SERVICE PLAYS FOR SAT. 2/16
- Thread starter GIANTS007
- Start date
***BOOTLEG PLAYS****
---CBB---
(8*) VANDERBILT -4.5
(8*) TEXAS TECH -1.5
(7*) RIDER -4
(6*)LOUISVILLE -5.5
(6*) DRAKE -1.5
(6*) KENT ST -7
(6*) TEXAS AM -12.5
(6*) KANSAS ST -10
(5*) KENTUCKY -1.5
(5*) ARIZONA ST -4
Maybe more plays to come!!! GOOD LUCK EVERYONE!!
---CBB---
(8*) VANDERBILT -4.5
(8*) TEXAS TECH -1.5
(7*) RIDER -4
(6*)LOUISVILLE -5.5
(6*) DRAKE -1.5
(6*) KENT ST -7
(6*) TEXAS AM -12.5
(6*) KANSAS ST -10
(5*) KENTUCKY -1.5
(5*) ARIZONA ST -4
Maybe more plays to come!!! GOOD LUCK EVERYONE!!
California Sports
Top Plays
Kentucky
Clemson
New Mexico
Alatex
15 Hawaii
Gameday
Top Play
4 New Mexico
Top Plays
Kentucky
Clemson
New Mexico
Alatex
15 Hawaii
Gameday
Top Play
4 New Mexico
Lang
Lang
Brandon Lang
SATURDAY
25 Dime - Vanderbilt
5 Dime - Kansas State
5 Dime - Marshall
5 Dime - Northern Iowa
5 Dime - Texas Tech
Free Pick - Wright State (See Daily Video for analysis)
Enter text hereNOTE: Today is going to be a great day.
I feel it. Absolutely feel it and trust me, I don't feel this great about a card all the time.
However, I have some great matchups, some great lines, and some great value that will lead to a fantastic day.
I am talking about matchups in some of my favorite conferences. I haven't seen this much value on a basketball card all year long.
From the Big 12, to the Missouri Valley conference to the Big East, I couldn't ask for anything better than what I have going today.
The last 3 days have put me behind the 8-ball but it's not like I haven't been in this spot before.
When you have been in a tough spot before, you know how to handle it. You know how to handle pressure when you have dealt with it at the level I have.
As I said on the outside, I live for moments like this. I function best when pressure is at its highest. Always have and always will.
So here we go. The pressure of a must win Saturday. Can you feel it? Can you taste it?
I can and I love it. Now let's get to the winning day.
25 Dime ? Vanderbilt
These two already met once this season, and it was quite a feast for the Gators in Gainesville, where Florida bolted out to a 34-6 lead and never looked back in a 20-point blowout. Since then, however, we?ve seen Florida take a turn for the worse. And we?re not talking about a small letdown of sorts; we?re talking about three losses in four games ? all four being setbacks to the bookmakers ? and the three losses were in blowout fashion. Those include road losses to Arkansas and Tennessee by 19 and 22, respectively.
On the other hand, Vanderbilt has won four straight basketball games, the most recent a crushing of Kentucky by 41 points, as the Commodores denounced the Wildcats, 93-52, on Tuesday. And while Vandy is still at home, Florida is playing its third road game of the month, but only its seventh all season ? not good with the conference tournament just a couple weeks away.
Vandy is catching Florida at the right time, especially with this one being in Nashville, where the Commodores are 15-0 at home this season and winning by 13 points per game. Vandy won this meeting last season in Nashville, catching six points and winning by 13. We?re going to play the Commodores in this one guys, as they?re the right side of this one.
5 Dime - Kansas State
Another rematch in which we look for revenge by the home team, as the Wildcats are going to humiliate Missouri today, as they make up for the 77-74 setback on February 2. This one is in Manhattan, where K-State is 13-1 SU and 7-1 ATS this season and is disposing of opponents by an average margin of 23 points per game. I know the Tigers are coming in off an upset win over Nebraska, an overtime victory, but they?re not going to be able to bring the same energy on the road in two straight games. Mizzou is 2-8 SU and 2-7 ATS when toting the travel bag, and it?s the home team that is 4-1 SU and ATS in this series. Play the ?Cats here.
5 Dime - Marshall
The Herd is rock solid at home, having won 11 of 13 on its own wood, and comes into this one having won two straight, including a huge 75-74 road victory at Southern Methodist. And with Tulane standing in a three-way tie for fourth place in the Conference USA, a half-game ahead of Marshall, the motivation is there for a win here. And not just any win, a blowout that will provide enough momentum to roll into the final stretch of the season. Marshall is catching the Green Wave at the right time, as they?re coming in off two straight losses and haven?t played since a 10-point loss at Houston on Feb. 9. Marshall has now covered four of five against the spread and five of six as the home chalk. Play the home Herd here.
5 Dime - Northern Iowa
The Panthers come into this conference clash having won four in a row at home, and remain the only team to hold these same Bulldogs below 60 points in conference play; of course, I know NIU lost, 58-54, at Drake on Jan. 26, the defensive effort can be expected in this one, only we?re going to see that treacherous offensive explosion Northern Iowa has displayed in the past. Northern Iowa used that kind of effort to topple Wichita State, 77-75, in overtime on Wednesday to avoid losing its third in a row. Northern Iowa is in triple revenge in this series, and on a 6-1 ATS run as a home underdog, it should get this one done tonight.
5 Dime - Texas Tech
It?s all about the numbers in this one, as Texas Tech is riding high against the spread, posting a 6-0 mark as a favorite, 8-0 at home, 5-0 as the home chalk and 6-2 in conference play. On the other hand, Oklahoma is mired in ATS skids of 3-13 in Big 12 play, 1-5 on Saturdays, 8-24 as a road pup and 2-7 overall in its last nine outings. Getting closer, in this series, the home team is 4-1 ATS the last five times these two have met, while Texas Tech has covered five of seven meetings in Lubbock, Texas. Play the Raiders, as Pat Knight will lead Tech to the easy win over Oklahoma.
Lang
Brandon Lang
SATURDAY
25 Dime - Vanderbilt
5 Dime - Kansas State
5 Dime - Marshall
5 Dime - Northern Iowa
5 Dime - Texas Tech
Free Pick - Wright State (See Daily Video for analysis)
Enter text hereNOTE: Today is going to be a great day.
I feel it. Absolutely feel it and trust me, I don't feel this great about a card all the time.
However, I have some great matchups, some great lines, and some great value that will lead to a fantastic day.
I am talking about matchups in some of my favorite conferences. I haven't seen this much value on a basketball card all year long.
From the Big 12, to the Missouri Valley conference to the Big East, I couldn't ask for anything better than what I have going today.
The last 3 days have put me behind the 8-ball but it's not like I haven't been in this spot before.
When you have been in a tough spot before, you know how to handle it. You know how to handle pressure when you have dealt with it at the level I have.
As I said on the outside, I live for moments like this. I function best when pressure is at its highest. Always have and always will.
So here we go. The pressure of a must win Saturday. Can you feel it? Can you taste it?
I can and I love it. Now let's get to the winning day.
25 Dime ? Vanderbilt
These two already met once this season, and it was quite a feast for the Gators in Gainesville, where Florida bolted out to a 34-6 lead and never looked back in a 20-point blowout. Since then, however, we?ve seen Florida take a turn for the worse. And we?re not talking about a small letdown of sorts; we?re talking about three losses in four games ? all four being setbacks to the bookmakers ? and the three losses were in blowout fashion. Those include road losses to Arkansas and Tennessee by 19 and 22, respectively.
On the other hand, Vanderbilt has won four straight basketball games, the most recent a crushing of Kentucky by 41 points, as the Commodores denounced the Wildcats, 93-52, on Tuesday. And while Vandy is still at home, Florida is playing its third road game of the month, but only its seventh all season ? not good with the conference tournament just a couple weeks away.
Vandy is catching Florida at the right time, especially with this one being in Nashville, where the Commodores are 15-0 at home this season and winning by 13 points per game. Vandy won this meeting last season in Nashville, catching six points and winning by 13. We?re going to play the Commodores in this one guys, as they?re the right side of this one.
5 Dime - Kansas State
Another rematch in which we look for revenge by the home team, as the Wildcats are going to humiliate Missouri today, as they make up for the 77-74 setback on February 2. This one is in Manhattan, where K-State is 13-1 SU and 7-1 ATS this season and is disposing of opponents by an average margin of 23 points per game. I know the Tigers are coming in off an upset win over Nebraska, an overtime victory, but they?re not going to be able to bring the same energy on the road in two straight games. Mizzou is 2-8 SU and 2-7 ATS when toting the travel bag, and it?s the home team that is 4-1 SU and ATS in this series. Play the ?Cats here.
5 Dime - Marshall
The Herd is rock solid at home, having won 11 of 13 on its own wood, and comes into this one having won two straight, including a huge 75-74 road victory at Southern Methodist. And with Tulane standing in a three-way tie for fourth place in the Conference USA, a half-game ahead of Marshall, the motivation is there for a win here. And not just any win, a blowout that will provide enough momentum to roll into the final stretch of the season. Marshall is catching the Green Wave at the right time, as they?re coming in off two straight losses and haven?t played since a 10-point loss at Houston on Feb. 9. Marshall has now covered four of five against the spread and five of six as the home chalk. Play the home Herd here.
5 Dime - Northern Iowa
The Panthers come into this conference clash having won four in a row at home, and remain the only team to hold these same Bulldogs below 60 points in conference play; of course, I know NIU lost, 58-54, at Drake on Jan. 26, the defensive effort can be expected in this one, only we?re going to see that treacherous offensive explosion Northern Iowa has displayed in the past. Northern Iowa used that kind of effort to topple Wichita State, 77-75, in overtime on Wednesday to avoid losing its third in a row. Northern Iowa is in triple revenge in this series, and on a 6-1 ATS run as a home underdog, it should get this one done tonight.
5 Dime - Texas Tech
It?s all about the numbers in this one, as Texas Tech is riding high against the spread, posting a 6-0 mark as a favorite, 8-0 at home, 5-0 as the home chalk and 6-2 in conference play. On the other hand, Oklahoma is mired in ATS skids of 3-13 in Big 12 play, 1-5 on Saturdays, 8-24 as a road pup and 2-7 overall in its last nine outings. Getting closer, in this series, the home team is 4-1 ATS the last five times these two have met, while Texas Tech has covered five of seven meetings in Lubbock, Texas. Play the Raiders, as Pat Knight will lead Tech to the easy win over Oklahoma.
Chicago Hotsides
1.5 unit
3 team 8 pt teaser
Murray -6/Miss. -5/Boise -1
1.5 unit
3 team 8 pt teaser
Wisc. -2/ Miss -5/ A&M -5
1.5 unit
3 team 8 pt teaser
UConn +1'/ Oreg +7/ Miss -5
3 team MLP risk 2/ win 1.86
Boise/ UConn/ Wisc.
2 Louisville -4 -140
2 UConn -5 -140
2 team MLP risk 1/ win .89
UConn/ L.Ville
1.5 unit
3 team 8 pt teaser
Murray -6/Miss. -5/Boise -1
1.5 unit
3 team 8 pt teaser
Wisc. -2/ Miss -5/ A&M -5
1.5 unit
3 team 8 pt teaser
UConn +1'/ Oreg +7/ Miss -5
3 team MLP risk 2/ win 1.86
Boise/ UConn/ Wisc.
2 Louisville -4 -140
2 UConn -5 -140
2 team MLP risk 1/ win .89
UConn/ L.Ville
Hq Report Conference Specialists
Big-12 Gow Kansas St -10
Acc Gow N Carolina -13
Colonial Gow Odu +8
Mvc Gow Bradley -2
Mountain West Gow Byu -7
Big-12 Gow Kansas St -10
Acc Gow N Carolina -13
Colonial Gow Odu +8
Mvc Gow Bradley -2
Mountain West Gow Byu -7
Drew Gordon
Drew Gordon
Drew Gordon
Today's Games...
1. 400,000♦ Bradley
2. 50,000♦ Cleveland State
3. 50,000♦ Akron
1. Bradley- Once again we're calling on Bradley, who was my last 400K college hoops winner when they beat down Missouri State 83-71 at home February 6th. Coming off of 2 straight losses, and now back at home, I'm calling for them to get a resounding victory against a Creighton team that has looked very average on the road of late.
Its hard to ignore the Blue Jays road play of late, as losses at Southern Illinois, at Drake, and at Evansville have shaken this team's confidence to the core. The Evansville loss was an especially disappointing, as clearly Creighton was the better team, but they sure as hell didn't play like it, losing outright 60-56 as 9-point favorites! Creighton committed 20 turnovers in that contest, led by their backcourt (Witter had 6, Watts & Stinnet had 3 apiece)... Not a good sign facing a rock-solid Braves backcourt, where all 4 starting guards have 33 steals or more!
Speaking of the Braves backcourt, clearly this team has benefited greatly from the return of Daneil Ruffin. The talented guard and floor leader for this Braves squad has helped his team go 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS since getting back. He's struggled a bit with his shooting in those consecutive losses, look for a much more efficient effort now back at home (his last home game he dropped 25 points on 5 of 11 shooting).
Finally, on top of Creighton's road troubles, and the improved play of the Braves behind Ruffin, there's little payback in order this afternoon. The Braves haven't forgotten that the Blue Jays beat them in both meetings last season, including an embarassing 82-71 loss in Peoria January 31st of last year. Not only is Bradley usually an excellent bet at home, going 35-16-3 in their last 54 there, but also the favorite usually delivers in this series, going 12-5-1 over their last 18 meetings. In the end, Ruffin and company take advantage of a Blue Jays team that sputters on the road (60 ppg on 42% shooting), protecting their house, snapping their own two-game losing streak, and grabbing the cash in the process!
Take Bradley comfortably over Creighton as your top-rated play of the day.
2. Cleveland State- Sitting at 10-0 SU at home (6-4 ATS), I can understand why some bettors would side with Butler in this spot. However, if you've been following the Horizon this season, you know very well the Vikings are no pushover, having already beaten the Bulldogs outright in Cleveland 56-52 back on January 17th. I understand the revenge angle, I just don't agree with the margin, and here's why:
First of all, the Vikings defense is good enough to keep this game within the bloated number, allowing just 59 ppg over their last 5 games, including an impressive 71-58 outright win at Valparaiso in their last one. In fact, since going on their 5-game losing streak, the Vikings have regrouped, winning 3 ina row SU (2-1 ATS)!
Second, the Vikings have already proven they match up well with the Bulldogs, using Bullock, Jackson, and Brown against the perimeter-oriented attack of Butler. Brown especially, who may not have contributed much in the boxscore, going 0 for 6 in 30 minutes, but his defense was critical and will be once again today. The key to slowing down Butler is limiting either of their talented guard, Graves or Green, and in their last meeting both struggled, going a combined 6 for 22, thanks in large part to the defense applied by Cleveland State's backcourt.
Finally, while I do believe the Bulldogs will get their revenge here, I'm simply not convinced they can cover the number. Butler has had poor results this season covering double-digit spreads, including going 2-6-1 ATS over their last 9 games in that spot. Bulldogs are the better team, but they come into this game overvalued, especially considering the Vikings recent 3-game win streak. Bulldogs win, but Vikings grab the cash today in Indianapolis.
Take Cleveland State plus the points over Butler in this Horizon League match up.
3. Akron- Sometimes revenge just isn't enough, and that couldn't be more true in this afternoon's Akron/Bowling Green match up. Despite Akron taking Bowling Green behind the woodshed 80-44 in their last meeting, I just don't believe the Falcons have enough firepower to get their payback this afternoon at home.
Granted, we see an expected dip in the Zips offense when they travel, but even at home, the Falcons offense is below average at best, dropping in just 66 ppg on 44% shooting (30% from 3-point). Of course, the Falcons were able to beat conference doormat Toledo at home in their last home game, but when faced with even average competition, like Central Michigan for example, they lost 81-77 in OT. Akron is one of the better teams in the MAC, and they'll prove it once again this afternoon. (Note the Zips are 7-3 ATS over their last 10 road games!)
Can't talk about Akron without mentioning the absence of F Jerimiah Wood, who's targetting March for a comeback. While losing your best player is never an easy transition to make, the Zips have shown some resiliancy in his absence, winning and covering at Ball State one game after losing him. Granted, I make no excuses for the Zips home loss to Northern Illinois... All I can say is they were throughly embarassed at home and get a perfect oppurtunity for redemption against a team they beat by 36 earlier this season in today's match up.
Bottom line, despite the absence of Wood, I still believe the Zips have more than enough firepower to get the road win and cover this afternoon at Bowling Green. Both defenses are about even, but the Falcons inability to get it done on the offensive end dooms them once again today. Zips bevy of shooters can and will get it done on the highway this afternoon!
Take Akron comfortably over Bowling Green in afternoon MAC action.
Drew Gordon
Drew Gordon
Today's Games...
1. 400,000♦ Bradley
2. 50,000♦ Cleveland State
3. 50,000♦ Akron
1. Bradley- Once again we're calling on Bradley, who was my last 400K college hoops winner when they beat down Missouri State 83-71 at home February 6th. Coming off of 2 straight losses, and now back at home, I'm calling for them to get a resounding victory against a Creighton team that has looked very average on the road of late.
Its hard to ignore the Blue Jays road play of late, as losses at Southern Illinois, at Drake, and at Evansville have shaken this team's confidence to the core. The Evansville loss was an especially disappointing, as clearly Creighton was the better team, but they sure as hell didn't play like it, losing outright 60-56 as 9-point favorites! Creighton committed 20 turnovers in that contest, led by their backcourt (Witter had 6, Watts & Stinnet had 3 apiece)... Not a good sign facing a rock-solid Braves backcourt, where all 4 starting guards have 33 steals or more!
Speaking of the Braves backcourt, clearly this team has benefited greatly from the return of Daneil Ruffin. The talented guard and floor leader for this Braves squad has helped his team go 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS since getting back. He's struggled a bit with his shooting in those consecutive losses, look for a much more efficient effort now back at home (his last home game he dropped 25 points on 5 of 11 shooting).
Finally, on top of Creighton's road troubles, and the improved play of the Braves behind Ruffin, there's little payback in order this afternoon. The Braves haven't forgotten that the Blue Jays beat them in both meetings last season, including an embarassing 82-71 loss in Peoria January 31st of last year. Not only is Bradley usually an excellent bet at home, going 35-16-3 in their last 54 there, but also the favorite usually delivers in this series, going 12-5-1 over their last 18 meetings. In the end, Ruffin and company take advantage of a Blue Jays team that sputters on the road (60 ppg on 42% shooting), protecting their house, snapping their own two-game losing streak, and grabbing the cash in the process!
Take Bradley comfortably over Creighton as your top-rated play of the day.
2. Cleveland State- Sitting at 10-0 SU at home (6-4 ATS), I can understand why some bettors would side with Butler in this spot. However, if you've been following the Horizon this season, you know very well the Vikings are no pushover, having already beaten the Bulldogs outright in Cleveland 56-52 back on January 17th. I understand the revenge angle, I just don't agree with the margin, and here's why:
First of all, the Vikings defense is good enough to keep this game within the bloated number, allowing just 59 ppg over their last 5 games, including an impressive 71-58 outright win at Valparaiso in their last one. In fact, since going on their 5-game losing streak, the Vikings have regrouped, winning 3 ina row SU (2-1 ATS)!
Second, the Vikings have already proven they match up well with the Bulldogs, using Bullock, Jackson, and Brown against the perimeter-oriented attack of Butler. Brown especially, who may not have contributed much in the boxscore, going 0 for 6 in 30 minutes, but his defense was critical and will be once again today. The key to slowing down Butler is limiting either of their talented guard, Graves or Green, and in their last meeting both struggled, going a combined 6 for 22, thanks in large part to the defense applied by Cleveland State's backcourt.
Finally, while I do believe the Bulldogs will get their revenge here, I'm simply not convinced they can cover the number. Butler has had poor results this season covering double-digit spreads, including going 2-6-1 ATS over their last 9 games in that spot. Bulldogs are the better team, but they come into this game overvalued, especially considering the Vikings recent 3-game win streak. Bulldogs win, but Vikings grab the cash today in Indianapolis.
Take Cleveland State plus the points over Butler in this Horizon League match up.
3. Akron- Sometimes revenge just isn't enough, and that couldn't be more true in this afternoon's Akron/Bowling Green match up. Despite Akron taking Bowling Green behind the woodshed 80-44 in their last meeting, I just don't believe the Falcons have enough firepower to get their payback this afternoon at home.
Granted, we see an expected dip in the Zips offense when they travel, but even at home, the Falcons offense is below average at best, dropping in just 66 ppg on 44% shooting (30% from 3-point). Of course, the Falcons were able to beat conference doormat Toledo at home in their last home game, but when faced with even average competition, like Central Michigan for example, they lost 81-77 in OT. Akron is one of the better teams in the MAC, and they'll prove it once again this afternoon. (Note the Zips are 7-3 ATS over their last 10 road games!)
Can't talk about Akron without mentioning the absence of F Jerimiah Wood, who's targetting March for a comeback. While losing your best player is never an easy transition to make, the Zips have shown some resiliancy in his absence, winning and covering at Ball State one game after losing him. Granted, I make no excuses for the Zips home loss to Northern Illinois... All I can say is they were throughly embarassed at home and get a perfect oppurtunity for redemption against a team they beat by 36 earlier this season in today's match up.
Bottom line, despite the absence of Wood, I still believe the Zips have more than enough firepower to get the road win and cover this afternoon at Bowling Green. Both defenses are about even, but the Falcons inability to get it done on the offensive end dooms them once again today. Zips bevy of shooters can and will get it done on the highway this afternoon!
Take Akron comfortably over Bowling Green in afternoon MAC action.
Drew Gordon evening card
Drew Gordon evening card
Tonight's Games...
1. 50,000♦ Oregon
2. 50,000♦ Michigan State
1. Oregon- While many in the media believe the Cougars defense is the difference-maker here, I couldn't disagree more. The last time these two teams played, the game was razor close up until the final minute, with Oregon proving time and again they were more than capable of beating with Washington State's defense. Now back on the friendly rims of Eugene, look for the Ducks high-powered offense to be even more efficient, as they protect their house and grab the cash!
Speaking of offense, you do not want to screw around with Oregon at home, where they average a blistering 85 ppg on 50% shooting this season (incl. 41% from 3-point)! Say what you will about home losses to UCLA and USC, but the Ducks have taken care of their last two PAC-10 foes in Eugene, beating Oregon State and Washington handily.
For all the talk about the Cougars defense, as the season has worn on they've let up on their intensity, allowing 62 ppg on 44% shooting over their last 5 games. Granted, that came against some strong PAC-10 comeptition, but what exactly do you think Oregon is at home?! Oregon's offense is as good as any in PAC-10, and having lost a close game to these Cougars on the road (the 69-60 doesn't indicate how close the game really was), only gives them more confidence and motivation in this one.
Finally, while the Ducks aren't a very deep team, their starting 5 is perfectly equipped to attack this Cougars defense. 4 of the 5 can shoot the long ball, while all 5 are capable scorers, led by ofcourse G Malik Hairston, who'll be looking to lead his Ducks to victory tonight. Love the Cougars backcourt of Low and Weaver, but in this case, they're find themsleves overmatched against a superior offensive team.
Take Oregon at home over Washington State in this PAC-10 showdown.
2. Michigan State- Several reasons here to like the Spartans plus the points in this spot, but let's start with the big story out of Bloomington. With recruiting violations dogging coach Klevin Sampson and his staff, do you really believe they'll be 100% focused for an intense Big Ten rivalry game like this one? Sorry Indiana-backers, but this scandal couldn't have come at a worse time, as the Hoosiers will pay the price for their coaches indescretions... A distracted coach is a distacted team, plain and simple.
Second, with both teams possessing excellent defenses, more likely than not, its the team who has the ball last that will win this game... Either way, we grab the cash! Both teams are allowing 60 ppg over their last 5 games, the difference? The Spartans are allowing opponents to shoot just 37% over that span, as compared to the Hooisers 41%. Indiana's offense gets the edge, but Michigan State's defense equalizes that edge.
Finally, let's examine the numbers, as the Hooisers have been a terrible bet in conference, going 6-13-1 ATS over thier last 20 against the Big Ten. Not only that, but with the Spartans having gone 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS over their last 3 games, I firmly believe they come into this game undervalued. Couple that with an excellent Spartan's defense, and a distracting scandal, and you've got all the makings of a Michigan State cover in this spot. Hoosiers may win this contest, but Izzo's Spartans keep it within the number, that much you can count on!
Take Michigan State plus the points over Indiana in this Big Ten showdown.
Drew Gordon evening card
Tonight's Games...
1. 50,000♦ Oregon
2. 50,000♦ Michigan State
1. Oregon- While many in the media believe the Cougars defense is the difference-maker here, I couldn't disagree more. The last time these two teams played, the game was razor close up until the final minute, with Oregon proving time and again they were more than capable of beating with Washington State's defense. Now back on the friendly rims of Eugene, look for the Ducks high-powered offense to be even more efficient, as they protect their house and grab the cash!
Speaking of offense, you do not want to screw around with Oregon at home, where they average a blistering 85 ppg on 50% shooting this season (incl. 41% from 3-point)! Say what you will about home losses to UCLA and USC, but the Ducks have taken care of their last two PAC-10 foes in Eugene, beating Oregon State and Washington handily.
For all the talk about the Cougars defense, as the season has worn on they've let up on their intensity, allowing 62 ppg on 44% shooting over their last 5 games. Granted, that came against some strong PAC-10 comeptition, but what exactly do you think Oregon is at home?! Oregon's offense is as good as any in PAC-10, and having lost a close game to these Cougars on the road (the 69-60 doesn't indicate how close the game really was), only gives them more confidence and motivation in this one.
Finally, while the Ducks aren't a very deep team, their starting 5 is perfectly equipped to attack this Cougars defense. 4 of the 5 can shoot the long ball, while all 5 are capable scorers, led by ofcourse G Malik Hairston, who'll be looking to lead his Ducks to victory tonight. Love the Cougars backcourt of Low and Weaver, but in this case, they're find themsleves overmatched against a superior offensive team.
Take Oregon at home over Washington State in this PAC-10 showdown.
2. Michigan State- Several reasons here to like the Spartans plus the points in this spot, but let's start with the big story out of Bloomington. With recruiting violations dogging coach Klevin Sampson and his staff, do you really believe they'll be 100% focused for an intense Big Ten rivalry game like this one? Sorry Indiana-backers, but this scandal couldn't have come at a worse time, as the Hoosiers will pay the price for their coaches indescretions... A distracted coach is a distacted team, plain and simple.
Second, with both teams possessing excellent defenses, more likely than not, its the team who has the ball last that will win this game... Either way, we grab the cash! Both teams are allowing 60 ppg over their last 5 games, the difference? The Spartans are allowing opponents to shoot just 37% over that span, as compared to the Hooisers 41%. Indiana's offense gets the edge, but Michigan State's defense equalizes that edge.
Finally, let's examine the numbers, as the Hooisers have been a terrible bet in conference, going 6-13-1 ATS over thier last 20 against the Big Ten. Not only that, but with the Spartans having gone 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS over their last 3 games, I firmly believe they come into this game undervalued. Couple that with an excellent Spartan's defense, and a distracting scandal, and you've got all the makings of a Michigan State cover in this spot. Hoosiers may win this contest, but Izzo's Spartans keep it within the number, that much you can count on!
Take Michigan State plus the points over Indiana in this Big Ten showdown.
Karl Garrett
Karl Garrett
Karl Garrett
50 DIMER - TEXAS LONGHORNS.....10 DIMERS - MARYLAND, ARIZONA, & UAB
50 DIMER - TEXAS LONGHORNS
What a steal! To get the Longhorns at this near pick price is an absolute gift!
Texas is rolling right now, as Rick Barnes' team comes in having won and covered 4 in a row. The 'Horns have also been a winner in 7 of their last 8 games, and they did win and cover an earlier season home date against the Bears as they upped their series winning streak to the last 10 games.
The Longhorns have covered in 6 of their last 8 visits to Baylor, and they are catching the Bears at the right time, as it looks like Baylor's hot start has come crashing down on them, as the Bears have dropped their last pair, and 4 of 5 both straight up and against the spread. Baylor is also a money-burning 1-5 against the spread at home this season.
I get the feeling the Longhorns are peaking at the right time, while the Bears may be headed for the big fall down the stretch. Either way, a near pick price is way too good to pass up on the 'Horns late day today.
Roll with Texas to complete the season series sweep!
10 DIMER - MARYLAND TERRAPINS
I know Maryland lost by double digits at Duke earlier this week, but prior to that setback Gary Williams' team had quietly won 4 in a row, and 6 of 7. The Terps are making noise at the right time, and will have no trouble dumping a Florida State team that has not been able to get its act together. The Seminoles have dropped 7 of their last 9 straight up, but more importantly State has failed the spread in 9 of their last 10, and 13 of their last 15!
This will be the first meeting of the year between the schools, and the home team comes into this one on an 8-1 spread run, while the favorite has covered in 13 of the last 16 series meetings. Last I checked, Maryland was both the home team, and the favorite!
Fear the Turtle today!!!!
10 DIMER - ARIZONA WILDCATS
I watched all of Stanford's Thursday night loss at Arizona State, and I came away thinking that the Cardinal are one overrated team!
Yes, they do have size, but their marginal guard play won't hurt the Wildcats in this spot this afternoon, and the fact Arizona has started to pick things back up after their 2 game slide has me liking the Wildcats today at home.
'Zona has won 5 of 7, and has covered in 7 of 9 coming into this showdown. The 'Cats have also played the Cardinal quite tough as they nearly upset Stanford in the middle of January in Palo Alto in an underdog cover, snapping a 6-game series winning streak.
Priced at near a pick, I am going against the Cardinal until I see further evidence they can handle a team like Arizona on the road. After watching them at Arizona State, I don't think they can.
10 DIMER - UAB BLAZERS
Is it time for Memphis to take their 1st loss of the season?
I don't know if they will drop this one outright, but UAB is as good a test on the conference road as they are going to get, as the Blazers are 11-0 straight up at home, and 5-1-1 against the math in those home games.
Memphis has been asked to cover some pretty tall numbers of late, as Calipari's team is on a money-burning 2-4 spread run as they come to UAB tonight.
The Tigers have been tough on the Blazers as they are riding a 3-game seires winning streak, and they have taken 7 of the last 9 series tilts both straight up, and against the spread.
With triple revenge on their side, a perfect home court record on their side, and the fact they are going against the undefeated #1 team in the land on their side, the G-Man says to take the points as the Blazers give the Tigers a major scare.
Karl Garrett
Karl Garrett
50 DIMER - TEXAS LONGHORNS.....10 DIMERS - MARYLAND, ARIZONA, & UAB
50 DIMER - TEXAS LONGHORNS
What a steal! To get the Longhorns at this near pick price is an absolute gift!
Texas is rolling right now, as Rick Barnes' team comes in having won and covered 4 in a row. The 'Horns have also been a winner in 7 of their last 8 games, and they did win and cover an earlier season home date against the Bears as they upped their series winning streak to the last 10 games.
The Longhorns have covered in 6 of their last 8 visits to Baylor, and they are catching the Bears at the right time, as it looks like Baylor's hot start has come crashing down on them, as the Bears have dropped their last pair, and 4 of 5 both straight up and against the spread. Baylor is also a money-burning 1-5 against the spread at home this season.
I get the feeling the Longhorns are peaking at the right time, while the Bears may be headed for the big fall down the stretch. Either way, a near pick price is way too good to pass up on the 'Horns late day today.
Roll with Texas to complete the season series sweep!
10 DIMER - MARYLAND TERRAPINS
I know Maryland lost by double digits at Duke earlier this week, but prior to that setback Gary Williams' team had quietly won 4 in a row, and 6 of 7. The Terps are making noise at the right time, and will have no trouble dumping a Florida State team that has not been able to get its act together. The Seminoles have dropped 7 of their last 9 straight up, but more importantly State has failed the spread in 9 of their last 10, and 13 of their last 15!
This will be the first meeting of the year between the schools, and the home team comes into this one on an 8-1 spread run, while the favorite has covered in 13 of the last 16 series meetings. Last I checked, Maryland was both the home team, and the favorite!
Fear the Turtle today!!!!
10 DIMER - ARIZONA WILDCATS
I watched all of Stanford's Thursday night loss at Arizona State, and I came away thinking that the Cardinal are one overrated team!
Yes, they do have size, but their marginal guard play won't hurt the Wildcats in this spot this afternoon, and the fact Arizona has started to pick things back up after their 2 game slide has me liking the Wildcats today at home.
'Zona has won 5 of 7, and has covered in 7 of 9 coming into this showdown. The 'Cats have also played the Cardinal quite tough as they nearly upset Stanford in the middle of January in Palo Alto in an underdog cover, snapping a 6-game series winning streak.
Priced at near a pick, I am going against the Cardinal until I see further evidence they can handle a team like Arizona on the road. After watching them at Arizona State, I don't think they can.
10 DIMER - UAB BLAZERS
Is it time for Memphis to take their 1st loss of the season?
I don't know if they will drop this one outright, but UAB is as good a test on the conference road as they are going to get, as the Blazers are 11-0 straight up at home, and 5-1-1 against the math in those home games.
Memphis has been asked to cover some pretty tall numbers of late, as Calipari's team is on a money-burning 2-4 spread run as they come to UAB tonight.
The Tigers have been tough on the Blazers as they are riding a 3-game seires winning streak, and they have taken 7 of the last 9 series tilts both straight up, and against the spread.
With triple revenge on their side, a perfect home court record on their side, and the fact they are going against the undefeated #1 team in the land on their side, the G-Man says to take the points as the Blazers give the Tigers a major scare.
