SERVICE PLAYS FOR SAT. 1/26
- Thread starter GIANTS007
- Start date
Al
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys over Texas A&M.
At 6 pm, on ESPN-2, in the "Battle of the Aggies", our WAC Game of the Year is on the New Mexico State Aggies minus the points over the Utah State Aggies.
Our 3 selections include West Virginia, Nebraska and Arizona State.
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys over Texas A&M.
At 6 pm, on ESPN-2, in the "Battle of the Aggies", our WAC Game of the Year is on the New Mexico State Aggies minus the points over the Utah State Aggies.
Our 3 selections include West Virginia, Nebraska and Arizona State.
RAS anyone and Frank Patron
RAS anyone and Frank Patron
Does anyone have RAS??
Frank Patron today has four 2000* locks
Utah -10.5
Alabama -9
Virginia Tech +6
Depaul +12
Frank has been like AR this week, but I like these plays from him today.
RAS anyone and Frank Patron
Does anyone have RAS??
Frank Patron today has four 2000* locks
Utah -10.5
Alabama -9
Virginia Tech +6
Depaul +12
Frank has been like AR this week, but I like these plays from him today.
spritzer--
main event....................murray st
acc goy............................bc
ko.....................cal st north
ko...........................new mx st
tko..........................st marys
tko.............................tenn
tko...........................nc charltt
college bailout gow...............butler
5 star...............nova
4 star.................tex am
cokin--
fat man plays...................ariz,bc
champ club..................kentucky
late slammer.................nev reno
big shot.........................purdue
big shot............................utah
window..............................byu
window................................cornell
under the hat..............................ariz
under tha hat...............................wm and mary
big west goy............... 3star........cal st northridg
acc goy.....................3 star..............bc
3 star...................ohio
3 star..................mont st
3 star......................grizzlies
feist--
serial game................bc
college mismatch goy..............duquesne
personal best.................utah
platinum......................purdue
inner circle..................fla st
inner circle..................ohio
5 star................hofstra
4 star...............temple
3 star...............byu
personal best...............spurs
total........................sixers over 91
inner circle....................grizzlies
5 star....................bobcats
main event....................murray st
acc goy............................bc
ko.....................cal st north
ko...........................new mx st
tko..........................st marys
tko.............................tenn
tko...........................nc charltt
college bailout gow...............butler
5 star...............nova
4 star.................tex am
cokin--
fat man plays...................ariz,bc
champ club..................kentucky
late slammer.................nev reno
big shot.........................purdue
big shot............................utah
window..............................byu
window................................cornell
under the hat..............................ariz
under tha hat...............................wm and mary
big west goy............... 3star........cal st northridg
acc goy.....................3 star..............bc
3 star...................ohio
3 star..................mont st
3 star......................grizzlies
feist--
serial game................bc
college mismatch goy..............duquesne
personal best.................utah
platinum......................purdue
inner circle..................fla st
inner circle..................ohio
5 star................hofstra
4 star...............temple
3 star...............byu
personal best...............spurs
total........................sixers over 91
inner circle....................grizzlies
5 star....................bobcats
WAYNE ROOT
Chairman- Oregon
Millionaire- W Vagina GOM
Money Maker-Okla St
No Limit-New Mexico
Insiders Circle-Utah
Billionaire-Wyoming
Chairman- Oregon
Millionaire- W Vagina GOM
Money Maker-Okla St
No Limit-New Mexico
Insiders Circle-Utah
Billionaire-Wyoming
atslocks.com
10 units Akron -6 over Central Michigan
10 units Drake -8 over Northern Iowa
8 units Creighton +4 over Southern Illinois
8 units Wright State -3.5 over Detroit
10 units Akron -6 over Central Michigan
10 units Drake -8 over Northern Iowa
8 units Creighton +4 over Southern Illinois
8 units Wright State -3.5 over Detroit
Black Magic Sports
Black Magic Sports
Black Magic
5 Unit Black Magic ACC Game of the Year on Boston College -5
Boston College will kill Virginia Tech in this ACC match-up Saturday. Virginia Tech is just 2-5 in all road games this season. BC has won consecutive home games in ACC play over Wake Forest by 39 points and then over Miami by 10 points. This will be another double-digit blood bath tonight. The Eagles are 9-2-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. The Hokies are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5. Cash in with Boston College as the favorite.
3 Unit Sharp Play on Southern Illinois -3.5
3 Unit Sharp Play on DePaul +14
3 Unit Sharp Play on Iowa -5.5
3 Unit Sharp Play on New Mexico +6.5
Black Magic Sports
Black Magic
5 Unit Black Magic ACC Game of the Year on Boston College -5
Boston College will kill Virginia Tech in this ACC match-up Saturday. Virginia Tech is just 2-5 in all road games this season. BC has won consecutive home games in ACC play over Wake Forest by 39 points and then over Miami by 10 points. This will be another double-digit blood bath tonight. The Eagles are 9-2-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. The Hokies are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5. Cash in with Boston College as the favorite.
3 Unit Sharp Play on Southern Illinois -3.5
3 Unit Sharp Play on DePaul +14
3 Unit Sharp Play on Iowa -5.5
3 Unit Sharp Play on New Mexico +6.5
anyone with John Ryan's plays for today?
anyone with John Ryan's plays for today?
College Basketball
Ryan's 5* Pac-10 Monster
Ryan's 3-pack of NCAA MAJORS
NBA
Ryan's NBA 7* Monster Shocker Game of the Week
Thanks and good luck.....
anyone with John Ryan's plays for today?
College Basketball
Ryan's 5* Pac-10 Monster
Ryan's 3-pack of NCAA MAJORS
NBA
Ryan's NBA 7* Monster Shocker Game of the Week
Thanks and good luck.....
Bobby Maxwell
Bobby Maxwell
Bobby Maxwell
Saturday's 4 college winners...
600-Unit Pac-10 Max Bet - STANFORD
These rivals get to know each other again in this one as Stanford starts off on a three-game road trip. The Cardinal looked very good last time we saw them, beating a ranked Arizona State squad 67-52 as eight-point favorites.
The intimidating Lopez brothers are the reason Stanford is so tough on the defensive end of the court, ranking second in the Pac-10, allowing 56.4 points per game and allowing 38.7 percent shooting.
Stanford dominated Cal in Berkeley last year, winning 90-71 as one-point favorites. The Cardinal has won seven of the last nine overall against Cal (7-2 ATS) and they've won three of the last four times they've been in Berkeley.
Cal has struggled since the Pac-10 season opened, going just 2-4 SU and ATS in the league season, and they just got swept by the Arizona schools last weekend in Berkeley. At home in the Pac-10 season, the Bears are just 1-3 SU and ATS.
Stanford swept the Arizona schools last weekend and didn't allow either one to get more than 52 points. The Cardinal is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite and the Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a winning road record.
This looks like Stanford all the way tonight as the Lopez brothers shut down Cal's Ryan Anderson. Play the Cardinal tonight.
200-Unit Big East Big Shot - GEORGETOWN
The Hoyas go on the road to battle the Mountaineers tonight in a Big East showdown that shows all the signs of a classic contest. But we've got to put our money on the defensive-minded Georgetown team that has the ability to put the clamps on West Virginia's offense.
Georgetown has lost twice this season on the road - at the top-ranked Memphis team and at Pitt two weeks ago. Nothing to be ashamed of losing at those two venues.
The Hoyas have the ability to lock down a team, allowing just 57.5 points per game and holding the opposition to 35.7 percent shooting - the lowest mark in the country. Meanwhile on the offensive end, the Hoyas come out and shoot 50.8 percent from the floor - good for third best in the nation.
These teams only met once last season with the Hoyas scoring a 71-53 win as nine-point home favorites. Georgetown has won seven of its last eight (3-4 ATS), but defensively, nobody has scored more than 69 points against them since Dec. 22.
West Virginia has won four straight, and is undefeated at home this season, but the Mountaineers squeaked out a 66-64 win over Marshall on Wednesday, falling well short as 15 1/2-point favorites, no doubt looking forward to the matchup with Georgetown.
The Hoyas are 15-6-2 ATS in their last 23 against the Big East and 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 as a road underdog of up to 6 1/2 points. And against teams with a winning home mark, the Hoyas are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 on the highway.
Look for the Hoyas Roy Hibbert, Jessie Sapp and Jonathan Wallace to completely control this game. They are going to control the boards and keep this game at their pace. No running crazy for the Mountaineers in this one.
Grab the points and play the Hoyas and don't be surprised when they win this one outright.
100-Unit West Coast Bonus - OREGON
The Ducks suffered their first home loss of the season Thursday when UCLA fought back in the final three minutes to score a five-point win. Don't expect Oregon to lose again tonight.
The Ducks are 3-4 SU (4-3 ATS) in Pac-10 play with home wins over Stanford and Cal.
Tonight the Trojans invade Eugene and the Ducks have some payback in store for Southern Cal. The Trojans have scored wins there the last two visits, one of the few teams with succes on the Oregon court. Southern Cal beat the Ducks 84-82 there last season as nine-point 'dogs but the Ducks got their payback in the Pac-10 tourney, winning 81-57 in a blowout as one-point underdogs.
Southern Cal is on the road for the third straight game, already having won at UCLA and at Oregon State. A third straight road win in the conference would be impressive but isn't going to happen.
Oregon is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 home games, 8-1 ATS in its last nine Saturday games and 10-3 ATS in its last 13 against Pac-10 foes.
We're going to play the home team that just doesn't lose many on this court and puts up 87.3 points a game and shoots 51.4 percent from the floor. Lay the chalk and play the Ducks tonight.
100-Unit West Coast Bonus - SAN DIEGO STATE
This series has been dominated by the home team lately so let's lay the small chalk and play the Aztecs tonight to win this one by 8 to 10 points.
San Diego State beat the Rebels 67-52 last year and that's when UNLV had a team that reached the Sweet 16 in the NCAA tourney. The Aztecs are 6-2-1 ATS in the last eight overall against UNLV and have gone 3-1 at home against them since 2004.
The Rebels are winning games but not cashing tickets lately. They are 3-1 SU in their last four but 1-3 ATS. They hosted Wyoming on Wednesday and won 78-71 but came up well short as 16-point home favorites. Last time UNLV was on the road they got hammered at Air Force 65-53 as five-point favorites.
San Diego crushed Wyoming 70-43 last time they were at home, easily covering as 12-point chalk.
This game will likely come down to the final five minutes but expect San Diego State to execute better down the stretch. They should win it with and hit their free throws in the end to get us the winning ticket.
Bobby Maxwell
Bobby Maxwell
Saturday's 4 college winners...
600-Unit Pac-10 Max Bet - STANFORD
These rivals get to know each other again in this one as Stanford starts off on a three-game road trip. The Cardinal looked very good last time we saw them, beating a ranked Arizona State squad 67-52 as eight-point favorites.
The intimidating Lopez brothers are the reason Stanford is so tough on the defensive end of the court, ranking second in the Pac-10, allowing 56.4 points per game and allowing 38.7 percent shooting.
Stanford dominated Cal in Berkeley last year, winning 90-71 as one-point favorites. The Cardinal has won seven of the last nine overall against Cal (7-2 ATS) and they've won three of the last four times they've been in Berkeley.
Cal has struggled since the Pac-10 season opened, going just 2-4 SU and ATS in the league season, and they just got swept by the Arizona schools last weekend in Berkeley. At home in the Pac-10 season, the Bears are just 1-3 SU and ATS.
Stanford swept the Arizona schools last weekend and didn't allow either one to get more than 52 points. The Cardinal is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite and the Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a winning road record.
This looks like Stanford all the way tonight as the Lopez brothers shut down Cal's Ryan Anderson. Play the Cardinal tonight.
200-Unit Big East Big Shot - GEORGETOWN
The Hoyas go on the road to battle the Mountaineers tonight in a Big East showdown that shows all the signs of a classic contest. But we've got to put our money on the defensive-minded Georgetown team that has the ability to put the clamps on West Virginia's offense.
Georgetown has lost twice this season on the road - at the top-ranked Memphis team and at Pitt two weeks ago. Nothing to be ashamed of losing at those two venues.
The Hoyas have the ability to lock down a team, allowing just 57.5 points per game and holding the opposition to 35.7 percent shooting - the lowest mark in the country. Meanwhile on the offensive end, the Hoyas come out and shoot 50.8 percent from the floor - good for third best in the nation.
These teams only met once last season with the Hoyas scoring a 71-53 win as nine-point home favorites. Georgetown has won seven of its last eight (3-4 ATS), but defensively, nobody has scored more than 69 points against them since Dec. 22.
West Virginia has won four straight, and is undefeated at home this season, but the Mountaineers squeaked out a 66-64 win over Marshall on Wednesday, falling well short as 15 1/2-point favorites, no doubt looking forward to the matchup with Georgetown.
The Hoyas are 15-6-2 ATS in their last 23 against the Big East and 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 as a road underdog of up to 6 1/2 points. And against teams with a winning home mark, the Hoyas are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 on the highway.
Look for the Hoyas Roy Hibbert, Jessie Sapp and Jonathan Wallace to completely control this game. They are going to control the boards and keep this game at their pace. No running crazy for the Mountaineers in this one.
Grab the points and play the Hoyas and don't be surprised when they win this one outright.
100-Unit West Coast Bonus - OREGON
The Ducks suffered their first home loss of the season Thursday when UCLA fought back in the final three minutes to score a five-point win. Don't expect Oregon to lose again tonight.
The Ducks are 3-4 SU (4-3 ATS) in Pac-10 play with home wins over Stanford and Cal.
Tonight the Trojans invade Eugene and the Ducks have some payback in store for Southern Cal. The Trojans have scored wins there the last two visits, one of the few teams with succes on the Oregon court. Southern Cal beat the Ducks 84-82 there last season as nine-point 'dogs but the Ducks got their payback in the Pac-10 tourney, winning 81-57 in a blowout as one-point underdogs.
Southern Cal is on the road for the third straight game, already having won at UCLA and at Oregon State. A third straight road win in the conference would be impressive but isn't going to happen.
Oregon is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 home games, 8-1 ATS in its last nine Saturday games and 10-3 ATS in its last 13 against Pac-10 foes.
We're going to play the home team that just doesn't lose many on this court and puts up 87.3 points a game and shoots 51.4 percent from the floor. Lay the chalk and play the Ducks tonight.
100-Unit West Coast Bonus - SAN DIEGO STATE
This series has been dominated by the home team lately so let's lay the small chalk and play the Aztecs tonight to win this one by 8 to 10 points.
San Diego State beat the Rebels 67-52 last year and that's when UNLV had a team that reached the Sweet 16 in the NCAA tourney. The Aztecs are 6-2-1 ATS in the last eight overall against UNLV and have gone 3-1 at home against them since 2004.
The Rebels are winning games but not cashing tickets lately. They are 3-1 SU in their last four but 1-3 ATS. They hosted Wyoming on Wednesday and won 78-71 but came up well short as 16-point home favorites. Last time UNLV was on the road they got hammered at Air Force 65-53 as five-point favorites.
San Diego crushed Wyoming 70-43 last time they were at home, easily covering as 12-point chalk.
This game will likely come down to the final five minutes but expect San Diego State to execute better down the stretch. They should win it with and hit their free throws in the end to get us the winning ticket.
FERRINGO
GUYS, I'M SORRY FOR THE BIG SLATE, BUT I WARNED YOU! I feel like we have a lot of strong situations and I have a lot of system plays on tap. If you need to cut, cut from the bottom up. I like our plays and I wish you luck.
2-Unit Play. Take #509 Gonzaga (+12.5) over Memphis (Noon, Saturday, Jan. 26)
Way too many points to be laying here. Gonzaga has been tested in the nonconference and they are even better now than the team that lost by four at Oklahoma and lost by 10 to Tennessee. Now that Josh Heytvelt and Steven Gray are back and playing effectively for the Zags they capable of going into Memphis and really testing the Tigers. This line is about four or five points heavy. Love the value and look for the Zags to threaten for the upset.
6-Unit Play. Take TCU (+10.5) over Utah (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
Note: This is our Game of the Week.
This is a letdown spot for the Utes. They are coming off three straight losses to the best three teams in the conference. Two of the L?s came in OT, including on in The Pit on Tuesday. This is a veteran TCU squad and they have been playing and shooting very well lately. They?ve covered five straight and actually won outright in Utah last year. I?m looking for a low-scoring game here and those 10 points should be gold. Utah is 4-9 ATS as a home favorite and 1-5 ATS in conference play. An incredible 93 percent of the public is on this game, yet the line has barely wavered. I think that's a great boost to our cause and I think that TCU could keep this as a one- or two-possession game going into the last five minutes.
3.5-Unit Play. Take Fordham (+8) over Charlotte (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
If you look at the shooting statistics, these two clubs are pretty much dead on. Fordham got their act together with a pair of solid home victories, and while they had been abused on the road their last three road losses came at Xavier, at Duquesne, and at Georgetown. Those are three tough venues. Charlotte is a drama team, meaning that either as a dog or a favorite they play tight games. Their last seven have been decided by 10 points or less, and so shall this one be. Nearly 90 percent of the action is on the 49ers here and again we fade the public.
3-Unit Play. TEASER: Take Mississippi State (-1) over Mississippi (5 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26) AND Take #544 Boston College (-1) over Virginia Tech (4 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
Note: I do like both of these games as individual plays. But this way I figured this would be a way to increase our odds and streamline our card.
This Miss-Miss St. game is going to be a back-and-forth affair, but the fact that the Bulldogs are this large of a favorite over a ranked team is an indicator. The home team has covered four straight in this series, with all four times the host as a favorite, and the Bulldogs are 6-3 ATS in the L9 meetings and the average margin of victory by the winner has been 13.0 points with just one of the meetings determined by less than seven points. MSU is 22-10 ATS in home games and 11-4 ATS in SEC play. Ole Miss is just 3-7 ATS on the road.
The Eagles have been rolling at home and they are catching a VT team that is awful on the road and in a letdown game after playing Duke. The Hokies are still without big man Jeff Allen and are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 against a team with a winning record. Boston College is 9-2-2 ATS as a favorite in this range and 15-7-2 ATS after a game where they did not cover.
3-Unit Play. Take #535 Auburn (+8) over Alabama (3 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
This is a juicy amount of points for a rivalry game. Auburn has covered three straight in this series, are 8-2 ATS versus the SEC, and 7-2 ATS on the road. They are a veteran team and they have been shooting the ball well over the past five games. I don?t trust Alabama as a thick favorite (or at all for that matter) and they are just 11-23-1 ATS as a home chalk.
2-Unit Play. Take Washington State (-3) over Arizona State (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
1-Unit Play. Take Washington State (-150) over Arizona State (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
Here's my Super Square play of the day, but I don?t see this Wazzou team losing two in a row. James Harden played for ASU against Washington but was hobbling around. Without his explosiveness he has no chance against Kyle Weaver, one of the best one-on-one defenders in the nation. The Cougars are 6-2 ATS on the road and 11-4 ATS on the road against a team with a home winning percentage over .600. Arizona State really doesn't have a great resume in the nonconference and I think Wazzou is in a higher class.
3-Unit Play. Take #600 West Virginia (-2.5) over Georgetown (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
Unranked team favored over a Top 10 team = indicator. The Hoyas are taking 96 percent of the action and the line has not moved a bit. They are just 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings and the home team is 5-1 ATS in the series. West Virginia is 20-8 ATS at home and 24-9 ATS as a favorite. G-Town?s has two losses this year, both on the road, and they really haven?t played a great schedule. I think WVU pulls a ?stunner? and we get a win here.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #537 Washington (+8.5) over Arizona (3 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
This is a straight system play. Trust me, I don?t like backing Washington any more than you do. But it?s a system, and the last time I avoided a system play we missed out on Arizona?s win over Washington. The Huskies are 10-4-1 ATS in the L15 meetings and the underdog is 10-4-1 ATS in the L15. Also, Arizona is 6-14 ATS in their L20 home games.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #635 Arkansas (-4.5) over LSU (9 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
Arkansas is awful, but if they lose to LSU they should forfeit the rest of the season. The Tigers are pathetic, and are in the midst of a sweet 0-7 ATS run losing all seven games outright by an average of 12.4 points. The Razorbacks are terrible on the road and never play well in Louisiana. But LSU is terrible. They are 19-41-1 ATS overall and 8-21-1 ATS at home.
2-Unit Play. Take #584 Cal (+1.5) over Stanford (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
This falls under the same system as the Washington play. I like the home puppy in this rivalry game. Stanford does not shoot the ball well from the outside and I think the Bears actually have some size to bang with the Cardinal. Stanford has dominated this series lately but they are just 2-7-1 ATS in conference play and I think the Bears spring the upset. Stanford is taking nearly 80 percent of the action with no line movement. Smells fishy.
2-Unit Play. Take #523 Illinois-Chicago (+14) over Butler (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
Illinois-Chicago shoots 42 percent from 3-point land and I think they can knock down just enough from the outside to stay around 10 points. UI-C is 9-3 ATS as an underdog and 7-3 ATS overall, while the Bulldogs are just 1-5-1 ATS overall and 1-9-1 ATS in conference games. I?ve seen that 82 percent of the action is on Butler but the line has dipped. Makes me like it even more.
2-Unit Play. Take #647 San Jose State (+10) over Fresno State (10 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
San Jose State has been one of the better road teams in the WAC this season and they just beat Fresno by four points last week. I don?t think they will win tonight, but I don?t know if they will get blown out either. Eight of the last 10 meetings have been decided by seven points or less, and the average margin in the last four meetings is just 4.3 points. The road team is 12-5 ATS in this series and the Spartans are 4-1 ATS as an underdog.
2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #551 Eastern Michigan (+14) over Miami, OH (1 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26) AND Take #605 Georgia (+19) over Tennessee (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
I just don?t get these lines with Miami. They are still without Michael Bramos, their leading scorer, and even when they do win it?s rarely by double-digits because of their style. EMU has been stroking it from the outside and I think they can win this game outright.
The Vols are going to be a bit pissed after their loss at Kentucky. But they are just 2-5 ATS at home and are just 3-8 ATS following a loss. The average margin of victory over the last 10 meetings in this series is just 9.8 points, and if you throw out a 24-point beating in 2004 that number drops to 8.2. Only once in the last 10 meetings has a team won by more than 13 points so while UT should score an easy win here I still think we can find our way inside the number.
2-Unit Play. Take #528 LaSalle (-2.5) over St. Louis (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
This is only St. Louis? second road game since Dec. 5 and just their third since Thanksgiving. In their last two on the road they lost by 29 and 22 while scoring just a combined 59 points. LaSalle is on a decent 7-2-1 ATS rush and are a much, much better shooting team.
2-Unit Play. Take #574 New Mexico State (-5) over Utah State (6 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
I think that the Aggies bounce back after just a wretched performance against Nevada on Thursday. I think the quick turnaround works in their favor and I think they are going to ambush the WAC leader. Utah State is not a great road team and the road team has won seven of eight in this series. The Aggies are taking over 80 percent of the action in this one, so we?ll fade.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #598 UNC-Wilmington (+7) over George Mason (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
Around 85 percent of the action is on the Patriots and the line isn?t moving. We have a very live dog here, especially considering that the home team is 14-3-2 ATS in the last 19 home games. Mason is 0-8-1 ATS in their last nine trips to Wilmington. They just don?t play well there, and they are just 1-2-1 ATS in their last four road games overall.
1.5 Take #519 North Carolina State (+8) over Florida State (1:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
These are two dud teams ATS, but this is still too many points. FSU is taking an astounding 97 percent of the action on this one. We?ll back the books and fade the public here. N.C. State is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings, 8-3 as a dog, 7-2 as a dog against an over .500 team, and 35-16-1 ATS as a road dog.
1-Unit Play. Take #621 Minnesota (+7) over Ohio State (8 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
These are two pretty evenly matched teams. A little too evenly matched for these numbers. The Gophers have played pretty well on the road recently and continue to shoot the ball pretty well. Buth teams put up about an equal fight against the elite Big 10 teams like Michigan State and Indiana. The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings and Ohio State is 11-24-2 ATS at home against a team with a losing road record.
I know this sounds ridiculous, but I have some leans today. I don't think you'll need them because we have so much going, but if you get in trouble or we get real hot and you want to press, or if you just want more action, here goes: St. John's, St. Bonaventure, Rice, Rutgers, Iowa State (really like this one), St. Joe's and Youngstown.
GUYS, I'M SORRY FOR THE BIG SLATE, BUT I WARNED YOU! I feel like we have a lot of strong situations and I have a lot of system plays on tap. If you need to cut, cut from the bottom up. I like our plays and I wish you luck.
2-Unit Play. Take #509 Gonzaga (+12.5) over Memphis (Noon, Saturday, Jan. 26)
Way too many points to be laying here. Gonzaga has been tested in the nonconference and they are even better now than the team that lost by four at Oklahoma and lost by 10 to Tennessee. Now that Josh Heytvelt and Steven Gray are back and playing effectively for the Zags they capable of going into Memphis and really testing the Tigers. This line is about four or five points heavy. Love the value and look for the Zags to threaten for the upset.
6-Unit Play. Take TCU (+10.5) over Utah (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
Note: This is our Game of the Week.
This is a letdown spot for the Utes. They are coming off three straight losses to the best three teams in the conference. Two of the L?s came in OT, including on in The Pit on Tuesday. This is a veteran TCU squad and they have been playing and shooting very well lately. They?ve covered five straight and actually won outright in Utah last year. I?m looking for a low-scoring game here and those 10 points should be gold. Utah is 4-9 ATS as a home favorite and 1-5 ATS in conference play. An incredible 93 percent of the public is on this game, yet the line has barely wavered. I think that's a great boost to our cause and I think that TCU could keep this as a one- or two-possession game going into the last five minutes.
3.5-Unit Play. Take Fordham (+8) over Charlotte (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
If you look at the shooting statistics, these two clubs are pretty much dead on. Fordham got their act together with a pair of solid home victories, and while they had been abused on the road their last three road losses came at Xavier, at Duquesne, and at Georgetown. Those are three tough venues. Charlotte is a drama team, meaning that either as a dog or a favorite they play tight games. Their last seven have been decided by 10 points or less, and so shall this one be. Nearly 90 percent of the action is on the 49ers here and again we fade the public.
3-Unit Play. TEASER: Take Mississippi State (-1) over Mississippi (5 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26) AND Take #544 Boston College (-1) over Virginia Tech (4 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
Note: I do like both of these games as individual plays. But this way I figured this would be a way to increase our odds and streamline our card.
This Miss-Miss St. game is going to be a back-and-forth affair, but the fact that the Bulldogs are this large of a favorite over a ranked team is an indicator. The home team has covered four straight in this series, with all four times the host as a favorite, and the Bulldogs are 6-3 ATS in the L9 meetings and the average margin of victory by the winner has been 13.0 points with just one of the meetings determined by less than seven points. MSU is 22-10 ATS in home games and 11-4 ATS in SEC play. Ole Miss is just 3-7 ATS on the road.
The Eagles have been rolling at home and they are catching a VT team that is awful on the road and in a letdown game after playing Duke. The Hokies are still without big man Jeff Allen and are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 against a team with a winning record. Boston College is 9-2-2 ATS as a favorite in this range and 15-7-2 ATS after a game where they did not cover.
3-Unit Play. Take #535 Auburn (+8) over Alabama (3 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
This is a juicy amount of points for a rivalry game. Auburn has covered three straight in this series, are 8-2 ATS versus the SEC, and 7-2 ATS on the road. They are a veteran team and they have been shooting the ball well over the past five games. I don?t trust Alabama as a thick favorite (or at all for that matter) and they are just 11-23-1 ATS as a home chalk.
2-Unit Play. Take Washington State (-3) over Arizona State (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
1-Unit Play. Take Washington State (-150) over Arizona State (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
Here's my Super Square play of the day, but I don?t see this Wazzou team losing two in a row. James Harden played for ASU against Washington but was hobbling around. Without his explosiveness he has no chance against Kyle Weaver, one of the best one-on-one defenders in the nation. The Cougars are 6-2 ATS on the road and 11-4 ATS on the road against a team with a home winning percentage over .600. Arizona State really doesn't have a great resume in the nonconference and I think Wazzou is in a higher class.
3-Unit Play. Take #600 West Virginia (-2.5) over Georgetown (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
Unranked team favored over a Top 10 team = indicator. The Hoyas are taking 96 percent of the action and the line has not moved a bit. They are just 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings and the home team is 5-1 ATS in the series. West Virginia is 20-8 ATS at home and 24-9 ATS as a favorite. G-Town?s has two losses this year, both on the road, and they really haven?t played a great schedule. I think WVU pulls a ?stunner? and we get a win here.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #537 Washington (+8.5) over Arizona (3 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
This is a straight system play. Trust me, I don?t like backing Washington any more than you do. But it?s a system, and the last time I avoided a system play we missed out on Arizona?s win over Washington. The Huskies are 10-4-1 ATS in the L15 meetings and the underdog is 10-4-1 ATS in the L15. Also, Arizona is 6-14 ATS in their L20 home games.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #635 Arkansas (-4.5) over LSU (9 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
Arkansas is awful, but if they lose to LSU they should forfeit the rest of the season. The Tigers are pathetic, and are in the midst of a sweet 0-7 ATS run losing all seven games outright by an average of 12.4 points. The Razorbacks are terrible on the road and never play well in Louisiana. But LSU is terrible. They are 19-41-1 ATS overall and 8-21-1 ATS at home.
2-Unit Play. Take #584 Cal (+1.5) over Stanford (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
This falls under the same system as the Washington play. I like the home puppy in this rivalry game. Stanford does not shoot the ball well from the outside and I think the Bears actually have some size to bang with the Cardinal. Stanford has dominated this series lately but they are just 2-7-1 ATS in conference play and I think the Bears spring the upset. Stanford is taking nearly 80 percent of the action with no line movement. Smells fishy.
2-Unit Play. Take #523 Illinois-Chicago (+14) over Butler (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
Illinois-Chicago shoots 42 percent from 3-point land and I think they can knock down just enough from the outside to stay around 10 points. UI-C is 9-3 ATS as an underdog and 7-3 ATS overall, while the Bulldogs are just 1-5-1 ATS overall and 1-9-1 ATS in conference games. I?ve seen that 82 percent of the action is on Butler but the line has dipped. Makes me like it even more.
2-Unit Play. Take #647 San Jose State (+10) over Fresno State (10 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
San Jose State has been one of the better road teams in the WAC this season and they just beat Fresno by four points last week. I don?t think they will win tonight, but I don?t know if they will get blown out either. Eight of the last 10 meetings have been decided by seven points or less, and the average margin in the last four meetings is just 4.3 points. The road team is 12-5 ATS in this series and the Spartans are 4-1 ATS as an underdog.
2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #551 Eastern Michigan (+14) over Miami, OH (1 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26) AND Take #605 Georgia (+19) over Tennessee (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
I just don?t get these lines with Miami. They are still without Michael Bramos, their leading scorer, and even when they do win it?s rarely by double-digits because of their style. EMU has been stroking it from the outside and I think they can win this game outright.
The Vols are going to be a bit pissed after their loss at Kentucky. But they are just 2-5 ATS at home and are just 3-8 ATS following a loss. The average margin of victory over the last 10 meetings in this series is just 9.8 points, and if you throw out a 24-point beating in 2004 that number drops to 8.2. Only once in the last 10 meetings has a team won by more than 13 points so while UT should score an easy win here I still think we can find our way inside the number.
2-Unit Play. Take #528 LaSalle (-2.5) over St. Louis (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
This is only St. Louis? second road game since Dec. 5 and just their third since Thanksgiving. In their last two on the road they lost by 29 and 22 while scoring just a combined 59 points. LaSalle is on a decent 7-2-1 ATS rush and are a much, much better shooting team.
2-Unit Play. Take #574 New Mexico State (-5) over Utah State (6 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
I think that the Aggies bounce back after just a wretched performance against Nevada on Thursday. I think the quick turnaround works in their favor and I think they are going to ambush the WAC leader. Utah State is not a great road team and the road team has won seven of eight in this series. The Aggies are taking over 80 percent of the action in this one, so we?ll fade.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #598 UNC-Wilmington (+7) over George Mason (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
Around 85 percent of the action is on the Patriots and the line isn?t moving. We have a very live dog here, especially considering that the home team is 14-3-2 ATS in the last 19 home games. Mason is 0-8-1 ATS in their last nine trips to Wilmington. They just don?t play well there, and they are just 1-2-1 ATS in their last four road games overall.
1.5 Take #519 North Carolina State (+8) over Florida State (1:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
These are two dud teams ATS, but this is still too many points. FSU is taking an astounding 97 percent of the action on this one. We?ll back the books and fade the public here. N.C. State is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings, 8-3 as a dog, 7-2 as a dog against an over .500 team, and 35-16-1 ATS as a road dog.
1-Unit Play. Take #621 Minnesota (+7) over Ohio State (8 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
These are two pretty evenly matched teams. A little too evenly matched for these numbers. The Gophers have played pretty well on the road recently and continue to shoot the ball pretty well. Buth teams put up about an equal fight against the elite Big 10 teams like Michigan State and Indiana. The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings and Ohio State is 11-24-2 ATS at home against a team with a losing road record.
I know this sounds ridiculous, but I have some leans today. I don't think you'll need them because we have so much going, but if you get in trouble or we get real hot and you want to press, or if you just want more action, here goes: St. John's, St. Bonaventure, Rice, Rutgers, Iowa State (really like this one), St. Joe's and Youngstown.
Eddie,
i dont think that play is murray st. it says it is a saturday night knockout and murray plays at 3:00 plus murray is a main event. i think that play is either cal st north, or new mex st which are both KO's. i went on the website and didnt even see that advertisement so who the hell knows
i dont think that play is murray st. it says it is a saturday night knockout and murray plays at 3:00 plus murray is a main event. i think that play is either cal st north, or new mex st which are both KO's. i went on the website and didnt even see that advertisement so who the hell knows
Larry Ness
Georgetown Hoyas v/s West Virginia Mountaineers 1/26/2008 7:00:00 pm
Once again this year, John Thompson has his Hoyas playing outstanding defense (57.5 PPG allowed), while running one of the nation's most efficient offenses (team FG percentage of 50.8). It all begins with the 7-2 Hibbert (13.2-6.6) who is surrounded by the 6-8 Summers (11.0-5.6) and three guards in the starting lineup. Vets Wallace (10.5) and Sapp (9.3-3.4-4.3) are joined by freshman Freeman (10.1) in the backcourt. The 6-8 Ewing (6.2-4.12) and the 6-9 Macklin (3.8) add depth up front, while another freshman, Wright (6.2), helps out on the perimeter. The Hoyas, who made a Final 4 run last year, will be tough once again come tourney time, but almost all teams have struggled on the Big East road this year. Winning in Morgantown, where the Mountaineers have yet to lose this season (9-0), will be NO easy task. West Va has no one to match up with Hibbert, surely not the 7-0 Smalligan (2.6-2.2) but the Mountaineers do have a deep frontcourt. The 6-8 Alexander (15.4-5.9) and the 6-7 Butler (13.2-5.7) are very good, while two 6-7 players, Flowers (6.2-3.1) and Smith (5.4-3.9) make contributions. The 6-6 Ruoff (15.8-3.6-3.8) is the team leader and forms a quality backcourt with teammate Nichols (11.0-3.9-3.4). Huggins has protected his new homecourt perfectly so far, and I expect him to so again here. Take West Va.
Georgetown Hoyas v/s West Virginia Mountaineers 1/26/2008 7:00:00 pm
Once again this year, John Thompson has his Hoyas playing outstanding defense (57.5 PPG allowed), while running one of the nation's most efficient offenses (team FG percentage of 50.8). It all begins with the 7-2 Hibbert (13.2-6.6) who is surrounded by the 6-8 Summers (11.0-5.6) and three guards in the starting lineup. Vets Wallace (10.5) and Sapp (9.3-3.4-4.3) are joined by freshman Freeman (10.1) in the backcourt. The 6-8 Ewing (6.2-4.12) and the 6-9 Macklin (3.8) add depth up front, while another freshman, Wright (6.2), helps out on the perimeter. The Hoyas, who made a Final 4 run last year, will be tough once again come tourney time, but almost all teams have struggled on the Big East road this year. Winning in Morgantown, where the Mountaineers have yet to lose this season (9-0), will be NO easy task. West Va has no one to match up with Hibbert, surely not the 7-0 Smalligan (2.6-2.2) but the Mountaineers do have a deep frontcourt. The 6-8 Alexander (15.4-5.9) and the 6-7 Butler (13.2-5.7) are very good, while two 6-7 players, Flowers (6.2-3.1) and Smith (5.4-3.9) make contributions. The 6-6 Ruoff (15.8-3.6-3.8) is the team leader and forms a quality backcourt with teammate Nichols (11.0-3.9-3.4). Huggins has protected his new homecourt perfectly so far, and I expect him to so again here. Take West Va.
Armvin Sports
All College Basketball
1/26
Villanova -2
Indiana -8
Arizona -8.5
Central Michigan 6
Washington State -3.5
Nc Wilmington 7
Ohio State -8
Wichita State -3
Wisconsin Milwaukee -3.5
Saint Marys Ca -9
All College Basketball
1/26
Villanova -2
Indiana -8
Arizona -8.5
Central Michigan 6
Washington State -3.5
Nc Wilmington 7
Ohio State -8
Wichita State -3
Wisconsin Milwaukee -3.5
Saint Marys Ca -9
