SERVICE PLAYS FOR 12/25

GIANTS007

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Mr. A's
NBA

Tuesday, December 25th, 2007 (Eastern Time)
Games Mr. A's Selections

Miami at Cleveland, 2:30 PM Miami Heat +5

Seattle at Portland, 8:00 PM Portland Trail Blazers -7?
 

GIANTS007

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Johnny Guild---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NBA Selection
Tuesday December 25th, 2007 8:00 PM EST.

Seattle SuperSonics (8-19) at Portland Trail Blazers (15-12)
The surging Trail Blazers have won 10 straight, going 9-1 ATS and have played very well on their home court. Portland is 12-3 thus far at home this season and has covered the spread in six of their last 7 games at the Rose Garden. Take the hot Trail Blazers to outscore the Sonics in tonight's clash in Portland. Seattle is giving up 105.7 point per game and has played poorly away from home, just 4-10 this year, 6-8 ATS.

Portland Trail Blazers -8.5
 

GIANTS007

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-----Sports Gambling Hotline----------------

Christmas night action from the pacific-northwest, and we have to go with the favored Blazers over the Sonics. Talk about a December to remember, Portland is on a 10-game winning tear, and they have covered in 9 of those 10 games.
Greg Oden...Greg Oden who? Portland is way ahead of schedule, and while this was supposed to be a marquee showdown of Oden and Sonics top draft pick Kevin Durant, it is now a look at a Trailblazers team that is the feel-good story of the NBA these first two months.
Seattle is just 4-10 away from home, and 6-8 against the spread away from the Key Arena. Portland meanwhile sports a 12-3 mark at the Rose Garden, and they have gone 10-5 against the spread at home thus far.
This is the first meeting of the season between the teams, and we will side with the hot host to make it 11 in a row, and 10-1 against the spread.

Play on Portland

2♦ PORTLAND
 

GIANTS007

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NBA- Seattle @ Portland over 198 (500* )

NBA- Cleveland-4' (30*)

NBA- Phoenix-3 (20*)

NBA- Phoenix @ Lakers under 220 (20*)

NBA- Miami @ Cleveland under 192 (10*)
 

GIANTS007

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---John Fina----------------------------------------------------

December 25, 2007
Selection: Seattle SuperSonics +7.5 (-110)


---MIKE WYNN---------------------------------------------------
Portland -7.5 Over Seattle


---RAZOR SHARP-----------------------------------------------
MIAMI/CLEVELAND UNDER the total of 194


---Big Al (COMP) ----------------------------------------------
Phoenix Suns -2 over LA Lakers
 

GIANTS007

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JIM FEIST------ (COMP)

The amazing young Trail Blazers are on a roll, winning 10 consecutive games. How are they doing it? Defense! They just held an explosive Denver offense to 96 points in a 99-96 win. Only one of the last 7 teams have scored over 100 on them. Portland is 9-5 under the total at the Rose Garden, where they allow 94 ppg. They will have little trouble attacking the young Seattle offense. Play the Sonics/Blazers under the total
 

GIANTS007

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Merry Christmas from the G-Man!

OVER in the Suns-Lakers contest

This is the second meeting of the year for these teams, and the first one easily sailed OVER the closing price of 215-points. This one will as well.
Including last year's playoff encounter, these teams have played OVER the total in 3 in a row, 4 of the last 5, and 5 of the last 8.
This being a holiday showcase, expect the stars to put on a show for the fans at the Staples Center, and the loyal watchers of ABC TV.
Gotta play the OVER between Phoenix and Los Angeles this Christmas Day.

3♦ OVER
 

GIANTS007

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The Trailblazers are gunning for their 11th straight victory. It's amazing to see a young team start to play with confidence. It's not just one player but the whole team believing and they all get excited, making the NBA fun to watch instead of the boring typical regular-season play.
Portland is 9-1 ATS during the 10-game streak with the only non-cover coming Friday in the 99-96 win over the Nuggets in Portland. It was only the third time during the streak the Blazers were favored in a contest.
Portland has been doing it with defense, limiting the opposition to 92.8 points a game in the last five and holding teams to 25.3 percent shooting from the 3-point line.
The favorite is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings between these two teams and with the way the Blazers are playing right now, there's no reason to believe they won't add to this streak.
Lay the chalk and play Portland to get this one with ease.

2♦ PORTLAND
 

hu4mekelly

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MTi's FORECAST

MTi's FORECAST

MTI :0corn

The Suns are off a 122-103 win over the Raptors
in which Steve Nash was 3-of-7 from the field but
dished out a whopping 16 of the team's 32 assists.
When Steve Nash relieves himself of the scoring
burden and allows his teammates to score, the
Suns can play some very high-scoring games.
Phoenix is a perfect 10-0 OU since November 03,
2006 after a win at home in which Steve Nash
took fewer than 10 shots, going over by a
staggering 29.4 ppg on the average.
This exclusive player-base trend is 3-0 this season,
with each game going over by double-digits
without the benefit of an overtime.
In addition, the Suns are 6-0 OU since December
07, 2006 after a win at home in which Steve Nash
had more assists than points, with an average OU margin of an unheard-of +37.9 ppg.
LA is off a 95-90 win over the Knicks in which they
held NY to 39.5% shooting nd had only 18 assists
on 37 baskets.
These stats point to a high-scoring game here, as
the Lakers are 8-0 OU (+13.9 ppg) as a home dog
after a game in which they allowed less than 40%
from the field and 7-0 OU (+12.0 ppg) as a home dog after a game in which the percentage of their baskets that were assisted was at least
ten percentage points lower than their
season-to-date average.
The Lakers player-base trends reveal that LA is 6-0
OU (10.9 ppg) at home after a win on the road in
which Derek Fisher shot worse than 33% from the
field and 7-0 OU (11.2 ppg) after a win on the
road in which Lamar Odom took fewer than 10
shots.
The Suns offense will be unstoppable and the
Lakers will have to abandon the half-court game in
an attempt to keep up.
4-Star Phoenix at LA Lakers OVER 220'
MTi's FORECAST: Phoenix 121 LA LAKERS 115

This is by far the most points the Blazers have given all season and the most they have given to a rested opponent since the 2004-05 season, when they beat the Hawks 102-101 laying 12.
It's a challenge for a team that is used to playing the role of underdog to play as a heavy favorite. The role of underdog is motivating.
It is a role from which a team can gain respect.
As a favorite, the Blazers will not have this motivation.
Portland has been a 4+ point favorite three times this season and is 0-3 ATS and 1-2 SU in those games.
In their last game, the Blazers outscored the Nuggets 30-20 in the fourth quarter to earn a 99-96 win. Now they have three days off after this heroic effort.
This can be a very soft spot for teams. In fact, the league is 0-15 ATS with at least three days rest when they are off a win in which they trailed at the end of the third quarter, as long as they weren't getting 8+ points in that come-from-behind win. in addition, the Trailblazers themselves are 0-7 ATS as a home favorite with 3+ days rest, failing to cover by an average of a whopping 15.2 ppg.
Seattle is off a 123-115 win over the Raptors in which they shot 56.0% from the floor and made 19-of-21 free throws. This is an excellent PLAY-ON situation especially if the team is a road dog after such a solid shooting performance.
The league as a whole is 11-0 ATS (+7.5 ppg) as a road dog with at least one day of rest after a game in which they shot at least 50% from the field and at least 85% from the free-throw line.
When a young team is hot, three days off is not what they want. It will cool them off and allow the Sonics to easily stay within this number and perhaps pull the outright upset. Grab the points.
4-Star Seattle +7 over PORTLAND
MTi's FORECAST: PORTLAND 91 Seattle 95

Merry Christmas !!!!!!!
 
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peppermillrick

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Drew Gordon

Drew Gordon
Tuesday Plays:

1. 200,000♦ Suns
2. 50,000♦ Sonics

1. Suns- True "revenge" games in the NBA are few and far between, thanks in large part to the sheer number of games the pros play. But today's Suns/Lakers showdown is the perfect example of one of these rare situations were one NBA team is out for redemption...
The last time these two teams saw eachother, the Lakers were running the Suns off their home floor, crushing them 119-98 in one of their most bitter defeats this season. The fact Phil Jackson was calling timeouts when up by as many as 33 points was a slap in the face of coach D'Antoni and his players. Make no mistake, Phoenix would like nothing more than to return the favor on Christmas Day in front of the entire country.
Lakers won that match up handily for several reasons, including the fact Amare Stoudemire was non-existant (2 for 10 shooting just 1 rebound). Kwame Brown used his big body to frustrate Stoudemire, but this time around there's no Kwame, and Stoudemire gets to abuse on the youngster Bynum. Also, the Suns usually fluid offense had only 15 fast break points and shot a pedestrian 42% from the field... I expect both of those numbers to improve today.
Finally, let's examine the numbers, as the road team in this series is 7-2 ATS. But more importantly, the Suns have owned the Lakers, going 10-3 SU over their last 13 regular season meetings. While there's no question the Lakers are playing solid basketball, a focused and motivated Suns team is a scary proposition. Suns get their payback and grab the cash in this one!
Take the Suns over the LA Lakers as your top-rated play of the day.

2. Sonics- Look guys, I'm not stupid and neither are oddsmakers. Clearly, the Blazers are playing inspired basketball, winning 10 straight and grabbing the cash in all but one of those games. Brandon Roy has emerged as one of the top young players in the NBA, and his chemistry with Lemarcus Aldridge is a big reason why they've had so much success. However, let's not get carried away and here's why:
In all ten of their SU wins during this current streak, the Blazers were never more than a 4' -point favorite. The only time they were favored by that many was against Denver Friday, whom they beat 99-96, but FAILED to cover against. Herein lies the problem for Portland, despite playing some great basketball, oddsmakers have taken it too far with the bloated spread on this contest... In other words, they're good, but not that good.
But the Sonics are terrible, right? True, Seattle is far from a good team, but the fact they're 6-8 ATS away and have had plenty of time to rest and prepare for this match up cannot be ignored. Defensively, the Sonics are below average, but the Blazers aren't going to light up the score sheet either, winning more on defense than thanks to their offense, which averages only 95 ppg on the year.
Bottom line, while everyone jumps all over the red-hot Blazers, let's keep an even keel and realize that oddsmakers have caught up with the Portland, making the play here squarely on Seattle. While the Blazers most likely keep their win streak going, the Sonics grab the cash in a valiant effort in the national spotlight tonight.
Take the Sonics plus the points over the Trailblazers in this NBA match up.

:toast:
 
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