the last six meetings between these two and three straight in New York. The two straight wins to start this series come on the heels of Boston?s five-game road losing skid.

New York has lost four of five on this current homestand and five of six overall, and the Yankees are just 1-5 in their last six games as chalk. On a positive note, Joe Girardi?s club is 5-1 in its last six Saturday outings and it is on a 39-12 roll in the third game of a series.

The Red Sox are 5-3 in Masterson?s eight starts this season, but in Tampa Bay on Monday he gave up four runs on five hits in six innings of a 5-4 loss.

The Yankees have lost three of Mussina?s last four starts, and they?re also 0-5 in his last five against the Red Sox as he?s allowed 23 earned runs in 26 1/3 innings. For his career, Mussina is 19-17 with a 3.80 ERA in 54 starts against Boston.

New York is 4-1 with Mussina on the hill on Saturday and 5-0 when he starts the third game of a series. Boston is on skids of 10-21 on the road against winning teams and 5-10 as a ?dog.

The under is 7-4-1 in Boston?s last 12 overall, 6-2 in the Yankees? last eight overall, 7-3 in the Yankees? last 10 at home and 13-5 in their past 18 versus A.L. East foes. With Mussina on the hill, the under is 4-1 in his last five and 10-4-1 when he faces a team with a winning record at Yankee Stadium. Conversely, the over has been the play in five of the last six series battles between these rivals this season.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


Toronto (41-46) at L.A. Angels (52-34)

The Angels send the hottest pitcher in baseball to the hill today when John Lackey (6-1, 1.44 ERA) takes on the Blue Jays and Roy Halladay (9-6, 2.90) in a battle of aces at Angels Stadium in Anaheim.

Jered Weaver delivered a quality start for the Angels on Friday and the offense carried him to an 8-2 victory. Los Angeles has won six of the last eight meetings with Toronto and five of the last seven when the Blue Jays have sent Halladay to the mound. Overall, the Angels are on hot streaks of 5-1 against the A.L. East and 62-25 in the second game of a series, while the Blue Jays are just 2-10 in their last 12 on the road and 1-4 in their last five on Saturdays.

Lackey is 3-0 with a 0.74 ERA in his last three starts and he?s 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA at home this season. Only twice this year hast the right-hander allowed more than one earned run in a game, and in his most recent effort on Sunday, he shut out the Dodgers over 8 2/3 innings, giving up three hits in a 1-0 Angels? win. For his career, Lackey is 3-2 with a 2.98 ERA in nine starts against Toronto, and in two starts versus the Jays this season he?s allowed two earned runs in 15 innings with Los Angeles winning both games.

Halladay is coming off a complete-game shutout in Seattle on Monday, limiting the Mariners to four hits in a 2-0 Toronto win, snapping a string of three straight Blue Jays? losses with Halladay on the hill. He?s 5-5 with a 4.80 ERA in 13 career starts against the Angels, and in his last one he gave up three runs on 12 hits over eight innings of a 3-0 loss last August.

Toronto is 68-33 in Halladay?s last 101 starts and 35-16 when he gets four days of rest, but they are just 2-5 in his past seven on Saturday and 6-13 in his last 19 on grass. The Angels are 36-15 in Lackey?s last 51 outings and 40-18 in his last 58 as a home favorite.

The under is on runs of 16-6 when Halladay is an underdog, 12-4 when he?s a road pup, 13-3-2 when Lackey is a favorite and 5-1-1 when Lackey works in front of the home crowd.

As a team, the Blue Jays have stayed under in 43 of their last 67 against the A.L. West. The under is also 45-21-5 in the Angels? last 71 overall, 28-14-3 in their last 45 as a home favorite and 35-16-4 in the second game of a series. Finally, even though last night?s game topped the total, the under is still 39-13-5 in the last 57 meetings between these teams, including 19-8-2 in the last 29 when playing in Los Angeles.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS and UNDER
 
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