SERVICE PLAYS FOR FRIDAY 2/1
- Thread starter GIANTS007
- Start date
spritzer--
ko.......................raptors
5 star................hornets
cokin--
window................cornell
under the hat.....................harvard
3 star..........................niagra
3 star....................hornets
feist--
personal best......................lakers
total.............................knicks over
inner circle.....................hornets
3 star.........................portland
ko.......................raptors
5 star................hornets
cokin--
window................cornell
under the hat.....................harvard
3 star..........................niagra
3 star....................hornets
feist--
personal best......................lakers
total.............................knicks over
inner circle.....................hornets
3 star.........................portland
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
indiancowboy
Dartmouth +5
I believe Dartmouth has a nice opportunity to win outright here and you know very well that if I believe my team has a chance to win outright, I will gladly take them. In fact, the basis of my handicapper is games in which teams can win outright at 35% or better and catching 5 points which I believe leads to 60% significance - that's what I did quite a lot last month and that produced sound profit. The basics of this play is this - Princeton is a top 300 team, they should not even be favored in this game and frankly, my model shows that this game should be a pick-em at best. I want you to look at the total first - a total of 113 and these have been the results from previous years:
02/23/07 DART 53 - PRINC 43
02/10/07 PRINC 44 - DART 45
02/24/06 PRINC 63 - DART 60
02/11/06 DART 49 - PRINC 52
In a game in which a princeton offense runs, the 5 points is significant and Dartmouth has won road games as they are a top 250 team against the likes of New Hampshire, a top 275 team, Colgate a top 200 team and losing to a top 200 Big East Rutgers team by 5 on the road. Princeton has lost 10 in a row including to Manhattaan a top 275 team at home and this game is a coin flip and I will take Dartmouth and the 5 points here. I have been on Dartmouth several times this year and Dartmouth is 6-1 ATS as an underdog of 0.6 to 6.5 in their last 7 road games and the Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games. I think Dartmouth wins outright personally as Princeton should not be favored given their results this year.
Hornets/Kings Under 203
I have some big gonads, but not even I will go against the Hornets given their winning streak. In fact, I think the public is going to get absolutely buried in this game - this is likely to be the biggest burial this Friday night in all the games as I think this game goes to the Kings and the Under - both 65% and 70% plays that the public is on the opposite side of. But, this does open up a nice trend here as the Hornets do not shoot as well on the road as they do at home. They are a defensive, young, athletic, physical team that relies on screens for the likes of Peja, West and Paul to get up effective shots. But, the Kings are a lanky team with the likes of Miller, Artest and Salmons and I think they will give the Hornets a tough time in shooting the ball. Personally, I think the Kings win this game outright, but I will gladly take the under rather than going against the Hornets.I think this game is going to be physical and a much slower pace and although the side is tough, I do think it goes under. The under is 11-3 when the Hornets face a team with a winning home record and the under is 4-1 for the Kings when they face a team with a winning record at home - meaning the defenses for both respective teams show up.
Rockets/Pacers Over 202
This is my third favorite play today, but still something that I'm going to roll with for a couple of reasons. First off, the NBA is about motivation, any given night, anything can happen. I say that because despite how well the Rockets have been playing without McGrady, the Pacers could win this game as McGrady comes back into the lineup today. The Pacers have also lost 4 in a row - why is this important? Well, 3 of those games were on the road, then they came back home to play a defensive Pistons team and nearly won outright, while the game pushed over. Well, I wouldn't be surprised to see the same happen here as I have a spreadsheet that lets me know when teams play similarly styled teams the following day - I have the Rockets and Pistons as similarly styled defensive teams. I think the Pacers are active today, and wouldn't be surprised to see this go over the total similar to when the Rockets played the Sonics on the road and won 109-107. I have this game at 212 for what it's worth. The under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings, but I think that changes today, the over is 5-0-1 when the Pacers play on 2 days rest and the over is 9-2-1 when the Rockets play on the road against a team with a losing home record - meaning weak teams show up at home against the Rockets - such as the Sonics. Over is also 4-1 for the Rockets when they are road favorites
indiancowboy
Dartmouth +5
I believe Dartmouth has a nice opportunity to win outright here and you know very well that if I believe my team has a chance to win outright, I will gladly take them. In fact, the basis of my handicapper is games in which teams can win outright at 35% or better and catching 5 points which I believe leads to 60% significance - that's what I did quite a lot last month and that produced sound profit. The basics of this play is this - Princeton is a top 300 team, they should not even be favored in this game and frankly, my model shows that this game should be a pick-em at best. I want you to look at the total first - a total of 113 and these have been the results from previous years:
02/23/07 DART 53 - PRINC 43
02/10/07 PRINC 44 - DART 45
02/24/06 PRINC 63 - DART 60
02/11/06 DART 49 - PRINC 52
In a game in which a princeton offense runs, the 5 points is significant and Dartmouth has won road games as they are a top 250 team against the likes of New Hampshire, a top 275 team, Colgate a top 200 team and losing to a top 200 Big East Rutgers team by 5 on the road. Princeton has lost 10 in a row including to Manhattaan a top 275 team at home and this game is a coin flip and I will take Dartmouth and the 5 points here. I have been on Dartmouth several times this year and Dartmouth is 6-1 ATS as an underdog of 0.6 to 6.5 in their last 7 road games and the Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games. I think Dartmouth wins outright personally as Princeton should not be favored given their results this year.
Hornets/Kings Under 203
I have some big gonads, but not even I will go against the Hornets given their winning streak. In fact, I think the public is going to get absolutely buried in this game - this is likely to be the biggest burial this Friday night in all the games as I think this game goes to the Kings and the Under - both 65% and 70% plays that the public is on the opposite side of. But, this does open up a nice trend here as the Hornets do not shoot as well on the road as they do at home. They are a defensive, young, athletic, physical team that relies on screens for the likes of Peja, West and Paul to get up effective shots. But, the Kings are a lanky team with the likes of Miller, Artest and Salmons and I think they will give the Hornets a tough time in shooting the ball. Personally, I think the Kings win this game outright, but I will gladly take the under rather than going against the Hornets.I think this game is going to be physical and a much slower pace and although the side is tough, I do think it goes under. The under is 11-3 when the Hornets face a team with a winning home record and the under is 4-1 for the Kings when they face a team with a winning record at home - meaning the defenses for both respective teams show up.
Rockets/Pacers Over 202
This is my third favorite play today, but still something that I'm going to roll with for a couple of reasons. First off, the NBA is about motivation, any given night, anything can happen. I say that because despite how well the Rockets have been playing without McGrady, the Pacers could win this game as McGrady comes back into the lineup today. The Pacers have also lost 4 in a row - why is this important? Well, 3 of those games were on the road, then they came back home to play a defensive Pistons team and nearly won outright, while the game pushed over. Well, I wouldn't be surprised to see the same happen here as I have a spreadsheet that lets me know when teams play similarly styled teams the following day - I have the Rockets and Pistons as similarly styled defensive teams. I think the Pacers are active today, and wouldn't be surprised to see this go over the total similar to when the Rockets played the Sonics on the road and won 109-107. I have this game at 212 for what it's worth. The under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings, but I think that changes today, the over is 5-0-1 when the Pacers play on 2 days rest and the over is 9-2-1 when the Rockets play on the road against a team with a losing home record - meaning weak teams show up at home against the Rockets - such as the Sonics. Over is also 4-1 for the Rockets when they are road favorites
- Nov 28, 2007
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Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections
Date: Friday, February 01, 2008
$40.00 Guaranteed: Tonight we have isolated a VERY STRONG NBA OVER & UNDER SELECTION that can only be rated as our 500% NBA NON CONFERENCE TOTALS PLAY OF THE YEAR! Get this WINNER now for just $40 and pay only after you win! We will post our records each day for basketball just like we did for football. So far this year we are 29-11 in the NBA and 33-14 in College Basketball for a total of 62-25 this year in HOOPS. 2/1/2008
500% NBA NON CONFERENCE TOTALS PLAY OF THE YEAR
UNDER 200 Utah and Washington 8:05 EST
Date: Friday, February 01, 2008
$40.00 Guaranteed: Tonight we have isolated a VERY STRONG NBA OVER & UNDER SELECTION that can only be rated as our 500% NBA NON CONFERENCE TOTALS PLAY OF THE YEAR! Get this WINNER now for just $40 and pay only after you win! We will post our records each day for basketball just like we did for football. So far this year we are 29-11 in the NBA and 33-14 in College Basketball for a total of 62-25 this year in HOOPS. 2/1/2008
500% NBA NON CONFERENCE TOTALS PLAY OF THE YEAR
UNDER 200 Utah and Washington 8:05 EST
Mike Neri Sports - Late Service
BACK TOMORROW AFTER 12:35 EST FOR YOUR NEXT UPDATE.
Friday February 1, 2008
NBA BASKETBALL
THREE STAR: 502 Toronto -6.5 7:05 EST
THREE STAR: 507 Orlando -4 7:05 EST
BACK TOMORROW AFTER 12:35 EST FOR YOUR NEXT UPDATE.
Friday February 1, 2008
NBA BASKETBALL
THREE STAR: 502 Toronto -6.5 7:05 EST
THREE STAR: 507 Orlando -4 7:05 EST
**** MY PLAYS FOR TODAY ****
---CBB---------------
(8*) CORNELL------------------------(WINNER)
(7*) HARVARD-----------------------(LOSER)
(6*) IONA------------------------------(WINNER)
(6*) FAIRFIELD-----------------------(LOSER)
---NBA---------------
(7*) LAKERS/RAPTORS: UNDER----------(LOSER)
(6*) TRAILBLAZERS------------------------(LOSER)
---NHL--------------
(8*) DETROIT------------------------(WINNER)
1-10* (108-85-5)
****************************************
(3-4 TODAY) (111-89-5 OVERALL)
---CBB---------------
(8*) CORNELL------------------------(WINNER)
(7*) HARVARD-----------------------(LOSER)
(6*) IONA------------------------------(WINNER)
(6*) FAIRFIELD-----------------------(LOSER)
---NBA---------------
(7*) LAKERS/RAPTORS: UNDER----------(LOSER)
(6*) TRAILBLAZERS------------------------(LOSER)
---NHL--------------
(8*) DETROIT------------------------(WINNER)
1-10* (108-85-5)
****************************************
(3-4 TODAY) (111-89-5 OVERALL)
****BOOTLEGS PERSONAL PLAYS******
-----NBA-------
(8*) NEW ORLEANS -3.5---------(LOSER)
(8*) NO/SAC OVER 204----------(WINNER)
(6*) ORLANDO -3.5----------------(LOSER)
(5*) NEW JERSEY -4---------------(WINNER)
-----CBB--------
(5*) DARTMOUTH +5--------------(WINNER)
(5*) FAIRFIELD -7-------------------(LOSER)
(5*) IONA -2---------------------------(WINNER)
(5*) PENN -2---------------------------(WINNER)
(1-10 UNIT PLAYS)
5 - 3 TODAY +9 UNITS
OVERALL
22 - 18 - 1
+20 UNITS
-----NBA-------
(8*) NEW ORLEANS -3.5---------(LOSER)
(8*) NO/SAC OVER 204----------(WINNER)
(6*) ORLANDO -3.5----------------(LOSER)
(5*) NEW JERSEY -4---------------(WINNER)
-----CBB--------
(5*) DARTMOUTH +5--------------(WINNER)
(5*) FAIRFIELD -7-------------------(LOSER)
(5*) IONA -2---------------------------(WINNER)
(5*) PENN -2---------------------------(WINNER)
(1-10 UNIT PLAYS)
5 - 3 TODAY +9 UNITS
OVERALL
22 - 18 - 1
+20 UNITS